Core Viewpoint - The securities industry is undergoing a significant adjustment in branch operations, with multiple firms announcing the closure of physical offices to optimize their network and enhance operational efficiency [2][3][4]. Group 1: Branch Closures - On February 2, Changcheng Securities announced the closure of its Zhengzhou Longhai Road Securities Office, following similar announcements from other firms like Zhongyou Securities and Xibu Securities [2][3]. - The trend of closing branches is not isolated; in 2025, some firms closed over 10 branches, indicating a strategic optimization of their national network [3]. - The reasons for these closures are consistent across firms, focusing on "optimizing branch layout" and "improving operational efficiency" [4]. Group 2: Online Business Development - Despite the reduction in physical branches, firms are not scaling back their service capabilities; instead, they are enhancing their online business structures [5]. - The establishment of internet securities subsidiaries, such as China Galaxy Securities' Beijing Internet Securities subsidiary, marks a shift towards digital transformation in the industry [5]. - These internet and digital subsidiaries are positioned as key components for the digital transformation of securities firms, focusing on online customer service, trading support, and digital operations [5][6]. Group 3: Customer Impact - Firms have assured that the closure of branches will not affect clients' trading activities or the safety of their funds, as services can be accessed through mobile apps and online platforms [6]. - The continuity of customer relationships and service systems is maintained despite the physical branch closures [6].

2026年01月31日 证券研究报告|行业研究|行业点评 非银金融 非银行业周报 (2026年第四期) 2025 券商业绩整体向好，关注券商估值修复 市场表现: 本期（2026.1.26-2026.1.30）非银(申万)指数+1.04%、行业排 7/31,券商Ⅱ指 数-0.69%,保险II指数+5.50%; 上证综指-0.44%，深证成指-1.62%，创业板指-0.09%。 个股涨跌幅排名前五位：中国人寿（+8.73%）、中国太保（+8.48%）、新华保险 (+8.40%）、华鑫股份（+4.53%）、中国平安（+4.46%）; 个股涨跌幅排名后五位: 拉卡拉（-9.93%）、越秀资本（-8.00%）、浙江东方（- 6.37%）、华金资本（-6.18%）、海南华铁（-6.14%）。 (注：去除 ST 及退市股票) 核心观点: 证券: 市场层面,本周,证券板块下跌 0.69%,跑输沪深 300 指数 0.77pct,跑输上证综 指数 0.25pct。当前券商板块 PB 估值为 1.36 倍。 本周,券商密集发布业绩快报及预增报告,截至１月 30日,已有中信证券为代表 的四家上市券商披露业绩快报,另有国泰海通、国联 ...

Market Overview - A-shares continued a slow bull market in January 2026, with 26 out of 31 industries showing positive growth[7] - The top-performing sectors included non-ferrous metals, media, oil and petrochemicals, construction materials, and basic chemicals[7] Investment Strategy - Fund allocation should maintain a balanced style while slightly favoring growth, particularly in technology and cyclical sectors[4] - Recommended funds include Southern Quality Selected, E Fund Environmental Protection Theme, and Guotai Consumer Preferred among others[4] Fund Performance - In January 2026, growth-style funds achieved an average return of 9.07%, outperforming value and balanced funds which returned 6.08% and 5.60% respectively[49] - TMT and midstream manufacturing sector funds led the performance, with average returns of 9.16% and 8.29%[50] New Fund Issuance - A total of 123 new funds were launched in January 2026, raising a total of 120.21 billion yuan, the highest for the same period in four years[56] - Equity funds accounted for 67.6% of the new issuance, reflecting strong investor interest in this category[59] Bond Market Insights - The bond market is experiencing a supply-demand imbalance, particularly in ultra-long bonds, which may lead to increased volatility[16] - Investors are advised to focus on medium to short-term bonds and avoid ultra-long maturities due to potential pricing pressures[18]

