Market Performance - The market experienced a slight increase with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.1%, marking an 8-day consecutive gain [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.54%, while the ChiNext Index rose by 0.14% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 2.16 trillion yuan, an increase of 235.7 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Sector Highlights - The commercial aerospace sector saw a significant surge, with companies like Shenjian Co., Ltd. (002361) achieving a 7-day consecutive rise and China Satellite (600118) recording a 3-day consecutive increase [1] - The lithium battery supply chain strengthened, with Tianji Co., Ltd. (002759) achieving 3 gains in 4 days, and other companies like Fulu Technology (000973) and Fengyuan Co., Ltd. (002805) hitting the daily limit [1] - The Hainan Free Trade Zone concept remained active, with Hainan Development (002163) achieving 5 gains in 6 days [1] - The Fujian sector saw localized gains, with Xiamen International Trade (600755) achieving 3 consecutive gains [1] Declining Sectors - The paper, liquor, and computing hardware sectors experienced notable declines, with the computing hardware concept showing weakness, particularly Changguang Huaxin, which fell over 11% [1]

Group 1 - The lithium battery industry chain stocks experienced a collective rise on the 26th, with Yongxing Materials hitting the daily limit, Tianhua New Energy and Zhongkuang Resources increasing by approximately 8%, and companies like Rongjie Co. and BYD rising over 5% [1] - Lithium carbonate futures prices broke through 130,000 yuan/ton, reaching a new high since November 2023 [1] - Major manufacturers of lithium iron phosphate are reportedly planning a collective price adjustment in January 2026, influenced by rising lithium carbonate raw material prices, improving downstream demand, and product sales prices remaining below cost [1] Group 2 - Institutions predict that lithium carbonate prices will continue to fluctuate at high levels due to unclear supply disturbance expectations, high mining prices, and moderate improvements in downstream demand [1] - In the medium to long term, lithium mines are considered the most valuable and elastic targets in the electric vehicle industry chain and energy storage [1]

Group 1 - A500ETF Southern (159352) has seen a 0.65% increase, marking a six-day consecutive rise, with a trading volume of 7.878 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 17.12% [1] - The CSI A500 Index, which the A500ETF closely tracks, rose by 0.60%, with several constituent stocks, including Yongxing Materials and Enjie Co., each increasing by 10% [1] - The CSI A500 Index is recognized as a "barometer of China's new productive forces," covering approximately 90 tertiary industries and focusing on industry leaders and ESG criteria [1] Group 2 - Listed companies in China have accelerated investments in innovation, with a total R&D expenditure of 1.16 trillion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, marking three consecutive years of over 1 trillion yuan in R&D spending [2] - The A-share market is entering a critical window for cross-year layout, with structural opportunities expected to align with policy guidance and industry prosperity [2] - A500ETF Southern (159352) offers a low management fee of 0.15% and a custody fee of 0.05%, providing a high-precision, low-cost investment channel [2]

来源：上海证券报·中国证券网 上证报中国证券网讯 12月26日早盘，有色金属板块震荡走高。截至9时40分，永兴材料、宝钛股份涨超 7%，湖南白银、国城矿业、白银有色涨逾5%。 | 4-CRT | 名称 | | | 新疆% J | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 002756 永兴材料 | | | 54.32 | 7.65 | 3.86 | | 600456 | 宝钛股份 | 1 | 39.47 | 7.28 | 2.68 | | 002716 | 湖南白银 | 章 | 6.84 | 5.56 | 0.36 | | 000688 | 国城矿业 | 1 | 27.94 | 5.51 | 1.46 | | 601212 白银有色 | | 1 | 5.90 | 5.17 | 0.29 | | 002466 天齐键业 | | I | 58.20 | 4.81 | 2.67 | | 002738 | 中矿资源 | | 77.69 | 4.63 | 3.44 | | 600362 江西铜水 | | 1 | 45.91 | 4.53 | 1.99 | 数据来源：choice ...

