Economic Overview - Q4 GDP growth achieved 5%, meeting the target despite a downward trend in consumption and investment[5] - December retail sales growth fell to 0.9% YoY, down from 1.3% in November, indicating persistent weakness in domestic demand[5] Consumption Insights - The cumulative retail sales growth for the year was 3.7%, with non-automotive retail sales growing at 4.4%[5] - December saw a significant drop in automotive sales growth, from over 90% in June to -1.5% by year-end, influenced by local registration policies[5] Investment Trends - Fixed asset investment showed a cumulative YoY decline of 3.8%, worsening from -2.6% the previous month, with real estate investment down 17.2% YoY, marking a historical low[5] - High-growth sectors include logistics and emerging technologies, with pipeline transportation investment up 36% and internet services investment up 23.8%[5] Production Performance - Industrial value-added growth in December was 5.2%, better than previous months, with high-tech industries growing 11% YoY, outperforming overall industrial growth[5] - Export delivery value for large industrial enterprises increased by 3.2% YoY in December, ending two months of negative growth[5] Future Outlook - The focus on "strong supply and weak demand" is expected to bring more domestic demand highlights in 2026, potentially boosting consumption and investment[5] - The anticipated "soft opening" for 2026 is supported by fiscal measures and local growth initiatives[5]

资产配置 | 定期报告 风偏继续向中间集中 20260119 多资产配置周报 研究结论 报告发布日期 2026 年 01 月 20 日 | 郑月灵 | 执业证书编号：S0860525120003 | | --- | --- | | | zhengyueling@orientsec.com.cn | | | 021-63326320 | | 周仕盈 | 执业证书编号：S0860125060012 | | | zhoushiying@orientsec.com.cn | | | 021-63326320 | | --- | --- | | 董翱翔 | 执业证书编号：S0860125030016 | | | dongaoxiang@orientsec.com.cn | | | 021-63326320 | | 以对冲配置思路应对美股/黄金"畏高" | 2026-01-19 | | --- | --- | | 国内风险评价稳步下行，A 股/商品占优： | 2026-01-13 | | 20260112 多资产配置周报 | | | 配置关注权益商品，行业聚焦中盘蓝筹： | 2026-01-04 | | ——资产配置月报 ...

Group 1 - S&P Global has awarded Dongfang Securities a Corporate Sustainability Assessment (CSA) score of 53 for 2025, the highest score among Chinese securities firms published to date [1][2] - The CSA score reflects Dongfang Securities' commitment to ESG principles and its leadership in sustainable finance and risk management [1][2] - The company has established a board-level committee to oversee the implementation of ESG goals and policies, enhancing its governance structure [2] Group 2 - Dongfang Securities is integrating sustainable development into its corporate strategy, focusing on optimizing its ESG risk management system and promoting responsible investment [2] - The company is actively engaged in green operations, reducing carbon emissions, and contributing to social welfare and rural revitalization efforts [2] - Recent disclosures include updates to its ESG risk management and responsible investment statements, improving governance transparency [2]

Core Insights - S&P Global has awarded Dongfang Securities the highest score among Chinese securities firms in its Corporate Sustainability Assessment (CSA), achieving a score of 53 for the year 2025 [1][7]. Group 1: ESG Performance - The steady improvement in Dongfang Securities' CSA score reflects the industry's recognition of the company's commitment to ESG principles and its leadership in sustainable finance and risk management [7][8]. - The company has established a board-level committee focused on strategy and sustainability to oversee the implementation of ESG goals and policies [8]. Group 2: Strategic Integration - Dongfang Securities aims to integrate sustainable development deeply into its corporate strategy, promoting the idea of "Enjoying a Better Life" [7][8]. - The company is actively enhancing its ESG risk management system and focusing on responsible investment, aligning ESG efforts with core business operations [8]. Group 3: Operational Practices - The company is committed to reducing operational carbon emissions and is involved in social welfare and rural revitalization efforts, contributing to the consolidation of poverty alleviation achievements [8]. - Recent disclosures include updates to its ESG risk management and responsible investment statements, enhancing the transparency and regulatory compliance of its governance framework [8].

Core Viewpoint - Shanghai Dongzheng Futures Co., Ltd. has increased its registered capital from 4.8 billion RMB to 5 billion RMB, representing an approximate 4% increase, along with changes in key personnel [1]. Group 1: Company Information - Shanghai Dongzheng Futures Co., Ltd. was established in December 1995 and is wholly owned by Dongfang Securities [1]. - The company operates in areas including commodity futures brokerage, financial futures brokerage, and futures investment consulting [1]. Group 2: Capital Changes - The registered capital change occurred on January 19, 2026, increasing from 480,000 million RMB to 500,000 million RMB [2]. - The funding method was updated to reflect the new registered capital, still under Dongfang Securities [2]. Group 3: Personnel Changes - Key personnel changes include the addition of new directors, with names such as Tang Xia, Yang Jieqiong, and Ding Yan being noted [2]. - The legal representative remains Lu Dayin, indicating continuity in leadership despite the changes [1][2].

