公司研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 恒立液压（601100）2024 年报及 2025 年一季报点评 强推（维持） 业绩符合预期，看好下游复苏以及新业务放量 事项： 公司发布 2024 年年度和 2025 年一季度报告，2024 年实现营业总收入 93.9 亿 元，同比增长 4.51%，归母净利润 25.1 亿元，同比增长 0.40%，扣非归母净利 润 22.8 亿元，同比下降 6.61%。2025 年一季度实现营业总收入 24.2 亿元，同 比增长 2.56%，归母净利润 6.2 亿元，同比增长 2.61%，扣非归母净利润 6.8 亿 元，同比增长 16.42%。 评论： 基础件 2025 年 05 月 01 日 目标价：96.4 元 当前价：73.71 元 华创证券研究所 证券分析师：范益民 电话：021-20572562 邮箱：fanyimin@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360523020001 证券分析师：陈宏洋 邮箱：chenhongyang@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360524100002 公司基本数据 | 总股本(万股) | 134,082.10 | | --- | --- | ...

2025 年 5 月 1 日 公司研究 挖机相关业务有望受益于国内工程机械行业景气度复苏 2024 年公司挖掘机泵阀产品份额实现持续提升。挖掘机市场在经历初始的 下滑后，逐渐恢复增长，特别是国内市场显示出较强的增长动力，而出口市场也 在年末实现正增长，国内工程机械市场周期拐点确立。随着未来国内工程机械行 业景气度持续复苏，公司作为工程机械零部件龙头企业有望深度受益。 "多元化"布局持续推进，非挖业务持续突破 公司持续推进"多元化"布局。在非工程机械领域，公司还开发了基于音圈 电机的工业比例伺服阀，以 4ms 行业最快响应速度。同时，公司还开展了风电 轴承测试、汽车行业 CDC 阀测试、斗轮挖掘机液压系统、布缆机、石油行业、 液压机械臂、船用风帆液压系统等项目的研发，高效推进下游领域的多元化进程。 线性驱动器项目开始量产，有望打造公司新增长极 业绩稳步增长，线性驱动器项目有望打造新增长极 ——恒立液压（601100.SH）2024 年报、2025 年一季报点评 要点 业绩稳步增长，25Q1 扣非归母净利润大幅增长 恒立液压 2024 年实现营业收入 93.9 亿元，同比增长 4.5%；归母净利润 25.1 亿元 ...

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·工程机械 恒立液压（601100） 2024 年报及 2025 年一季报点评：2025Q1 归 母净利润同比+3%符合预期，多元化、国际 化战略持续推进 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 8,985 | 9,390 | 11,198 | 12,531 | 15,011 | | 同比（%） | 9.61 | 4.51 | 19.25 | 11.91 | 19.78 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 2,499 | 2,509 | 2,874 | 3,414 | 4,143 | | 同比（%） | 6.66 | 0.40 | 14.58 | 18.77 | 21.36 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 1.86 | 1.87 | 2.14 | 2.55 | 3.09 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 39.55 | 39.40 | 34.38 | 28.95 | 2 ...

