业绩简评 2025 年 4 月 29 日，公司披露 24 年年报及 25 年一季报。1）24 年 实现营收 360.1 亿元，同比+12.8%；实现归母净利 122.4 亿元， 同比+17.3%。2）25Q1 实现营收 165.2 亿元，同比+7.7%；实现归 母净利 66.5 亿元，同比+6.2%。业绩超市场预期。 经营分析 从营收结构来看：1）产品端，24 年中高价位酒/其他酒分别实现 营收 265.3/93.4 亿元，同比+14%/+9%；其中，销量分别+13%/+5%， 吨价分别+1%/+4%，毛利率分别+0.4pct/+1.5pct。24Q4 中高价位 酒/其他酒分别实现营收 39.2/7.0 亿元，同比+15%/-59%。25Q1 披露口径调整，汾酒/其他酒类分别实现营收 162.1/2.7 亿元，同 比+8%/-15%。25 年预计腰部产品持续发力，青花 26 导入做增量， 青花 20 稳健增长，玻汾控量区域调结构。 2）区域端，24 年省内/省外分别实现营收 135.0/223.7 亿元，同 比+12%/+14%；其中，销量分别-1%/+11%，吨价分别+13%/+2%，毛 利率分别+1.1p ...

6003008 业绩简评 公司于 4 月 29 日公布 2024 年年报&2025 年一季报，2024 全年营 收 209.57 亿元，同降 2.65%，归母净利润 21.59 亿元，同降 26.88%。 2025Q1 营收 61.87 亿元，同增 0.16%，归母净利润 9.35 亿元，同 增 5.46%。公司一季报业绩超预期，2024 年度累计现金分红总额 19.69 亿元，分红率超 91%。 经营分析 FCC 与京东奥莱等新业态发展势头良好。其他品牌增速亮眼，24 全 年/25Q1 营收分别为 26.68/7.43 亿元，同增 32.38%/100.22%。公 司于 24 年取得斯搏兹控股权，2024 年 4 月到 12 月，斯搏兹实现 营收 9.94 亿元，净利润 6705 万元，截至 24 年底公司授权代理的 阿迪达斯门店数量达 433 家。24 年 9 月首家京东奥莱开业，凭借 高性价比优势吸引消费者，截至 2025 年 4 月门店数量已达 12 家。 盈利水平边际恢复。24 全年/25Q1 毛利率为 44.52%/46.62%，保持 平稳，直营店及线上收入占比增加对冲部分关店影响。25Q1 销售 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a strong expectation of price appreciation in the next 6-12 months [5]. Core Views - The company reported a total revenue of 51.44 billion yuan for Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 10.7%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 26.85 billion yuan, up 11.6% year-on-year, exceeding market expectations [2]. - The revenue breakdown shows that Moutai liquor and series liquor achieved revenues of 43.56 billion yuan and 7.02 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth of 9.7% and 18.3% [3]. - The company is actively optimizing its dealer assessment and building a standardized assessment system, aiming to stabilize market price expectations and channel order [4]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenue growth rates of 9.3%, 8.2%, and 8.0% for the years 2025 to 2027, with net profit growth rates of 9.8%, 8.6%, and 8.1% respectively [5]. - The estimated net profit for 2025 is 94.686 billion yuan, with earnings per share (EPS) expected to be 75.38 yuan [10]. Financial Metrics - The report indicates a gross profit margin of 52.2% for Q1 2025, with a slight decrease in gross margin by 0.6 percentage points year-on-year [3]. - The company’s dividend payout ratio is projected at 75%, corresponding to a dividend yield of 3.7% [4].

业绩简评 盈利预测、估值与评级 合并后国泰海通在财富管理、投行、资管、机构等条线业务竞争 力将实现显著提升，同时更大的资产负债表有助于客需、做市等 机构业务规模增长，助推公司加快打造国际一流投资银行。我们 预计公司2025-2027年实现归母净利201亿元/185亿元/219亿元， 同比+54%/-8%/+18%，给予 2025 年 0.9 倍 PB，维持"买入"评级。 风险提示 4 月 29 日，国泰海通发布 2025 年一季报。25Q1 公司实现营业总 收入 118 亿元，yoy+47%；实现归母净利润 122 亿元，yoy+392%； 扣非后归母净利润 33 亿元，yoy+61%。合并后资产规模实现跨越 式提升，总资产较上年末提升 62%至 1.69 万亿元，净资产较上年 末提升 88%至 0.32 万亿元，加权平均 ROE 为 6.46%，同比+4.91pct， 扣非后加权平均 ROE 为 1.69%，同比+0.43pct。 公司吸收合并海通证券已于 2025 年 3 月 14 日完成，归母净利润 大幅增长的主要原因为吸收合并产生负商誉带来营业外收入增 加；公司归母扣非净利润增长的主要原因为经纪、投资 ...

