Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Tencent Holdings [5] Core Views - Tencent is focusing on AI iteration, with its app "Tencent Yuanbao" ranking among the top three AI native apps in China, achieving 41.64 million MAU as of March 2025 [1] - The company reported a steady revenue growth of approximately 660.3 billion RMB for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 8%, with a gross margin improvement from 48% in 2023 to 53% in 2024 [1][2] - Non-GAAP net profit for 2024 is estimated at around 222.7 billion RMB, reflecting a 41% year-on-year growth [1] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, Tencent's domestic game revenue grew by 10% to 139.7 billion RMB, driven by popular titles such as "Valorant" and "League of Legends Mobile" [2] - Advertising revenue increased by 20% year-on-year to 121.4 billion RMB, while financial technology and enterprise services revenue grew by 4% to 212.0 billion RMB [2] AI Development - Tencent's capital expenditure reached 76.76 billion RMB in 2024, indicating a strong commitment to AI development [2] - The company has invested heavily in self-developed foundational models, achieving top rankings on multiple platforms in 2024 [2] - Daily active users (DAU) for Tencent Yuanbao surged 20 times in early 2024, positioning it as the third-largest AI application [2] Future Projections - Revenue projections for Tencent are estimated at 719.2 billion RMB for 2025, with non-GAAP net profit expected to be around 249.4 billion RMB [3] - The report sets a target price of 566 HKD for Tencent, corresponding to a 20x P/E ratio for 2025 [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Tencent Holdings is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [2][6][20] Core Views - For Q1 2025, Tencent is expected to achieve revenue of 176.5 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 11%. The growth is driven by strong performance in gaming, advertising, and a slight recovery in financial technology [4][7][8] - The gaming segment is projected to generate 56.1 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 17%. The domestic gaming revenue is expected to grow by 18%, supported by stable performance from established games and the success of new titles [4][12][18] - Advertising revenue is anticipated to reach 31.3 billion yuan, reflecting an 18% year-on-year growth, driven by the release of advertising inventory and advancements in advertising technology [4][16] - Financial technology and enterprise services are expected to generate 55 billion yuan, with a 5% year-on-year increase, primarily from payment services [5][17] Summary by Sections Revenue Forecast - Total revenue for Q1 2025 is projected at 176.5 billion yuan, an 11% increase from the previous year. The breakdown includes: - Value-added services: 87.8 billion yuan, up 12% - Online games: 56.1 billion yuan, up 17% - Advertising: 31.3 billion yuan, up 18% - Financial technology and enterprise services: 55 billion yuan, up 5% [9][10][19] Profitability - Non-IFRS net profit is expected to be 60.9 billion yuan, a 21% increase year-on-year, with a net profit margin of 34.5% [5][8][9] Growth Drivers - The growth in gaming is attributed to the solid performance of established titles like "Peacekeeper Elite" and the rising popularity of new games such as "Delta Action," which has surpassed 12 million daily active users [4][18] - Advertising growth is supported by the steady increase in video traffic and the opening of more ad slots, with current ad loading rates at 4% [4][16] - Financial technology growth is linked to the recovery in offline consumption and increased demand for cloud services, with expectations for accelerated growth in Q2 2025 [5][17] Long-term Outlook - The report highlights significant long-term growth potential in areas such as WeChat e-commerce and AI-driven applications, which are not fully reflected in current profit forecasts. Adjusted net profit estimates for 2025-2027 are 251.5 billion, 282.6 billion, and 312.6 billion yuan, respectively [6][20]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Tencent Holdings (0700.HK) [1][28] Core Insights - The core business continues to show strong growth, with operational leverage being released [1] - The report anticipates a revenue of 1,778 billion RMB for Q1 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 11% [7][27] - The expected non-IFRS net profit for Q1 2025 is 617 billion RMB, reflecting a 23% year-over-year growth [7][27] Financial Forecasts - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 7,243 billion RMB, 7,891 billion RMB, and 8,604 billion RMB respectively [27][28] - Non-IFRS net profit estimates for the same period are 2,554 billion RMB, 2,891 billion RMB, and 3,235 billion RMB respectively [27][28] - The report predicts a non-IFRS EPS of 28 RMB, 31 RMB, and 35 RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [27][28] Business Segment Performance Gaming - Expected revenue growth of 18% year-over-year for Q1 2025, with domestic and overseas growth rates of 19% and 17% respectively [8][12] - Strong performance from long-standing games during the Spring Festival period [11][12] Marketing Services - Anticipated revenue growth of 20% year-over-year for Q1 2025, driven by strong performance in video accounts, mini-programs, and search ads [18][19] - AI continues to enhance marketing services, improving ad targeting and conversion rates [25] Financial Technology and Enterprise Services - Expected revenue growth of 5% year-over-year for Q1 2025, with improvements in payment services and healthy growth in wealth management and small loans [26] - Cloud business potential is expected to accelerate in Q2 2025 [26] Valuation and Target Price - The report assigns a target market value of 5.0 trillion RMB (5.4 trillion HKD) for Tencent Holdings, corresponding to a target price of 603 HKD [28][29]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong technology stocks continue to weaken, with JD.com (09618.HK) and Xiaomi Group (01810.HK) both dropping over 5% [1] - Alibaba (09988.HK) has seen a decline of over 4% [1] - Tencent Holdings (00700.HK) has decreased by nearly 3% [1]

