Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the steel industry [5]. Core Insights - Demand is expected to gradually stabilize, while supply-side constraints are anticipated to continue, leading to a potential recovery in the steel industry's fundamentals. If supply policies are implemented, the contraction in supply may accelerate, facilitating a quicker industry upturn [3][4]. Summary by Sections Steel Market Overview - Steel prices have decreased, with the Shanghai rebar price dropping by 20 CNY/ton to 3240 CNY/ton, a decline of 0.61%. The total inventory of steel has increased by 1.70% to 12.7851 million tons [8][12]. - Apparent consumption of five major steel products was 8.0174 million tons, down 0.96% week-on-week but up 28.96% year-on-year [21]. - The production of five major steel products was 8.2317 million tons, an increase of 0.44% week-on-week [12][37]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - Approximately 60% of steel companies are currently operating at a loss, indicating a market-driven supply clearance is beginning to occur [4]. - The construction sector's demand for steel is expected to stabilize, while demand from infrastructure and manufacturing is projected to grow steadily [4]. Profitability and Production Margins - The average gross profit for rebar was 196.9 CNY/ton, down 11.7 CNY/ton from the previous week, while hot-rolled coil profit increased by 2.3 CNY/ton to 46.9 CNY/ton [39]. - The profitability rate of 247 steel companies was 39.39%, a decrease of 1.3% from the previous week [28]. Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with leading technology and product structures, such as Baosteel and Hualing Steel, as well as low-cost firms like Fangda Special Steel and New Steel [4]. - It also highlights the potential of upstream resource companies like Hebei Resources and Erdos, which may benefit from a recovery in demand [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several steel companies, including Hualing Steel, Baosteel, Nanjing Steel, and others, indicating a positive outlook for their performance [2][4]. Core Insights - The report highlights that raw material inventory replenishment is nearly complete, with a focus on changes in real estate policies. It notes that steel production and apparent consumption are stabilizing, with a narrowing year-on-year decline in demand [8][32]. - The report anticipates that steel mill profits may continue to recover due to improved margins from raw material cost reductions and potential easing of real estate regulations [8][32]. Summary by Sections Domestic Steel Market - As of January 30, 2026, steel prices have decreased, with rebar priced at 3,240 CNY/ton, down 20 CNY from the previous week. Hot-rolled and cold-rolled prices also saw declines [15][16]. - The total production of major steel products reached 8.23 million tons, with an increase in inventory levels [8][32]. Profitability Analysis - The report estimates weekly gross margins for rebar, hot-rolled, and cold-rolled steel to have changed by -17 CNY/ton, +3 CNY/ton, and -19 CNY/ton respectively, indicating fluctuations in profitability [8][32]. Production and Inventory - The total inventory of major steel products rose by 222,100 tons to 8.89 million tons, with a slight decrease in steel mill inventory [8][32]. - Apparent consumption of rebar was estimated at 1.764 million tons, reflecting a decrease of 91,200 tons week-on-week [8][32]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends several companies based on their market position: 1. Leading companies in the general steel sector: Hualing Steel, Baosteel, Nanjing Steel 2. Specialty steel sector: Xianglou New Materials, CITIC Special Steel, Fangda Special Steel 3. Pipe manufacturers: Jiuli Special Materials, Youfa Group, Changbao Co. 4. Raw material companies with clear growth: Dazhong Mining (iron ore + lithium) and Fangda Carbon [8][32].

Market Overview - The special steel sector experienced a decline of 0.17% on January 30, with Fushun Special Steel leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4117.95, down 0.96%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14205.89, down 0.66% [1] Stock Performance - Notable stock performances include: - CITIC Special Steel (000708) closed at 16.42, up 3.27% with a trading volume of 326,800 shares and a turnover of 531 million yuan [1] - Fangda Special Steel (600507) closed at 6.48, up 1.09% with a trading volume of 760,700 shares and a turnover of 494 million yuan [1] - Fushun Special Steel (6652009) closed at 6.54, down 4.11% with a trading volume of 1,332,900 shares and a turnover of 867.1 million yuan [2] Capital Flow - The special steel sector saw a net outflow of 196 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net inflow of 159 million yuan [2] - The capital flow for specific stocks includes: - Fangda Special Steel had a net inflow of 19.57 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - CITIC Special Steel experienced a net outflow of 21.09 million yuan from speculative funds [3] - Shagang Co. (002075) had a net outflow of 5.42 million yuan from institutional investors [3]