业绩简评 4 月 29 日，国泰海通发布 2025 年一季报。25Q1 公司实现营业总 收入 118 亿元，yoy+47%；实现归母净利润 122 亿元，yoy+392%； 扣非后归母净利润 33 亿元，yoy+61%。合并后资产规模实现跨越 式提升，总资产较上年末提升 62%至 1.69 万亿元，净资产较上年 末提升 88%至 0.32 万亿元，加权平均 ROE 为 6.46%，同比+4.91pct， 扣非后加权平均 ROE 为 1.69%，同比+0.43pct。 公司吸收合并海通证券已于 2025 年 3 月 14 日完成，归母净利润 大幅增长的主要原因为吸收合并产生负商誉带来营业外收入增 加；公司归母扣非净利润增长的主要原因为经纪、投资等业务实 现较大幅度增长。 在 2024 年同期低基数效应与当前市场环境改善的双重驱动下，公 司 25Q1 业绩同比增速实现显著提升： （1）经纪业务：受益于市场交投回暖，Q1 全市场日均股基成交额 达 1.75 万亿元，同比增幅 71%。公司股基交易量同比增加，经纪 业务净收入 yoy+77%至 27 亿元。 （2）投行业务：净收入 yoy+10%至 7 亿元。25Q1 ...

业绩简评 公司于 4 月 29 日公布 2024 年年报&2025 年一季报，2024 全年营 收 209.57 亿元，同降 2.65%，归母净利润 21.59 亿元，同降 26.88%。 2025Q1 营收 61.87 亿元，同增 0.16%，归母净利润 9.35 亿元，同 增 5.46%。公司一季报业绩超预期，2024 年度累计现金分红总额 19.69 亿元，分红率超 91%。 经营分析 主业经营向好，线上、海外渠道增速亮眼。24 全年公司主业经营 整体平稳，海澜之家主品牌/海澜团购营收分别为152.70/22.24亿 元，同降 7.22%/2.51%，25Q1 海澜之家主品牌/海澜团购营收为 46.42/6.46 亿元，同比-9.52%/+17.58%，主业方面受消费环境影 响，整体经营情况平稳，25Q1 直营渠道实现营收 15.92 亿元，同 比增长 13.15%，2025Q1 末直营渠道为 1510 家，24 全年/25Q1 新 开 216/42 家。公司构建全域流量营销体系，24 年线上营收 44.19 亿元，同增 35.63%，线上渠道增长亮眼。公司积极寻求增量，加 码品牌"出海"，深耕马来西亚 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with expected net profits of 2.8 billion, 3.2 billion, and 4.0 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, corresponding to PE valuations of 35, 30, and 25 times [4]. Core Insights - The company's revenue for 2024 reached 9.39 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 4.51%, with a net profit of 2.51 billion RMB, up 0.40% year-on-year. In Q1 2025, revenue was 2.42 billion RMB, reflecting a 2.5% increase year-on-year, while net profit was 618 million RMB, up 2.66% year-on-year [2]. - The recovery in the excavator market, along with the expansion into non-excavator markets, has driven stable revenue growth. The domestic engineering machinery industry showed signs of recovery in 2024, with excavator sales increasing by 3.13% year-on-year [2][3]. - The company has seen a significant increase in market share for hydraulic pump and valve products, and its diversification strategy is yielding results, with non-engineering machinery products continuing to grow. International sales also increased by 7.61% year-on-year [2]. - The company's gross margin for 2024 was 42.83%, up 1 percentage point year-on-year, attributed to cost reduction and product mix optimization. The net margin was approximately 26.76%, down 1.1 percentage points due to increased sales and management expenses [2]. Summary by Sections Performance Review - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 9.39 billion RMB and a net profit of 2.51 billion RMB, with Q4 2024 revenue at 2.45 billion RMB and net profit at 717 million RMB [2]. - For Q1 2025, revenue was 2.42 billion RMB and net profit was 618 million RMB, with a significant increase in non-recurring net profit [2]. Operational Analysis - The excavator market is recovering, with a total of 201,100 excavators sold in 2024, marking an end to three consecutive years of decline. Domestic sales reached 100,500 units, up 11.7% year-on-year [2]. - The company’s revenue growth is supported by increased market share in hydraulic components and successful international market expansion [2][3]. Profitability - The gross margin for 2024 was 42.83%, while the net margin was approximately 26.76%. In Q1 2025, the gross margin was 39.4% and the net margin was 25.55% [2]. - The company’s profitability is stable, with a notable increase in non-recurring profit growth compared to apparent profit growth [2].