[Table_Reportdate] 2025年04月30日 公 司 简 评 [Table_invest] 买入（维持） 报告原因：业绩点评 [相关研究 Table_Report] 《恒立液压（601100）：业绩稳步增 长，"国际化、多元化、电动化"持续 催 化 — — 公 司 简 评 报 告 》 2024.10.30 《恒立液压（601100）："国际化、多 元化、电动化"经营战略稳步推进— —公司简评报告》 2024.08.27 《恒立液压（601100）：线性驱动器 和海外项目稳步推进，下游承压难阻 公司成长 — — 公 司 简 评 报 告 》 2024.04.23 [恒立液压（ Table_NewTitle] 601100）：营收创历史新高， 线性驱动项目进入批产阶段 ——公司简评报告 [证券分析师 Table_Authors] 谢建斌 S0630522020001 xjb@longone.com.cn 联系人 商俭 shangjian@longone.com.cn | [数据日期 Table_cominfo] | 2025/04/29 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价 | 73.71 | ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with expected net profits of 2.8 billion, 3.2 billion, and 4.0 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, corresponding to PE valuations of 35, 30, and 25 times [4]. Core Insights - The company's revenue for 2024 reached 9.39 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 4.51%, with a net profit of 2.51 billion RMB, up 0.40% year-on-year. In Q1 2025, revenue was 2.42 billion RMB, reflecting a 2.5% increase year-on-year, while net profit was 618 million RMB, up 2.66% year-on-year [2]. - The recovery in the excavator market, along with the expansion into non-excavator markets, has driven stable revenue growth. The domestic engineering machinery industry showed signs of recovery in 2024, with excavator sales increasing by 3.13% year-on-year [2][3]. - The company has seen a significant increase in market share for hydraulic pump and valve products, and its diversification strategy is yielding results, with non-engineering machinery products continuing to grow. International sales also increased by 7.61% year-on-year [2]. - The company's gross margin for 2024 was 42.83%, up 1 percentage point year-on-year, attributed to cost reduction and product mix optimization. The net margin was approximately 26.76%, down 1.1 percentage points due to increased sales and management expenses [2]. Summary by Sections Performance Review - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 9.39 billion RMB and a net profit of 2.51 billion RMB, with Q4 2024 revenue at 2.45 billion RMB and net profit at 717 million RMB [2]. - For Q1 2025, revenue was 2.42 billion RMB and net profit was 618 million RMB, with a significant increase in non-recurring net profit [2]. Operational Analysis - The excavator market is recovering, with a total of 201,100 excavators sold in 2024, marking an end to three consecutive years of decline. Domestic sales reached 100,500 units, up 11.7% year-on-year [2]. - The company’s revenue growth is supported by increased market share in hydraulic components and successful international market expansion [2][3]. Profitability - The gross margin for 2024 was 42.83%, while the net margin was approximately 26.76%. In Q1 2025, the gross margin was 39.4% and the net margin was 25.55% [2]. - The company’s profitability is stable, with a notable increase in non-recurring profit growth compared to apparent profit growth [2].

Summary of the Conference Call for Hengli Hydraulic Company Overview - **Company**: Hengli Hydraulic - **Industry**: Hydraulic equipment manufacturing Key Points and Arguments Financial Performance - **2024 Loss**: Expected loss of approximately 100 million yuan due to specific project impacts, despite nearly 10% sales revenue growth in hydraulic pump and valve market share [2][3] - **Revenue Growth**: Total revenue reached a historical high with an increase of 450 million yuan [3] - **Net Profit**: Net profit for 2024 was 1.33 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of about 13% [2][8] - **Q1 2025 Performance**: Core product profitability remained stable, with filter core business growing approximately 20% year-on-year [11] Product and Market Dynamics - **Product Gross Margin**: 2024 gross margin increased by nearly 1 percentage point, but Q1 2025 saw a decline of 0.6 percentage points due to slight decreases in casting parts prices [2][6] - **Sales Composition**: Domestic sales accounted for 77% of total sales, up nearly 4 percentage points, while overseas sales made up 23%, increasing by about 8% [2][8] - **Excavator Cylinder Revenue**: Revenue from excavator cylinders decreased by about 10%, while non-excavator cylinders grew by over 15% [2][3] Capital Expenditure and Cash Flow - **2025 Capital Expenditure**: Estimated at over 400 million yuan for equipment payments, with total fixed asset investments in Mexico around 1 billion yuan [5][16] - **Cash Flow**: Q1 2025 cash flow showed significant fluctuations, with cash payments increasing by approximately 80 million yuan mainly for salaries and taxes [4] Business Segment Performance - **Segment Growth**: Non-standard cylinder segment grew by over 20%, driven by demand in new energy, shield tunneling, and marine engineering