Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Market Weight" rating for the building materials industry, indicating that the industry index is expected to perform within ±10% of the market index over the next six months [46]. Core Insights - The building materials industry is experiencing an optimization in supply and demand dynamics due to the "anti-involution" policies, with expectations for price increases in electronic fabrics [2][4]. - The cement sector is anticipated to see a further contraction in total production capacity in 2026, driven by regulatory measures and a potential recovery in real estate sales in key cities [4][39]. - The flat glass market is showing signs of recovery with a slight increase in production and prices, although short-term demand remains weak due to seasonal factors [4][40]. - The photovoltaic glass market is facing challenges with excess supply and ongoing losses, but long-term demand is expected to be supported by the development of new energy bases [4][40]. - The glass fiber industry is in a structural recovery phase, with increasing demand for high-end products driven by advancements in AI and 5G technologies [4][40]. Summary by Sections Cement - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has implemented measures to control cement production capacity, leading to an expected reduction in total capacity in 2026 [4][39]. - Recent data indicates a recovery in real estate sales, which, combined with major infrastructure projects, may improve the supply-demand balance in the cement industry [4][39]. - Recommended stocks include Shangfeng Cement, Taipai Group, and Huaxin Cement, which have favorable fundamentals and high dividend yields [4][39]. Glass and Fiberglass - The flat glass production in 2025 is projected to be 97,591 million weight boxes, a 3% decrease year-on-year, but December 2025 saw a 3.4% increase compared to the previous year [4][40]. - The price of float glass has shown a slight recovery, with expectations for price stabilization due to supply-side adjustments [4][40]. - The fiberglass market is benefiting from increased demand for low-DK glass fabrics, with Taiwanese manufacturers shifting production to meet this demand [4][40]. - Recommended stocks in the fiberglass sector include China Jushi, which is expected to benefit from the structural recovery in the industry [6][40]. Consumer Building Materials - Leading companies like Keshun and Sankeshu have announced price increases due to rising raw material costs, indicating a trend of price stabilization in the industry [6][42]. - The demand for new construction is weakening, but renovation and urban renewal projects are expected to drive growth [6][42]. - Recommended stocks include Beixin Building Materials, Tubaobao, and Sankeshu, which are well-positioned to recover ahead of their peers [6][42].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the building materials industry [5] Core Insights - The report emphasizes the expectation of price increases post-Spring Festival and the potential catalyst from the real estate sector. It highlights that the consumption building materials sector may begin to show fundamentals independent of real estate from 2025-2026, with a focus on the resilience of the real estate market after the Spring Festival [2][7] - The report recommends leading companies in the consumption building materials sector that have independent growth logic and sufficient dividend valuation support, particularly in the waterproof materials sub-sector [5][7] Summary by Sections Building Materials Industry Investment Strategy - The consumption building materials sector is anticipated to benefit from potential macroeconomic improvements, with a focus on the resilience of the real estate market post-Spring Festival. The report highlights the importance of observing second-hand housing transactions for signs of market recovery [7] - Recommended companies include Oriental Yuhong, Beixin Building Materials, Weixing New Materials, and others that are expected to perform well due to their growth strategies and market positions [7] Market Review - From February 2 to February 6, 2026, the building materials sector increased by 0.70%, with specific segments like glass manufacturing rising by 