人民财讯12月17日电，企查查APP显示，近日，新疆卓能煤业有限公司成立，法定代表人为贺长江，注 册资本为1500万元，经营范围包含：煤炭及制品销售；煤炭洗选；煤制活性炭及其他煤炭加工；矿物洗 选加工；选矿；煤炭开采等。企查查股权穿透显示，该公司由合盛硅业（603260）间接全资持股。 ...

Investment Strategy Overview - The report emphasizes two main investment themes for the chemical industry: anti-involution policies and domestic substitution, which are expected to drive recovery and growth in the sector [4][5][6] Anti-Involution and Cycle Recovery - The report suggests that the chemical industry is at a turning point, with anti-involution measures leading to a recovery in the cycle. Key areas include the peak of new capacity in organic silicon, the end of PTA capacity expansion, and a rebound in prices for certain chemicals due to supply chain disruptions [4][5] - The China Chemical Product Price Index (CCPI) has decreased significantly, dropping to 3865 points by November 30, 2025, down 16.37% from early 2024 and 10.71% from the beginning of 2025 [4][20] Domestic Substitution as a Growth Driver - Domestic substitution is highlighted as a key growth driver, with significant support from national policies for bio-based materials and advancements in technology leading to a more robust domestic supply chain [4][6] - The report identifies several companies positioned to benefit from these trends, including KaiSai Bio and RuiFeng New Materials, which are making strides in bio-based materials and lubricant additives, respectively [5][6] Market Dynamics and Price Recovery - The report notes that while the chemical market is experiencing a downturn, certain segments are expected to see price recovery due to improved supply-demand dynamics and reduced capacity expansion [4][22] - Specific chemical products have shown varied price movements, with some experiencing significant declines while others are stabilizing or recovering [22] Manufacturing Sector Recovery - The manufacturing sector is showing signs of recovery, which is anticipated to support the chemical industry. The report mentions that the real estate market is stabilizing, and automotive production has increased, indicating a potential uptick in demand for chemical products [25][33] Capital Expenditure Trends - Capital expenditure growth in the chemical industry is slowing, with a notable decline in new projects. The report indicates that the total construction in progress for the chemical sector was 327.57 billion yuan in Q3 2025, down 17.64% year-on-year [34][39] Inventory and Consumption Trends - High inventory levels in the chemical sector are being addressed as consumer demand begins to recover. The report suggests that the inventory-to-revenue ratio for the basic chemical industry was 0.62 in Q3 2025, indicating a slight increase from the previous year [41][42] Profitability and Financial Performance - The report highlights a recovery in profitability for the chemical industry, with gross margins and return on equity (ROE) showing improvement in Q3 2025 compared to previous periods [56][60] - Specific sub-sectors, such as agrochemicals and fluorochemicals, have demonstrated significant profit growth, with some exceeding 100% year-on-year increases [55][56]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Outperform the Market - A" for the chemical industry [5] Core Views - The political bureau meeting emphasized the implementation of more proactive macro policies and the importance of expanding domestic demand and optimizing supply, which is expected to provide a clearer reversal signal for the chemical industry at the bottom of the cycle [2][3] - The chemical industry is currently at a historical low valuation, with a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 2.2, indicating significant upside potential [2][18] - The report highlights the importance of supply-side optimization and the potential for price recovery in industries with high concentration and low profitability [3][20] Summary by Sections 1. Core Insights of the Week - The report discusses the impact of the geopolitical situation on oil prices, with Brent oil closing at $61.28 per barrel, down $2.47 (-3.9%) from the previous week [17] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) has shown unexpected recovery, which has increased attention on the chemical sector [18] 2. Overall Performance of the Chemical Sector - The chemical sector index decreased by 2.2% in the week, ranking 26th among 31 industry sectors [24] - Year-to-date, the chemical sector index has increased by 25.0%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 9.0% [24][27] 3. Individual Stock Performance in the Chemical Sector - Among 424 stocks in the chemical sector, 97 stocks rose while 325 fell during the week [32] - The top gainers included companies like Bluestar Technology (+18.1%) and Qiaoyuan Co. (+15.2%) [34] 4. Key Investment Themes - **Theme One**: Focus on upstream resource assets with strong profit certainty, such as phosphorus and sulfur [19] - **Theme Two**: Emphasis on supply-side optimization and price elasticity in sectors like organic silicon and PTA [20] - **Theme Three**: Attention to low-valued leading companies in the sector, such as Wanhua Chemical and Hengli Petrochemical [22] - **Theme Four**: Investment in new productive forces aligned with green energy and semiconductor materials [23]

