Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the coal mining industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector [4]. Core Insights - The U.S. coal energy agenda is accelerating, with Republican lawmakers proposing a "Coal Week" to bolster coal production and keep aging coal-fired power plants operational. This aligns with federal efforts to revitalize the coal industry, including plans to open 13 million acres of federal land for coal leasing and allocate approximately $625 million for restarting or modernizing coal power units [2][3]. - Competitive coal mining rights auctions are being held in Alabama, Montana, and Utah, serving as indicators of industry demand. However, early auction activities show mixed interest, with some land receiving minimal bids [3]. - The report highlights several key companies for investment, including Yancoal Energy, Jinneng Holding, and China Shenhua Energy, among others, emphasizing their performance resilience and potential for growth [6]. Summary by Sections Coal Prices - Coal prices have seen slight adjustments, with Newcastle port coal priced at $110.65 per ton, down by $0.8 from the previous week, and European ARA port coal at $96 per ton, down by $1.77 [31]. Market Trends - The report notes a marginal increase in coal power demand, indicating a potential recovery in the coal sector as energy needs shift [34]. Key Companies - Recommended stocks include: - China Qinfa (Buy) with projected EPS of 0.20 in 2024 - Jiangxi Tungsten (Buy) with projected EPS of -0.28 in 2024 - China Shenhua (Buy) with projected EPS of 2.95 in 2024 - Jinneng Holding (Buy) with projected EPS of 1.68 in 2024 - Yancoal Energy (Buy) with projected EPS of 1.44 in 2024 [6].

