电子板块：Q1 业绩陆续发布，关注上半年业绩增长确定性方向。受到 Ai 需求拉货持续旺盛、消费电子国补及汽车销 量增长的带动，电子板块一季度业绩淡季不淡，多个细分板块公司业绩超预期，如 AI-PCB、算力芯片、SOC 芯片、苹 果产业链、CIS 芯片、家电芯片等。AI-PCB 方向重点受益的胜宏科技、沪电股份一季度业绩大幅增长，其中胜宏科技 指引二季度业绩环比一季度增长不低于 30%。SOC 芯片重点公司瑞芯微一季度利润同比增长 209%，恒玄科技一季度净 利润同比增长同比增长 590%，还有其他相关公司也表现亮眼。苹果链龙头立讯精密一季度营收同比增长 17.9%， 净 利润同比增长 23.1%，并指引上半年净利润同比增长 20-25%，苹果链公司蓝特光学、东山精密、蓝思科技等一季度业 绩也实现了快速增长。CIS 芯片重点公司思特威一季度业绩同比增长 1264%。我们研判这些方向二季度业绩高增长有 望持续，建议继续重点关注。台积电在 2025 年北美技术研讨会上透露，公司有望在今年下半年开始大规模生产 N2（2nm 级）芯片，这是首个依赖环栅（GAA）纳米片晶体管的生产技术，与 N3E 相比，N2 性能提升 ...

事件 4 月 28 日公司发布 2025 年一季报，实现营收 17.82 亿元，环比 +3.62%、同比-5.76%；归母净利润为 0.83 亿元，环比+155.07%、 同比+4.95%；扣非归母净利润为 0.78 亿元，环比大幅增长，同比 +3.89%。 点评 业绩符合预期，产品价格整体上行。考虑氧化镨钕、钨、钼等产 品 1Q25 均价环比分别+3.13%/+0.55%/-5.02%，主要下游景气度良 好，公司 1Q25 毛利和毛利率分别环比+4.96%、+0.22pct 至 2.96 亿元、16.61%；因而 1Q25 公司扣非净利润实现环比显著增长。 降本增效推进，资本结构维持良好水平。1Q25 公司期间费用环比 -26.49%至 1.97 亿元，期间费率环比-4.53pct 至 11.05%；其中， 销售费用、销售费率分别环比+12.00%、+0.12pct 至 0.28 亿元、 1.57%。1Q25 公司管理费用环比-22.22%至 0.84 亿元。公司管理费 用水平有所下降，表明公司降本增效工作持续推进。1Q25 末公司 资产负债率为 41.95%，环比/同比分别-0.73pct/+0.54pc ...

经历关税的恐慌性暴跌后，美股正面临技术性反弹与长期基本面压力的博弈。即便一些技术指标显示超跌，但三个核 心因素仍压制美股反转的可能性： 第一，关税政策冲击企业盈利。特朗普关税冲击不断加剧美国经济衰退概率，美股盈利预期或进一步下修。Mag7 中依 赖海外市场的科技公司（如苹果、特斯拉、英伟达）利润率承压，亚马逊受北美消费景气度拖累，谷歌和 Meta 则面 临广告需求萎缩风险，仅微软相对稳健。Mag7 若因衰退缩减资本支出，也可能延缓 AI 商业化进程。 第二，估值与资金面风险未充分释放。Mag7 主导了近年美股牛市，当前市盈率已回落至近三年低位。然而，标普 500 风险溢价（ERP）仍显示市场对衰退的定价不足，乐观情绪尚未完全消退。此外，特朗普对外政策正恶化美元信用，或 导致海外美元资产配置需求长期下行。 第三，特朗普与美联储的政策导向均加剧市场不确定性。特朗普有意通过短期衰退换取长期经济结构优化，默许股市 调整以缓解财富分化矛盾，美联储则在关税风险不确定下不急于行动。 综合来看，美股短期反弹以情绪驱动为主，但在关税冲击盈利、高估值消化压力及政策滞后效应下，中期或仍具备调 整可能。 风险提示 1）特朗普对外政策 ...