5.32% [10] - The report notes significant individual stock movements, with companies like Hanjian Heshan and Jinjing Technology showing notable weekly gains [17] Cement Industry - The national cement market price decreased by 1% week-on-week, with significant price drops in regions like Henan and Hubei. The average shipment rate for cement companies fell by approximately 8 percentage points [24][25] - The report anticipates a stabilization in cement prices as the market enters a holiday period, with a focus on the execution of production restrictions in 2026 [7][24] Glass Industry - The average price of domestic float glass increased to 1154.49 RMB/ton, reflecting a week-on-week rise of 9.69 RMB/ton. However, demand is expected to weaken as downstream processing plants shut down for the holiday [42] - The report recommends leading companies in the glass sector, including Fuyao Glass and Xinyi Glass, due to their strong market positions and dividend yields [42][43] Fiberglass Industry - The report indicates that the fiberglass market is experiencing price increases, particularly in the electronic yarn segment, driven by tight supply and steady demand [55] - Recommended companies in this sector include China Jushi and Zhongcai Technology, which are expected to benefit from structural demand upgrades [55]

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry and Company Involved - The notes primarily focus on the **electronic fabric** industry and **real estate** market, with specific mentions of companies such as **China Jushi**, **Keshun Co., Ltd.**, **Sankeshu**, **Rabbit Baby**, **Hankao Group**, **Beixin Building Materials**, **Weixing New Materials**, **Oriental Yuhong**, **Qingniao Fire Protection**, **Qiba Group**, and **Xinyi Glass**. Key Points and Arguments 1. **Price Increase in Electronic Fabric** The price of 7628 electronic fabric has increased again, with international composite materials rising by **0.5-0.6 yuan/meter**. The supply-demand dynamics in the industry continue to improve, leading to a tight supply of traditional electronic yarn and fabric, alongside a strong demand for mid-to-high-end products. This trend supports a continued price increase, and the outlook for the fiberglass sector is positive for **2026** [1][1][1]. 2. **Stable Demand in Fiberglass Sector** The demand in sectors such as wind power and thermoplastics remains stable, and the expected impact of new supply in **2026** is limited. The supply-demand balance is anticipated to improve marginally, with a strong recommendation for **China Jushi** and suggestions to pay attention to **International Composite Materials**, **Changhai Co.**, and **China National Materials Technology** [1][1][1]. 3. **Real Estate Market Recovery** In January **2026**, the transaction volume of second-hand houses in major cities (Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Shenzhen) has collectively rebounded, with a **16% month-on-month increase** and a **33% year-on-year increase** in transaction area. The growth in first-tier cities exceeds **20%** year-on-year, supported by ongoing real estate policy adjustments that help stabilize the market [2][2][2]. 4. **Price Recovery in Construction Materials** The real estate downturn has accelerated the clearing of supply in the construction materials industry, leading to a rebound in prices for certain products. Several leading companies have begun to report profit recovery after strategic adjustments over the past 2-3 years. Recommended companies for stable growth include **Sankeshu** and **Rabbit Baby**, with additional attention to **Hankao Group**, **Beixin Building Materials**, **Weixing New Materials**, **Oriental Yuhong**, **Keshun Co.**, and **Qingniao Fire Protection** [2][2][2]. 