Report Industry Investment Rating - The investment rating for the coal mining industry is "Bullish" [2] Report's Core View - Currently at the beginning of a new upward cycle in the coal economy, with fundamental and policy factors in resonance, it's a good time to allocate coal stocks on dips. The coal supply bottleneck is expected to last until the 15th Five - Year Plan. With the westward shift of coal layout and rising costs, coal prices are likely to remain high. The coal sector is a high - performance, high - cash, and high - dividend asset, and the team continues to be bullish on the coal sector and suggests investors focus on the allocation opportunities at the current stage [3][11][12] Summary by Directory I. This Week's Core View and Key Focus - **Core View**: In the current coal economic cycle, supply is tightening due to policies like "over - production inspection", and demand is expected to pick up with the "peak winter" approaching. Coal prices are expected to rise in a volatile manner. The underlying investment logic of coal capacity shortage remains unchanged, and coal stocks are of high cost - effectiveness. Suggest investors allocate on dips [3][11] - **Investment Suggestions**: Focus on stable companies like China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal Industry; oversold and high - elasticity companies like Yankuang Energy; and high - quality coking coal companies like Lu'an Environmental Energy. Also, pay attention to Huayang Co., Ltd., Yankuang Australia, etc. [3][12] - **Key Focus**: In the first three quarters, the national raw coal output was 3.57 billion tons, a 2.0% year - on - year increase. In September, the electricity consumption increased by 4.5% year - on - year. Australia's coal exports in the first three quarters of 2025 are expected to decline by 5.3% year - on - year [13] II. This Week's Performance of Coal Sector and Individual Stocks - The coal sector rose 1.46% this week, underperforming the broader market. The CSI 300 rose 3.24% to 4660.68. The top three performing sectors were communication, electronics, and machinery [14] - The thermal coal, coking coal, and coke sectors rose 1.68%, 0.89%, and 1.08% respectively [16] - The top three gainers in the coal mining and washing sector were Shanghai Energy (5.65%), Xinji Energy (4.72%), and Pingdingshan Tianan Coal Mining Co., Ltd. (3.83%) [19] III. Coal Price Tracking - **Coal Price Index**: As of October 24, the comprehensive transaction price of CCTD Qinhuangdao thermal coal (Q5500) was 691.0 yuan/ton, up 6.0 yuan/ton week - on - week. The comprehensive average price index of Bohai Rim thermal coal (Q5500K) was 684.0 yuan/ton, up 4.0 yuan/ton week - on - week. The annual long - term contract price of CCTD Qinhuangdao thermal coal (Q5500) was 676.0 yuan/ton, up 2.0 yuan/ton month - on - month [24] - **Thermal Coal Price**: At Qinhuangdao Port, the market price of Shanxi - produced thermal coal (Q5500) was 768 yuan/ton on October 25, up 28 yuan/ton week - on - week. In production areas, prices in Shaanxi, Inner Mongolia, and Datong also increased. Internationally, some prices rose while others fell [30] - **Coking Coal Price**: At ports like Jingtang Port and Lianyungang, and in production areas like Linfen and Yanzhou, coking coal prices increased. The CIF price of Australian Peak Downs hard coking coal in China also rose [32] - **Anthracite and Pulverized Coal Price**: The car - loading price of Jiaozuo anthracite and the car - loading prices of pulverized coal in Changzhi and Yangquan increased [40] IV. Coal Supply and Demand Tracking - **Coal Mine Capacity Utilization**: As of October 24, the capacity utilization rate of sample thermal coal mines was 91%, down 0.7 percentage points week - on - week, and that of sample coking coal mines was 85.06%, down 2.3 percentage points week - on - week [45] - **Import Coal Price Difference**: As of October 24, the price difference of 5000 - kcal and 4000 - kcal thermal coal between domestic and international markets decreased [43] - **Coal - fired Power Consumption and Inventory**: Inland 17 provinces saw an increase in daily coal consumption and inventory, while coastal 8 provinces saw a decrease in daily consumption and an increase in inventory [46] - **Downstream Metallurgical Demand**: The Myspic composite steel price index rose, the price of Tangshan - produced primary metallurgical coke remained flat, the blast furnace operating rate increased, the average profit per ton of coke for independent coking enterprises decreased, the profit per ton of steel for blast furnaces increased, the iron - scrap price difference increased, and the scrap consumption ratio of pure blast furnace enterprises increased [64][65] - **Downstream Chemical and Building Materials Demand**: The prices of urea in some regions changed, the national methanol price index fell, the national ethylene glycol price index rose, the national acetic acid price index fell, the national synthetic ammonia price index rose, the national cement price index fell, the weekly coal consumption in the chemical industry decreased, the cement clinker capacity utilization rate increased, and the float glass operating rate remained flat [68][72][74] V. Coal Inventory Situation - **Thermal Coal Inventory**: Qinhuangdao Port's coal inventory increased, the inventory of 55 ports' thermal coal decreased, and the inventory of sample mines' thermal coal decreased [88] - **Coking Coal Inventory**: The production area's coking coal inventory decreased, the port's coking coal inventory increased, the coking enterprises' coking coal inventory increased, and the steel mills' coking coal inventory decreased [89] - **Coke Inventory**: The coking enterprises' coke inventory decreased, the port's coke inventory increased, and the steel mills' coke inventory decreased [91] VI. Coal Transportation Situation - **International and Domestic Coal Transportation**: As of October 24, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) was 1991.0 points, down 78.0 points week - on - week. The average daily coal shipment volume of the Datong - Qinhuangdao Railway this week was 100.2 tons, up 0.18 tons week - on - week [104] - **Cargo - to - Ship Ratio of Four Major Ports in the Bohai Rim**: As of October 24, the inventory of four major ports in the Bohai Rim was 1430.9 tons, down 22.10 tons week - on - week, the number of anchored ships was 100, up 8 week - on - week, and the cargo - to - ship ratio was 14.3, down 1.48 week - on - week [102] VII. Weather Situation - As of October 24, the Three Gorges outflow was 11900 cubic meters per second, up 19.36% week - on - week. In the next 10 days, there will be significant precipitation in many regions, and some areas will experience more precipitation than usual. In the long - term, there will also be precipitation in some regions, and the temperature in some areas will be higher or lower than normal [109] VIII. Valuation Table and Key Announcements of Listed Companies - **Valuation Table**: The table shows the closing prices, net profits attributable to the parent company, EPS, and PE ratios of multiple listed coal companies from 2024 to 2027 [110] - **Key Announcements**: This week, companies such as Huaihe Energy, Shanxi Coking Coal, and China Shenhua made announcements regarding asset acquisitions, share pledge releases, profit distributions, and project commissioning [111][113][114]

证券研究报告 公司研究 [Table_ReportType] 公司点评报告 [Table_StockAndRank] 电投能源(002128.SZ) 投资评级 买入 上次评级 买入 高升：煤炭钢铁行业首席分析师 执业编号：S1500524100002 邮箱：gaosheng@cindasc.com 李睿：煤炭钢铁行业分析师 执业编号：S1500525040002 邮箱：lirui@cindasc.com 刘波： 煤炭钢铁行业分析师 执业编号：S1500525070001 邮箱：liubo1@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDASECURITIESCO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲 127 号 金隅大厦 B 座 邮编：100031 [Table_Title] 煤炭业绩稳健，电解铝引领成长 | 主要财务指标 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 26,846 | 29,859 | 28,825 | 29,227 | 29,796 | | ...