业绩简评 2025 年 4 月 25 日公司披露 24 年年报及 25 年一季报，2024 年公 司实现营收 272 亿元，同比下降 3.4%；实现归母净利润 3.46 亿 元，同比下降 8.1%。2025 年一季度公司实现收入 77.0 亿元，同 比增长 51.8%，实现归母净利润 3.0 亿元，同比下降 0.7%。 经营分析 风机制造及发电业务盈利承压，电站销售转让保持增长：2024 年 公司风机及相关配件销售实现收入 208.3 亿元，同比下降 12.4%， 实现毛利率-0.46%，同比下降 3.6%，预计主要受海风推进受阻， 交付不及预期影响，2025 年公司前期中标的广东多个重要海风项 目陆续开始施工，项目确收有望逐步加速。发电收入同比增长 15.4%，但毛利率同比下降 5.86pct 至 57.1%，预计主要受部分地 区新能源市场化交易推进，上网电价有一定下降影响。电站销售转 让保持增长，2024 年公司电站产品销售实现收入约 27.9 亿元，同 比+34.2%，毛利率同比提升 12.2pct 至 43.2%，同时实现投资收益 11.6 亿元，同比提升 38%。 Q1 交付加速，规模效应体现明显： ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a significant price increase over the next 6-12 months [6]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 5.12 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 19.2%, and a net profit of 1.63 billion yuan, up 11.4% year-on-year. For Q1 2025, revenue was 1.35 billion yuan, a 3.5% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 520 million yuan, reflecting a 21.6% year-on-year growth [2][6]. - The company has a strong product pipeline, with several new games set to launch, including "Digimon: Source Code" and "Tomb Raider: Journey" [5]. - The integration of AI technologies is enhancing the company's capabilities in game development, with applications in animation and story generation [5]. Revenue Analysis - The company's revenue for 2024 was driven by significant growth in mobile gaming and information services, with mobile game revenue reaching 4.06 billion yuan, up 13.4% year-on-year, and information services revenue at 940 million yuan, up 41.6% year-on-year [3]. - The Q4 2024 revenue was 1.19 billion yuan, showing a decline due to the natural decline of older products, while Q1 2025 saw a recovery with new game contributions [3]. Profitability Analysis - The company's net profit margin improved in Q1 2025, attributed to a rise in gross margin and reductions in management and R&D expense ratios [4]. - The net profit margin for Q1 2025 was 29.3%, an increase of 5.7 percentage points year-on-year, driven by changes in revenue structure [4]. Financial Forecast - The company is expected to receive a non-operating income of 224.5 million yuan from a legal arbitration case, which will positively impact the net profit forecasts for 2025-2027, with projected net profits of 2.18 billion yuan, 2.36 billion yuan, and 2.63 billion yuan respectively [6].

事件简评 2025 年 4 月 27 日，公司发布 2024 年年报及 2025 年一季报，2024 年公司实现营业收入 29.41 亿元，同比增长 36.98%；实现归母净 利润 1.36 亿元，同比增长 110.64%。2025 年一季度公司实现营业 收入 9.97 亿元，同比增长 73.57%；实现归母净利润 0.46 亿元， 同比增长 616.02%。 经营分析 业绩大幅增长，净利率提升：2024 年，公司坚持模组+解决方案双 轮驱动策略，同时在高算力 AI 模组、生成式 AI 技术、端侧 AI 应 用等方向加大投入，智能汽车、AI+IoT 行业应用、4G/5G FWA 等 各下游领域均衡发展，共同推动公司营业业绩取得突破，实现大幅 增长。2024 年公司实现净利率 4.57%，同比增长 1.65pct。 智能网联车产品大批量出货，IoT 行业受 AI 产业推动：公司智能 网联车、IoT 和 FWA 领域均呈现增长态势。得益于公司的持续研 发投入和稳定的供应链交付保障能力，公司面向车载核心客户的 5G 智能座舱模组和车规级通信模组，均实现持续稳定大批量出 货，智能网联车领域营收保持高速增长态势，智能网 ...

事件简评 2025 年 4 月 27 日，公司发布 2024 年年报及 2025 年一季报，2024 年公司实现营业收入 29.41 亿元，同比增长 36.98%；实现归母净 利润 1.36 亿元，同比增长 110.64%。2025 年一季度公司实现营业 收入 9.97 亿元，同比增长 73.57%；实现归母净利润 0.46 亿元， 同比增长 616.02%。 业绩大幅增长，净利率提升：2024 年，公司坚持模组+解决方案双 轮驱动策略，同时在高算力 AI 模组、生成式 AI 技术、端侧 AI 应 用等方向加大投入，智能汽车、AI+IoT 行业应用、4G/5G FWA 等 各下游领域均衡发展，共同推动公司营业业绩取得突破，实现大幅 增长。2024 年公司实现净利率 4.57%，同比增长 1.65pct。 智能网联车产品大批量出货，IoT 行业受 AI 产业推动：公司智能 网联车、IoT 和 FWA 领域均呈现增长态势。得益于公司的持续研 发投入和稳定的供应链交付保障能力，公司面向车载核心客户的 5G 智能座舱模组和车规级通信模组，均实现持续稳定大批量出 货，智能网联车领域营收保持高速增长态势，智能网联车业务营 ...