5. **Opportunities in Float Glass Industry** The float glass industry is facing challenges, with two new cold repair lines added this week, reducing production capacity to approximately **14.9 million tons/day**. The industry is currently experiencing losses, and the pressure from inventory accumulation during the traditional Chinese New Year may accelerate the exit of production capacity. The glass sector is expected to stabilize, with recommendations to focus on **Qiba Group** and **Xinyi Glass** [2][2][2]. Other Important but Potentially Overlooked Content - The overall sentiment in the electronic fabric and construction materials sectors indicates a positive outlook for **2026**, with price increases and demand stability being key themes. - The recovery in the real estate market is seen as a potential catalyst for related industries, suggesting a broader economic recovery may be on the horizon. - The mention of specific companies provides actionable insights for investors looking to capitalize on emerging trends in these sectors [1][2][2].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Hold" [3] Core Insights - In Q4 2025, funds increased their allocation in the cement and glass sectors, while the overall allocation in the building materials sector remains low at 0.51%, with a low allocation of 0.49% [19][23] - The industry shows signs of profit recovery, with leading companies demonstrating resilience [23] - The fund's strategy continues to focus on core industries that counteract internal competition, particularly in waterproofing and glass [41] Fund Holdings Analysis - As of Q4 2025, the fund's allocation in the building materials sector is 0.51%, up by 0.046 percentage points from the previous quarter, indicating a low allocation compared to the overall market [19] - The allocation by sub-sector includes cement at 0.13%, glass at 0.07%, and other materials at 0.02% [23] - The fund increased its holdings in all sub-sectors except for consumer materials, new materials, and glass fibers [23] Individual Stock Performance - The top ten companies by fund holdings as of Q4 2025 include: - 菲利华 (44.5 billion RMB) - 东方雨虹 (22.4 billion RMB) - 三棵树 (20.5 billion RMB) - 中材科技 (16.1 billion RMB) - 海螺水泥 (13.7 billion RMB) [41] - The top ten companies by fund holding percentage include: - 菲利华 (8.68%) - 东方雨虹 (8.61%) - 三棵树 (6.00%) [41] Valuation and Financial Analysis - The report includes a detailed valuation and financial analysis of key companies in the building materials sector, with several companies rated as "Buy" based on their projected earnings and price-to-earnings ratios [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Outperform" for the construction materials sector, indicating a positive outlook compared to the broader market [2]. Core Views - The report highlights a favorable supply-demand dynamic in the electronic fabric market, with price increases expected to continue in 2026, driven by structural adjustments and strong demand for mid-to-high-end products [5][9]. - The real estate market is showing signs of recovery, particularly in major cities, which is anticipated to boost the performance of consumer building materials [5][9]. - The cement industry is entering a seasonal downturn, with a slight decrease in prices and demand, but is expected to stabilize post-Chinese New Year [22][29]. Summary by Sections Cement - The cement market is experiencing a seasonal decline, with average shipment rates around 25%, down approximately 8 percentage points week-on-week [22][24]. - The average price of cement is approximately 347 RMB/ton, reflecting a decrease of 3.2 RMB/ton [22][24]. - Recommendations include companies like Huaxin Cement and Conch Cement, with a focus on potential recovery post-holiday [29]. Glass - The glass market is entering a demand lull, with production capacity decreasing to about 14.89 million tons per day, and inventory levels rising [31][41]. - The average price of float glass has increased to 1,154 RMB/ton, with a week-on-week rise of 10 RMB/ton [31][41]. - Companies to watch include Qibin Group and Xinyi Glass, as they may benefit from the anticipated stabilization in the market [41]. Fiberglass - The electronic fabric prices have increased, with 7628 electronic fabric now priced at 5.1-5.3 RMB/m, indicating a strong market outlook for 2026 [5][9]. - The report recommends China Jushi as a key player in the fiberglass sector, with additional attention on International Composite Materials and Changhai Co., Ltd. [5][9]. Carbon Fiber - Carbon fiber prices are stable, with potential demand growth driven by advancements in commercial aerospace [5][9]. - Companies like Zhongfu Shenying and Guangwei Composites are highlighted for their growth potential in this sector [5][9].