Group 1 - The independent director Han Fang of Electric Power Investment Energy is unreachable, but the company asserts that this will not affect the board's operations or the company's management [1][3] - The company has confirmed that all other board members are functioning normally, and the board will not fall below the legal minimum number of members [3] - The company will continue to monitor the situation and fulfill disclosure obligations as required [3] Group 2 - For the third quarter of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 7.939 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.34%, while net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 8.52% to 1.331 billion yuan [4] - Year-to-date revenue reached 22.403 billion yuan, up 2.72%, with net profit attributable to shareholders at 4.118 billion yuan, down 6.40% [4] - The company's cash balance at the end of the period was 4.276 billion yuan, an increase of 43.50% from the beginning of the year, primarily due to increased collections from coal and aluminum sales [4] Group 3 - The company faced profit pressure due to a significant increase in operating expenses, with non-operating expenses rising by 520.17% mainly due to estimated carbon emission trading [5] - Income tax expenses increased by 21.10% due to changes in the western region's encouraged industry directory, resulting in the parent company no longer enjoying tax incentives [5]

Core Viewpoint - In Q3 2025, the company reported a revenue of 22.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.7%, while net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 6.4% to 4.1 billion yuan, indicating a mixed performance amid stable coal prices and rising aluminum prices [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 22.4 billion yuan, with a net profit of 4.1 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline in profitability [1] - In Q3 2025, the company recorded a revenue of 7.9 billion yuan, up 3% year-on-year and 15% quarter-on-quarter, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.3 billion yuan, down 9% year-on-year but up 8% quarter-on-quarter [1] Group 2: Business Segments - In the coal and aluminum business, stable coal prices and rising aluminum prices are expected to contribute positively to profits, with the price of coal in Inner Mongolia at 346 yuan/ton, down 7% year-on-year, while aluminum prices increased by 6% year-on-year [2] - The power generation business is expected to maintain year-on-year growth, with coal power and renewable energy accounting for 4.3% and 12.5% of gross profit structure respectively [2] Group 3: Cost Management - The company has effectively controlled operating costs, achieving an operating cost of 5.1 billion yuan in Q3 2025, which remained stable year-on-year, and a gross margin of 36%, up 2 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The company plans to acquire 100% equity of Baiyinhu Coal Power, which will enhance its integrated operations in coal, power, and aluminum [3] Group 4: Future Outlook - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 30.4 billion, 35.6 billion, and 37.3 billion yuan respectively, with net profits expected to be 5.2 billion, 5.8 billion, and 6.2 billion yuan, indicating a stable growth trajectory [4] - The company maintains a "buy" rating based on the expected growth in coal, aluminum, and electricity businesses [4]

Core Points - The independent director of Electric Power Investment Energy, Han Fang, has been unreachable as of October 23, raising concerns about his status [1] - The company confirmed that all other board members, including three independent directors, are functioning normally, ensuring that the board remains compliant with legal requirements [1] - Electric Power Investment Energy stated that the ongoing operations and management of the company are unaffected by Han Fang's absence [1] Company Information - Han Fang, aged 62, holds a doctoral degree in engineering and is currently the general manager of Xinjiang Baoming Mining Co., Ltd [1] - He serves on multiple committees within the board, including the Strategy and Investment Committee, Nomination Committee, and Compensation and Assessment Committee, but does not engage in daily operational management [1] - The company will continue to monitor the situation and fulfill its information disclosure obligations as required [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Electric Power Investment Energy (002128.SZ), announced that it has been unable to contact independent director Han Fang, who has not responded to multiple attempts via phone and WeChat, raising concerns about his absence [2]. Group 1: Company Management - Han Fang, aged 62, holds a doctoral degree in engineering and is currently the general manager of Xinjiang Baoming Mining Co., Ltd. He serves on several committees within the board but does not participate in daily operations [2]. - Despite Han Fang's absence, the company confirmed that the remaining 10 board members, including 3 independent directors, are fulfilling their duties, ensuring that the board remains above the legal minimum number of members [2]. - The company stated that its operations and management are functioning normally, and Han Fang's absence will not impact the board's operations or the company's business [2]. Group 2: Information Disclosure - The company will continue to monitor the situation and fulfill its information disclosure obligations as required by regulations [2]. - The company has reminded investors to make rational investment decisions and to be aware of potential risks [2].

