Core Viewpoint - The China Central Enterprises Structural Adjustment Index has shown a decline in recent months, indicating challenges in the performance of central state-owned enterprises in the market [1][2] Group 1: Index Performance - The China Central Enterprises Structural Adjustment Index opened lower and closed down by 0.53% at 1132.92 points, with a trading volume of 42.13 billion yuan [1] - Over the past month, the index has decreased by 0.87%, by 4.75% over the last three months, and by 4.01% year-to-date [1] Group 2: Index Composition - The index is composed of representative listed companies from central state-owned enterprises, evaluated based on market capitalization, revenue scale, shareholder equity returns, dividend payment levels, and investment in technological innovation [1] - The top ten weighted companies in the index include Hikvision (5.16%), Guodian NARI (4.66%), China Merchants Bank (3.58%), Baosteel (3.49%), China Telecom (3.42%), Changan Automobile (3.41%), SMIC (3.25%), Yangtze Power (3.06%), China Shenhua (2.78%), and China State Construction (2.76%) [1] Group 3: Market Segmentation - The index's holdings are primarily listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange (75.21%) and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange (24.79%) [1] - In terms of industry distribution, the index shows that industrial sector accounts for 33.96%, information technology for 13.89%, communication services for 11.00%, utilities for 9.66%, energy for 9.30%, materials for 7.20%, financials for 5.55%, consumer discretionary for 4.64%, healthcare for 3.16%, and real estate for 1.64% [2] Group 4: Index Adjustment Mechanism - The index samples are adjusted biannually, with adjustments occurring on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December [2] - The sample adjustment typically does not exceed 20%, with a buffer zone allowing for new samples ranked within the top 80 to enter preferentially, and older samples ranked within the top 120 to be retained preferentially [2] - In special circumstances, the index may undergo temporary adjustments, such as removing samples that are delisted or handling mergers and acquisitions according to maintenance guidelines [2] Group 5: Tracking Funds - Public funds tracking the structural adjustment index include various ETFs such as Huaxia Central Enterprise Structural Adjustment ETF and Bosera Central Enterprise Structural Adjustment ETF [2]

Core Viewpoint - There has been no official announcement regarding the merger between Dongfeng Motor and Changan Automobile, despite ongoing discussions in the industry about potential restructuring involving state-owned enterprises [1] Financial Performance - In 2024, Dongfeng Group achieved sales revenue of 106.197 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.9% - Gross profit reached 13.585 billion yuan, up 38.2%, with a gross margin of 12.8% - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 58 million yuan, marking a significant turnaround with a year-on-year increase of 39.45 billion yuan [1] - The company reported an asset-liability ratio of 52.4% and an operating cash flow increase of 8.15 billion yuan year-on-year [1] Sales Performance - Dongfeng Group sold approximately 1.8959 million vehicles in 2024, a decline of 9.2% year-on-year - Sales of self-owned passenger vehicles reached 438,900 units, an increase of 26.4%, with a gross margin improvement of 8.4 percentage points - The revenue from passenger vehicle sales was about 52.297 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of approximately 22.93% - Commercial vehicle sales were around 351,800 units, a growth of 2.4%, but revenue decreased by 4.68% to about 47.22 billion yuan due to weakened investment and low market demand [2] Internal Reforms - In 2024, Dongfeng Group implemented four key initiatives: 1. Promoting centralized development and procurement in R&D for basic platforms and powertrains to enhance efficiency 2. Establishing a passenger vehicle operation committee to improve resource allocation 3. Creating a commercial vehicle division to unify platform definitions and optimize resources 4. Forming a parts division [3] Future Outlook - For 2025, Dongfeng Group aims to achieve overall sales of 3 million vehicles, with a target of 3.2 million - The company has set a goal of selling 1 million new energy vehicles and exporting 500,000 units overseas - Plans include launching 7 new passenger vehicle models and 3 commercial vehicle models, along with smart upgrades through self-research and partnerships with Huawei [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 17.43 CNY [2][6] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to the parent company of 59.47 billion CNY, 82.68 billion CNY, and 101.25 billion CNY for the years 2024 to 2026 respectively, with a comparable company average PE valuation of 21 times [2] - The report highlights the sustained high growth in new energy vehicle sales and the deepening cooperation between the company and Huawei [1][7] Financial Summary - The company's revenue is projected to grow from 121.25 billion CNY in 2022 to 213.01 billion CNY in 2026, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 15.5% [4] - Operating profit is expected to fluctuate, with a significant drop in 2024 to 6.25 billion CNY, followed by recovery in subsequent years [4] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to decline to 5.95 billion CNY in 2024, before rebounding to 10.13 billion CNY by 2026 [4] - The report indicates a decrease in gross margin from 