Group 1: Construction Materials - The completion end of construction materials is expected to reach a long-term turning point in 2026, driven by factors such as a narrowing decline in new housing completions, improving second-hand housing transaction volumes, and a significant increase in the stock of homes entering the renovation cycle [1][10][20] - The demand structure has been significantly impacted by economic pressures, leading to a delay in renovation needs, but positive changes are anticipated in the future, with a dual positive shift expected in the industry due to continuous supply contraction [1][21][33] - The glass supply is notably shrinking, approaching a supply-demand balance, with a focus on price elasticity in 2026, highlighting the importance of companies like Qibin Group [1][43] Group 2: Construction Start Materials - Profit recovery in the construction start materials sector is underway, but further policy support is needed for a sustained trend. The demand for construction starts is primarily driven by new real estate projects and infrastructure [2][14] - The cement industry has seen a significant exit of over 160 million tons of actual capacity, leading to a relatively stable price environment and improved profit margins for companies with cost advantages, such as Conch Cement and Huaxin Cement [2][33] Group 3: New Materials - The report emphasizes the potential of electronic yarn, carbon fiber, and TCO glass. The electronic yarn sector is experiencing price increases due to high demand driven by the AI industry [3][17] - Carbon fiber demand is expected to grow rapidly, driven by the wind energy sector and aerospace applications, with companies like Zhongfu Shenying being highlighted for their growth potential [3][20] - TCO glass is entering a commercial application phase, with significant production capacity planned by companies such as BOE Technology and JinkoSolar, indicating a strong future demand for this material [3][23] Group 4: Key Investment Targets - Key investment targets include companies like Sankeshu (603737.SH), Weixing New Materials (002372.SZ), and Rabbit Baby (002043.SZ), with projected earnings per share (EPS) growth and favorable price-to-earnings (PE) ratios indicating potential for investment [6][7] - The report maintains a buy rating for companies like China Jushi (600176.SH) and Zhongfu Shenying (688295.SH), reflecting confidence in their growth prospects in the new materials sector [6][7]

Core Insights - The report indicates that the price of ordinary electronic cloth has exceeded expectations, with significant price increases observed in recent months, suggesting a sustained high demand in the market [12][13] - Shanghai's initiative to purchase second-hand homes for rental purposes is expected to boost the supply of rental housing and stimulate the construction materials market [13][14] - The construction materials industry is currently at a historical valuation low, with potential for recovery as demand stabilizes and supply-side improvements take effect [23][25] Group 1: Price Trends and Market Dynamics - The price of ordinary electronic cloth has seen cumulative increases of 1-1.2 RMB/m due to supply-demand imbalances and rising copper prices, indicating a long-term bullish trend [12] - The Shanghai government has launched a program to acquire second-hand homes for rental purposes, focusing on small-sized units, which is anticipated to enhance the supply of rental properties and invigorate the construction materials sector [13] - Recent data shows a recovery in second-hand home transactions, with significant year-on-year increases, suggesting a potential rebound in the real estate market [14][15] Group 2: Industry Fundamentals and Company Performance - The construction materials sector is experiencing a bottoming out phase, with various sub-sectors like cement and fiberglass showing signs of recovery, supported by supply-side adjustments and improved market conditions [23][25] - The report highlights that leading companies in the consumer building materials segment are demonstrating resilience, with improved revenue growth rates compared to the overall market, indicating strong operational capabilities [29] - Cement prices have recently decreased by 1%, but the overall market is expected to stabilize as companies implement price control measures and benefit from lower coal costs [25][26] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The report suggests focusing on leading companies in the consumer building materials sector, such as Three Trees, Rabbit Baby, and Oriental Yuhong, which are well-positioned to benefit from the ongoing market recovery [23][25] - In the cement industry, companies like Huaxin Cement and Conch Cement are highlighted as potential investment opportunities due to their strong market positions and historical performance [25][26] - The fiberglass sector is also noted for its growth potential, with leading firms like China Jushi and Zhongtai Technology expected to capitalize on increasing demand for high-end electronic cloth [26][28]

建筑材料行业2026年投资策略 重点关注电子布板块，重视第二增长曲线 西南证券研究院 建筑材料团队 2026年2月 核心观点 1 行业观点：传统建材在新建地产需求收缩放缓、存量更新需求逐渐释放等因素交织影响下，有望触底回升，消费建 材受益显著；受益于算力需求爆发，特种玻纤电子布板块景气度较高，看好技术优势突出、具备产能储备的公司； 受益于基建发力，看好基建相关板块投资机会；部分积极转型并具备优质第二增长曲线的公司值得重点关注。 消费建材：2025年，全国固定资产投资(不含农户)48.5万亿元，同比下降3.8%；全国房地产开发投资8.28万亿元， 同比下降17.2%；其中，房屋新开工面积同比下降20.4%至5.88亿平方米，仅为2019年最高值的25.87%，新建房地 产市场对需求的拖累已充分反应。房地产行业进入存量市场，截至2023年中国城镇住宅存量约为335.5亿平方米， 城镇住房套数约3.74亿套，存量房翻新改造需求增长空间广阔。伴随商品房需求刺激政策陆续推出，"止跌回稳"、 "保交楼"等举措有望对商品房竣工和销售情况有所托底；存量市场下二次装修需求持续释放；下游需求由B端转向 C端过程中部分品牌力、渠道 ...