业绩简述 2025 年 4 月 29 日，公司发布 2025 年第一季度报告，2025Q1 公司 实现收入 3.32 亿元，同比-7%；归母净利润 1.30 亿元，同比-30%； 扣非归母净利润 1.22 亿元，同比-31%。 经营分析 国内短期业绩承压，海外市场加速拓展。国内市场由于 24 年下半 年市场环境变化，公司部分产品价格及推广策略调整，部分产品 毛利率降低，短期业绩出现一定压力。但公司主动脉介入产品国 内市场占有率依然保持领先，外周血管介入产品市场覆盖率持续 提高，新产品挂网入院有序推进。一季度海外市场销售收入同比 增长超过 93%，海外业务新增拓展 3 个国家，新增获得产品注册证 6 张，累计获得海外注册证超过 100 张，其中 CE 证书 5 张。 研发项目顺利推进，持续推进产品技术创新。一季度公司创新研 发管线取得多项成果，Cratos 分支型主动脉覆膜支架系统、 Tipspear 经颈静脉肝内穿刺套件国内获批上市，Hector 胸主动脉 多分支覆膜支架系统获批进入国家创新医疗器械特别审查程序， Aegis II 腹主动脉覆膜支架系统完成上市前临床植入，Fishhawk 机械血栓切除导管完成 ...

研发项目顺利推进，持续推进产品技术创新。一季度公司创新研 发管线取得多项成果，Cratos 分支型主动脉覆膜支架系统、 Tipspear 经颈静脉肝内穿刺套件国内获批上市，Hector 胸主动脉 多分支覆膜支架系统获批进入国家创新医疗器械特别审查程序， Aegis II 腹主动脉覆膜支架系统完成上市前临床植入，Fishhawk 机械血栓切除导管完成国内注册资料递交，众多创新产品将推动 公司长期业绩稳定增长。 员工持股计划设置高增长目标，彰显公司发展信心。2024 年 12 月公司公布新一期员工持股计划，将 2025 年~2027 年作为业绩考 核年度，分别要求 2025 年净利润不低于 6 亿元、2025-2026 年净 利润累计不低于 13.2 亿元、2025-2027 年净利润累计不低于 21.84 亿元，利润逐年同比增速目标在 20%，高增长目标彰显了公司对未 来经营的信心。 业绩简述 2025 年 4 月 29 日，公司发布 2025 年第一季度报告，2025Q1 公司 实现收入 3.32 亿元，同比-7%；归母净利润 1.30 亿元，同比-30%； 扣非归母净利润 1.22 亿元，同比-31%。 经 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with expected net profits of 2.8 billion, 3.2 billion, and 4.0 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, corresponding to PE valuations of 35, 30, and 25 times [4]. Core Insights - The company's revenue for 2024 reached 9.39 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 4.51%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.51 billion RMB, up 0.40% year-on-year. In Q1 2025, revenue was 2.42 billion RMB, reflecting a 2.5% increase year-on-year, while net profit was 618 million RMB, up 2.66% year-on-year [2]. - The recovery in the excavator market, along with the expansion into non-excavator markets, has driven stable revenue growth. The domestic engineering machinery industry showed signs of recovery in 2024, with excavator sales increasing by 3.13% year-on-year. The company's revenue growth was supported by increased market share in hydraulic pump and valve products, diversification into non-engineering machinery products, and successful international market expansion [2][3]. - The company's overall profitability remains stable, with a gross margin of 42.83% in 2024, up 1 percentage point year-on-year, while the net margin was approximately 26.76%, down 1.1 percentage points due to increased sales and management expenses [2]. Summary by Sections Performance Review - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 9.39 billion RMB, a 4.51% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 2.51 billion RMB, a 0.40% increase year-on-year. Q4 2024 revenue was 2.45 billion RMB, with a net profit of 717 million RMB [2]. - For Q1 2025, revenue was 2.42 billion RMB, a 2.5% year-on-year increase, and net profit was 618 million RMB, a 2.66% increase year-on-year [2]. Operational Analysis - The excavator market's recovery and the expansion into non-excavator markets have jointly driven stable revenue growth. In 2024, the company saw a historical high in revenue, attributed to increased market share in hydraulic pump and valve products, ongoing diversification, and successful international market expansion [2][3]. - The revenue breakdown for 2024 included hydraulic cylinders (4.76 billion RMB), hydraulic pumps and valves (3.58 billion RMB), motors (296 million RMB), hydraulic systems (684 million RMB), and parts and castings (1.68 billion RMB), with respective year-on-year growth rates of +1.44%, +9.63%, +1.64%, +1.76% [2]. Profitability - The gross margin for 2024 was 42.83%, an increase of 1 percentage point year-on-year, while the net margin was approximately 26.76%, a decrease of 1.1 percentage points due to increased sales and management expenses [2]. - In Q1 2025, the gross margin was 39.4%, a decrease of 0.69 percentage points year-on-year, and the net margin was 25.55%, remaining stable year-on-year [2].