截至去年9月末，重庆农商行资产总额 1.66万亿元，较上年末增长9.3%；存款规模突破 1万亿元，成为 重庆首家存款过万亿的银行；营业收入 216.58亿元，同比增长0.67%；归母净利润 106.94亿元，同比增 长3.74%。 运营商财经网讯 运营商财经网副总经理康锐表示，上述成绩的取得，与刘小军等一众高管的努力密不可分！ 日前，备受关注的"2025年度农商行十大杰出董事长"名单正式揭晓。该榜单由知名财经、科技、汽车资 讯网站运营商财经网倾力打造，完全依据各大银行机构上一年的收入、利润等业绩、董事长成就贡献等 百度资讯指数等进行编排整理。其中，重庆农商银行董事长刘小军成功上榜。 运营商财经（官方微信公众号yyscjrd）—— 主流财经网站，一家全面覆盖科技、金融、证券、汽车、 房产、食品、医药、日化、酒业及其他各种消费品网站。 作为全国首家"A+H"股上市农商行、西部首家"A+H"股上市银行，去年，重庆农商行呈现出"稳中有 进、质效兼优"的发展态势。 ...

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Buy" [4] Core Views - The trade return ratio has turned positive again, and the service trade deficit has significantly narrowed [16][18] - The cross-border capital flow is expected to gradually return, positively impacting domestic liquidity [5][19] - The service trade deficit for December 2025 was 966 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 466 billion CNY, with a full-year deficit of 13,760 billion CNY, down 2,544 billion CNY, approximately 16% [18] Summary by Sections 1. Current Observation - The State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE) released data on China's international balance of payments for December 2025, indicating a potential impact on the central bank's willingness to settle foreign exchange [16] - The trade return ratio is at a historical high, with a monthly unconverted trade net outflow of 447 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 1,392 billion CNY [17] 2. Arbitrage Trading Returns - The arbitrage trading return rate for 10Y US Treasury bonds in CNY has dropped significantly to -1.77%, indicating a shift in cross-border capital dynamics [17] 3. Service Trade Deficit - The service trade deficit has narrowed significantly, with major contributions from improved policies for foreign visitors, reduced international shipping costs, and enhanced competitiveness in high-tech services [18] 4. Cross-Border Liquidity Outlook - Despite the recent appointment of Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve Chair, the trend of cross-border capital return is expected to continue, influenced by the Fed's monetary policy stance [19][21] - The short-term liquidity in the US remains tight, with limited space for balance sheet reduction, while long-term prospects depend on economic performance [20][21]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Insights - Bank stocks have outperformed the market, with the banking index rising by 1.70% while the CSI 300 index fell by 1.33%, indicating a shift in market sentiment towards underperforming sectors [1] - Quality city commercial banks have shown superior performance, with city commercial banks increasing by 3.27% compared to state-owned banks at 0.35% and joint-stock banks at 1.84% [1] - The banking sector is expected to enter a growth cycle in 2026, with projected revenue and net profit growth rates of 2.8% and 2.6% respectively, indicating a gradual recovery [3] - The opportunity cost of investing in bank stocks remains low, with a 10-year government bond yield at 1.80% and bank stock dividends around 4.4%, providing a 2.6 percentage point premium [3] - The report emphasizes the importance of new growth drivers, particularly recommending Nanjing Bank for its strong management and market position [3] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The banking sector ranked sixth among 31 primary industries, with a weekly increase of 1.70% [1] - The performance of various bank types showed that city commercial banks had the highest weekly increase at 3.27% [1] Individual Bank Events - Qilu Bank reported a 5.1% year-on-year increase in revenue and a 14.6% increase in net profit, aligning with market expectations [2] - Ningbo Bank's executive appointment was approved, indicating stability in management [2] Investment Outlook - The report maintains a positive outlook for bank stocks in 2026, suggesting a rebalancing of market styles and a favorable environment for bank valuations [3] - Recommendations include major state-owned banks and a focus on mid-sized banks with new growth potential, particularly Nanjing Bank, Shanghai Bank, and others [4][6]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained at "Overweight" [2] Core Insights - The report anticipates new RMB loans in January to be between 5.1 to 5.25 trillion yuan, with a corresponding loan growth rate declining to approximately 6.3% [4][6] - The expected new social financing scale for January is projected to be between 7.41 to 7.57 trillion yuan, maintaining a stock growth rate of around 8.3% [21][25] - The report highlights a strong performance in corporate activities, with expectations for increased credit supply due to a favorable lending environment and government policies [8][28] Summary by Sections 1. RMB Loans - New RMB loans are expected to be between 5.1 to 5.25 trillion yuan, with a growth rate declining to around 6.3% [4][6] - The monthly increase is projected to vary between a decrease of 300 million to an increase of 1.2 billion yuan [8] 2. Social Financing - The anticipated new social financing scale for January is between 7.41 to 7.57 trillion yuan, with a stock growth rate around 8.3% [21][25] - The report notes that the net financing scale of local government bonds and corporate credit bonds is expected to be 1.181 trillion yuan and 490.3 billion yuan respectively [25] 3. Liquidity - M1 and M2 growth rates are expected to rise due to a low base effect, with M1 projected at 4.0% and M2 at 8.7% [26] - The report indicates that the increase in government and credit bonds' net financing will impact market liquidity [26] 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a shift in bank stock investment logic from "pro-cyclical" to "weak-cyclical," emphasizing the attractiveness of high-dividend bank stocks during economic stagnation [28] - Two main investment lines are recommended: regional banks with strong certainty and large banks with high dividends [28]

香港联交所最新资料显示，2月3日，小摩减持重庆农村商业银行(03618)166.6059万股，每股均价5.7428 港元，总金额约为956.78万港元。减持后最新持股数目约为2.0亿股，最新持股比例为7.96%。 ...