"定制+"渠道作为战略首站，承载着兔宝宝零售增长的核心使命。在行业渠道面临精装截流、电商冲 击、整装锁定的三重绞杀下，兔宝宝跳出传统分销思维，明确提出以"深度定制为核心，渠道广度为支 撑"的发展路径，一方面通过优化终端门店运营，打造绿色环保板材为基石的属地化定制解决方案，提 升单店盈利能力；另一方面加速乡镇市场下沉，计划通过降本增效、扶商助商策略培育"百万级乡镇门 店"，并依托新零售模式实现线上线下流量协同。会上，兔宝宝进一步提出"国内领先、全球标杆"的战 略目标，要求以品牌升级与专业团队锻造为抓手，筑牢规模与品质双提升的根基，同时深化与"定制 +"合作伙伴的资源共享，构建抗风险能力更强的"力量经济"发展模式。 兔宝宝在会上明确以"深度定制为核心，渠道广度为支撑"的发展路径 家具厂渠道：从"材料供应"向"一体化解决方案"转型 家具厂渠道专题会议上，兔宝宝明确了从"材料供应"向"一体化解决方案"转型的清晰路径。会上提 出"向下要更沉、向深要更固、向上要更高"的发展方向，既通过精细化管理与差异化产品矩阵巩固现有 合作，又以"板材+五金"双品牌战略挖掘新价值——五金部件是提升家具产品品质与使用体验的关键所 在，将通 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the building materials industry [10]. Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes increasing allocations to high-quality leading companies in consumer building materials and anticipates price increases in electronic fabrics due to shortages [2][3]. - Consumer building materials are highlighted as a strong investment opportunity due to significant supply exits, with production levels for various materials projected to be at 97% for plastic pipes, 82% for gypsum boards, and 77% for cement in 2024 compared to their peak levels [3]. - The report identifies three main lines for 2026: the stock chain, the African chain, and the AI chain, suggesting a shift in demand dynamics and growth opportunities in these areas [7]. Summary by Sections Basic Situation - Cement shipments have seen a slight month-on-month increase, while glass inventory continues to decline [6]. - In late January, cement demand showed slight recovery due to warmer weather in southern regions, with a shipment rate of approximately 32% in key domestic areas, up by 3 percentage points [6][23]. Outlook for 2026 - The report suggests focusing on three main lines: stock chain, African chain, and AI chain. The stock chain is expected to see a qualitative change in demand, with home renovation demand projected to rise from 50% to nearly 70% by 2030 [7]. - The African chain highlights undervalued growth opportunities in the African market, with recommendations for leading companies such as Keda Manufacturing and Huaxin Cement [7]. - The AI chain focuses on the upgrade of special electronic fabrics, with significant opportunities for domestic replacements in low CTE and low-Dk products [7]. Electronic Fabrics - The report is optimistic about price increases in electronic fabrics due to dual demand dynamics, with AI electronic fabrics benefiting from high demand and ordinary electronic fabrics facing supply constraints [5]. - The shortage of weaving machines is expected to continue, leading to sustained price increases [5]. Cement and Glass Market - The report notes that the national average price of cement is 349.84 yuan per ton, with a month-on-month decrease of 2.74 yuan [24]. - The national average price of glass is reported at 63.11 yuan per weight box, with a slight month-on-month increase of 0.50 yuan [36].