Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Focus: Electric Vehicle and Energy Storage Sector Core Insights and Arguments 1. The electric vehicle and energy storage sectors are structurally improving, benefiting companies like CATL and EVE Energy. Recent announcements from multiple automakers reveal ambitious sales targets for 2026, including: - Leap Motor: 1 million units, a year-on-year increase of approximately 67.6% - NIO: 456,400 to 489,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 40% to 50% - Xiaomi Auto: 550,000 units, a year-on-year increase of approximately 34% - Hongmeng Zhixing: 1 million to 1.3 million units, with an upper limit year-on-year increase of approximately 120% [1][2] 2. According to Xinluo Lithium Battery data, global lithium battery production is expected to reach 2,297 GWh by 2025, a year-on-year increase of 48.5%. The core sources of growth will be: - Power batteries: 1,495 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 40.5% - Energy storage batteries: 636 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 92.7%, with a market share exceeding 27% [2] 3. CATL has signed a five-year strategic cooperation memorandum with Changan Automobile, focusing on advanced fields such as battery swapping, smart automotive robotics, flying cars, and embodied intelligence [2]. Upstream Lithium Carbonate Supply and Demand 1. The supply and demand for lithium carbonate continue to improve, benefiting companies like Salt Lake Industry and Dazhong Mining. By 2025, China's lithium carbonate production is projected to reach 976,300 tons, a year-on-year increase of 49%. The proportion of spodumene production is rising, while mica production is expected to decline significantly due to policy adjustments. The lithium carbonate market is anticipated to maintain a tight balance in 2026, with price centers expected to rise [3]. 2. Dazhong Mining plans to invest 3.688 billion yuan in a lithium mining project in Hunan, which is expected to produce approximately 80,000 tons of lithium carbonate annually upon reaching full capacity [3]. 3. The global solid-state battery sector is entering a critical phase of engineering and industrialization, with companies like Xiamen Tungsten and Putailai poised to benefit. Recently, Dongfeng Motor has initiated cold weather testing for solid-state batteries [3]. Industry Focus: Photovoltaic and Energy Storage Sector Key Developments 1. Investment in the power grid and AI-driven demand for electrical equipment are on the rise, benefiting companies like Sungrow Power Supply, Sieng Electric, and Sifang Co. The State Grid has announced a fixed asset investment of 4 trillion yuan for the 14th Five-Year Plan period (2026-2030), a 40% increase compared to the previous plan. The core objective is to support carbon peak by 2030 and to initially establish a new energy system [4]. 2. Smart microgrids are expected to be a key focus in 2026, with their core value lying in utilizing energy storage technology (especially grid-connected storage) to address renewable energy consumption and improve power supply reliability in remote areas [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a strong buy rating for several key companies in the power equipment sector, including Guodian Nanrui, Siyuan Electric, and TBEA, while recommending an increase in holdings for others like Sifang Co. and China XD Electric [2][3]. Core Insights - The State Grid's planned investment of 4 trillion yuan during the 14th Five-Year Plan period represents a 40% increase compared to the previous plan, with an expected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7% [1][9]. - The focus of this investment will be on green transformation, ultra-high voltage, distribution networks, energy storage, and digitalization, which is expected to significantly support the performance of related companies [1][9]. - The report highlights the increasing pressure on power consumption and the need for a new power system, emphasizing ultra-high voltage and energy storage as critical solutions to address this challenge [1][13][21]. Industry Overview - The total number of listed companies in the power equipment sector is 308, with a total market capitalization of 7,728.9 billion yuan [3]. - The absolute performance of the power equipment and new energy sector has shown significant growth, with a 63.1% increase over 12 months [5]. Key Company Analysis - Guodian Nanrui is recognized as a leader in secondary equipment with strong technology barriers and stable operations, expected to see significant growth in high-voltage and system stability businesses [26]. - Siyuan Electric has established a comprehensive product system and service network in overseas markets, with a notable increase in overseas revenue [26]. - China XD Electric benefits from increased capital expenditure in domestic main networks and ultra-high voltage projects, with a growing presence in international markets [27]. - TBEA is experiencing rapid growth in orders, particularly in the Middle East and Europe, and is expected to benefit from ongoing power construction projects [28]. - Other notable companies include XJ Electric, Pinggao Electric, and Igor, each with unique strengths and growth prospects in the evolving power equipment landscape [29][30][31].

