股 票 研 究 燃机巨头订单旺盛，机器人基础模型 Pi 06 鲁棒性提升 [Table_Industry] 机械行业 机械行业周报 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 肖群稀(分析师) | 0755-23976830 | xiaoqunxi@gtht.com | S0880522120001 | | 刘麒硕(分析师) | 0755-23976666 | liuqishuo@gtht.com | S0880525080005 | 本报告导读： 上周（2026/2/24-2026/2/27）机械设备指数涨跌幅为+4.40%。燃机巨头订单旺盛，GEV 排产达 2029 年，地缘政治动荡推升油服设备景气上行。 投资要点： [Table_Report] 相关报告 机械行业《春节后气体整体表现偏弱；广钢气体 中标海南商业航天发射场氦气采购项目》 2026.03.01 机械行业《具身模型 Pi 06 鲁棒性大幅提升，国 内人形初创百亿估值俱乐部增加至 6 家》 2026.02.28 机械行业《出口链月度跟踪：主要航线海运费同 ...

"宁波膜智信息科技有限公司"为势银（TrendBank）唯一工商注册实体及收款账户 添加文末微信，加 绿氢 群 据势银(TrendBank)统计，截至2025年11月30日， 全国绿氢项目共计892个，2025新增179个 。其中，571个项目公开制氢规模信息，对应绿 氢规划产能超1165万吨/年(不含中止/废止项目规模)，同比增长约29%。 2025年，我国绿氢项目建设取得阶段性突破，多个"标杆"项目建成投产，已超额完成国家<<氢能产业发展中长期规划(2021一2035年)>>中 2025年10-20万吨/年目标量。势银(TrendBank)绿氢数据库显示，截至2025年12月25日， 国内现有绿氢产能约26.12万吨/年，较2024年全 年增长140%。 2025年，鄂尔多斯市鄂托克前旗上海庙经济开发区光伏制氢项目、纳日松光伏制氢产业示范项目、大安风光制绿氢合成氨一体化示范项目、远景 零碳技术(赤峰)有限公司150万吨/年零碳氢氨项目等超11个制氢项目陆续建成投产，规模化可再生能源制氢项目验证进程明显提速。 从分布地区来看， 我国绿氢项目仍集中在三北地区(东北、华北、北)， 该区域项目数量和绿氢产能在全国 ...

晨会纪要（R3） 晨会纪要 2026 年 03 月 03 日 | 市场数据 | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 指数名称 | 收盘 | 涨跌% | | 上证指数 | 4182.59 | 0.47 | | 深证成指 | 14465.79 | -0.20 | | 创业板指 | 3294.16 | -0.49 | | 科创 50 | 1464.77 | -1.56 | | 北证 50 | 1475.73 | -3.99 | | 沪深 300 | 4728.67 | 0.38 | 上证指数-沪深 300 走势图 -8% 2% 12% 22% 32% 2025-03 2025-06 2025-09 2025-12 上证指数 沪深300 | 黄红卫 | 分析师 | | --- | --- | | 执业证书编号:S0530519010001 | | | huanghongwei@hnchasing.com | | | 陈郁双 | 分析师 | | 执业证书编号:S0530524110001 | | | chenyushuang@hnchasing.com | | 晨会聚焦 一、财信研究观点 【市场策略】三 ...

证券研究报告 工程机械 行业深度报告 hyzqdatemark 2026 年 03 月 02 日 证券分析师 王彬鹏 SAC：S1350524090001 wangbinpeng@huayuanstock.com 戴铭余 SAC：S1350524060003 daimingyu@huayuanstock.com 郦悦轩 SAC：S1350524080001 liyuexuan@huayuanstock.com 唐志玮 tangzhiwei@huayuanstock.com 林高凡 lingaofan@huayuanstock.com 工程机械行业深度报告 投资评级： 看好（首次） ——七十年艰苦奋斗路，两周期寰宇立潮头 投资要点： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 图表目录 工程机械的行业逻辑是怎样的？工程机械是国民经济建设的重要支柱产业，2024 年 全球工程机械行业规模达 2135 亿美元，其中中国市场规模为 234 亿美元，占比 11%。 挖掘机械、装载机、起重机械产品价值量分列前三，占行业整体超 60%份额。上游 成本中原材料占比最高，液压系统是价值核心。行业根本需求逻辑或来自国内下游 新增 ...

