Core Viewpoint - The report from China Galaxy Securities indicates a significant growth in domestic and foreign sales of excavators in January 2026, with domestic sales increasing by 61.4% and exports by 40.5% [1] Group 1: Excavator Sales - In January, a total of 18,708 excavators were sold, representing a year-on-year increase of 49.5%. Domestic sales accounted for 8,723 units (including 24 electric excavators), up 61.4%, while exports reached 9,985 units (including 11 electric excavators), up 40.5% [1] - The increase in domestic sales is influenced by the Lunar New Year timing, while overseas demand is recovering, particularly in Europe and the U.S., alongside strong metal prices and robust mining market demand in regions like Australia and Africa [1] Group 2: Other Machinery Sales - In December, various types of cranes showed high growth in sales, with truck cranes increasing by 38% overall, and crawler cranes by 68% [2] - For 2025, the overall sales growth for truck cranes is projected at 1.39%, while crawler cranes are expected to see a significant increase of 30% [2] Group 3: Working Hours and Rates - In January, the average working hours for major construction machinery products was 72.5 hours, a year-on-year increase of 23.9%, while the average operating rate was 48.1%, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 2.63 percentage points [3] - In December, there was an improvement in working hours for Komatsu excavators in North America, Europe, Japan, and Indonesia [3] Group 4: Caterpillar's Market Outlook - Caterpillar reported a year-on-year increase of 11% in end-user sales in Q4 2025, with expectations for moderate growth in North American demand in 2026, supported by strong order levels [4] - The resource business saw a decline in sales due to weak coal prices, but growth is anticipated in 2026 driven by rising demand for copper and gold, as well as heavy construction and aggregate industries [4] Group 5: Recommended Companies - Based on the upward trend in domestic and foreign sales, leading manufacturers such as SANY Heavy Industry, XCMG, Zoomlion, and LiuGong are recommended, along with core component manufacturer Hengli Hydraulic [5]

Company Performance - Hengli Hydraulic (601100) experienced stock price fluctuations over the past week, with a 2.03% increase on February 10, closing at 123.74 CNY, and a net inflow of 7.96 million CNY in main funds [1] - On February 11, the stock price corrected, decreasing by 1.28% to 122.15 CNY, with a net outflow of 66.93 million CNY in main funds and a trading volume of 708 million CNY [1] - As of February 11, the MACD indicator showed a divergence value of 2.7, indicating a bullish zone, while the KDJ indicator's J line reached 101.66, suggesting short-term overbought risks [1] Industry Overview - The engineering machinery industry showed mixed performance, with excavator sales in January increasing by 49.50% year-on-year, and domestic sales growth reaching 61.39% [1] - The acceleration of special bond issuance may provide support for downstream demand [1]

Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "Positive" [2] - The specific companies recommended for "Increase" rating are Zoomlion (000157), Hengli Hydraulic (601100), Jiechang Drive (603583), and Haomai Technology (002595) [2] Core Insights - In January 2026, the sales of various excavators reached 18,708 units, representing a year-on-year increase of 49.5%. Domestic sales accounted for 8,723 units (including 24 electric excavators), up 61.4%, while exports totaled 9,985 units (including 11 electric excavators), up 40.5% [9] - The sales of various loaders in January 2026 reached 11,759 units, with a year-on-year increase of 48.5%. Domestic sales were 5,293 units (including 2,701 electric loaders), up 42.8%, and exports were 6,466 units (including 289 electric loaders), up 53.4% [9] - The average working hours for major construction machinery products in January 2026 was 72.5 hours, a year-on-year increase of 23.9% [9] - The average operating rate for major construction machinery products in January 2026 was 48.1%, a year-on-year decrease of 2.63 percentage points [10] - The steel composite price index (CSPI) was 90.93 as of February 6, 2026 [11] - As of February 11, 2026, the price of WTI crude oil was $63.96 per barrel, and Brent crude oil was $68.80 per barrel [12] Summary by Sections Industry News - The construction machinery sector is expected to continue its recovery due to the rollout of key projects and favorable policies for equipment upgrades. Domestic leading manufacturers are accelerating their overseas expansion, indicating strong competitiveness in technology and cost-effectiveness [28] Company Announcements - Tianjin Jinrong Tianyu Precision Machinery Co., Ltd. announced an investment in an industrial fund to enhance its strategic development and industry insight [18] - Aidi Precision reported an expected revenue of 3.14 billion to 3.26 billion yuan for 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 15.24% to 19.64% [19] Market Review - From February 5 to February 11, 2026, the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index rose by 0.32%, while the Shenwan Machinery Equipment Index increased by 0.31%, underperforming the broader index by 0.01 percentage points [20] - As of February 11, 2026, the price-to-earnings ratio (PE) for the Shenwan Machinery Equipment Industry was 51.67, with a valuation premium of 262.02% compared to the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index [21] Weekly Perspective - The upcoming Spring Festival is expected to boost interest in humanoid robots, with several companies participating in the 2026 Spring Festival Gala, which may enhance brand visibility and commercialization opportunities [28]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Market Weight" [1] Core Insights - In January 2026, excavator sales reached 18,708 units, a year-on-year increase of 49.50%, but a month-on-month decrease of 19.00%. Domestic sales were 8,723 units, up 61.39% year-on-year, while export sales were 9,985 units, up 40.50% year-on-year [3][4] - Loader sales in January 2026 totaled 11,759 units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 48.47% and a month-on-month decrease of 3.90%. Domestic sales were 5,293 units, up 42.82% year-on-year, while export sales were 6,466 units, up 53.44% year-on-year [3][4] - The issuance of new special bonds in January 2026 amounted to approximately 367.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 79.54%, which is expected to boost downstream engineering project commencement and equipment demand [4] - The report highlights a recovery in domestic engineering machinery demand, driven by the acceleration of special bond issuance and the commencement of major domestic projects [4] - The electric excavator sales reached 35 units in January 2026, a year-on-year increase of 94.44%, while electric loader sales were 2,990 units, up 175.32% year-on-year, indicating a growing trend towards electrification in the industry [3][4][5] Summary by Sections Excavator Sales - January 2026 excavator sales were 18,708 units, with domestic sales at 8,723 units and export sales at 9,985 units, showing significant year-on-year growth [3][4] Loader Sales - January 2026 loader sales were 11,759 units, with domestic sales at 5,293 units and export sales at 6,466 units, also reflecting strong year-on-year growth [3][4] Special Bonds and Policy Impact - The acceleration of special bond issuance and the initiation of major projects are expected to enhance equipment demand in the engineering machinery sector [4] Electrification Trend - The report emphasizes the importance of electric machinery, with significant year-on-year growth in sales of electric excavators and loaders, indicating a shift towards greener technology [5]

Investment Rating - The report rates the machinery equipment industry as "Overweight" [1] Core Insights - The machinery equipment sector is experiencing significant growth driven by increased demand for efficient cooling solutions in data centers and AI infrastructure [3][22] - Major companies like Trane Technologies and Johnson Controls are reporting strong order growth, indicating a robust market environment [9][15] - Google's substantial capital expenditure plans for 2026 highlight the increasing investment in AI and cloud infrastructure, which is expected to further boost demand for related equipment [21] Summary by Sections 1. Trane Technologies Financial Review - Trane Technologies reported Q4 2025 revenue of $5.1 billion, a 6% year-over-year increase, with adjusted EPS of $2.86, up 10% [9] - The company saw a 24% increase in new orders, with a record backlog of $7.8 billion, indicating strong future revenue potential [10] - The commercial HVAC business is a key growth driver, with orders up over 35% in Q4 2025 [10] 2. Johnson Controls Performance - Johnson Controls achieved Q1 2026 revenue of $5.8 billion, a 7% increase year-over-year, with a 39% rise in self-owned business orders [15] - The company has raised its adjusted EPS guidance for FY 2026 to approximately $4.70, reflecting a 25% year-over-year growth [15] - The introduction of new products like the YORK YDAM chiller is aimed at enhancing data center cooling solutions [20] 3. Google's Cloud Business - Alphabet reported Q4 2025 revenue of $113.8 billion, an 18% increase, with cloud revenue growing 48% due to AI infrastructure demand [21] - The company plans to invest $175 to $185 billion in capital expenditures for 2026, nearly doubling its previous year's investment [21] 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that the growth in data centers will create opportunities for Chinese cooling equipment manufacturers, such as Ice Wheel Environment and Linde Co., to capitalize on the demand for cooling solutions [22] - Companies like Invek, which provide comprehensive liquid cooling solutions, are also highlighted as potential beneficiaries of this trend [22] 5. Caterpillar Financial Review - Caterpillar reported 2025 revenue of $67.6 billion, a 4% increase, with Q4 revenue reaching a record $19.1 billion [28] - The power and energy segment saw a 23% increase in sales, driven by demand from data centers [29] - The construction machinery segment also grew, but profit margins were pressured by rising costs [29]