A股三大股指集体高开，沪指涨0.7%，创业板指涨1.65%。盘面上，存储芯片、半导体、光伏设备、 CPO等板块涨幅居前。 东方证券：2月科创类产业催化将会更加密集，短期仍建议以科创主线权益为主 华泰证券：周一调整更多是技术性和情绪上，待技术性指标企稳后有望继续上行 东方证券表示，从技术走势来看，沪综指已将1月份涨幅几乎回吐殆尽，考虑到前期沪综指"17连阳"走 势分为二段走势，元旦后快速上行和目前的快速下跌形成明显的对称走势，预计短期沪综指会在3950- 3980附近区域获得支撑。配置方面，2月后业绩将不是影响市场主要因素，科创类产业催化将会更加密 集，短期仍建议以科创主线权益为主，也可以关注有色等周期板块企稳后的反弹。 华泰证券表示，周一A股及港股均明显回调，上周五"沃什交易"引发全球风险资产Risk off，且在周一触 发一定流动性压力，体现为大宗商品及亚洲股市的全面下跌。但我们认为此次调整更多是技术性和情绪 上的，中期视角下中国资产面临的流动性及基本面向好趋势不变，待技术性指标企稳后有望重拾上行趋 势。 本文转载自"腾讯自选股"，智通财经编辑：冯秋怡。 国泰海通：大跌后良机就在眼前，市场有望企稳，新兴科技 ...

核心观点 ： 沃什降息立场更为鸽派和确定；中国政策重心正转向内需主导，并列为 2026 年首要任务。大跌后，良机就在眼前，市场有望企稳。新 兴科技是主线，价值也会有春天。 | | | 摘要 ▶ 大跌之后：市场有望逐步企稳，投资良机就在眼前。 近期中国市场波动较大，全A平均股价调整达到6%，上证指数跌至临近4000点，并在午后出现 恐慌性抛售。市场下跌由多因素耦合：1）预期层面，市场正快速评估新提名美联储主席凯文·沃什的政策主张，其"降息+缩表"的倾向引起金融条件紧 缩的担心；2）微观交易，黄金/白银等商品价格剧烈波动，以及前期A股权重ETF持续被抛售，叠加临近春节长假观望情绪升温，内外交织之下中国市 场出现大跌。 国泰海通策略认为，大跌之后，市场有望逐步企稳，在春节前重拾上升势头，坚定看好中国股市：第一， 全球市场正快速计入美联储潜 在的鹰派货币立场，但从路径角度沃什的降息立场更鸽派和确定； 第二， 中国政府的政策重心正转向内需主导，并作为首要任务，有望提振中国经济 前景与资产回报； 第三， 中国证监会近期再次强调"全力巩固资本市场稳中向好势头"，并推出中长期资金入市新政。 市场的无差别恐慌抛售令交易加 快出 ...

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - In January 2026, a total of 9 companies were listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, Shenzhen Stock Exchange, and Beijing Stock Exchange, raising a total of 9.053 billion yuan in funds [1]. Group 1: Listing and Fundraising - The 9 listed companies included 3 from the main boards of Shanghai and Shenzhen, 1 from the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, and 5 from the Beijing Stock Exchange [1]. - The top fundraising company was Zhenstone Co., Ltd., which raised 2.919 billion yuan, followed by Hengyun Chang and Shaanxi Tourism, which raised 1.561 billion yuan and 1.555 billion yuan respectively [1]. Group 2: Underwriting and Sponsorship Fees - A total of 9 securities firms participated in the underwriting and sponsorship of the newly listed companies, earning a combined fee of 457 million yuan [1]. - China International Capital Corporation (CICC) ranked first in underwriting fees, earning 122.0648 million yuan by sponsoring Zhenstone Co., Ltd. and Shaanxi Tourism [1]. - CITIC Securities and Guotai Junan Securities ranked second and third, earning 117.1101 million yuan and 45.4905 million yuan respectively [1][2]. Group 3: Top Securities Firms - The top five securities firms collectively earned 345 million yuan, accounting for 75% of the total underwriting fees for January [1]. - Other notable firms included Shenwan Hongyuan and Southwest Securities, each earning 42.1555 million yuan through joint sponsorship of Zhixin Co., Ltd. [1][2].

