Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the industry, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities in the sector [2]. Core Insights - The report discusses the recent issuance of the "Notice on Improving the Capacity Price Mechanism on the Generation Side" by the National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration, aimed at addressing the challenges in the development of adjustable power sources amid the transition to a new energy system [2]. - The report highlights the need for a refined capacity pricing mechanism to ensure the economic viability of coal, gas, pumped storage, and new energy storage sources, which are essential for balancing the supply and demand of renewable energy [2]. - The report emphasizes the differentiation in capacity pricing for four types of adjustable power sources, aiming to optimize revenue logic and ensure fair competition across regions [2]. - A key breakthrough is the establishment of a unified compensation mechanism for reliable capacity, which standardizes compensation across different types of power generation units based on their peak supply capabilities [2]. - The report suggests that the improved pricing mechanism will stabilize investment expectations in the power sector, ensuring a balance between energy security and the integration of renewable energy [2]. Summary by Sections Capacity Pricing Mechanism - The report outlines the necessity of improving the capacity pricing mechanism to address the issues of supply-demand mismatch and insufficient adaptation of existing mechanisms [2]. - It identifies three major problems with the current system, including declining utilization hours for coal power and the lack of cost constraints for pumped storage pricing [2]. Differentiated Pricing Strategy - The report details the differentiated optimization of capacity pricing for adjustable power sources, allowing local authorities to set prices based on specific factors such as discharge duration and peak contribution [2]. - It introduces a "new and old distinction" strategy for pumped storage, maintaining existing pricing for older plants while implementing a unified pricing mechanism for new projects [2]. Unified Compensation Mechanism - The report introduces a reliable capacity compensation mechanism that standardizes compensation across different generation units, promoting rational investment and resource allocation in the power sector [2]. - This mechanism aims to link revenue to the actual contribution of each type of power generation unit, encouraging efficiency and technological improvements [2]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends several companies for investment, including coal power companies like Guodian Power and Inner Mongolia Huadian, as well as hydropower companies such as Yangtze Power and State Power Investment [2][3].

公用事业行业 行业研究 | 行业周报 新建新型储能容量电价，多元电价体系逐 步完善 公用事业行业周报（2026.01.26-2026.01.30） 核心观点 投资建议与投资标的 国家/地区 中国 行业 公用事业行业 报告发布日期 2026 年 02 月 01 日 孙辉贤 执业证书编号：S0860525090003 sunhuixian@orientsec.com.cn 021-63326320 | 火电电量降幅收窄，基金持仓底部提升： | 2026-01-25 | | --- | --- | | 公 用 事 业 行 业 周 报 （2026.01.19- | | | 2026.01.23） | | | 气温拖累单月电量，26 年有望平稳增长： | 2026-01-18 | | 公 用 事 业 行 业 周 报 （2026.01.12- | | | 2026.01.16） | | | 长协电价风险落地，结算电价有望好于预 | 2026-01-11 | | 期 ： 公 用 事 业 行 业 周 报 （2026.01.05- | | | 2026.01.09） | | 有关分析师的申明，见本报告最后部分。其他重要信息披露 ...