20.5% in 2022 to a low of 16.1% in 2024, with a slight recovery thereafter [4] - The net profit margin is projected to decrease to 3.4% in 2024, with gradual improvement expected in the following years [4] - The return on equity (ROE) is anticipated to drop to 8.1% in 2024, before rising to 11.5% by 2026 [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 17.43 CNY [2][6] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to the parent company of 59.47 billion CNY, 82.68 billion CNY, and 101.25 billion CNY for the years 2024 to 2026 respectively, with a comparable company average PE valuation of 21 times [2] - The report highlights the sustained high growth in new energy vehicle sales and the deepening collaboration between the company and Huawei [1][7] Financial Summary - **Revenue Forecast**: The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 121.25 billion CNY in 2022 to 213.01 billion CNY in 2026, with a CAGR of approximately 15.5% from 2024 to 2026 [4][10] - **Net Profit**: The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to decline from 11.33 billion CNY in 2023 to 5.95 billion CNY in 2024, before recovering to 8.27 billion CNY in 2025 and 10.13 billion CNY in 2026 [4][10] - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: EPS is expected to decrease to 0.60 CNY in 2024, then rise to 0.83 CNY in 2025 and 1.02 CNY in 2026 [4][10] - **Profitability Ratios**: The gross margin is projected to decline from 20.5% in 2022 to 16.1% in 2024, before slightly improving to 18.0% by 2026 [4][10] - **Valuation Ratios**: The company’s PE ratio is expected to be 21.9 in 2024, decreasing to 12.9 by 2026 [4][10]

Group 1: Product Highlights - The Q07 model is positioned as a smart SUV for families, featuring dimensions of 4837mm x 1920mm x 1690mm and a wheelbase of 2905mm, providing the largest interior space in its class with a space utilization rate of 86% [1] - The Q07 includes a 763L dual-layer trunk capable of holding 12 pieces of 20-inch luggage, emphasizing its spaciousness [1] - It is built on the SDA architecture and features the industry's only laser radar for advanced driving assistance, including highway navigation and intelligent parking [1] Group 2: Future Product Plans - Over the next three years, the company plans to launch 35 new smart vehicles, including 10 models from Changan Yuyuan and 10 from Deep Blue, as well as 7 from Avita [2] - The upcoming models will include small and medium SUVs, large MPVs, compact sedans, and new rugged vehicles [2] Group 3: Battery Development - Changan is advancing its next-generation battery technology, with the solid-state battery expected to debut by the end of the year, achieving a density of 400wh/kg and a range exceeding 1500 km [2] - The solid-state battery aims to enhance safety by 70% through AI remote diagnostics, addressing safety concerns associated with liquid batteries [2] Group 4: Smart Technology Initiatives - The company is focusing on smart technology, with plans to implement intelligent driving, smart cockpits, and intelligent chassis under the SDA platform [2][3] - Key features include advanced safety measures, such as collision avoidance in extreme conditions and enhanced driving dynamics through distributed electric drive [3] - The company aims for 100% AI penetration in the cockpit, introducing AI-driven services for improved user interaction and experience [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights that Changan Automobile's wholesale sales in February 2025 reached 161,400 units, showing a year-on-year increase of 5.72% but a month-on-month decrease of 41.45%. Cumulative wholesale sales for January-February 2025 totaled 437,100 units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 0.94% [2] - The report emphasizes the acceleration of the company's new energy vehicle (NEV) sales, which reached 39,700 units in February, marking a month-on-month increase of 68.4% but a year-on-year decrease of 41.25% [2] - The company plans to launch 13 new energy models in 2025, enhancing its global strategy and product offerings, with a focus on smart driving solutions and international expansion [6][7] Summary by Sections Sales Performance - In February 2025, the company's total wholesale sales, self-owned brands, and self-owned passenger vehicle sales all experienced month-on-month declines but year-on-year growth. The decline was primarily due to adjustments in production schedules post-Spring Festival and temporary market demand contraction [6] - The NEV penetration rate improved compared to January 2025, with significant contributions from new models set to launch in April 2025 [6] Financial Forecasts - The forecast for the company's main revenue is projected to grow from 151.3 billion yuan in 2023 to 203.9 billion yuan in 2026, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 10.5% [3][7] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 5.2 billion yuan in 2024 to 9.7 billion yuan in 2026, reflecting a recovery after a projected dip in 2024 [3][7] Strategic Initiatives - The company is enhancing its collaboration with partners like Huawei and CATL, which is expected to bolster its electric and smart transformation efforts [6] - The report outlines the company's plans for international expansion, including the establishment of a factory in Southeast Asia and the introduction of its brands in various global markets [6][7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights significant events, including Changan Automobile's February 2025 production and sales report, showing a wholesale vehicle