sectors [8][26] - **Pump and Motor Systems**: Total revenue for pump and motor systems reached 3.79 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of over 9% [8] R&D and Future Outlook - **R&D Investment**: R&D expenses remained stable, with a focus on new business segments [9] - **Future Profitability**: Anticipated gradual decrease in overall expense ratios as revenue grows, with new business income expected to stabilize [12] Market Share and Competitive Position - **Market Share in 2024**: Small excavator pump and valve market share was approximately 50%, while medium and large excavator market share was around 30% [22] - **Long-term Potential**: There is significant potential for increasing market share in small and medium-sized pumps and valves, with a focus on product innovation to meet strict supply chain requirements from major clients like Caterpillar [22][24] Challenges and Strategic Responses - **Overseas Revenue Decline**: Q1 2025 saw a decrease in overseas revenue due to market changes in Europe and North America [19] - **Collaboration with Foreign Firms**: Ongoing partnerships with foreign excavator manufacturers, including Japanese companies, to enhance product adaptability and meet regional demands [23][24] Specific Business Developments - **New Projects**: The four-cylinder project has developed over ten products and entered mass production, with the Mexico factory starting small-scale production [7][11] - **Agricultural Machinery**: Agricultural machinery business contributed approximately 200-300 million yuan in revenue in 2024, with expectations for over 20% growth in 2025 [28] Industrial Sector Growth - **Industrial Sector Goals**: The pure industrial sector aims for over 30% annual growth, supported by pricing strategies influenced by competitors [29] This summary encapsulates the key insights from the conference call, highlighting the financial performance, market dynamics, and strategic outlook of Hengli Hydraulic.

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with expected net profits of 2.8 billion, 3.2 billion, and 4.0 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, corresponding to PE valuations of 35, 30, and 25 times [4]. Core Insights - The company's revenue for 2024 reached 9.39 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 4.51%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.51 billion RMB, up 0.40% year-on-year. In Q1 2025, revenue was 2.42 billion RMB, reflecting a 2.5% increase year-on-year, while net profit was 618 million RMB, up 2.66% year-on-year [2]. - The recovery in the excavator market, along with the expansion into non-excavator markets, has driven stable revenue growth. The domestic engineering machinery industry showed signs of recovery in 2024, with excavator sales increasing by 3.13% year-on-year. The company's revenue growth was supported by increased market share in hydraulic pump and valve products, diversification into non-engineering machinery products, and successful international market expansion [2][3]. - The company's overall profitability remains stable, with a gross margin of 42.83% in 2024, up 1 percentage point year-on-year, while the net margin was approximately 26.76%, down 1.1 percentage points due to increased sales and management expenses [2]. Summary by Sections Performance Review - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 9.39 billion RMB, a 4.51% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 2.51 billion RMB, a 0.40% increase year-on-year. Q4 2024 revenue was 2.45 billion RMB, with a net profit of 717 million RMB [2]. - For Q1 2025, revenue was 2.42 billion RMB, a 2.5% year-on-year increase, and net profit was 618 million RMB, a 2.66% increase year-on-year [2]. Operational Analysis - The excavator market's recovery and the expansion into non-excavator markets have jointly driven stable revenue growth. In 2024, the company saw a historical high in revenue, attributed to increased market share in hydraulic pump and valve products, ongoing diversification, and successful international market expansion [2][3]. - The revenue breakdown for 2024 included hydraulic cylinders (4.76 billion RMB), hydraulic pumps and valves (3.58 billion RMB), motors (296 million RMB), hydraulic systems (684 million RMB), and parts and castings (1.68 billion RMB), with respective year-on-year growth rates of +1.44%, +9.63%, +1.64%, +1.76% [2]. Profitability - The gross margin for 2024 was 42.83%, an increase of 1 percentage point year-on-year, while the net margin was approximately 26.76%, a decrease of 1.1 percentage points due to increased sales and management expenses [2]. - In Q1 2025, the gross margin was 39.4%, a decrease of 0.69 percentage points year-on-year, and the net margin was 25.55%, remaining stable year-on-year [2].