Core Viewpoint - Shanghai Dongzheng Futures Co., Ltd. has increased its registered capital from 4.8 billion RMB to 5 billion RMB, representing an approximate 4% increase, alongside changes in key personnel [1] Company Information - Shanghai Dongzheng Futures Co., Ltd. was established in December 1995 and is wholly owned by Dongfang Securities (600958) [1] - The legal representative of the company is Lu Dayin, and its business scope includes commodity futures brokerage, financial futures brokerage, and futures investment consulting [1]

Core Viewpoint - The recent report from Dongfang Securities highlights that the recent adjustments in the commercial aerospace sector do not alter the long-term industry trends, with the C919 large aircraft's international certification process accelerating, and the military industry sector showing a resonance of internal and external demand, emphasizing its investment value [1][7]. Group 1: C919 Aircraft Development - The C919 has received flight test recognition from the European Union Aviation Safety Agency (EASA), which is crucial for its entry into European and international markets [2][8]. - EASA's certification is considered a key pass for the C919, which has already completed passenger transport for millions domestically, validating its market potential [2][8]. Group 2: Commercial Aerospace and Technological Advancements - The China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation's 2026 annual meeting emphasized the need to advance major projects like manned moon landings and deep space exploration, while also focusing on breakthroughs in reusable rocket technology [3][9]. - Recent technological breakthroughs in the commercial aerospace sector include successful static fire tests and suborbital flight tests, indicating a rapid development trajectory for the industry [3][9]. - The competition for near-Earth orbital resources is intensifying, with low Earth orbit satellite constellations becoming a new arena for major powers, prompting China to accelerate the large-scale and systematic construction of these constellations [3][9]. Group 3: Military Industry Investment Opportunities - Dongfang Securities indicates that the "14th Five-Year Plan" has commenced, with new equipment construction plans soon to be clarified, highlighting the military sector's investment value [4][10]. - In the short term, attention should be given to areas related to unmanned and counter-unmanned equipment, deep-sea technology, and operational information technology following the implementation of the "14th Five-Year Plan" [4][10]. - In the long term, military enterprises have significant growth potential in civil aviation and commercial aerospace, with the acceleration of high-end Chinese equipment exports likely to expand the military trade market [4][10]. - Investment targets include various fields such as commercial aerospace, aerospace engines and turbines, new domains, military electronics, and military trade/main equipment [4][10].

Core Viewpoint - The report from Dongfang Securities indicates that the spandex industry is currently at a historical low in terms of price and demand, but with industry restructuring, there is potential for price recovery and demand growth in the future [1] Supply Side - The spandex industry is in the late stage of capacity expansion, with domestic production capacity increasing from 593,900 tons in 2015 to an expected 1,420,000 tons by January 2026, led by Huafeng Chemical with 475,000 tons [2] - Currently, only the first phase of the Xinxiang Chemical Fiber's 100,000-ton project, which is 50,000 tons, is under construction and is expected to be operational by 2027 [2] - Since 2019, over 200,000 tons of capacity from small enterprises have been shut down, leading to a reduction in the share of capacity below 50,000 tons from 47% in 2015 to 16% in 2025, indicating a trend towards concentration of supply among leading companies [2] - The industry has faced negative gross margins since May 2023, making it difficult for unprofitable companies to sustain operations, which may lead to further exits from the market [2] Demand Side - Spandex is primarily used in clothing to provide elasticity, with applications in casual wear, jeans, underwear, fitness apparel, swimwear, and socks [3] - The demand for spandex is expected to continue growing due to trends in sports and tight-fitting clothing, with apparent consumption increasing from 510,000 tons in 2017 to an estimated 1,027,000 tons by 2024, reflecting a CAGR of 10.51% [3] - The combination of high elasticity and durability of spandex enhances the core performance of garments, contributing to its increasing penetration in downstream markets [3] Related Companies - Key companies in the spandex industry include Huafeng Chemical (002064.SZ), Taihe New Materials (002254.SZ), and Xinxiang Chemical Fiber (000949.SZ) [4]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Kaiyuan Securities expresses optimism about the brokerage sector, highlighting the sustained growth of brokerage performance and the pressure on the funding side, indicating a significant lag in the brokerage sector [1] Group 1: Regulatory Developments - On January 16, the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) solicited opinions on the draft of the "Supervision and Management Measures for Derivative Transactions (Trial) (Draft for Comments)" [2] - The policy aims to strengthen the standardized management of the derivatives market, clarifying the CSRC's regulatory scope and emphasizing enhanced monitoring and cross-market regulation [3] - The policy supports the steady development of the derivatives market, encouraging risk management activities and limiting excessive speculation [3] Group 2: Impact on Brokerage Firms - The enhanced transparency in derivatives regulation is expected to benefit the long-term development of brokerage firms' derivatives business, providing a more stable operational framework for brokers and investors [4] - The derivatives business is highly concentrated, with top-tier brokers holding significant advantages; as of November 2023, the market share of the top five firms in swap and OTC options was 66% and 59%, respectively [4] - Top-tier brokers, such as CITIC Securities and Guotai Junan, can directly engage in stock hedging transactions, while secondary brokers are limited in their trading capabilities [4] Group 3: Market Stability and Investment Recommendations - Derivative tools are seen as beneficial for stabilizing market fluctuations, with the potential for relaxed scale restrictions favoring leading brokers [5] - The CSRC's commitment to a robust monitoring system for derivatives trading is expected to facilitate high-quality development in the derivatives business, contributing to market stability [5] - Investment recommendations include top brokers with strong international business and undervalued stocks, such as Huatai Securities and Guotai Junan, as well as firms with significant wealth management advantages like GF Securities [5]

Group 1 - The company has signed a fund sales agreement with Dongfang Securities, effective from January 19, 2026, to increase Dongfang Securities as a broker for on-site subscription and redemption of specific funds [1] - The announcement includes that investors can consult detailed information through the company's official website [2][4] - The company emphasizes the importance of investors reading the fund contract and prospectus to understand the risk-return characteristics of the fund products [2] Group 2 - The company provides a customer service hotline for inquiries related to its funds [4] - The announcement serves as a formal notice regarding the new partnership and operational changes [3]