Market Overview - The special steel sector experienced a decline of 0.39% on January 29, with Changbao Co. leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4157.98, up 0.16%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14300.08, down 0.3% [1] Stock Performance - Notable stock performances in the special steel sector include: - CITIC Special Steel (000708) closed at 15.90, up 1.47% with a trading volume of 265,300 shares and a turnover of 419 million yuan [1] - Fangda Special Steel (600507) closed at 6.41, up 0.94% with a trading volume of 678,000 shares and a turnover of 439 million yuan [1] - Fushun Special Steel (600399) closed at 6.82, up 0.44% with a trading volume of 1,043,200 shares and a turnover of 721 million yuan [1] - Changbao Co. (002478) closed at 9.82, down 4.01% with a trading volume of 541,800 shares and a turnover of 546 million yuan [2] Capital Flow Analysis - The special steel sector saw a net outflow of 82.17 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net inflow of 84.75 million yuan [2] - Detailed capital flow for selected stocks includes: - CITIC Special Steel had a net inflow of 47.09 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - Changbao Co. experienced a net outflow of 21.95 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - Retail investors contributed a net inflow of 50 million yuan to Changbao Co. [3]

Market Performance - The special steel sector increased by 1.53% on January 28, with Jiuli Special Materials leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4151.24, up 0.27%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14342.9, up 0.09% [1] Stock Performance - Jiuli Special Materials (002318) closed at 35.43, up 7.36% with a trading volume of 206,200 shares and a transaction value of 698 million [1] - Other notable performers include: - Taiyuan Iron & Steel (000825) at 5.52, up 2.99% [1] - Fangda Special Steel (600507) at 6.35, up 2.25% [1] - Xining Special Steel (600117) at 2.98, up 1.36% [1] - Conversely, Changbao Co. (002478) and Jinzou Pipeline (002443) saw declines of 0.87% and 1.11%, respectively [1] Capital Flow - The special steel sector experienced a net outflow of 23.98 million from institutional investors and 18.07 million from retail investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 42.05 million [2] - The detailed capital flow for individual stocks indicates that Jiuli Special Materials had a net inflow of 21.80 million from institutional investors [3] - Other stocks with significant net inflows include: - Taiyuan Iron & Steel with 14.52 million [3] - Fangda Special Steel with 12.80 million [3] - Notably, Xining Special Steel had a net inflow of 6.99 million from institutional investors [3]

Market Overview - The special steel sector experienced a decline of 0.74% on January 27, with Fangda Special Steel leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4139.9, up 0.18%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14329.91, up 0.09% [1] Stock Performance - Notable gainers in the special steel sector included: - Jiuli Special Materials (002318) with a closing price of 33.00, up 4.53% [1] - Changbao Co. (002478) with a closing price of 10.32, up 4.45% [1] - Fushun Special Steel (600399) with a closing price of 6.98, up 2.50% [1] - Conversely, Fangda Special Steel (600507) closed at 6.21, down 2.97%, and Taiyuan Iron & Steel (000825) closed at 5.36, down 2.72% [2] Trading Volume and Capital Flow - The total net outflow of main funds in the special steel sector was 207 million yuan, while retail funds saw a net inflow of 80.86 million yuan [2] - The trading volume for Jiuli Special Materials was 153,200 hands, with a transaction amount of 501 million yuan [1] Individual Stock Capital Flow - Capital flow analysis showed: - Zhongxin Special Steel (000708) had a main fund net inflow of 2.51 million yuan, but a net outflow from retail funds of 13.10 million yuan [3] - Fushun Special Steel (600399) had a main fund net outflow of 3.87 million yuan, with a retail net inflow of 3.74 million yuan [3] - Fangda Special Steel (600507) experienced a main fund net outflow of 19.29 million yuan, while retail funds saw a net inflow of 13.44 million yuan [3]