Market Overview - The market experienced a high opening followed by a decline, with all three major indices turning negative during the session. The Shanghai and Shenzhen markets saw a half-day trading volume of 1.45 trillion, a significant increase of 251.3 billion compared to the previous trading day. Over 3,900 stocks in the market declined [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.19%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.17%, and the ChiNext Index decreased by 0.15% [1] Sector Performance - The lithium battery supply chain showed strong performance, with Tianji Co. achieving three consecutive trading limits in four days, and several other stocks like Hongyuan Pharmaceutical and Yongxing Materials hitting their daily limits [1] - The commercial aerospace sector remained active, with Shenjian Co. achieving seven consecutive trading limits and Jiuding New Materials achieving four consecutive limits [1] - The photovoltaic sector saw partial gains, with stocks like GCL-Poly and Yijing Photovoltaic hitting their daily limits [1] - The Hainan Free Trade Zone concept stocks were also active, with Hainan Development achieving five limits in six days [1] - In contrast, the computing hardware sector showed weakness, with Changguang Huaxin dropping over 10% [1] Lithium Market Insights - The main contract for lithium carbonate surged past 130,000, increasing by over 8% during the day, marking a new high since November 2023. The market outlook for lithium prices remains optimistic due to recovering quarterly earnings from lithium companies and increasing demand from new energy vehicles [3] - The China Nonferrous Metals Industry Association's lithium division indicated that lithium futures prices are expected to gradually rise by November 2025, with increased volatility anticipated [3] Hainan Free Trade Zone Developments - The Hainan Free Trade Port officially commenced its first week of full island closure, with customs reporting over 400 million yuan in "zero tariff" imports and over 20 million yuan in domestic processing goods exempt from tariffs [5] - The duty-free shopping market in Hainan saw a surge, with shopping amounts reaching 1.1 billion yuan and 165,000 shoppers during the week of December 18-24 [5] Photovoltaic Sector Developments - Four leading silicon wafer companies significantly raised their prices on December 25, with average increases reaching 12%. This price hike is attributed to substantial increases in upstream silicon material costs [9][20] Investment Trends - UBS Wealth Management forecasts that the Chinese stock market will continue to have upward potential, driven by advanced manufacturing and technology sectors. The report highlights that AI and technology are key growth drivers, with expectations for significant earnings growth in the Hang Seng Technology Index by 2026 [30] - The National Development and Reform Commission announced that the National Venture Capital Guidance Fund will increase investments in early-stage projects in sectors such as integrated circuits, artificial intelligence, aerospace, and low-altitude economy [31]

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a sharp pullback after an initial rise, with all three major indices turning negative during the session. The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.45 trillion, a significant increase of 251.3 billion compared to the previous trading day. Over 3,900 stocks in the market declined [1]. Sector Performance - The lithium battery industry chain showed rapid strength, with Tianji Co. achieving three consecutive trading limits in four days. Other stocks such as Hongyuan Pharmaceutical and Yongxing Materials also hit the daily limit [2]. - The commercial aerospace concept remained active, with Shenjian Co. achieving seven consecutive trading limits [2]. - New materials stocks saw four consecutive trading limits, and Jiayuan Technology reached the daily limit. The photovoltaic sector experienced localized gains, with companies like GCL-Poly Energy and Yijing Photovoltaic hitting the daily limit. The Hainan Free Trade Zone concept was also active, with Hainan Development achieving five trading limits in six days [3]. Declining Sectors - The computing hardware concept showed weakness, with Changguang Huaxin dropping over 10%. By the end of the trading session, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.19%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.17%, and the ChiNext Index decreased by 0.15% [4].

12月26日，有色狂欢！数据显示，截至11时20分，有色矿业ETF招商(159690)放量涨3.09%，成分股永兴 材料涨停封板、江西铜业、中矿资源、铜陵有色、云南铜业、洛阳钼业涨幅居前！ | 有色矿业ETF招商 1 のつＥ | | 159690 +0.058 +3.09% | | --- | --- | --- | | SZSE CNY 11:19:42 交易中 | | / 8 + | | 除中通光 | 招商中证有色金属矿业主题ETF | | | 文由 100.10% 120日 | | 67.39% | | 5日 | 5.80% 250日 | 92.15% | | 20日 | 11.21% 52周高 | 1.92 | | 60日 | 25.08% 52周低 | 0.92 | 分析指出，近期有色金属板块持续走强，主要受三重因素共同驱动：一是宏观预期持续改善，全球主要 经济体制造业景气度有所回暖，叠加国内稳增长政策逐步落地，提振工业金属需求预期； 二是供应端扰动支撑价格，海外主要矿山生产干扰事件频发，铜、铝等品种供给趋紧预期强化； 三是新能源与新兴领域需求结构性增长，锂、钴等能源金属在电池、储能等产业长期需求支 ...

