风险提示：市场大幅波动风险、样本数据遗漏风险、统计出现偏差风险等。 摘要 西南证券研究院 [Table_Author] 分析师：杨杰峰 执业证号：S1250523060001 电话：18190773632 邮箱：yangjf@swsc.com.cn 分析师：叶昱宏 执业证号：S1250525070010 电话：18223492691 邮箱：yeyuh@swsc.com.cn 联系人：李茂怡 电话：15528164673 邮箱：limaoyi@swsc.com.cn [Table_ReportInfo] 2026 年 02 月 02 日 证券研究报告•固定收益定期报告 债券 ETF 周度跟踪（1.26-1.30） 科创债 ETF：久期为何集体回撤 请务必阅读正文后的重要声明部分 S 各类债券 ETF 资金净流入情况：净流出幅度进一步收窄，资金面有望回归常 态。上周利率债类 ETF、信用债类 ETF、可转债类 ETF净流入资金分别-27.54 亿元、-68.90亿元、+43.95亿元，债券 ETF市场合计净流入金额-52.49亿元。 整体来看，上周债券 ETF资金流入结构延续前周，利率、信用债类 ETF净流 出压 ...

投资者可通过以下途径咨询具体业务： （1） 国联民生证券股份有限公司 客户服务电话: 95570 公司网址：www.glms.com.cn 华宝基金关于华宝可转债债券型证券投资基金新增国联民生证券股份有限公司为代销机构的公告 根据华宝基金管理有限公司（以下简称"本公司"）与国联民生证券股份有限公司（以下简称：国联民生 证券）签署的《证券投资基金销售代理协议》，本公司自2026年02月02日起增加国联民生证券为华宝可 转债债券型证券投资基金（华宝可转债债券:240018；华宝可转债债券C:008817；华宝可转债债券 D:025259）的代销机构。投资者可通过上述代销机构办理华宝可转债债券型证券投资基金的开户、认 购、申赎及其他业务。 华宝基金关于旗下部分基金新增西南证券股份有限公司为代销机构的公告 根据华宝基金管理有限公司（以下简称"本公司"）与西南证券股份有限公司（以下简称"西南证券"）签 署的《证券投资基金销售代理协议》，本公司自2026年02月02日起增加西南证券为以下适用基金的代销 机构。 一、适用基金如下： （2）华宝基金管理有限公司 客户服务电话：400-820-5050、400-700-5588 ...

Group 1 - The company has signed a sales agency agreement with multiple securities firms, including Guosen Securities, Galaxy Securities, Dongwu Securities, Northeast Securities, Nanjing Securities, Shanghai Securities, Guodu Securities, First Capital Securities, Huafu Securities, Caitong Securities, Wanhe Securities, and Kaiyuan Securities, to act as sales agents for the Huabao CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Information Technology Comprehensive Index ETF Initiated Fund (Huabao CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Information Technology ETF Initiated Link: 026755) starting from February 2, 2026 [1] - Investors can open accounts, subscribe, redeem, and conduct other business related to the Huabao CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Information Technology Comprehensive Index ETF Initiated Fund through the aforementioned sales agents [1] Group 2 - The company has also signed a sales agency agreement with Southwest Securities, which will act as a sales agent for applicable funds starting from February 2, 2026 [5] - Investors can perform account opening, subscription, redemption, and other business related to the funds at Southwest Securities [7] Group 3 - The company announced the income distribution for the Huabao Cash Treasure Money Market Fund, stating that income is distributed daily and automatically converted into fund shares at a face value of 1 yuan on the last working day of each month [9] - The cumulative income calculation period is from the last income distribution date to the day before the current income distribution date, with special circumstances to be announced separately [9] - Fund holders are advised to regularly check their account balances, as low balances may result in no income distribution, and they can choose to add fund shares or redeem to avoid asset loss [9]

Market Overview - The securities sector experienced a decline of 1.59% on January 30, with Huazhong Securities leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4117.95, down 0.96%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14205.89, down 0.66% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Notable declines included Huazhong Securities, which fell by 6.90% to a closing price of 7.15, with a trading volume of 1.932 million shares and a turnover of 1.388 billion [2] - Other significant declines included Hualin Securities down 4.07% and Changjiang Securities down 3.67% [2] - In contrast, Tusheng Securities saw a slight increase of 0.92%, closing at 16.40 [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The securities sector saw a net outflow of 2.374 billion from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 739 million [2] - The data indicates that speculative funds had a net inflow of 1.635 billion [2] Detailed Capital Flow by Stock - CITIC Securities had a net inflow of 168 million from institutional investors, while it faced a net outflow of 206 million from speculative funds [3] - Dongwu Securities experienced a net inflow of 26.088 million from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 63.284 million from retail investors [3] - The overall trend shows that while institutional investors are pulling back, retail investors are still actively participating in the market [2][3]