sales volume of 161,400 units, with a year-on-year increase of 0.94% for the cumulative sales from January to February 2025 [2][6] - The company plans to launch 13 new energy vehicle models in 2025, enhancing its global strategy and accelerating its electric and intelligent transformation [6][7] - The report anticipates a recovery in net profit for 2024-2026, with projected figures of 5.245 billion, 6.885 billion, and 9.662 billion yuan respectively, corresponding to EPS of 0.69, 0.97, and 1.14 yuan [6][7] Summary by Sections Sales Performance - In February 2025, the company's wholesale sales were 161,400 units, with a month-on-month decrease of 41.45% and a year-on-year increase of 5.72%. Cumulative sales for January-February 2025 reached 437,100 units, up 0.94% year-on-year [2] - The new energy vehicle sales in February were 39,700 units, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 68.4% but a year-on-year decrease of 41.25% [2] Financial Forecasts - The main revenue forecast for 2025 is 186.5 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 11% [3] - The projected net profit for 2025 is 6.885 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 31% [3] Strategic Initiatives - The company is set to enhance its product lineup with new energy models and expand its global market presence, targeting 81 countries [6] - Collaborations with Huawei and CATL are expected to deepen, supporting the company's electric and intelligent transformation [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Changan Automobile is not explicitly stated in the provided content, but the report indicates a positive outlook on the company's performance and growth potential [1]. Core Insights - Changan Automobile reported a February sales volume of 161,000 units, representing a year-on-year increase of 6% but a month-on-month decrease of 41%. The sales of Changan's self-owned brands reached 137,000 units, up 8% year-on-year but down 43% month-on-month [1]. - The company is accelerating its smart driving initiatives, with plans to achieve full-scene L3 autonomous driving by 2026 and L4 capabilities by 2028. The Deep Blue S09 will feature Huawei's advanced driving system [3]. - Over the next three years, Changan plans to launch 35 new smart vehicles across its brands, including various models from Changan Qiyuan, Deep Blue, and Avita [3]. - Changan's international expansion is progressing, with plans for a Southeast Asia factory, a European brand launch, and production projects in the CIS region and Latin America by 2025 [3]. Summary by Sections Sales Performance - February sales were 161,000 units, with a year-on-year increase of 6% and a month-on-month decrease of 41%. Self-owned brand sales were 137,000 units, up 8% year-on-year [1]. Smart Driving Development - The company is advancing its smart driving technology, aiming for L3 level by 2026 and L4 by 2028, with the Deep Blue S09 featuring advanced driving capabilities [3]. Product Launch Plans - Changan will introduce 35 new smart vehicles in the next three years, with various models planned across its brands [3]. International Expansion - The company is set to enhance its global presence with a factory in Southeast Asia, a brand launch in Europe, and production projects in the CIS and Latin America by 2025 [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [7] Core Views - The company is accelerating its transition to electric vehicles, with a target of 3 million total sales and 1 million in new energy vehicles by 2025 [2][3] - The company is expected to launch new models such as Avita 06 and Deep Blue S09, enhancing its product lineup and supporting its electric transformation [3] - The overseas sales are growing rapidly, with a 63.6% year-on-year increase in February, indicating a clear global expansion strategy [4] Sales Performance - In February, the company's wholesale sales reached 161,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 5.7% but a month-on-month decrease of 41.4% [1] - The wholesale sales of self-owned passenger vehicles in February were 94,000 units, up 12.5% year-on-year but down 51.2% month-on-month [2] - The new energy vehicle sales in February were 39,700 units, with significant contributions from Deep Blue and Avita brands [2][3] Financial Forecast - The revenue projections for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are estimated at 163.0 billion, 188.6 billion, and 212.1 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding net profits of 6.1 billion, 8.2 billion, and 10.8 billion yuan [4][6] - The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 0.61, 0.83, and 1.09 yuan for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively [6][4] Global Expansion Strategy - The company plans to establish 8 new operating entities and 16 logistics nodes overseas by 2025, aiming to enhance its global market presence [4] - The Thai factory is expected to start production in Q1 2025, with an initial capacity of 100,000 vehicles, which will increase to 200,000 vehicles in the second phase [4]

证券代码：000625、200625 证券简称：长安汽车、长安 B 重庆长安汽车股份有限公司投资者关系活动记录表 编号：2025-08 | 投资者关系活 动类别 | ■特定对象调研 □分析师会议 | | --- | --- | | | □媒体采访 □业绩说明会 | | | □新闻发布会 □路演活动 | | | □现场参观 | | | □其他（请文字说明其他活动内容） | | 参与单位名称 | 东吴证券、信达澳亚基金、中信资管 | | 及人员姓名 | | | 时间 | 2025 年 03 月 05 日 | | 地点 | 公司会议室 | | 上市公司接待 | 证券事务代表——揭中华 | | 人员姓名 | | | | 一、请问公司 2 月份销售情况如何？ | | | 答：2025 年 2 月，长安汽车实现销售 161435 辆，其中 | | | 新能源 2 月销量为 39650 辆，同比增长 68.4%，海外 2 月销 | | | 量为 47521 辆，同比增长 15.5%。分品牌来看，长安引力 2 | | | 月销量为 69143 辆；长安启源 2 月交付 7931 辆，长安启源 | | | 累计交付已突破 20 ...