Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the basic chemical industry, indicating an expectation that the industry index will outperform the market index by more than 10% over the next six months [25]. Core Insights - The basic chemical industry index increased by 0.1% in the last two weeks, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.8 percentage points, ranking 16th among 31 Shenwan industries. Year-to-date, the index has risen by 13.1%, surpassing the CSI 300 index by 11.2 percentage points, ranking 6th [2][9]. - Among the sub-sectors, non-metallic materials rose by 6.9%, rubber by 1.7%, plastics by 1.5%, and chemical products by 1.3%. Conversely, agricultural chemicals fell by 2.5%, chemical fibers by 2.1%, and chemical raw materials by 0.8% [10][12]. - A total of 408 listed companies are included in the Shenwan basic chemical index, with 197 companies seeing stock price increases, led by Baichuan Co., Ltd. (61.7%), Wanlang Magnetic Plastic (42.8%), and Vinegar Chemical (35.9%). Conversely, 209 companies experienced declines, with Zhongnong United (20.8%), Qicai Chemical (15.6%), and Longgao Co., Ltd. (15.3%) showing the largest drops [12][10]. - Key industry news includes the launch of a new water-based adhesive by SABA, which is expected to significantly impact the mattress recycling sector. Additionally, Guangxi Huayi Chlor-Alkali Chemical Co., Ltd. has successfully transitioned its 300,000 tons/year epoxy propane facility into production [17][18]. Summary by Sections Market Review - As of February 12, the Shenwan basic chemical index has shown a 0.1% increase over the past two weeks, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.8 percentage points, and has risen 13.1% year-to-date, outperforming the CSI 300 by 11.2 percentage points [9][2]. Important Company Announcements - Various companies, including Fule New Materials and Foshan Plastics Technology, have made announcements regarding internal investment structure adjustments and property leasing [18]. Key Industry News - The report highlights significant developments such as the introduction of a new adhesive product by SABA and the successful transition of major chemical production facilities into operational phases [17][18]. Weekly Industry Perspective - The report notes that the Producer Price Index (PPI) for January showed a year-on-year decrease of 5.0% in the chemical raw materials and products manufacturing sector, while it increased by 0.6% month-on-month. Additionally, BASF is restructuring its global business services to enhance efficiency [21][22].

Core Insights - The rapid iteration of AI technology is driving an increase in chip power consumption, leading to a surge in demand for cooling solutions, particularly liquid cooling technology [1] - Liquid cooling is becoming the preferred solution for AI data centers due to its superior heat exchange efficiency compared to traditional air cooling methods [2] Industry Trends - The demand for liquid cooling technology is expected to grow explosively, driven by the dual forces of AI computing power needs and the green transformation of intelligent computing centers [1][2] - Liquid cooling systems can reduce the Power Usage Effectiveness (PUE) of data centers to 1.05, approaching the theoretical limit [2] Market Dynamics - Major fluorochemical and organic silicon companies are entering the liquid cooling market, indicating a significant shift in the industry landscape [3] - Domestic companies are positioned to capture market share as foreign production capacity contracts, creating opportunities for local enterprises [2][3] Company Developments - New安股份 has launched a commercial immersion liquid cooling project in Hangzhou, demonstrating the reliability and economic viability of silicon-based cooling materials [5] - 永太科技 has established a foundation for its fluorinated cooling liquid business, with initial small-scale orders contributing to overall revenue [3] - 润禾材料 has achieved mass production of its silicon-based cooling liquid products, which are crucial for data centers and energy storage applications [4][5]