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company has been upgraded to "Buy" with a target price of 82.00 RMB [8][9]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 9.39 billion RMB for 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 4.51%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.51 billion RMB, up 0.4% year-on-year, primarily driven by the increased market share of excavator hydraulic pump and valve products and the continued growth in non-engineering machinery products [1][2]. - The company is expected to benefit significantly from the growth in excavator sales since Q1 2025, with a total of 61,372 excavators sold in Q1 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 22.8% [3]. - The linear actuators, which are key components for humanoid robots, have entered mass production, although they are not expected to contribute significantly to revenue and profit in the short term [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.422 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 2.56%, and a net profit of 618 million RMB, up 2.61% year-on-year [1][2]. - The revenue from hydraulic pumps and motors accounted for 38.16% of total revenue, with a year-on-year increase of 9.63%, and a gross margin of 47.94%, up 9.63 percentage points [2]. Sales and Market Trends - The domestic sales of excavators reached 36,562 units in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 38.3%, indicating strong demand in sectors such as agriculture and municipal water conservancy [3]. - The company anticipates that the demand for small excavators will continue to support the domestic market, as the sales of second-hand excavators are expected to exceed new machine sales for the first time in 2024 [3]. Future Projections - The company’s net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 2.751 billion RMB, 3.227 billion RMB, and 3.772 billion RMB, respectively, reflecting an upward revision due to anticipated growth in excavator sales [5]. - The target price has been adjusted to 82.00 RMB based on a new price-to-earnings ratio of 40x, up from the previous 31x, reflecting the expected growth in downstream demand and the potential of the linear actuator project [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Views - The company achieved total operating revenue of 9.39 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 4.51%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.51 billion yuan, up 0.4% [1]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported total operating revenue of 2.42 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.56%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 618 million yuan, up 2.61% [1]. - The company's non-recurring net profit margin reached over 28% in Q1 2025, reflecting significant improvements in cost control and management capabilities [1]. Summary by Sections Excavator Sector - The excavator market in China saw a total sales volume of 201,131 units in 2024, marking a year-on-year growth of 3.13%, with domestic sales increasing by 11.7% [2]. - The domestic market shows strong growth momentum, particularly in sectors such as water conservancy projects and rural revitalization, which are driving demand for small excavators [2]. - The traditional peak season for the engineering machinery industry occurs from March to May, with revenue recognition expected in Q2 [2]. Screw Rod Business - The screw rod business is currently in a phase of temporary scale disadvantage due to ongoing investments in electric drive strategies and linear actuator projects [3]. - The company has invested 1.4 billion yuan in the linear actuator project, which is now entering the mass production phase [3]. - Early investment periods may exert pressure on the company's performance, as significant expenditures are required without immediate revenue generation [3]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 2.8 billion yuan, 3.1 billion yuan, and 3.5 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with growth rates of 12%, 11%, and 12% [4]. - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 34, 31, and 27 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 [4].

证券代码：601100 证券简称：恒立液压 公告编号：临2025-004 ● 每股分配比例： 每 10 股派发现金红利 7.00 元（含税）。公司本年度不派送红股，不进行转增。 ● 本次利润分配以实施权益分派股权登记日登记的总股本为基数，具体日期将 在权益分派实施公告中明确。 ● 如在实施权益分派股权登记日前公司总股本发生变动的，拟维持现金派发每 股分配比例不变，相应调整现金派发总金额，并将另行公告具体调整情况。 ● 本次利润分配预案尚需提交公司 2024 年年度股东大会审议，审议通过之后方 可实施。 一、利润分配预案内容 江苏恒立液压股份有限公司 2024 年度利润分配预案的公告 本公司董事会及董事会全体成员保证公告内容不存在虚假记载、误导性陈 述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实、准确和完整承担个别及连带责任。 重要内容提示： （二）不触及其他风险警示情形的说明 二、公司履行的决策程序 （一）董事会会议的召开、审计和表决情况 公司董事会已于 2025 年 4 月 26 日召开第五届董事会第十四次会议审议通过 了《江苏恒立液压股份有限公司 2024 年度利润分配预案》，并同意将该利润分配 预案提交公司 2024 ...