本报记者 周尚伃 作为行业并购重组的标杆，国泰海通2025年预计实现归母净利润275.33亿元至280.06亿元，同比增长111%至115%；预计实 现归母扣非净利润210.53亿元至215.16亿元，同比增长69%至73%。业绩大幅增长的背后，2025年，国泰海通全面提升经营管理 水平，稳中求进、主动作为，平稳高效完成合并交易，有序推动整合融合，充分发挥合并后的品牌优势、规模效应和互补效 应，优化升级零售、机构、企业三大客户服务体系，以提升综合能力实现客户经营"增量扩面、提质增效"，资产规模及经营业 绩创历史新高，财富管理、机构与交易等业务收入同比显著增长，初步实现"1+1＞2"的效果。 从已披露的数据来看，2025年上市券商业绩整体向好，形成了头部券商稳中有进、重组标的爆发增长、中小券商突围发力 的多梯队协同发展格局，高质量发展成效逐步显现。 头部券商业绩稳中有进 2025年，头部券商的规模优势与综合竞争力进一步释放，业绩表现稳中有进。具体来看，中信证券全年实现营业收入748.3 亿元，同比增长28.75%；归母净利润300.51亿元，同比增长38.46%，刷新自身盈利纪录。招商证券与光大证券同样保持稳健 ...

Core Insights - The commercial prospects of AI-assisted programming tools are promising, with rapid industry advancement highlighted by tools like Claude, Cursor, and GitHub Copilot showing significant revenue growth [1] - The application of AI large models in coding and software development is expanding from coding to demand analysis and architecture design, resulting in notable efficiency improvements [1] - Domestic AI programming tools utilizing mainstream domestic large models are cost-effective, and with the continuous enhancement of code generation capabilities in models like DeepSeek, their commercial viability is improving [1] - If DeepSeek V4 achieves advancements in model capability and cost, it is expected to accelerate the commercialization of AI large model applications [1] Industry Overview - The software ETF (515230) tracks the software index (H30202), which primarily includes companies engaged in software development, sales, and services, characterized by high growth potential and strong technological innovation [1] - The index focuses on the information technology sector to reflect the overall performance and development trends of publicly listed companies in the software and related services domain [1]

中国经济网北京1月28日讯 光环新网(300383.SZ)26日发布2025年度业绩预告。经财务部门初步测 算，光环新网预计2025年年度实现归属于母公司所有者的净利润为亏损73000万元至78000万元，去年 同期为盈利38144.48万元。公司预计2025年年度实现归属于母公司所有者的扣除非经常性损益后的净 利润为亏损77000万元至82000万元，去年同期为盈利34638.05万元。公司预计2025年年度营收为71.7 亿元至72.2亿元。 | 项目 | 本报告期 | 上年同期 | | --- | --- | --- | | 归属于上市公司股 东的净利润 | 亏损:73,000 万元-78,000 万元 | 盈利:38,144.48万元 | | 扣除非经常性损益 后的净利润 | 亏损:77,000万元-82,000万元 | 盈利:34,638.05 万元 | | 营业收入 | 717,000.00 万元-722,000.00 万元 | 728, 121. 03 万元 | | 扣除后营业收入 | 717,000.00 万元-722,000.00 万元 | 728, 121. 03 万元 | 本次计提商誉减 ...