Core Insights - The report identifies liquid cooling as a strategic investment opportunity, potentially replicating the success of optical modules and PCBs, with strong growth prospects driven by AI computing needs and stringent energy efficiency standards [2][3] - Liquid cooling is characterized by three main features: strong growth, complete narrative, and favorable odds, indicating a favorable market environment for investment [2] - The industry is transitioning from speculative hype to a high-growth phase with confirmed orders, as evidenced by significant order increases from key suppliers like Vidi Technology [3] Industry Trends - The liquid cooling industry is entering a high-growth phase with a 252% year-over-year increase in organic orders reported by Vidi Technology, highlighting strong market demand [3] - Major tech companies like NVIDIA and Google are adopting liquid cooling as a mandatory standard for their next-generation platforms, indicating a shift from optional to essential technology in AI computing [3] - The industry is witnessing a wave of mergers and acquisitions, with companies like Liying Intelligent Manufacturing acquiring liquid cooling suppliers to secure positions in the AI server supply chain [3] Liquid Cooling Industry Chain - The liquid cooling industry chain consists of three main segments: upstream components, midstream system integration and manufacturing, and downstream applications [4] - Upstream includes key technologies and components such as cooling fluids and CDU, which have high technical barriers and value [4] - Midstream integrates upstream components to provide complete liquid cooling server solutions, with technical integration capabilities as a core barrier [4] - Downstream focuses on high-performance data center operators and industry users driving the large-scale adoption of liquid cooling [4]

| | | 实际为其提供的 | 是否在前 | 本次担保 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 被担保人名称 | 本次担保金额 | 担保余额（不含 | 期预计额 | 是否有反 | | | | 本次担保金额） | 度内 | 担保 | | 浙江晋巨化工有限公司（以下 简称"晋巨公司"） | 5251.72 万元 | 61782.53 万元 | 是 | 否 | | 宁波巨化化工科技有限公司 | 100 万美元，折合人 | 0 万元 | 是 | 否 | | （以下简称"宁化公司"） | 民币 696.78 万元 | | | | | 甘肃巨化新材料有限公司（以 下简称"甘肃巨化公司"） | 75088.91 万元 | 29750 万元 | 是 | 否 | 证券代码：600160 证券简称：巨化股份 公告编号：临 2026-08 浙江巨化股份有限公司 关于为控股子公司提供担保进展情况的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 担保对象及基本情况 （美元汇率按中国人民银行官网 1 ...

Group 1 - The U.S. International Trade Commission (ITC) issued a final ruling on February 11, 2025, to review and overturn previous decisions regarding Zhejiang Juhua Co., Ltd. due to lack of direct infringement [1] - The ITC decided not to review the initial ruling on January 5, 2026, which terminated the investigation related to U.S. Patent No. 8,337,725 based on the applicant's withdrawal [1] - On December 9, 2025, the ITC corrected the names of companies involved in the case, changing Solvay Specialty Polymers, USA LLC to Syensqo Specialty Polymers, USA LLC, and Solvay Specialty Polymers Italy S.P.A. to Syensqo Specialty Polymers Italy S.P.A. [2] Group 2 - The ITC's final ruling on April 22, 2025, terminated the investigation against Inner Mongolia 3F Wanhao Fluorochemical Industry Co. Ltd. based on a settlement [3] - The ITC initiated an investigation into Certain Polyvinylidene Fluoride Resins on February 14, 2025, under investigation code 337-TA-1439 [3] - A complaint was filed on January 13, 2025, by Synesqo SA and Solvay Specialty Polymers against the import and sale of products violating U.S. Patent No. 8,337,725, requesting exclusion orders [4] Group 3 - The named defendants in the investigations include Zhejiang Sinochem Lantian Co., Ltd., Inner Mongolia 3F Wanhao Fluorochemical Industry Co. Ltd., Zhejiang Juhua Co., Ltd., Zhejiang Fluorine Chemical New Material Co. Ltd., and Hubei Fluorine New Materials Co., Ltd. [5]

Group 1 - Chemical ETF rose by 2.10%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 2.01 percentage points [1] - PTA production cut confirmed by Xin Feng Ming, with 2.5 million tons of PTA capacity being taken offline, indicating a tightening supply which supports the recovery of PTA profit margins [1] - Gotion High-Tech signed a strategic cooperation memorandum with BASF to focus on next-generation solid-state battery technology, with expectations for small-scale production of all-solid-state batteries by CATL in 2027 [1] - Zhejiang Longsheng raised the price of disperse dyes by 2000 yuan/ton, marking a potential turning point in the industry due to supply discipline and cost anchoring [1] Group 2 - The 14th Five-Year Plan will promote carbon peak measures, with restrictions on high-energy-consuming products expected to be implemented, indicating a clearer turning point for the chemical industry [2] - The real estate sector is showing signs of stabilization, particularly in first-tier cities, which may lead to a gradual recovery in the industry, highlighting investment