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - The focus is on the AI power sector, specifically the transformer and AI power supply segments, which are identified as the most certain growth areas for 2026 [1][2]. Key Points 1. **Order and Performance Catalysts**: After 25 years of strategic positioning, leading companies in the AIDC (Artificial Intelligence Data Center) sector are expected to see sustained order growth and performance improvements in 2026, particularly in transformers and AI power supplies [1]. 2. **Transformer Demand**: There is a clear trend of electricity shortages in North America, which is anticipated to worsen in 2026. Transformers are identified as a critical component in addressing this shortage, with Chinese companies expected to become key players in increasing overseas production capacity and accelerating exports [1][2]. 3. **AI Power Supply Developments**: The core focus for AI power supplies in 2026 is on achieving significant milestones, particularly in high-voltage direct current (HVDC) systems, which are expected to transition from concept to implementation. Additionally, ongoing testing and sample submissions for solid-state transformers (SST) are noted [1]. 4. **Company-Specific Updates**: - **Siyuan Electric**: Anticipates over $100 million in orders from the U.S. in 2025, with expectations for explosive growth in transformers and AIS (Air Insulated Switchgear) in 2026 [2]. - **Igor**: Reports a 100% increase in North American orders in 2025, with close collaboration with T [2]. - **Jinpan Technology**: Progressing with framework orders from major overseas CSP (Concentrated Solar Power) clients [2]. - **Sifang Co.**: SST and V are entering the final stages of integration [2]. - **Kostad**: Noted an increase in UPS (Uninterruptible Power Supply) demand in North America, with new HVDC products and SST technology being developed [2]. - **Magmi Tech**: Reports successful scaling of orders and smooth sample submissions for new products [2]. Additional Important Insights - The emphasis on the AI power sector reflects a broader trend towards integrating AI technologies in energy solutions, indicating potential long-term growth opportunities in this industry [1][2]. - The strategic positioning of Chinese companies in the global market for transformers and AI power supplies suggests a shift in manufacturing capabilities and export dynamics, which could impact competitive landscapes [1].

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - The focus is on the AI power sector, specifically the transformer and AI power supply segments, which are identified as the most certain growth areas for 2026 [1][1]. Key Points 1. **Long-term Outlook for AIDC**: After 25 years of development, it is anticipated that leading AIDC companies will see sustained order growth and performance in 2026, particularly in transformers and AI power supplies [1][1]. 2. **Transformer Demand**: There is a clear trend of electricity shortages in North America, which is expected to worsen in 2026. As a critical link in overseas production capacity, Chinese companies are projected to be the main contributors to future capacity increases, with exports likely to accelerate [1][1]. 3. **AI Power Supply Development**: The core focus for 2026 is on the transition from "0 to 1" in high-voltage direct current (HVDC) systems, with expectations for significant advancements. Additionally, the SST (Solid State Transformer) is currently undergoing testing and sample delivery, while internal power supplies are expected to see a continuous flow of orders [1][1]. Company-Specific Insights 1. **Siyuan Electric**: Anticipates over $100 million in orders from the U.S. in 2025, with expectations for explosive growth in transformers and AIS (Air Insulated Switchgear) in 2026 [2]. 2. **Igor**: Reports a 100% increase in North American orders in 2025, closely collaborating with T [2]. 3. **Jinpan Technology**: Progressing with framework orders from major overseas CSP (Concentrated Solar Power) clients [2]. 4. **Sifang Co.**: SST is entering the final stages of collaboration with V [2]. 5. **Kostad**: Experiencing growth in North American UPS (Uninterruptible Power Supply) market, launching HVDC and advancing SST technology [2]. 6. **Magnum**: Securing large-scale orders and successfully delivering new product samples [2].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market for smart grid stocks has shown significant strength, with multiple companies experiencing substantial gains following the announcement of a major investment plan by the State Grid Corporation of China [1] Group 1: Market Performance - Smart grid stocks collectively surged, with notable gains including: - Shuangjie Electric up over 17% - Electric Power Research Institute up over 15% - Hongxiang Co., Huasu Technology up over 10% - Several other companies including Hanlan Co., Dalian Electric Porcelain, and others hitting the daily limit up [1] - The overall market sentiment is positive, driven by strong investment forecasts and demand in the sector [1] Group 2: Investment Outlook - The State Grid Corporation has projected a fixed asset investment of 4 trillion yuan during the 14th Five-Year Plan, a 40% increase compared to the previous plan, with an average annual investment of 800 billion yuan, indicating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) approaching double digits [1] - Investment will focus on the construction of a new power system, aiming to enhance cross-regional and cross-provincial transmission capacity by over 30% compared to the end of the previous plan [1] Group 3: Export Growth - The North American market is experiencing a surge in demand for power equipment driven by aging infrastructure and increased electricity needs from AI data centers, leading to a significant rise in delivery times for transformers and high-voltage cables [1] - From January to November 2025, China's exports of transformers, high-voltage switches, and wires and cables are expected to grow by 35.3%, 29.4%, and 22.9% year-on-year, respectively, indicating a strong international market presence [1]