事件 4 月 28 日公司发布 2024 年报及 2025 年一季报，2024 年实现营收 30.27 亿元，同比-24.09%；归母净利润为-2.87 亿元，同比亏损。 4Q24 收入为 10.75 亿元，环比+34.65%、同比+21.83%；归母净利 润为-0.84 亿元，环比、同比亏损。1Q25 实现收入 7.28 亿元，环 比-32.28%、同比+141.32%；归母净利润为 0.73 亿元，环比、同 比均扭亏。 点评 价格上涨，1Q25 业绩符合预期。1Q25 氧化镨钕、氧化镝、氧化铽 价格环比分别+3.29%/-0.86%/+6.79%,公司主营产品价格整体上 行；销量方面，2024 年公司稀土氧化物生产量较上年同期提升 107.27%；基于公司现有产能释放情况，我们认为 1Q25 公司产品 销量同比有所增长。1Q25 公司毛利、毛利率分别同比+446.15%、 +5.45pct 至 0.71 亿元、9.75%。 期间费率保持平稳，研发保持高投入。1Q25 公司期间费用环比 -31.91%至 0.32 亿元;期间费率环比+0.02pct 至 4.40%、同比 -2.89pct 至 4.40% ； ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [5]. Core Insights - The company's FY24 revenue was 1.44 billion RMB, a year-over-year decrease of 2.78%, while Q4 2024 revenue showed a slight increase of 0.43% year-over-year [2]. - The company reported a net loss of 163 million RMB for FY24, primarily due to a goodwill impairment of 59.06 million RMB [2]. - The gross margin for FY24 was 93.22%, reflecting a decrease of 1.58 percentage points year-over-year, attributed to rising costs of AI servers [2]. - The company has seen a gradual recovery in revenue since Q3 2024, with Q1 2025 revenue increasing by 6.06% year-over-year [2]. Revenue Breakdown - Video creative products generated 961 million RMB in revenue, a slight increase of 0.06% year-over-year, accounting for 66.76% of total revenue [3]. - Practical tools revenue decreased by 8.70% year-over-year to 234 million RMB, while document creative products and drawing creative products also saw declines of 10.13% and 5.88%, respectively [3]. - International revenue accounted for 90.51% of total revenue, totaling 1.30 billion RMB, with a year-over-year decrease of 3.51% [3]. Expense Analysis - R&D, sales, and management expense ratios for FY24 were 30.72%, 58.94%, and 11.40%, respectively, with significant increases in sales expenses [4]. - In Q1 2025, the R&D expense ratio decreased to 27.79%, while the sales expense ratio increased to 62.78% [4]. - The company reported AI-related revenue of 67 million RMB in FY24, doubling year-over-year, and has integrated AI tools to enhance productivity [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - Revenue projections for 2025 to 2027 are set at 1.68 billion RMB, 1.97 billion RMB, and 2.36 billion RMB, respectively, with net profit estimates of 1 million RMB, 175 million RMB, and 218 million RMB [5]. - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of approximately 6.3, 5.4, and 4.5 for the years 2025 to 2027 [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with expected revenue growth and profitability improvements in the coming years [5]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 1.44 billion RMB for FY24, a year-over-year decrease of 2.78%, but showed signs of recovery with a 6.06% increase in Q1 2025 [2]. - The net profit for FY24 was a loss of 163 million RMB, primarily due to goodwill impairment of 59.06 million RMB, indicating challenges in profitability [2]. - The gross margin for FY24 was 93.22%, slightly down from the previous year, attributed to rising costs in AI server operations [2]. Revenue and Profit Analysis - FY24 revenue breakdown shows video creative products generated 961 million RMB, a slight increase of 0.06%, while practical tools and document creative categories saw declines of 8.70% and 10.13% respectively [3]. - International revenue accounted for 90.51% of total revenue, amounting to 1.30 billion RMB, with a year-over-year decrease of 3.51% [3]. Expense Structure - The company increased its R&D, sales, and management expense ratios to 30.72%, 58.94%, and 11.40% respectively in FY24, indicating a strategic focus on growth despite the losses [4]. - In Q1 2025, the sales expense ratio rose significantly to 62.78%, reflecting increased investment in sales efforts [4]. Future Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025 to 2027 are set at 1.68 billion RMB, 1.97 billion RMB, and 2.36 billion RMB respectively, with expected net profits turning positive in 2025 [5]. - The projected price-to-sales (P/S) ratios for the next three years are approximately 6.3, 5.4, and 4.5 times, indicating a favorable valuation trend [5].