opportunities in the chemical real estate chain [2] - The CSI sub-industry chemical theme index (000813) rose by 2.32%, with significant gains in stocks such as Xinzhou Bang (up 8.16%) and Tongkun Co. (up 7.82%) [2] Group 3 - As of January 30, 2026, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI sub-industry chemical theme index (000813) accounted for 44.82% of the index, including Wanhua Chemical and Yilong Co. [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights a strong performance in the chemical sector, particularly in phosphates, fluorochemicals, and chemical raw materials, with the CSI sub-industry index rising by 2.91% as of February 11, 2026 [1] - The PC market is entering a new price increase cycle driven by a tight supply-demand balance, with domestic PC industry capacity utilization reaching a critical limit of 86% and no clear new capacity expected to come online in 2026 [1] - Major production facilities are undergoing maintenance, leading to a potential supply loss of 100,000 tons in the first half of the year, while upstream bisphenol A prices have risen from 7,500 CNY/ton to 7,950 CNY/ton in January [1] - The chemical industry is characterized as a typical cyclical sector, usually experiencing a five-year cycle of "profit upturn - capacity expansion - profit bottoming - capacity clearance/demand expectation improvement" [1] - The industry outlook is optimistic due to factors such as negative capital expenditure growth, anti-involution trends, overseas interest rate cuts, and domestic demand expansion, indicating a "dawn" phase for the chemical sector [1] Group 2 - As of January 30, 2026, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI sub-industry chemical index include Wanhua Chemical, Salt Lake Shares, and others, accounting for 44.82% of the total index [2] - The chemical ETF managed by Harvest (159129) closely tracks the CSI sub-industry chemical index, focusing on the new economic cycle under the "anti-involution" backdrop [2] - Investors can also consider the chemical ETF linked fund (013527) to explore investment opportunities in the chemical sector [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the oil and gas sector and the basic chemicals sector [5]. Core Insights - The overall price spread in the industry improved in January, indicating a potential recovery in profitability for 2026, with the CCPI-raw material price spread reaching 2631, up from 2500 at the end of 2025 [1][9]. - The demand for chemical products is shifting from real estate to consumer goods, infrastructure, and emerging technologies, with significant growth potential driven by global economic trends [2][11]. - The capital expenditure growth in the chemical industry has been declining since June 2025, suggesting a supply-side adjustment is approaching, which may lead to improved profitability in the sector [2][16]. Summary by Sections Price Trends - In January, oil prices rose due to geopolitical tensions and strong global crude oil replenishment demand, leading to a slight improvement in the price spread of most chemical products [9][21]. - Major price increases were observed in products like lithium carbonate and butadiene, while some products like methyltrichlorosilane saw price declines due to supply adjustments [3][33]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The January PMI was reported at 49.3, indicating a continued bottoming out in the real estate sector, while consumer goods and major infrastructure showed positive growth [2][11]. - The chemical industry is expected to see a recovery in demand, supported by the exit of high-energy-consuming facilities in Europe and North America, and economic growth in Asia, Africa, and Latin America [2][11][14]. Investment Strategy - The report suggests focusing on sectors with potential recovery, such as oil and gas, basic chemicals, and companies leveraging synthetic biology for cost reduction [32]. - Specific stock recommendations include China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation, Baofeng Energy, and Yun Tianhua, among others, highlighting their potential for growth and profitability [7][32]. Monthly Performance Review - In January, the basic chemical index rose by 12.72%, with significant gains in sub-sectors like dye chemicals and petrochemical raw materials [34][36]. - The report notes that the chemical industry is experiencing a recovery phase, with various sub-sectors showing positive price movements and improved market conditions [34][36].