公用事业行业 行业研究 | 行业周报 新建新型储能容量电价，多元电价体系逐 步完善 公用事业行业周报（2026.01.26-2026.01.30） 核心观点 投资建议与投资标的 国家/地区 中国 行业 公用事业行业 报告发布日期 2026 年 02 月 01 日 孙辉贤 执业证书编号：S0860525090003 sunhuixian@orientsec.com.cn 021-63326320 | 火电电量降幅收窄，基金持仓底部提升： | 2026-01-25 | | --- | --- | | 公 用 事 业 行 业 周 报 （2026.01.19- | | | 2026.01.23） | | | 气温拖累单月电量，26 年有望平稳增长： | 2026-01-18 | | 公 用 事 业 行 业 周 报 （2026.01.12- | | | 2026.01.16） | | | 长协电价风险落地，结算电价有望好于预 | 2026-01-11 | | 期 ： 公 用 事 业 行 业 周 报 （2026.01.05- | | | 2026.01.09） | | 有关分析师的申明，见本报告最后部分。其他重要信息披露 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the growth and trends in China's electricity generation industry, with specific data on production and year-on-year changes [1]. Group 1: Industry Overview - As of December 2025, China's electricity generation volume reached 8,586 billion kilowatt-hours, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 0.1% [1]. - Cumulatively, China's electricity generation for the year 2025 is projected to be 97,158.8 billion kilowatt-hours, indicating a cumulative growth of 2.2% [1]. Group 2: Companies Involved - The report mentions several listed companies in the electricity sector, including Huaneng International (600011), Datang Power (601991), Guodian Power (600795), Huadian International (600027), and others [1]. Group 3: Research and Consulting - The insights are derived from a report by Zhiyan Consulting, which specializes in industry research and provides comprehensive consulting services for investment decisions [1].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the procurement announcement for the climate feasibility study report preparation service for the Jiangxi Huadian Jishui 2×1000MW coal power project, which aims to establish two 1000MW ultra-supercritical coal-fired units in Jishui County, Jiangxi Province [1][10]. Procurement Details - Procurement Number: GX-202601-006043 [1] - Procurement Name: Climate feasibility study report preparation service for Jiangxi Huadian Jishui 2×1000MW coal power project [1] - Procurement Unit: Huadian Jiangxi Power Generation Co., Ltd. [1] - Procurement Method: Open inquiry procurement [1] - Procurement Type: Service [1] - Quotation Deadline: February 5, 2026, at 12:00 [1] - Service Start Date: February 27, 2026 [1] - Service Fee: 1.5% for service and goods projects, 1.2% for engineering projects, payable within ten days after receiving the service fee notification [1][10]. Supplier Qualifications - Suppliers must be legally registered independent entities in China with the ability to undertake civil responsibilities and contract rights [2][11]. - Suppliers must not be under production suspension, bankruptcy, or have their business licenses revoked [2][11]. - Suppliers must not be listed as serious violators of trust in the national enterprise credit information public system [2][12]. - Joint bids are not allowed for this project [2][12]. - Suppliers must have at least one similar performance record since January 1, 2020, and provide relevant documentation [3][12]. Procurement Process - Step 1: Registration on the Huadian Group e-commerce platform [4][13]. - Step 2: Online application through the platform [4][13]. - Step 3: Application for a mobile digital certificate [4][13]. - Step 4: Downloading the supplier client and operation manual [5][14]. - Submission of electronic response documents through the supplier client to the Huadian Group e-commerce platform [6][15]. Contact Information - Procurement Contact: Li Xiaozhang, Phone: 13607317450 [16]. - Agency Contact: Yang Cheng, Wang Hui, Phones: 15110555570, 17602397545 [16].

Core Insights - China has achieved significant advancements in wind power technology, including the development of a 26 MW offshore wind turbine, the highest elevation wind project at 5,370 meters, and the furthest offshore wind project at a distance of 85.5 kilometers [1][2] Group 1: Technological Achievements - The 26 MW offshore wind turbine has a hub height equivalent to over 50 stories and a swept area larger than 10.5 standard football fields [1] - The highest elevation wind project, located in Tibet, utilizes a single blade hoisting technology for the first time above 5,000 meters [1] - The Jiangsu Dafeng 800 MW offshore wind project marks a breakthrough in deep-sea wind power development, with its farthest point located 85.5 kilometers offshore [1] Group 2: Industry Growth and Projections - By 2025, the wind power generation capacity in China is expected to exceed 1 trillion kilowatt-hours, accounting for 10.8% of the national industrial power generation [1] - The installed wind power capacity in China is projected to reach 640 million kilowatts by the end of 2025, representing over 16% of the total power generation capacity [1] - The wind power industry has transitioned from "catching up" to "leading" in global terms, with approximately half of the world's wind power capacity now located in China [1] Group 3: Economic Impact - China's wind power equipment exports account for 70% of the global market, with