Core Insights - The establishment of Guanghe Qiancheng Technology Co., Ltd. is seen as a "silicon material storage platform" in the photovoltaic industry, with major players like Tongwei, GCL, Daqo, and Xinte participating as shareholders [1][2] - The platform aims to explore strategic cooperation opportunities within the industry, focusing on sustainable development rather than individual market expansion [1][3] Shareholder Information - Tongwei's subsidiary holds 30.35% of Guanghe Qiancheng, while GCL holds 16.79%. Other shareholders include Daqo, Xinte, and several smaller companies, with their respective shares ranging from 5.13% to 11.3% [2] - The platform's shareholder list also includes Beijing Zhongguang Tonghe Energy Technology Co., Ltd., a wholly-owned subsidiary of the China Photovoltaic Industry Association [1][2] Industry Context - According to Bernreuter Research, in 2024, the top four global polysilicon manufacturers will be Tongwei, GCL, Daqo, and Xinte, collectively holding 65% of the global market share [2] - The total planned capacity of polysilicon manufacturers not participating in Guanghe Qiancheng, such as Hoshine and its subsidiary, exceeds 80,000 tons [3][4] Future Projections - CITIC Securities predicts a negative growth in global new photovoltaic installations in 2026, estimating a decrease of 10.07% year-on-year, with a projected demand for polysilicon at 116,000 tons [4] - The establishment of Guanghe Qiancheng is seen as timely, as the industry faces a significant oversupply of polysilicon capacity compared to demand [4][6]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the importance of technological self-reliance and innovation as a key driver for national development, as outlined in the "14th Five-Year Plan" [1] - China CITIC Financial Assets is committed to supporting key links in the industrial and supply chains, focusing on leading enterprises through comprehensive financial methods such as "equity + debt" and "restructuring + relief" [1] - The company aims to align financial services with the real economy, particularly in the technology sector, demonstrating its responsibility in supporting national strategies [1] Group 2 - Hoshine Silicon Industry, a leader in silicon-based new materials, has maintained its top global position in industrial silicon and organic silicon production capacity through an integrated "coal-electricity-silicon" industrial chain [2] - China CITIC Financial Assets has formed a specialized team to support Hoshine by providing capital and implementing a comprehensive relief plan, helping the company reduce leverage and strengthen its core competitiveness [2] - Tongwei Group, the world's largest polysilicon producer, is also receiving support through market-oriented debt-to-equity swaps to help it navigate industry challenges [2] Group 3 - China CITIC Financial Assets utilizes a range of financial tools, including asset restructuring, debt restructuring, and management restructuring, to address the unique challenges faced by different enterprises [3] - The company provides not only financial support but also management and governance enhancements to help enterprises rebuild value and maintain competitiveness [3] Group 4 - Two projects have been initiated to address the core issues of financing difficulties and high debt levels, focusing on reducing leverage, improving governance, and strengthening core businesses [4] - As financial pressures ease, both Hoshine and Tongwei are able to invest more resources into technology research and process upgrades, leading to significant production and efficiency improvements [4] - Hoshine has achieved a daily production increase and reduced energy consumption, while Tongwei has made technological breakthroughs in advanced fields, enhancing its competitiveness in the global silicon material market [4] Group 5 - China CITIC Financial Assets aims to identify the real needs of technology enterprises during industry cycles and provide sustainable financial solutions that align with policy directions [5] - The company supports the stable development of the silicon-based materials industry, enhancing the self-controllability of the supply chain and exploring viable paths for hard technology enterprises to achieve high-quality development [5] Group 6 - China CITIC Financial Assets is determined to contribute to the national goal of becoming a technology powerhouse, showcasing its commitment to high-level technological self-reliance and the growth of new productive forces [6]

Core Insights - The establishment of Guanghe Qiancheng Technology Co., Ltd. is viewed as a "silicon material storage platform" in the photovoltaic industry, with participation from major players in the sector [1][2] - The platform aims to explore strategic cooperation opportunities within the industry, focusing on sustainable development rather than individual market expansion [1][4] - Despite the participation of major silicon material manufacturers, some key players like Hongyuan Green Energy and Hoshine Silicon Industry have not joined the platform [3][5] Shareholder Information - Tongwei Co., Ltd. holds 30.35% of Guanghe Qiancheng, while GCL-Poly Energy Holdings holds 16.79%, with other shareholders including Daqo New Energy, Xinte Energy, and Asian Silicon [2] - The top four companies in the global market share for polysilicon in 2024 are Tongwei, GCL-Poly, Daqo, and Xinte, collectively accounting for 65% of the market [2] Industry Context - The global polysilicon production capacity is significantly higher than the projected demand, with a forecasted demand of 116,000 tons in 2026, indicating a potential oversupply situation [6] - The establishment of Guanghe Qiancheng is seen as a timely response to the need for orderly capacity planning and potential exit strategies in the face of declining demand [6] Future Outlook - The formation of the silicon material storage platform is expected to lead to collaborative development in the upstream photovoltaic industry, promoting a sustainable industrial ecosystem [8]