有色矿业ETF招商（159690）紧密跟踪有色矿业指数，集中投资于拥有上游矿产资源的企业，包括北方 稀土、紫金矿业、洛阳钼业、华友钴业、中国铝业、山东黄金等拥有大量资源储量的公司。截至最新收 盘日，有色矿业指数年内涨幅达96.03%，同期有色金属行业指数涨幅87.05%，相比同类指数锐度更 强。 华龙证券认为，黄金与长期美债实际利率的负相关框架解释力逐步弱化，其背后是美元及美国信用的弱 化，黄金作为避险资产的性质得到加强。工业金属方面，市场对2026年中国铜需求较乐观，预期将保持 一定韧性，看好2026年以铜为代表的工业金属表现。 东方证券认为，金铜铝铁权益端涨幅明显滞后商品端，板块对应明年估值也处于较低水平。随着后续商 品价格持续新高，市场对金铜铝铁中期价格上行预期有望不断强化，上周短期波动后，权益板块有望在 需求推动下维持中期上涨，可积极关注相关板块的投资机会。 格隆汇12月26日｜商品价格全面爆发！12月26日，伦敦现银日内突破75美元/盎司，再创历史新高；国 际铜连续主力合约日内涨4%，报89160元。 有色矿业ETF招商（159690）一度涨超4%，盘中刷新上市以来新高，成份股永兴材料、江西铜业涨 ...

Core Insights - Yichun City Natural Resources Bureau announced the cancellation of 27 mining rights, primarily affecting ceramic clay and limestone, signaling stricter regulations and potential long-term upgrades in the lithium resource sector [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Overview - The cancellation of mining licenses is expected to have a limited short-term impact on lithium carbonate supply, as the licenses had already expired [1][2]. - The Yichun region is a significant source of lithium resources, as lithium-bearing minerals often accompany the listed mining types, indicating that any changes in mining rights could affect supply expectations [2]. Group 2: Regulatory Environment - Existing mining operations, especially those classified under "ceramic clay," will face stricter compliance reviews, potentially interrupting production due to procedural flaws [2]. - The approval process for new mining projects is likely to be delayed due to environmental regulations and changes in mining rights [2]. Group 3: Cost Implications - The move towards regulated development will increase costs related to environmental protection and technological upgrades, raising the production cost baseline for lithium [2][4]. Group 4: Market Dynamics - The elimination of non-compliant projects may accelerate industry consolidation, allowing compliant leading companies to increase their market share [3]. - The scarcity of resources is expected to strengthen price support, leading to an upward adjustment in lithium price baselines [4]. Group 5: Investment Strategy - Companies with complete mining rights and environmental compliance, as well as those with integrated "resource + smelting" operations, are recommended for investment consideration, such as Yongxing Materials, Tianqi Lithium, and Ganfeng Lithium [7].

Group 1: Market Overview - On December 26, the A-share market opened mixed, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.05%, the Shenzhen Component up 0.06%, and the ChiNext Index down 0.21%. By the time of reporting, the Shanghai Composite Index had turned positive, and the ChiNext Index was also expected to achieve an eight-day winning streak [1]. - Various sectors such as high send-out, Hainan Free Trade Port, photovoltaic glass, and lithium mining stocks were performing strongly, while sectors like computing power experienced a pullback [2]. Group 2: Lithium Mining Sector - The lithium mining index showed strong performance on December 26, with stocks like Tianhua New Energy, Yongxing Materials, Dazhong Mining, Guocheng Mining, and Jinyuan Co. all rising over 5% [3]. - Lithium carbonate futures prices broke through 130,000 yuan per ton, reaching a new high for the year on December 26 [4]. - Analysts noted that the cancellation of mining rights in Yichun and the delayed resumption of lithium mining by CATL have tightened supply. Despite facing short-term pullback pressures, the supply-demand dynamics are expected to support a medium-term price uptrend through 2026 [5]. Group 3: Automotive Sector - The automotive sector saw significant gains on December 26, with BYD rising over 5%, and other companies like Great Wall Motors, Jinlong Automotive, and Haima Automotive also showing notable increases. BYD's stock price exceeded 100 yuan, reaching a high of 101.45 yuan per share, marking a new high in over a month [6]. Group 4: Notable Stock Movements - Baida Qiancheng resumed trading on December 26, hitting a 20% limit up after being suspended since December 16, 2025, due to significant matters [7]. - Baida Qiancheng plans to acquire 100% of Xiamen Zhonglian Century Co., Ltd. through a combination of share issuance and cash payment, along with raising funds [8]. - Victory Energy achieved an 11-day limit up streak, with its stock price reaching 42.10 yuan per share, setting a new high. Other stocks like Jiamei Packaging and Tianji Co. also experienced consecutive limit up days [8].