Core Insights - The global humanoid robot industry is predominantly led by China, which houses over 110 companies, accounting for more than 50% of the total 220 humanoid robot manufacturers worldwide [1] - China excels in hardware and integration segments, while the US leads in the "brain" segment, focusing on AI models and software [4][5] - China has filed approximately five times more humanoid robot patents than the US, with a total of 7,705 patents, indicating a strong emphasis on innovation and technology development [6] - The competition among China, the US, and Japan in the humanoid robot industry is characterized by distinct strategies and market focuses [9] Industry Overview - Major listed companies in China's humanoid robot sector include Huichuan Technology, Sanhua Intelligent Control, Lens Technology, Hengli Hydraulic, Top Group, Linying Intelligent Manufacturing, Zoomlion Heavy Industry, and Jinli Permanent Magnet [1] - The global humanoid robot industry is expected to reach a market size of 861 billion yuan by 2027, with China aiming for a fully controllable supply chain and over 70% localization of core components [9][11] Competitive Landscape - Chinese companies like Zhiyuan Robotics and UTree Technology are rapidly advancing in mass production and cost control, while US firms like Boston Dynamics and Tesla focus on core technology breakthroughs [11][12] - The strategic direction for Chinese firms includes low-cost strategies to expand into consumer and industrial markets, while US companies are investing heavily in AI and technology development [11] - Japan's approach is centered on precision manufacturing and specialized components, targeting healthcare and industrial applications [9][11] Patent and Innovation - China leads in humanoid robot patent applications, with 7,705 patents compared to the US's 1,561 and Japan's 1,102, showcasing its dominance in core technology areas [6] - The focus of Chinese patents includes body structure, intelligent perception, and drive control, indicating a comprehensive approach to technology development [6] Market Projections - By 2027, the humanoid robot market is projected to achieve significant growth, with China aiming for a market scale of 861 billion yuan and the US targeting over 40% of the global market share [9][11]

Core Insights - The report emphasizes embracing technology and focusing on the new economy within the machinery industry, highlighting significant investment opportunities in various sectors [1][3]. Human-Robot Sector - The humanoid robot industry is seen as a monumental opportunity driven by global technological iterations and domestic policy support, with a breakthrough expected in 2025 and initial stages of scaling in 2026 [5]. - Key components for humanoid robots include actuators, screws, reducers, sensors, motors, and lightweight structural parts, with a focus on core suppliers and technological iterations [35][36]. Commercial Aerospace - The commercial aerospace market is experiencing rapid growth, driven by the urgent demand for low-orbit resources and satellite constellation networks, with significant contributions from both domestic policies and technological advancements [5][41]. - China is advancing national-level satellite constellation plans, aiming to deploy thousands of satellites in the coming decade [42]. Gas Turbine Industry - The demand for electricity is surging, particularly due to the growth of data centers, leading to a supply shortage of gas turbines. Major manufacturers are expanding their production capacity to meet this demand [5][58]. - The global gas turbine market is expected to see a significant increase in sales, with orders projected to rise from 58GW in 2024 to 71GW in 2025 [68]. Controlled Nuclear Fusion - The controlled nuclear fusion sector is on the brink of commercialization, with global investments in the industry skyrocketing from $1.9 billion in 2021 to $9.7 billion in 2025, indicating a strong growth trajectory [75][83]. - The global nuclear fusion market is anticipated to reach $496.5 billion by 2030 and exceed $1 trillion by 2050, marking a critical period for investment [83]. General Equipment - The general equipment sector is expected to benefit from structural growth in downstream technology fields, despite current demand remaining subdued [5][10]. - The domestic industrial mother machine supply chain is anticipated to undergo significant localization efforts [5]. Low-altitude Economy - The "14th Five-Year Plan" highlights the development of the low-altitude economy, with supportive policies and pilot cities paving the way for accelerated growth in this sector [5][10]. Deep Sea Technology - The deep-sea technology sector is identified as a crucial driver for the marine economy, with government reports emphasizing the need for high-quality development in this area [5]. Engineering Machinery - The engineering machinery sector is optimistic about both domestic replacement demand and growth in overseas markets, particularly in Asia, Africa, and Latin America [5][10].