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2026年2月28日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 中聯重科股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2026年3月2日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 01157 | 說明 | H股 | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 1,552,507,548 | RMB | | 1 RMB | | 1,552,507,548 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | RMB | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 1,552,507,548 | RMB | | 1 RMB | | 1,552,507,548 | | 2. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | A ...

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call on Engineering Machinery Industry Industry Overview - The engineering machinery industry is experiencing a potential recovery due to the nearing update cycle of excavators in China, combined with emission constraints and accelerated second-hand machinery exports, leading to a possible lower actual ownership than market expectations [1][2] - The "artificial substitution" logic continues to drive demand, with room for growth in excavator ownership compared to developed countries, particularly as urbanization progresses and maintenance needs increase [1][3] Core Insights and Arguments - The domestic equipment update cycle typically spans 8-10 years, with a significant portion of excavators entering a phase of extended usage and maintenance costs, indicating a need for gradual updates [2] - The actual ownership of excavators may be tighter than market estimates due to the impact of engine updates and emission constraints, as well as accelerated second-hand exports, which could lead to a steeper demand curve if recovery occurs [2] - The shift in construction demand from "earthwork" to "non-excavation" categories, such as truck cranes and crawler cranes, suggests a potential expansion of investment into tower cranes and subsequent maintenance phases [1][4] Export Trends - A notable increase in engineering machinery exports is expected by the end of 2025, with an estimated growth rate of approximately 14% for the year, driven by changes in tariff policies and enhanced competitiveness of Chinese companies [5][6] - The demand for overseas mining machinery is supported not only by commodity prices but also by the sustained urbanization efforts in resource-rich countries, providing ongoing support for engineering machinery demand [7] Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and Market Influence - China's FDI growth, particularly in Belt and Road Initiative countries, has increased Chinese participation in local mining and energy projects, thereby boosting demand for engineering machinery [8][9] Market Signals and Demand Recovery - Recent surveys indicate a more optimistic outlook for equipment purchases in the U.S. market, with a decrease in contractors planning to refrain from buying equipment, suggesting a structural improvement in demand [10][12] - In Europe, particularly Germany, there are positive signals with engineering machinery orders showing an 18% year-on-year increase, indicating a better-than-expected performance [13] Rental Market and Recovery Indicators - The domestic tower crane rental market shows signs of recovery, with rental rates and utilization rates reaching their highest levels in three years, indicating a potential upward trend in demand [14] Future Catalysts - Key catalysts for future growth include domestic macro and industrial policies, global commodity price trends, and the expansion of data center construction in Southeast Asia, which may drive additional demand for engineering machinery [15][16] Sector and Stock Recommendations - The focus is on three main categories: complete machinery (e.g., SANY, XCMG), components (e.g., Hengli Hydraulic), and general equipment (e.g., Anhui Heli). The order of benefits will depend on the timing of demand recovery in emerging markets versus developed markets [17]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call focuses on the **engineering machinery industry** and its outlook for **2026**. The industry is expected to experience a mild recovery, with significant potential for growth driven by various factors, including seasonal demand and policy support [1][4]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Demand Surge in 2026**: The traditional peak season for engineering machinery in China (March-April) is likely to exceed expectations due to higher market share aspirations from manufacturers and diversified sales strategies [1][2]. - **Improvement in Payment Collection**: Since August 2024, payment collection has improved from a range of 30%-40% to nearly 50%, indicating a shift from a critical balance state to a more sustainable one [3]. - **Sales Growth Projections**: The domestic sales growth for engineering machinery in 2026 is projected to be between **5%-10%** under baseline conditions, with potential increases to **10%-20%** if unconventional sales methods like "turning to export" and operating leases are considered [4][5]. - **Export Performance**: The unexpected export growth in 2025 was primarily driven by demand from regions such as Africa, the Middle East, and Indonesia, particularly for large excavators, which have significantly higher profit margins compared to other products [6][7]. Additional Important Content - **Risks and Challenges**: Key risks include exchange rate fluctuations and the impact of Russia's scrappage tax on short-term export volatility [9][10]. - **Cost Structure and Material Prices**: The impact of rising raw material prices on manufacturers is manageable, as direct materials constitute a relatively low percentage of total costs, and the ability to pass on costs is limited [11]. - **Valuation Trends**: Leading manufacturers are currently valued at around **20 times earnings**, with potential for further upward adjustment due to improved asset quality and shareholder returns [12][13]. - **Stock Selection Recommendations**: The focus for stock selection includes major manufacturers such as SANY, Zoomlion, XCMG, LiuGong, and Shantui, as well as component suppliers like Hengli Hydraulic [14]. This summary encapsulates the essential insights and projections regarding the engineering machinery industry, highlighting both opportunities and risks as the sector approaches 2026.