Group 1 - The core point of the article is the issuance of the "2026 Third Phase China Railway Construction Bonds" with a total scale of 10 billion yuan, divided into two types: 5 billion yuan for 10-year bonds and 5 billion yuan for 30-year bonds [4][39]. - The bonds will be issued through a single-rate (Dutch-style) bidding process, with the bidding date set for February 4, 2026, and results to be announced on February 5, 2026 [17][40]. - The final coupon rates for the bonds will be determined based on market bidding results, with the 10-year bond's bidding rate range set between 1.33% and 2.33%, and the 30-year bond's range between 1.73% and 2.73% [39][40]. Group 2 - The lead underwriter for this bond issuance is Guotai Junan Securities, with a syndicate including several other securities firms [5][6]. - The bonds will be registered and settled through the China Securities Depository and Clearing Corporation and the Central Government Securities Depository Trust and Clearing Co., Ltd [8][41]. - Investors are encouraged to consult legal and professional advisors regarding the legality and compliance of their bond purchases [27]. Group 3 - The bonds are government-supported bonds approved by the State Council, with specific tax benefits for both corporate and individual investors [38]. - The issuance is part of a broader plan where the total registered issuance of railway construction bonds is set at 300 billion yuan, valid for 24 months [38]. - The bonds will be publicly issued to institutional investors, with trading available post-listing for both institutional and individual investors [41].

Group 1 - The issuer of the bond is China National Railway Group Co., Ltd., and the total issuance scale is 10 billion yuan for the "2026 Third Phase China Railway Construction Bond" [4][29] - The bond is divided into two types: a 10-year bond with a scale of 5 billion yuan and a 30-year bond with a scale of 5 billion yuan, totaling 10 billion yuan [21][29] - The bonds will be issued at a fixed interest rate, with the 10-year bond's interest rate being the Shibor benchmark rate plus a basic spread ranging from -0.3% to 0.7%, and the 30-year bond's interest rate ranging from 0.1% to 1.1% [21][29] Group 2 - The main underwriter for this bond issuance is Guotai Junan Securities Co., Ltd., which is responsible for managing the underwriting team and coordinating the issuance process [5][31] - The bonds will be publicly issued to institutional investors through a bidding system on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange [22][31] - The bonds will be registered and held by the Shenzhen branch of the China Securities Depository and Clearing Corporation and the Central Government Bond Registration and Clearing Co., Ltd. [24][30] Group 3 - The bonds will have a maturity date of February 5, 2036, for the 10-year bond and February 5, 2056, for the 30-year bond [27] - The bonds will be issued at par value of 100 yuan, with a minimum subscription unit of 10 million yuan [24][29] - The bonds will be guaranteed by the Railway Construction Fund, providing an irrevocable joint liability guarantee [29]

来源：滚动播报 国泰海通研报指出，上周全球焦点在美联储，其行为表现为一"不动"和一"动"，"不动"之处在于FOMC 暂停降息，但是表态略微偏鹰，资产价格开始调整，其后一"动"在于美联储新主席落地，"沃什时刻"导 致贵金属为代表的市场大幅调整，但其只是短期市场过度炒作后调整的导火索，而非根本原因，黄金等 价格调整后或仍有支撑。 ...

上市公司2025年度业绩预告/快报陆续披露中。北京商报记者梳理公开信息统计，截至2月2日，已有26 只券商股及券商概念股报喜，预计2025年度归母净利润实现正收益且同比增长。具体来看，不仅有5家 机构预计归母净利润区间最大值超百亿元，还有多家机构同比增速翻倍，更有天风证券、锦龙股份同比 扭亏为盈。有业内人士预计，券商股在2026年仍会维持向好发展，但业绩增速或会弱于2025年整体表 现。 | | 2025年券商业绩预告/快报披露情况 | | | --- | --- | --- | | | 原保费团员书馆 | 同比增长情况 | | 机构名称 | [报告期] 2025年报 | [报告期] 2025年报 | | | [单位] 亿元 | [单位] % | | 中信证券 | 300.51 | 38.46 | | 国泰海通 | 275.33-280.06 | 111-115 | | 招商证券 | 123 | 18.43 | | 申万宏源 | 91-101 | 74.64-93.83 | | 中金公司 | 85.42-105.35 | 50-85 | | 东方证券 | 56.2 | 67.8 | | 方正证券 | 38.6 ...