Core Viewpoint - Multiple listed securities firms are expected to report positive performance for 2025, with significant year-on-year profit growth anticipated across the sector [1][2]. Group 1: Performance Forecasts - Several securities firms, including China Merchants Securities, Shenwan Hongyuan Securities, Dongfang Securities, and Hongta Securities, have released performance forecasts indicating net profit growth of 18.43%, 74.64%-93.83%, 67.8%, and 59.05% respectively for 2025 [1][3]. - Citic Securities, a leading firm, reported a projected revenue of 748.3 billion yuan and a net profit of 300.51 billion yuan for 2025, reflecting year-on-year increases of 28.75% and 38.46% respectively [5][7]. - Dongfang Securities anticipates a revenue of 153.4 billion yuan, up 26.0%, and a net profit of 56.2 billion yuan, up 67.8% [4][7]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The A-share market is expected to continue its upward trend, with daily trading volume increasing significantly, reaching an average of 19.8 trillion yuan, a 67% year-on-year increase [8]. - The balance of margin financing and securities lending is projected to reach 2.5 trillion yuan by the end of 2025, marking a 36% increase [8]. - Analysts attribute the strong performance of securities firms to three main factors: a stable macroeconomic environment, increased market activity, and strategic upgrades within firms [8][9]. Group 3: Analyst Predictions - Analysts predict that the overall net profit of listed securities firms will grow by over 50% in 2025, driven by robust trading activity and improved brokerage income [9][10]. - Financial Street Securities forecasts a 53.24% year-on-year increase in daily trading volume, with brokerage income expected to rise by over 40% [9]. - According to analysts, the growth in net profit is primarily driven by brokerage and investment business performance [10].

服务*ST松发落地40亿元配套融资，成为近三年重组募集配套金额最大的民营上市公司；推动至正股份 重大资产重组项目获证监会注册，成为2025年A股市场首单跨境换股重大资产重组项目；推动重庆首单 CMBS项目获批，助力重庆民营经济发展及资产盘活…… 这一桩桩鲜活的资本实践，是西南证券深耕金融"五篇大文章"的生动注脚，是在细分领域、重点区域集 中资源，打造"小而美"的特色投行和服务商的清晰体现。 "深学笃行，西南证券朝着'西部领先、全国进位和重庆辨识度'的奋斗目标稳步迈进。"西南证券党委书 记、董事长姜栋林日前在接受中国证券报记者专访时表示，"在业务规模、服务能力、核心竞争力等方 面实现显著提升，为践行高质量发展要求奠定坚实基础。" 资本市场的浪潮奔涌向前，专业力量始终是穿越周期的核心支撑。面对行业新阶段的新要求，姜栋林表 示，专业能力是证券公司的核心竞争力，也是践行党的二十届四中全会精神、落实行业高质量发展要求 的关键保障。未来，西南证券将继续扎根西南、服务全国，不断提升核心竞争力和专业服务能力，努力 实现"西部领先、全国进位和重庆辨识度"的发展目标。 坚守本源使命 助力实体经济发展 问渠那得清如许？为有源头活水 ...

Core Viewpoint - Southwest Securities has achieved significant milestones in capital market activities, including a 4 billion yuan financing for *ST Songfa, marking the largest fundraising by a private listed company in three years, and the approval of major asset restructuring projects, indicating its commitment to regional economic development and high-quality growth [1][2]. Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, Southwest Securities reported a revenue of 2.518 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 42.75%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 706 million yuan, up 46.11% year-on-year [2]. - The company has expanded its service scale to over 80.4 billion yuan for the real economy, with a 20% year-on-year growth, and over 20 billion yuan specifically for Chongqing, reflecting a 120% increase [3]. Strategic Initiatives - Southwest Securities has established a strategic investment fund of 1.5 billion yuan for the Chengdu-Chongqing economic circle, enhancing its role in regional development [3]. - The company has formed strategic partnerships with 38 local governments and 32 key state-owned enterprises in Chongqing, implementing tailored services for over 50 listed companies [3]. Business Development - The wealth management division has seen a steady increase in client numbers and optimized client structure, with margin financing clients growing significantly [2]. - The investment banking division has exceeded its revenue targets, with a notable increase in project reserves and business expansion [2][5]. - The asset management division has focused on market expansion and enhancing active management capabilities [5]. Digital Transformation - Southwest Securities has completed a top-level design for digital transformation, establishing a customer service system that matches client needs precisely [6]. - The company has been recognized for its digital capabilities, being rated among the top 20 in the industry for digital maturity [6]. Compliance and Risk Management - The company has launched a compliance initiative for 2025, conducting 344 compliance training sessions to ensure adherence to regulations across all departments [7][8]. - A comprehensive risk management system has been established to enhance the company's ability to manage risks effectively [8]. Cultural Development - Southwest Securities emphasizes a corporate culture centered on integrity, stability, precision, and innovation, aiming to create long-term value for clients and stakeholders [9][10]. - The company integrates cultural values with operational strategies, fostering a strong organizational culture that supports its growth objectives [9][10].