Group 1: Macro and Strategy Insights - The macro view for March indicates a gradual improvement in risk appetite, influenced by external factors such as the Iran conflict and expectations surrounding the US-China summit, which may lead to a more neutral market impact [7] - The strategy perspective suggests that the market lacks a clear main line, with a tendency for continued oscillation, recommending a flexible approach while waiting for trend opportunities [8] - The quantitative view highlights the absence of a main line in March, with market capitalization expected to decline further, presenting a potential opportunity for positioning [9] Group 2: March Gold Stock Portfolio - The selected gold stock portfolio for March includes: - Electronics: Shiyun Circuit - Consumer Electronics: Hongrida - Communication: Kexin Innovation Source - Media: Perfect World - Light Industry: Yingke Regeneration - Chemicals: Xinfengming - Coal: Hengyuan Coal Power - Non-ferrous: Salt Lake Co. - Machinery: Zoomlion - Agriculture: Youran Animal Husbandry [11] - The rationale for Shiyun Circuit is its deep ties with Tesla and potential benefits from emerging fields such as commercial aerospace and intelligent driving, which could lead to significant growth opportunities [11] - Hongrida is transitioning its focus towards AI chip cooling and optical communication, with expectations for substantial production scale in 2026, driven by recent advancements in 3D printing technology [14][15] - Kexin Innovation Source is positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for AI liquid cooling solutions, with anticipated breakthroughs in both domestic and international markets [18][19] - Perfect World is expected to see revenue growth from its game "Yihuan," with projections indicating potential earnings exceeding market expectations [22][24] - Yingke Regeneration is forecasted to experience accelerated revenue growth due to the rising demand for easy-install plastic wall panels and the operational efficiency of its Vietnamese base [26][29] - Xinfengming is anticipated to benefit from a recovery in polyester filament profitability, supported by a slowdown in industry capacity expansion [32] - Hengyuan Coal Power is viewed as a premium coking coal asset, with expected price increases driven by global supply constraints [36][39] - Salt Lake Co. is expected to benefit from rising lithium prices and strong demand for potassium fertilizers, enhancing its market valuation [43][44] - Zoomlion is positioned for growth through its diversified machinery offerings and global expansion strategies, with a focus on non-excavation machinery [48][50] - Youran Animal Husbandry is set to benefit from a cyclical recovery in raw milk prices and beef cattle, with significant growth potential in both its raw milk and cattle businesses [55][56]

证券研究报告·公司深度研究·工程机械 徐工机械（000425） 中国工程机械龙头，矿机成套打开第二增长 曲线 买入（首次） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 92,848 | 91,660 | 105,319 | 118,657 | 134,836 | | 同比（%） | (1.03) | (1.28) | 14.90 | 12.66 | 13.64 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 5,326 | 5,976 | 7,016 | 9,028 | 11,866 | | 同比（%） | 23.51 | 12.20 | 17.40 | 28.68 | 31.44 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.45 | 0.51 | 0.60 | 0.77 | 1.01 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 27.04 | 24.10 | 20.53 | 15.95 | 12.14 | [Table_Tag] [Tabl ...

智通财经APP获悉，西南证券发布研报称，1月挖机与装载机内外销高增，"更新周期+外需拉动"仍是主 因。展望2026年，在更积极的财政政策带动基建落地、欧洲建筑业企稳、新兴市场高景气延续的共振 下，继续关注内需更新与出海逻辑。维持工程机械板块"看好"评级，建议重点布局整机厂龙头与核心零 部件企业。 地产方面，2025全年地产投资同比减少17.2%，新开工面积同比减少20.4%，销售面积同比减少8.7%， 价格与资金面仍偏弱。工程机械国内需求主要来自电力/水利/铁路等基建的实物工作量与设备更新，春 节后将迎来销售旺季，叠加政策催化、更新替换、海内外新增量共同驱动，建议关注工程机械板块结构 性机遇。 重点标的：(1)主机厂：中联重科(000157.SZ)、三一重工(600031.SH)、徐工机械(000425.SZ)、柳工 (000528.SZ)；(2)核心零部件：恒立液压(601100.SH)、艾迪精密(603638.SH)、福事特(301446.SZ)；(3)高 空/仓储/叉车等：浙江鼎力(603338.SH)、安徽合力(600761.SH)、杭叉集团(603298.SH)、中力股份 (603194.SH)。 ...