products reaching over 60 countries and regions [2] - The annual output value of China's wind power industry is approximately 1.2 trillion yuan, supporting over 2 million direct and indirect jobs [2] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" aims to accelerate the construction of integrated renewable energy bases, with an expected addition of over 200 million kilowatts of wind and solar power capacity by 2026 [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the public utility sector, indicating an expected investment return exceeding 15% over the next 6-12 months [5]. Core Insights - The public utility sector saw a 2.27% increase this week, ranking 15th among 31 sectors, while the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.84% [21]. - The total electricity market transaction volume for 2025 reached 66,394 billion kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year increase of 7.4%, accounting for 64.0% of total social electricity consumption [2][15]. - The peak electricity load in the country surpassed 1.4 billion kilowatts for the first time in winter, reaching 1.417 billion kilowatts due to a cold wave [2][15]. - The report highlights significant profit growth for companies like Qianyuan Power, which expects a net profit of 567-633 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 160%-190% [10]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The public utility sector's performance this week included a 2.71% increase in thermal power, a 7.21% increase in photovoltaic power, and a 4.56% increase in energy comprehensive services [21]. - Domestic and imported coal prices have decreased, with domestic coal prices dropping to below 700 yuan per ton [2][12]. Key Events - The report notes that the annual long-term contract bidding results are being disclosed, with expectations of reasonable outcomes due to the decline in coal prices [3]. - The average on-grid electricity price for 2025 is projected to be around 513.29 yuan per megawatt-hour, reflecting a slight increase compared to the previous year [11]. Company Performance - Companies like Longxin Technology and Guangdong Power A are expected to see significant profit growth, while Guangdong Power A anticipates a decline in profits by 21.45%-40.12% [10][11]. - The report suggests focusing on national thermal power operators such as Huaneng International and Guodian Power, which are expected to maintain stable dividends [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the power and gas sectors, indicating a favorable investment environment for renewable energy and gas companies [2][3]. Core Insights - The report highlights a slight increase in overall power generation in 2025, primarily driven by wind and solar energy contributions, while traditional coal power generation shows a decline [8][9]. - The extreme cold weather in the U.S. has led to a significant spike in natural gas prices due to increased demand and supply constraints [18][22]. - The report suggests various investment opportunities across different segments of the energy sector, including coal power, hydropower, nuclear power, renewable energy, and gas companies [18][43]. Summary by Sections 1. Power Generation - In December 2025, total power generation was 858.6 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 0.1%. Coal power generation decreased by 3.2%, while renewable sources like wind and solar saw significant growth [10][11]. - For the entire year of 2025, total power generation reached 9715.9 billion kWh, up 2.2% from the previous year, with coal power down by 1.0% and solar power up by 24.4% [15][19]. 2. Natural Gas - As of January 23, 2026, the Henry Hub spot price surged to $30.72/mmBtu, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 903.53%. European gas prices also rose significantly due to low inventory levels and increased demand [20][28]. - The report notes that the extreme cold weather has tightened supply and demand dynamics, leading to higher global gas prices, particularly in Europe and Northeast Asia [22][37]. 3. Investment Recommendations - For coal power, companies like Guodian Power and Inner Mongolia Huadian are recommended due to their integrated coal and power operations [18]. - Hydropower companies such as Yangtze Power and State Power Investment Corporation are favored due to favorable conditions for energy storage and reduced capital expenditures [19]. - Nuclear power companies like China National Nuclear Power and China General Nuclear Power are highlighted for their stable cost structures and growth potential [18]. - Renewable energy operators such as Xinte Energy and Longyuan Power are recommended as new market rules enhance the stability of returns [18]. - Gas companies like Kunlun Energy and New Hope Liuhe are suggested for their potential recovery in profitability due to cost reductions and improved pricing mechanisms [43].