4 季度盈利拐点出现，预计高阶智驾产品将 成为新的增长点 核心观点 盈利预测与投资建议 资料来源：公司数据. 东方证券研究所预测. 每股收益使用最新股本全面摊薄计算. 经纬恒润-W 688326.SH 公司研究 | 动态跟踪 | | 买入（维持） | | --- | --- | | 股价（2026年01月29日） | 147.3 元 | | 目标价格 | 213.21 元 | | 52 周最高价/最低价 | 163.68/65.5 元 | | 总股本/流通 A 股（万股） | 11,996/11,162 | | A 股市值（百万元） | 17,670 | | 国家/地区 | 中国 | | 行业 | 汽车与零部件 | | 报告发布日期 | 2026 年 01 月 29 日 | ⚫ 预测 2025-2027 年 EPS 分别为 0.79、3.09、4.98 元（原为 0.30、2.21、3.50 元， 调整收入、毛利率及费用率等），维持可比公司 26 年 PE 平均估值 69 倍，目标价 213.21 元，维持买入评级。 风险提示 乘用车行业销量低于预期、汽车电子业务配套量低于预期、研发及解决方案业务低于预 期、 ...

Core Insights - The event "Towards New Directions" focused on empowering new productive forces in the intelligent connected vehicle sector, aiming to create a supply-demand matching platform and accelerate the transformation of innovative achievements [1] Group 1: Industry Trends and Innovations - Industry experts shared insights on technological innovation and industrial development, with presentations from key figures such as Feng Shuo from BAIC and Professor Lu Qi from Tsinghua University [3] - The event marked significant progress in collaborative innovation with the signing of two major cooperation agreements on key automotive materials and digital twin technologies [3] Group 2: Collaborative Projects - A partnership between Xianggu Wisdom (Beijing) Technology Co., Ltd. and Tsinghua University was announced to establish a national center for fragrance science and technology innovation, promoting high-quality development in the olfactory economy [5] Group 3: Project Matching and Demonstrations - The event featured precise matching of new technologies with application scenarios through three main categories: technology demand projects, capability projects, and demonstration projects [7] - BAIC and Changan Automobile jointly announced four technology demands, including intelligent chassis control and next-generation vehicle range extender systems [7] - Several companies showcased their capabilities and demonstration projects, sharing experiences in building innovative scenarios [7] Group 4: Continuous Empowerment and Ecosystem Development - The Deputy Director of the Shunyi District Science and Technology Committee emphasized the district's commitment to becoming a global hub for intelligent connected vehicles, leveraging its industrial foundation and innovation resources [7] - The event organizers indicated that services will continue online, with the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Intelligent Connected Vehicle Innovation Center facilitating the transformation of technological achievements in the region [9]

0 1 事 件 概 述 公司发布 2025 年度业绩预盈公告 ，预计 2025 年归母净利润 0.75 至 1.1 亿元，扣非归母净利润 0.28 至 0.41 亿元，同比扭亏为盈。 0 2 分 析 判 断 ► 2025Q4 业绩超预期 降本增效措施初显成效 2025Q4公司归母净利润0.75至1.10亿元，同比+2.90至3.25亿元，环比+1.38至1.73亿元；扣非归母净利润0.28至0.41亿元，同比+2.95至3.08亿元，环比+1.58至1.72亿元。 公司2025年扭亏为盈，主要原因系：①公司的前期投入和研发成果得到了有效释放，以域控制器产品为代表的新产品阵营收入快速放量，持续升级迭代的原有产品阵营收获 了更多的客户和项目机会，推动公司收入规模进一步扩大；②降本增效措施初显成效。2025年公司将降本增效作为重要经营指引之一，通过AI工具应用、国产替代、智能制 造等方式，使各项成本和费用得到了有效控制，毛利率有所提升，期间费用率显著下降。 0 3 投 资 建 议 公司为国内少数能实现覆盖智能驾驶电子产品、研发服务及解决方案、高级别智能驾驶整体解决方案的企业之一，持续受益智能电动化进程。预计公司20 ...