Core Viewpoint - The sales of excavators and loaders in January 2026 show significant growth, indicating a strong recovery in the domestic and international construction machinery market driven by major infrastructure projects and increasing demand for equipment upgrades [2][3][4]. Excavator Sales - In January 2026, a total of 18,708 excavators were sold, representing a year-on-year increase of 49.5%, with domestic sales reaching 8,723 units (up 61.4%) and exports totaling 9,985 units (up 40.5%) [2][3]. - The strong growth in domestic sales is attributed to a low base from the previous year due to the early Spring Festival, and upcoming projects in various sectors are expected to further boost demand [3]. - The export value of excavators in December 2025 was $1.277 billion, a month-on-month increase of 39.28%, and a year-on-year increase of 75.17% compared to December 2024 [3]. Loader Sales - In January 2026, a total of 11,759 loaders were sold, marking a year-on-year increase of 48.5%, with domestic sales of 5,293 units (up 42.8%) and exports of 6,466 units (up 53.4%) [2][4]. - The growth in domestic loader sales is driven by the commencement of major projects, such as the Yaxia Hydropower Station and the New Tibet Railway, which have increased demand for earth-moving equipment [4]. - The sales of electric loaders reached 2,990 units, with an electric penetration rate of 25.43%, indicating a growing acceptance of electric machinery in the market [4]. Company Performance - Liugong (000528) is projected to achieve a net profit of 1.526 billion to 1.659 billion yuan for 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 15-25%, driven by stable demand in the domestic construction machinery sector [4]. - The company's growth strategy focuses on comprehensive solutions, digitalization, and globalization, aiming to optimize business combinations and reduce costs across the value chain [4]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with strong brand recognition, comprehensive product matrices, efficient cost management, and robust R&D capabilities, such as SANY Heavy Industry (600031), Zoomlion (000157), Liugong, Shantui (000680), and Hengli Hydraulic (601100) [5].

投资建议 见"股票组合"。 行情回顾 本周板块表现：上周（2026/2/2-2026/2/6）5 个交易日，SW 机械设备指数上涨 0.38%，在申万 31 个一级行业分 类中排名第 11；同期沪深 300 指数下跌 1.33%。2026 年至今表现：SW 机械设备指数上涨 6.72%，在申万 31 个一 级行业分类中排名第 9；同期沪深 300 指数上涨 0.29%。 核心观点 风险提示 宏观经济变化风险；原材料价格波动风险；政策变化的风险。 敬请参阅最后一页特别声明 1 工程机械全球大周期向上，土方内外销超预期。根据中国工程机械工业协会，2026 年 1 月销售各类挖掘机 1870 8 台，同比增长 49.5%。其中国内销量 8723 台，同比增长 61.4%；出口量 9985 台，同比增长 40.5%，土方内外 销超预期。25Q4 卡特彼勒工程机械板块北美、EAME、亚太、拉丁美洲收入增速分别为+23%、+18%、-7%、+6%，2 5Q3 北美、EAME、亚太、拉丁美洲收入增速分别为+8%、+6%、+3%、-1%，工程机械板块北美、EAME 地区加速增 长，拉美转正，中国工程机械内外销加速叠加海外龙头 ...

Investment Rating - The report rates the industry as "Buy" [4] Core Insights - Optimus is expected to become the first von Neumann machine, with a target annual production of one million units by 2026, marking a significant advancement in the robotics industry [2][5] - The report emphasizes the transition of robots from "being able to move" to "being able to act" through the development of force control technology, which is crucial for human-like robots [5][34] - Investment focus should be on robot manufacturers and core component suppliers, including actuators, motors, reducers, and sensors, highlighting specific companies for potential investment [5][46] Summary by Sections Industry News and Company Dynamics - Tesla's Optimus is set to be the first von Neumann machine, capable of establishing civilization on suitable planets, with a significant upgrade in its learning capabilities through observation of human behavior [8] - The Indian company Muks Robotics has launched its first humanoid robot, SPACEO-M1, indicating a global expansion of humanoid robot development [9] - Faraday Future has entered the robotics sector with three new products, aiming to deliver them immediately, marking a strategic shift for the company [11] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on key robot manufacturers and core component suppliers, recommending specific companies for investment in various categories such as actuators, reducers, and sensors [5][46] - Notable recommended companies include Zhaowei Electric, Hengli Hydraulic, and Unibot, among others [5][46] Force Control Technology - Force control technology is identified as a critical support for humanoid robots, enabling them to interact with their environment more effectively [34][35] - The report discusses two main technical solutions for force control: current loop-based and torque sensor-based, with the latter expected to dominate in humanoid robotics due to its higher precision [36][37] Financing Dynamics - Significant financing activities are noted in the robotics sector, with companies like LingMonkey Robotics and LimX Dynamics securing substantial funding to enhance their technological capabilities and production capacity [31][33]