Group 1 - The coal sector is regaining attention due to improved supply-demand dynamics and strong cash flow, making it a potential target for "high-low cut" funds [1] - Coal prices and indices have performed well since October, driven by supply constraints from production checks and increased coal demand due to temperature fluctuations [2] - The coal sector is currently undervalued, with a demand for price recovery, particularly for companies like Yanzhou Coal Mining and Jinneng Holding [2] Group 2 - Future coal inventory demand is expected to grow, with limited supply increases, leading to a strong coal price outlook for Q4 [3] - The coal sector is projected to see renewed market interest, particularly in coal, banking, and agriculture, as these sectors are expected to perform well in Q4 [4] - The investment value of leading coal companies is highlighted due to their high dividends and strong cash flow, with a focus on companies like China Shenhua and Shanxi Coking Coal [5] Group 3 - The target price for thermal coal has been raised to 750-800 RMB/ton due to sustained demand and supply constraints [6] - The likelihood of a "La Niña" phenomenon this winter could lead to increased natural gas prices in Europe and Asia, prompting interest in natural gas-related companies [8]

Macro Highlights - The main goals for the "14th Five-Year Plan" period include significant achievements in high-quality development, substantial improvement in technological self-reliance, breakthroughs in comprehensive reforms, enhanced social civilization, improved quality of life, major progress in building a beautiful China, and a more solid national security barrier [1] - By 2035, the aim is to significantly elevate China's economic, technological, defense, and comprehensive national strength, with per capita GDP reaching the level of moderately developed countries, leading to a happier and better life for the people and basic realization of socialist modernization [1] Trade Relations - The Ministry of Commerce announced that a Chinese delegation led by Vice Premier He Lifeng will engage in economic and trade consultations with the U.S. in Malaysia from October 24 to 27, focusing on important issues in Sino-U.S. economic relations [1] EU Sanctions Response - The Ministry of Commerce expressed strong dissatisfaction and firm opposition to the EU's decision to sanction Chinese companies, including large oil refineries and traders, during the 19th round of sanctions against Russia, emphasizing the need to protect the legitimate rights and interests of Chinese enterprises [2] State-Owned Enterprises Planning - The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission held a meeting to discuss the "14th Five-Year Plan" for central enterprises, emphasizing the need to align with the strategic mission assigned by the Party Central Committee and to enhance core functions and competitiveness [3] - The meeting highlighted the importance of optimizing layout and structural adjustments in line with national needs and industry trends, and improving the quality of planning through thorough research and unified thinking [3] Foreign Exchange Management - The Deputy Director of the State Administration of Foreign Exchange encouraged the implementation of innovative and integrated exploratory policies in Shanghai, focusing on the use of AI and big data to enhance foreign exchange services [4] - The aim is to improve the cross-border financial service capabilities of Shanghai while balancing financial openness and security [4] Company News - Huagong Technology reported a 40.92% year-on-year increase in net profit for the first three quarters and is planning to issue H-shares for listing in Hong Kong [8] - Yangjie Technology terminated its acquisition of 100% equity in Better Electronics [8] - Xinda Securities received approval for the issuance of up to 10 billion yuan in technology innovation corporate bonds [8] - Shuangliang Energy plans to raise no more than 1.292 billion yuan for projects related to zero-carbon intelligent manufacturing [8] - New Lai Materials' subsidiary plans to invest 2 billion yuan in semiconductor core component projects [8] - Chuanfa Longmang's subsidiary intends to invest 366 million yuan in a 100,000 tons/year lithium dihydrogen phosphate project [8] - Steel Research High-tech plans to establish a subsidiary and new industrial base in Saudi Arabia [8] - Aote Electronics intends to terminate the smart integration project for intelligent outlets [8] - Shengyi Electronics expects a year-on-year net profit increase of 476% to 519% for the first three quarters [8] - Other companies reported significant year-on-year net profit growth, including Tianeng Heavy Industry (1359.03%), Te Yi Pharmaceutical (985.18%), and Zhuanlei Technology (598.09%) [8][9]

Group 1 - The board meeting of Inner Mongolia Electric Power Investment Energy Co., Ltd. was held on October 23, 2025, via communication methods [2][3] - A total of 11 directors were supposed to attend, with 10 participating and voting, while one independent director was unreachable [3] - The meeting was convened by the chairman and party secretary Wang Weiguang [4] Group 2 - The board reviewed the proposal regarding the company's Q3 2025 report, which was published on the same day in various financial newspapers and websites [6] - The proposal was approved by the audit committee [7] - The voting result showed unanimous approval from the 10 participating directors, with no votes against or abstentions [8] Group 3 - The meeting resolutions and the audit committee's seventh meeting resolutions are available for review [9]