Core Viewpoint - The establishment of Guanghe Qiancheng Technology Co., Ltd. is seen as a significant development in the photovoltaic industry, acting as a "silicon material storage platform" aimed at fostering strategic cooperation among major industry players for sustainable development [1][2][10]. Company Summary - Guanghe Qiancheng is jointly owned by several key players in the photovoltaic sector, including Tongwei Co., Ltd., GCL-Poly Energy Holdings Limited, Daqo New Energy Corp., and Xinte Energy Co., Ltd. [1][3]. - Tongwei's subsidiary holds a 30.35% stake with a registered capital of 910.5 million yuan, while GCL-Poly holds 16.79%. Other shareholders include Shanghai Dongfang Hope New Energy Technology Co., Ltd. and Daqo New Energy, among others [3]. Industry Context - Guanghe Qiancheng is perceived as a "silicon material storage platform," although major silicon material manufacturers like Hongyuan Green Energy and Hoshine Silicon Industry have not participated in its establishment [2][5]. - The platform aims to explore strategic cooperation opportunities within the industry, focusing on technology upgrades, market expansion, and cost optimization, rather than solely on market expansion for individual companies [3][10]. Market Position - According to Bernreuter Research, in 2024, nine out of the top ten polysilicon manufacturers globally will be based in China, with Tongwei, GCL-Poly, Daqo, and Xinte collectively holding a 65% market share [4]. - The planned production capacity of non-participating companies like Hoshine Silicon and its subsidiary exceeds 80,000 tons, indicating a significant supply potential in the market [7][8]. Future Outlook - The establishment of Guanghe Qiancheng comes at a time when the global demand for polysilicon is expected to decline, with projections indicating a 10.07% decrease in new photovoltaic installations by 2026 [8]. - The industry is urged to manage production capacity effectively to align with the declining demand, highlighting the importance of the newly formed platform in fostering a sustainable industry ecosystem [8][10].

Market Performance - The organic silicon concept index declined by 0.98%, ranking among the top declines in the concept sector, with notable declines in stocks such as Dongyue Silicon Material, Chenguang New Materials, and Jinyinhe [1] - In contrast, 15 stocks within the sector experienced price increases, with Huasheng Lithium Battery, Fuxiang Pharmaceutical, and Huama Technology leading the gains at 7.72%, 4.16%, and 1.27% respectively [1][4] Capital Flow - The organic silicon concept saw a net inflow of 0.18 billion yuan, with 29 stocks experiencing net outflows, and 13 stocks seeing outflows exceeding 10 million yuan [2] - The stock with the highest net outflow was Daqian Energy, with a net outflow of 79.88 million yuan, followed by Hesheng Silicon Industry and Kaisheng Technology with net outflows of 30.22 million yuan and 19.51 million yuan respectively [2] Stock Performance - The top stocks with net inflows included Huasheng Lithium Battery, Fuxiang Pharmaceutical, and Dongyue Silicon Material, with net inflows of 171.71 million yuan, 118.37 million yuan, and 18.65 million yuan respectively [4] - Conversely, stocks with significant net outflows included Daqian Energy, Hesheng Silicon Industry, and Kaisheng Technology, with respective declines of 4.08%, 3.13%, and 0.70% [3]

2025 年 12 月 10 日 国泰海通证券股份有限公司 研究所 国泰海通晨报 [Table_Summary] 1、【非银行金融研究】投资银行业与经纪业：2025 年 11 月存量基金净流入。个人投资者风险偏 好略有好转，机构资金持续寻求收益增厚。绩效考核新规下发，行业更重投资者体验。 [汤蔚翔 Table_Authors] (分析师) 电话：021-38676172 邮箱：tangweixiang@gtht.com 登记编号：S0880511010007 [Table_ImportantInfo] 今日重点推荐 刘欣琦(分析师) 021-38676647 liuxinqi@gtht.com S0880515050001 王思玥(分析师) 021-38031024 wangsiyue@gtht.com S0880525070022 推荐机构服务能力与投顾业务能力更强的券商，个股推荐中信证券、广发证券、华泰证券。 风险提示：权益市场大幅波动。 请务必阅读文章最后一页相关法律声明 1 of 11 行业跟踪报告：投资银行业与经纪业《绩效考核迎新规，行业 更重投资者体验》2025-12-09 2025 年 11 月 ...

（原标题：合盛硅业现3笔大宗交易 合计成交168.30万股） 合盛硅业12月9日大宗交易平台共发生3笔成交，合计成交量168.30万股，成交金额8086.82万元。成交价 格均为48.05元，相对今日收盘价折价12.19%。 进一步统计，近3个月内该股累计发生10笔大宗交易，合计成交金额为5.55亿元。 证券时报•数据宝统计显示，合盛硅业今日收盘价为54.72元，上涨2.51%，日换手率为1.01%，成交额为 6.37亿元，全天主力资金净流入1735.91万元，近5日该股累计下跌1.51%，近5日资金合计净流出1.35亿 元。 两融数据显示，该股最新融资余额为10.73亿元，近5日减少4264.19万元，降幅为3.82%。（数据宝） 12月9日合盛硅业大宗交易一览 | 成交 | 成交金 | 成交价 | 相对当 日 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 量 | 额 | 格 | 收盘折 | 买方营业部 | 卖方营业部 | | （万 股） | （万 元） | （元） | 溢价 | | | | | | | （%） | | | | 87.30 | 4194.77 | ...