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Buy" [2] Core Insights - The transition towards cleaner electricity generation is accelerating, highlighting the value of sector dividends [1] - The overall electricity consumption in 2025 is projected to grow by 5.0%, with significant contributions from the tertiary sector and urban-rural residents [3][15] - The generation capacity is shifting towards wind and solar, with these sources contributing 90.1% of the total generation increase in 2025 [3][15] - The annual long-term electricity prices are stabilizing, with expectations for improved pricing dynamics in 2026 [3][15] - Investment opportunities are emerging in thermal and hydropower sectors, emphasizing the defensive attributes of the sector [3][15] Summary by Sections Electricity Consumption - In 2025, total electricity consumption is expected to reach 10.37 trillion kWh, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5.0% [15] - The contribution from the tertiary sector and urban-rural residents is projected to rise, accounting for 50.2% of the total increase in electricity consumption by 2025 [3][15] - The growth rates for different sectors in 2025 are as follows: primary industry +9.9%, secondary industry +3.7%, tertiary industry +8.2%, and urban-rural residents +6.3% [15][27] Generation Capacity - The total installed capacity of wind and solar is expected to increase by 360 GW, while the share of thermal power is projected to decrease to 40% [3][15] - In 2025, the generation increase from wind and solar is expected to dominate, with a significant contribution to the overall power generation structure [3][15] Electricity Pricing - The report indicates a downward trend in electricity prices in several provinces, with expectations for stabilization as the market matures [3][15] - The market share of electricity traded through market mechanisms is projected to reach 64.0% in 2025, with a notable increase in green electricity transactions [3][15] Investment Opportunities - The report highlights several companies with strong dividend yields and market management strategies, including Huaneng International Power and Huadian International Power [3][15] - There are also opportunities in hydropower, particularly for companies like Yangtze Power and Guigang Power, which are expected to see profit growth in the coming quarters [3][15]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the electricity sector is "Maintain Buy" [5] Core Insights - The electricity sector's holdings by active funds have slightly decreased, while index funds have seen a slight increase. The overall holding ratio for both types of funds is at a low point, indicating potential for future increases [11][4] - Southern Power Grid plans to invest CNY 180 billion in fixed assets for 2026, marking a historical high for five consecutive years, with an average annual growth rate of 9.5% over the past five years [3][11] - The investment will focus on three areas: new power system construction, strategic emerging industry development, and enhancement of quality power supply services [3][11] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4136.16 points, up 0.84%, while the CSI 300 Index closed at 4702.5 points, down 0.62%. The CITIC Power and Utilities Index closed at 3177.58 points, up 2.24%, outperforming the CSI 300 Index by 2.86 percentage points [65][66] - Active funds' holdings in the power and utilities sector decreased to 0.61% by the end of Q4 2025, down 1.31 percentage points year-on-year and 0.03 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [11][12] 2. Fund Allocation Changes - The top five stocks with increased allocation by active funds in Q4 2025 include: - Jiantou Energy (+1.00 percentage points) - Zhongmin Energy (+0.35 percentage points) - Jingneng Power (+0.29 percentage points) - Inner Mongolia Huadian (+0.25 percentage points) - Huaneng International (+0.20 percentage points) [12] - The top five stocks with decreased allocation include: - Xinnatural Gas (-0.46 percentage points) - Datang New Energy (-0.39 percentage points) - Huadian International Power (-0.35 percentage points) - Funiu Co. (-0.33 percentage points) - Huadian International (-0.28 percentage points) [12] 3. Investment Plans - Southern Power Grid's investment plan for 2026 includes CNY 180 billion, focusing on new power systems and supporting the integration of 40 million kilowatts of new energy installations [3][11] - The investment will also support the construction of cross-regional projects, such as the Yangjiang Sanshan Island offshore wind power project and the Cangyu DC project, which aims to optimize energy allocation [15][11] 4. Market Trends - The coal price for thermal power has decreased to CNY 691 per ton [16] - The carbon market saw a price increase of 3.18% week-on-week, with a trading volume of 2.4252 million tons and a total transaction value of CNY 176 million [60][61] 5. Key Stocks - Recommended stocks include: - Huaneng International (Buy) - Huadian International (Buy) - Guodian Power (Buy) - Datang Power (Buy) - Inner Mongolia Huadian (Buy) - Shaanxi Energy (Buy) [4][8]