[Table_Title] 证券研究报告 / 公司点评报告 域控新品顺利放量，全年业绩扭亏为盈 [Table_Summary] 事件：公司发布 2025 年年度业绩预盈公告，预计 2025 年与上年同期相 比将实现扭亏为盈，实现归母净利润 7500.00 万元到 11000.00 万元，实 现扣除非经常性损益的归母净利润 2750.00 万元到 4100.00 万元。 点评：Q4 业绩超预期，规模效应显现。预计 25Q4 公司实现归母净利润 1.5~1.85 亿元，较去年同期大幅增长 2.9~3.3 亿元、实现扭亏为盈，环比 +1159%~1453%、盈利能力进一步提升。公司盈利能力显著改善的主要原 因在于两个方面：一方面，研发成果有效释放，以域控制器为代表的新 产品收入快速放量，叠加原有产品持续升级迭代、收获了更多客户和项 目机会，推动公司收入规模进一步扩大，前三季度实现营收 44.64 亿元， 同比+25.88%；另一方面，公司将降本增效作为重要经营指引，通过 AI 工具应用、国产替代、智能制造等方式，使各项成本、费用都得到了有 效控制，毛利率有所提升、期间费用率显著下降，前三季度销售/管理/研 发/财务 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [2] Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of between 0.75 billion to 1.1 billion yuan in 2025, marking a turnaround from losses in previous years [8] - The fourth quarter of 2025 showed better-than-expected performance, with a net profit of 1.50 to 1.85 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.90 to 3.25 billion yuan [8] - The company's revenue is projected to grow significantly, with estimates of 7.32 billion yuan in 2025, 9.04 billion yuan in 2026, and 10.75 billion yuan in 2027, representing growth rates of 32.2%, 23.5%, and 18.9% respectively [2][9] Financial Forecasts - Revenue for 2024 is estimated at 5.54 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 18.5% [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 94 million yuan in 2025, 416 million yuan in 2026, and 651 million yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 117.1%, 341.7%, and 56.6% respectively [2][9] - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.78 yuan in 2025, 3.47 yuan in 2026, and 5.43 yuan in 2027 [2][9] Business Strategy and Market Position - The company is actively involved in the commercial aerospace sector, providing comprehensive technical systems and solutions throughout the lifecycle of commercial aerospace projects [8] - The company has established partnerships in satellite payload development and is contributing to the domestic C919 aircraft's avionics system integration, breaking foreign monopolies in this field [8] - The company is positioned to benefit from advancements in high-level intelligent driving technologies, with a focus on domain controllers, perception, and safety compliance [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 184.61 RMB [6][4]. Core Insights - The company is expected to turn a profit in 2025, projecting a net profit attributable to shareholders of between 0.75 billion and 1.1 billion RMB, which exceeds previous forecasts [1]. - The growth in revenue is driven by the release of prior R&D investments, particularly in core electronic products like domain controllers and 5G TBOX, alongside cost reduction and efficiency improvements [2]. - The company is transitioning from a research-driven phase to a product scaling phase, with expectations for revenue and profit recovery in 2026, supported by stable production phases with key clients [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company forecasts a revenue increase to 7.51 billion RMB in 2025, with a growth rate of 35.49% compared to the previous year, and further growth to 9.77 billion RMB in 2026 [10]. - The net profit is projected to reach 0.88 billion RMB in 2025, with significant growth to 3.76 billion RMB in 2026, reflecting a 328% increase [10]. Product and Market Development - The company is focusing on high-level intelligent driving products, with collaborations with key clients like Geely and Xiaomi expected to stabilize production and contribute to revenue growth [3]. - The international expansion is ongoing, with partnerships with global manufacturers like Stellantis and Scania, aiming for production deliveries in 2026 [3]. Valuation and Estimates - Revenue forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 have been adjusted to 7.51 billion, 9.77 billion, and 12.02 billion RMB respectively, with corresponding gross margin estimates of 24.3%, 24.9%, and 26.9% [4]. - The report employs a Sum-of-the-Parts (SOTP) valuation method, estimating a net profit of 2.64 billion RMB from hardware and 1.1 billion RMB from software in 2026, leading to a target price adjustment from 145.23 RMB to 184.61 RMB [4].