Group 1: Market Activity - Net inflows into various stocks include 791 million HKD into the Tracker Fund, 747 million HKD into Tencent, and 523 million HKD into Meituan, while net outflows include 792 million HKD from SMIC and 520 million HKD from Xiaomi [1] - Southbound funds have continuously net bought Meituan for 8 days, totaling 5.20617 billion HKD, and China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) for 8 days, totaling 3.79839 billion HKD [1] Group 2: Stock Performance - Alibaba saw a decrease of 1.6% with a net outflow of 200 million HKD, while SMIC dropped by 4.5% with a net inflow of 265 million HKD [4] - Tencent experienced a slight increase of 0.4% with a net inflow of 275 million HKD, and Meituan rose by 0.6% with a net inflow of 312 million HKD [4] Group 3: Company Developments - Tencent is recommended as a top pick in the internet services sector due to its limited revenue exposure in the U.S. and potential benefits from domestic consumption stimulus policies [5] - Meituan launched a new instant retail brand "Meituan Flash Purchase," aimed at meeting daily shopping needs for consumers across nearly 3,000 regions in China [5] - China Mobile has launched the first "Four-in-One" computing power network scheduling platform, enhancing efficiency by 20% and supporting a significant scale of computing power [6] Group 4: Industry Insights - The long-term outlook for gold investment is positive due to increasing political instability in the U.S. and the weakening of the dollar's credit and international status [6]

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index opened up by 0.87%, reaching 21,603.52 points [1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 0.85% [1] - Alibaba and Tencent Music both rose over 3%, while Tencent Holdings and Kuaishou increased by over 2% [1]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market opened with the Hang Seng Index rising by 0.87% and the Tech Index increasing by 0.85% [1] - Major tech stocks opened higher, with Alibaba (09988.HK) up by 3.33% and Tencent Holdings (00700.HK) up by 2.33% [1]

从中证港股通TMT主题指数持仓的市场板块来看，香港证券交易所占比100.00%。 金融界4月14日消息，上证指数高开高走，中证港股通TMT主题指数 (港股通 TMT，931026)报3779.79 点。 数据统计显示，中证港股通TMT主题指数近一个月下跌15.91%，近三个月上涨17.12%，年至今上涨 10.96%。 据了解，中证港股通TMT主题指数从港股通范围内选取50只TMT主题领域的上市公司证券作为指数样 本，以反映相关行业主题上市公司证券的整体表现。该指数以2014年11月14日为基日，以3000.0点为基 点。 从指数持仓来看，中证港股通TMT主题指数十大权重分别为：小米集团-W（18.42%）、中国移动 （14.55%）、腾讯控股（14.29%）、中芯国际（8.82%）、快手-W（5.89%）、长和（4.27%）、中国 电信（3.14%）、联想集团（2.72%）、中国联通（2.06%）、中国铁塔（1.97%）。 从中证港股通TMT主题指数持仓样本的行业来看，电子占比27.07%、电信服务占比25.06%、传媒占比 24.99%、半导体占比10.93%、计算机占比8.78%、通信设备及技术服务占比 ...

智通财经APP获悉，今天，知名投资人段永平突然发文称，将相当长一段时间不再上雪球。在此之前， 他曾多次表达出对市场的看好，透露了自己抄底了腾讯(00700)等公司。不仅如此，近期大量资金借助 ETF等方式涌入港股市场，多只ETF份额频创历史新高。多家机构表示，在近期调整后，港股的估值水 平已处于历史低位，长期配置价值显现。 具体来看，公募加仓金额前20大个股中，港股通标的占据6席，合计加仓规模达522.11亿元。其中，腾 讯控股是公募长期重仓的港股龙头，凸显互联网龙头在估值修复中的吸引力。 申万宏源策略团队最新研报表示，在市场大幅调整之际，中国资产再次回到相对全球具备良好性价比的 估值位置。市场可能迎来一个重要的中长期周期低点，继续看好后续港股回调后的中期投资机会。 以港股科技ETF(513020)来看，该ETF主要跟踪中证港股通科技指数，成分股涵盖互联网+生物医药+新 能源车等科技龙头，权重股包括阿里巴巴、小米集团、腾讯控股等互联网龙头。4月10日，资金也借道 该ETF流入港股，港股科技ETF大涨超6.5%，盘中成交额持续放大。 此外恒生指数ETF(513600)也上涨3.95%，资金净流入额均位居同类第一 ...

港股科技股回暖，小米集团(01810.HK)涨近7%，腾讯控股(00700.HK)、阿里巴巴(09988.HK)、哔哩哔哩 (09626.HK)涨超4%。 ...