Market Overview - The special steel sector experienced a decline of 1.28% on January 26, with Changbao Co. leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4132.61, down 0.09%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14316.64, down 0.85% [1] Stock Performance - Notable stock performances in the special steel sector included: - Fangda Special Steel: Closed at 6.40, up 2.07% with a trading volume of 494,500 shares and a turnover of 313 million yuan [1] - Changbao Co.: Closed at 9.88, down 3.42% with a trading volume of 397,600 shares and a turnover of 393 million yuan [2] - Xining Special Steel: Closed at 3.01, down 1.31% with a trading volume of 391,400 shares and a turnover of 118 million yuan [1][2] Capital Flow - The special steel sector saw a net outflow of 349 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 379 million yuan [2] - Specific capital flows for selected stocks included: - Fangda Special Steel: Main funds net inflow of 27.06 million yuan, retail net outflow of 10.95 million yuan [3] - Changbao Co.: Main funds net outflow of 60.73 million yuan, retail net inflow of 69.76 million yuan [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several key companies in the steel industry, including Hualing Steel, Baosteel, Nanjing Steel, and others, indicating a positive outlook for their performance [2][3]. Core Insights - The report highlights a tightening security expectation in the steel industry following a serious safety incident at Baogang Steel, which has led to increased scrutiny and potential impacts on production [9]. - It notes that while steel prices have decreased recently, the overall demand-supply dynamics are showing signs of marginal improvement, with steel mills expected to recover profits in the near term [9]. - The report emphasizes the shift towards high-end product exports, suggesting that leading companies will benefit from a transition from scale expansion to quality and efficiency improvements [9]. Summary by Sections Domestic Steel Market - As of January 23, 2026, steel prices have declined, with rebar priced at 3,260 CNY/ton, down 60 CNY from the previous week [15][16]. - The report indicates an increase in production, with total output for major steel products reaching 8.2 million tons, a slight increase from the previous week [9][12]. International Steel Market - The U.S. steel market shows stable prices, with hot-rolled coil prices at 1,050 USD/ton, unchanged from the previous week [27][29]. - European steel prices have seen slight increases, with hot-rolled prices rising to 745 USD/ton [27][29]. Raw Materials and Shipping Market - Domestic iron ore prices are fluctuating, with local prices for iron concentrate around 750 CNY/ton, while imported iron ore prices are showing a downward trend [31][34]. - The report notes that the shipping market has seen an increase, indicating potential cost pressures for raw material imports [31]. Production and Inventory - The report states that as of January 23, 2026, total steel inventory has increased, with social inventory rising by 21,400 tons to 8.6746 million tons [9][12]. - The production of rebar has increased to 1.9955 million tons, reflecting a recovery in output levels [9][12]. Profitability Analysis - The report provides a profitability outlook, indicating that the average gross margins for rebar and hot-rolled steel have shown fluctuations, with rebar margins decreasing by 8 CNY/ton [9][12]. - It suggests that the profitability of steel mills is expected to improve as demand conditions stabilize [9].

Core Viewpoint - The Shenzhen State-Owned Enterprises Shareholder Return Index (970064) closed at 1740.66 points, down 0.25%, with a trading volume of 37.125 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 1.46% [1] Group 1: Index Performance - On the day, 31 constituent stocks rose, with North New Building Materials leading with a 4.99% increase, while 17 stocks fell, with Shanjin International leading the decline at 2.07% [1] - The index's top ten constituent stocks include: - BOE Technology Group (sz000725) with a weight of 9.45%, closing at 4.40 yuan, down 1.35% [1] - Wuliangye Yibin (sz000858) with a weight of 9.34%, closing at 102.76 yuan, down 0.28% [1] - Hikvision (sz002415) with a weight of 7.48%, closing at 32.09 yuan, down 1.56% [1] - XCMG Machinery (sz000425) with a weight of 6.90%, closing at 10.86 yuan, down 1.54% [1] - Weichai Power (sz000338) with a weight of 6.24%, closing at 22.36 yuan, down 0.89% [1] Group 2: Capital Flow - The net outflow of main funds from the index's constituent stocks totaled 872 million yuan, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 1.149 billion yuan [1] - Detailed capital flow for selected stocks includes: - Yuexiu Capital (000987) with a main fund net inflow of 107 million yuan, but retail outflows of 54.4 million yuan [2] - Huazhong Steel (000932) with a main fund net inflow of 85.6 million yuan, but retail outflows of 33.9 million yuan [2] - Yun Aluminum (000807) with a main fund net inflow of 54.8 million yuan, but retail outflows of 68.3 million yuan [2]

Group 1 - The special steel sector saw an increase of 2.06% on January 22, with Sha Steel leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4122.58, up 0.14%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14327.05, up 0.5% [1] - Key stocks in the special steel sector showed significant price increases, with Sha Steel shares rising by 7.18% to close at 5.97 [1] Group 2 - The special steel sector experienced a net inflow of 200 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors saw a net outflow of 134 million yuan [2] - The trading volume for Sha Steel was 1.32 million shares, with a transaction value of 773 million yuan [1][2] - The main fund inflow for Sha Steel was 85.82 million yuan, accounting for 11.10% of its trading volume [3]