智通财经APP获悉，香港联交所最新资料显示，2月3日，小摩减持重庆农村商业银行(03618)166.6059万 股，每股均价5.7428港元，总金额约为956.78万港元。减持后最新持股数目约为2.0亿股，最新持股比例 为7.96%。 ...

花旗预计银行季内盈利将实现年增16%(意味着去年全年盈利增长5%，比市场共识预测高约1%)，原因 是贷款增长强劲及净息差稳固所支持。另外，花旗预计重农行今年营收、盈利增长将加速至年增5%、 10%，主要由企业贷款增长强劲;净息差稳定;银行保险更强、财富管理及贵金属相关手续费收入，有关 收入预计同比倍增等因素带动。 花旗发布研报称，予重庆农村商业银行(03618)目标价7.53港元，维持"买入"评级，将重庆农村商业银行 纳入90日正面催化剂观察名单，相信其即将公布的2025年第四季度业绩(料3月25日公布)很可能胜市场 预测。 ...

花旗预计银行季内盈利将实现年增16%(意味着去年全年盈利增长5%，比市场共识预测高约1%)，原因 是贷款增长强劲及净息差稳固所支持。另外，花旗预计重农行今年营收、盈利增长将加速至年增5%、 10%，主要由企业贷款增长强劲; 净息差稳定; 银行保险更强、财富管理及贵金属相关手续费收入，有关 收入预计同比倍增等因素带动。 智通财经APP获悉，花旗发布研报称，予重庆农村商业银行(03618)目标价7.53港元，维持"买入"评级， 将重庆农村商业银行纳入90日正面催化剂观察名单，相信其即将公布的2025年第四季度业绩(料3月25日 公布)很可能胜市场预测。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The banking sector continues to show strong performance, with significant gains in individual bank stocks and a notable increase in the banking ETF, indicating a potential market style shift towards large-cap and quality stocks [1][3][5]. Group 1: Market Performance - On February 5, the banking sector saw collective gains, with Xiamen Bank hitting a trading limit and reaching its highest price since June 2021 [1]. - Major banks such as Chongqing Bank and Shanghai Bank also experienced significant increases, with gains of nearly 6% and over 4% respectively [1]. - The largest banking ETF (512800) opened high and further surged, closing up 1.67% with a trading volume of 1.071 billion yuan, reflecting a substantial increase in market activity [1]. Group 2: Fund Flows and Style Shift - There was a rapid influx of main funds into the banking sector, with a net inflow of 5.502 billion yuan, ranking second among all Shenwan first-level industries [3]. - Institutions suggest that the current strength in the banking sector may indicate a style shift in the market, moving from small-cap to large-cap stocks and from thematic to quality investments [3]. - Historical data shows that the banking sector has a high success rate before the Spring Festival, with an 80% win rate for absolute and excess returns over the past decade [3]. Group 3: Financial Performance of Banks - As of the 2025 reporting season, 10 listed banks that have disclosed performance reports achieved positive growth in net profit, with 9 of them reporting both revenue and net profit increases [5]. - Despite a challenging environment characterized by declining interest rates and narrowing interest margins, the banking sector is demonstrating stable growth, providing fundamental support for valuation recovery [5]. - The banking ETF (512800) and its linked funds are effective investment tools tracking the overall performance of the banking sector, with the ETF's latest scale exceeding 12.2 billion yuan and an average daily trading volume of over 800 million yuan since 2025 [5].

Group 1: Qilu Bank - Qilu Bank announced a board resolution on February 4, approving the appointment of current president Zhang Hua as Chief Compliance Officer, with a term ending on August 10, 2026 [1][6] - Zhang Hua, born in June 1966, holds a bachelor's and master's degree, and has extensive practical experience in banking, having risen through the ranks at Qilu Bank [1][6] - His career includes key positions such as branch manager and head of credit management, as well as experience in local government financial oversight, enhancing his compliance management expertise [1][6] Group 2: Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank - On January 29, Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank's board approved the appointment of president Sui Jun as Chief Compliance Officer, with unanimous support from the board [2][7] - Sui Jun, born in December 1968, is a member of the Communist Party and holds a doctoral degree in economics, with a rich background in banking [2][7] - His previous roles include various leadership positions in both Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank and China Construction Bank, showcasing his extensive experience in the financial sector [2][7] Group 3: Xiamen Bank - Xiamen Bank announced on January 28 that its board approved the appointment of assistant president and Chief Risk Officer Chen Song as Chief Compliance Officer, pending regulatory approval [3][8] - Chen Song, born in May 1974, has a strong background in risk management and compliance, having held various positions in banking [3][8] - His experience includes roles at Industrial Bank and Ping An Bank, contributing to his qualifications in risk control and compliance management [3][8] Group 4: Pudong Development Bank - On January 24, Pudong Development Bank's board approved the appointment of Cui Bingwen as Chief Risk Officer, Chief Compliance Officer, and General Counsel, with a term aligned with the current board [4][8] - Cui Bingwen, born in 1969, holds a doctoral degree and has extensive banking experience, having served in various leadership roles [4][8] - His career includes significant positions at Industrial and Commercial Bank of China and Pudong Development Bank, enhancing his expertise in legal and compliance matters [4][8]