Market Overview - As of February 6, 2026, the China Petroleum Industry Index (H11057) rose by 2.00%, with key stocks such as Zhejiang Longsheng up 6.18%, Hengyi Petrochemical up 5.01%, and Rongsheng Petrochemical up 4.93% [1] - The Petrochemical ETF (159731) increased by 1.82%, with a latest price of 1.0 yuan and a turnover rate of 10.86% during the trading session [1] - The Petrochemical ETF attracted a total of 1.447 billion yuan in inflows over the past 20 trading days [1] Key News - The previous trading day saw fuel oil prices fluctuate upwards, closing above the moving average. In the Singapore fuel oil spot market, PetroChina and BP purchased three ships of 20,000 tons each of 380cst high-sulfur fuel oil from Sinopec, Shell, and Canon for loading between February 19-23 [2] - The PVC main contract fell by 2.18%, with spot prices decreasing by 40-50 yuan/ton. The price trend and inventory depletion speed depend on the recovery of demand post-Spring Festival. If downstream projects like infrastructure can effectively start, inventory pressure may gradually ease [2] - As of the end of January 2026, domestic PVC social inventory was 1.2064 million tons, a week-on-week increase of 2.45% and a year-on-year increase of 60.54% [2] Global Refining Activity - As of the week ending February 6, global refinery shutdowns totaled approximately 5.4 million barrels per day, a decrease of about 880,000 barrels per day from the previous week, primarily driven by the resumption of activities in Asia [3] - Future global refinery shutdowns are expected to slightly decrease to just above 5 million barrels per day, largely dependent on the restart timing of the Dangote refinery, a key uncertainty in Africa [3] Geopolitical Focus - The situation in Iran is under market scrutiny, with plans for continued negotiations and a significant decrease in the probability of U.S. actions against Iran, leaving Iranian oil supply and the Strait of Hormuz unaffected [3] - The Russia-Ukraine situation shows no significant progress in ceasefire agreements, with ongoing negotiations under pressure from sanctions and reduced Indian purchases affecting Russia's financial position [3] Institutional Insights - CICC believes that the next expected turning point in the oil market may be the production peak of U.S. shale oil, with potential for substantial improvement in market oversupply in the second half of the year, which could provide marginal cost guidance and upward price movement opportunities [4] Popular ETFs - The Petrochemical ETF (159731) and its linked funds (017855/017856) track the China Petroleum Industry Index, focusing on "big energy" security logic. They not only share profits from downstream chemical products but also secure upstream resource value through high allocations to leading refining companies, demonstrating stronger performance resilience during oil price upcycles [5]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Guosen Securities indicates a stable execution of long-term contracts for air conditioning companies in Q1 2026, with rising prices for mainstream refrigerants and a focus on the recovery of fluoropolymer prices due to cost support and supply-demand improvements [1][6]. Group 1: Refrigerant Prices - In Q1 2026, long-term contract prices for mainstream refrigerants are expected to continue rising, with R32 at 61,200 CNY/ton (up 1,000 CNY/ton, +1.66% from Q4 2025) and R410A at 55,100 CNY/ton (up 1,900 CNY/ton, +3.57% from Q4 2025) [1]. - The expected price ranges for the upcoming week are approximately 62,000-63,000 CNY/ton for R32, 55,000-56,000 CNY/ton for R410A, and 56,000-57,000 CNY/ton for R134a [1]. Group 2: Production and Sales Data - In February 2026, total air conditioning production decreased by 31.6% year-on-year, significantly impacted by the timing of the Spring Festival [3]. - Domestic production in February 2026 was 4.555 million units (down 38.1% year-on-year), while export production was 6.93 million units (down 26.5% year-on-year) [3]. Group 3: Fluoropolymer Price Trends - The prices of fluoropolymers are on the rise due to ongoing cost increases and tight supply conditions, with PTFE prices ranging from 42,000 to 45,000 CNY/ton and PVDF prices for coating grade at 54,000-60,000 CNY/ton [4]. - The demand for fluoropolymers remains strong, with pre-holiday stockpiling intentions contributing to upward price pressure [4]. Group 4: Company Profit Forecasts - Companies such as Juhua Co., Ltd. (600160) are expected to achieve a net profit of 3.54-3.94 billion CNY in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 80%-101% [5]. - Yonghe Co., Ltd. (605020) anticipates a net profit of 530-630 million CNY in 2025, with a growth rate of 111%-151% [5]. - Sanmei Co., Ltd. (603379) projects a net profit of 1.99-2.15 billion CNY in 2025, reflecting a growth of 156%-176% [5]. Group 5: Investment Recommendations - The industry is expected to maintain a tight supply-demand balance for mainstream refrigerants like R32, R134a, and R125, with long-term price increases anticipated [6][7]. - Companies with complete industrial chains, advanced technology, and leading refrigerant quotas are recommended for investment, including Juhua Co., Ltd. (600160), Dongyue Group (00189), and Sanmei Co., Ltd. (603379) [8].