证券研究报告 经纬恒润 (688326 CH) 25 年业绩预告扭亏，规模效应凸显 | 泰研: 究 | | --- | | सह | 2026 年 1 月 28 日│中国内地 汽车零部件 公司发布 2025 年年度业绩预盈公告，预计 2025 年年度实现归属于母公 司所有者的净利润与上年同期相比，将实现扭亏为盈，实现归属于母公司所 有者的净利润 0.75 亿元到 1.1 亿元。公司的预盈利润区间下限超过我们此 前预测的 0.66 亿元，我们继续看好公司 2026 年公司规模化效应驱动下的 盈利增长，看好公司 2026 年海外业务落地放量，维持"买入"评级。 2025 回顾：扭亏为盈，研发成果释放与降本增效共同驱动 2025 年公司收入规模的扩大主要受益于前期研发投入的释放，以域控制器 等新产品阵营为代表的核心电子产品实现快速放量，同时原有产品持续迭代 获得更多客户与项目机会，推动整体收入增长。降本增效方面，公司通过 AI 工具优化开发流程、推动国产替代和提升智能制造水平，有效控制各项成本 费用，使毛利率有所提升、期间费用率显著下降，从而对盈利能力改善形成 实质支撑。产品与客户层面，公司电子产品包括区域控制器、 ...

经纬恒润（688326.SH）系列点评七 2025Q4 业绩超预期 商业航天全面布局 glmszqdatemark [盈利预测与财务指标 Table_Forcast] | 项目/年度 | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入（百万元） | 5,541 | 7,324 | 9,043 | 10,748 | | 增长率（%） | 18.5 | 32.2 | 23.5 | 18.9 | | 归属母公司股东净利润（百万元） | -550 | 94 | 416 | 651 | | 增长率（%） | -153.3 | 117.1 | 341.7 | 56.6 | | 每股收益（元） | -4.59 | 0.78 | 3.47 | 5.43 | | PE | / | 188 | 43 | 27 | | PB | 4.2 | 4.3 | 3.9 | 3.4 | 资料来源：Wind，国联民生证券研究所预测；（注：股价为 2026 年 1 月 27 日收盘价） 2026 年 01 月 28 日 | 推荐 | 维持评级 | | ...

Core Viewpoint - The company expects to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of the parent company in the range of 75 million to 110 million yuan for the year 2025, marking a turnaround from a loss of 55.03 million yuan in the previous year [2] Group 1: Performance Expectations - The projected net profit range for 2025 represents a significant improvement compared to the previous year's loss [2] - The expected net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is estimated to be between 27.5 million and 41 million yuan, compared to a loss of 61.84 million yuan in the prior year [2] Group 2: Reasons for Performance Change - The primary reasons for the performance change include the release of R&D results and an expansion in revenue scale, driven by the rapid development of automotive intelligence and electrification [2] - New product lines, particularly domain controller products, have seen rapid revenue growth, while existing products have gained more customers and project opportunities [2] - Cost reduction and efficiency improvement measures have begun to show results, with the application of AI tools, promotion of domestic alternatives, and smart manufacturing effectively controlling costs and expenses, leading to an increase in gross margin and a significant decrease in period expense ratio [2]

【天风汽车】经纬恒润业绩预告点评——0127 财务预告： 25年：预计实现归母净利0.75-1.1e，扭亏为盈；扣非净利0.28-0.41e； 25Q4：预计实现归母净利1.5-1.9e，按中值计算实现1.7e，环比+1306%；扣非净利1.51-1.64e，业绩超预期。 业绩高增主要来自于1）收入端：Q4汽车和高端装备的咨询服务等项目确收，以及汽车电子域控产品客户规模放 量；2）费用端：成本及各项费用得到有效控制，费用率下降，规模效应显著。 【天风汽车】经纬恒润业绩预告点评——0127 财务预告： 25年：预计实现归母净利0.75-1.1e，扭亏为盈；扣非净利0.28-0.41e； 25Q4：预计实现归母净利1.5-1.9e，按中值计算实现1.7e，环比+1306%；扣非净利1.51-1.64e，业绩超预期。 业绩高增主要来自于1）收入端：Q4汽车和高端装备的咨询服务等项目确收，以及汽 投资建议：预计26年实现4e利润，考虑到公司刚开始盈利，主业预计中期实现收入150亿，7%净利率，对应利润 10.5亿，PE 20x，对应市值210亿； ——————————— ——————————— 后续看点：①ZCU：整 ...