Core Viewpoint - The high-voltage power equipment sector is experiencing significant activity, with multiple stocks reaching their daily limit up due to increased investment and demand in the domestic power grid sector [1][2]. Group 1: Market Activity - Six stocks in the high-voltage equipment sector hit the daily limit up, including Electric Power Research Institute, Han Cable, Senyuan Electric, Dalian Electric Porcelain, Jicheng Electronics, and Fengfan [1]. - Electric Power Research Institute saw a rise of over 14%, while other companies like Han Cable and Senyuan Electric increased by over 10% [2]. Group 2: Industry Trends - The core logic behind the market speculation is the overall improvement in the high-voltage industry, driven by a significant expansion in domestic power grid investment and breakthroughs in domestic core technologies [2][3]. - The State Grid Corporation of China has projected fixed asset investments to reach 4 trillion yuan during the 14th Five-Year Plan, a 40% increase from the previous plan, focusing on building a smarter and greener power grid [3][4]. Group 3: Technological Advancements - Recent developments include the successful trial operation of a domestically developed series of AC filter protection and converter protection devices by XJ Electric, marking a significant technological breakthrough in the high-voltage sector [3]. - The global transformer market is facing a notable supply shortage, with North America experiencing a 30% gap, which presents growth opportunities for domestic companies in the export market [4]. Group 4: Investment Recommendations - Citic Securities recommends focusing on leading domestic power equipment companies closely related to the investment climate in the domestic power grid and major projects like high-voltage and flexible DC [4].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share power grid equipment sector has experienced a significant rally, driven by multiple factors including policy support, expanding demand, and technological advancements [1][2]. Policy Support - The National Grid announced a fixed asset investment of 4 trillion yuan during the 14th Five-Year Plan, representing a 40% increase compared to the previous plan, equating to an average annual investment of 800 billion yuan [2]. - The investment from the Southern Power Grid is expected to push the national average annual fixed asset investment to over 1 trillion yuan during the 14th Five-Year Plan [3]. Market Demand - The increasing share of renewable energy installations necessitates upgrades to the power grid to address issues like "abandoning wind and solar" and ensure stable electricity delivery [2]. - The explosion in AI computing power is creating new electricity consumption demands, with the International Energy Agency predicting that global data center electricity consumption will double by 2030, benefiting the power grid equipment sector [2]. Technological Advancements - Innovations such as solid-state transformers and flexible DC transmission are accelerating the industry's transition from traditional manufacturing to high-end intelligent manufacturing, with a critical validation phase expected by 2026 [2]. - The industry is projected to exceed a market size of 2 trillion yuan by 2025, characterized by steady overall growth and increasing structural differentiation [2]. Industry Outlook - Leading companies with technological expertise and strong order reserves are expected to maintain stable performance and competitive advantages, with stocks like TBEA and China XD Electric likely to reach new highs by 2025 [2]. - Key growth areas include ultra-high voltage, digitalization of the power grid, and equipment exports, with companies such as Sifang Co., TBEA, and China XD Electric poised to benefit from these trends [3].

Group 1 - Guodian NARI (600406) is a state-owned enterprise based in Nanjing, recognized as a benchmark for scientific reform among central enterprises, with a strong research and development system and significant achievements in grid technology [1] - The company has a market share of over 75% in dispatch automation systems and over 50% in UHV converter valves, with its products addressing grid stability issues caused by renewable energy generation [1] - The demand for AI computing power and electricity is driving the construction of new power systems, and the company is expanding its overseas business, exporting products like distribution transformers to multiple countries [1] Group 2 - Suyuan Electric (002028) is a comprehensive supplier of power transmission and distribution based in Shanghai, focusing on UHV and energy storage sectors, and is the largest manufacturer of high-voltage packages and coils in China [2] - The company expects 60% of its overseas revenue in 2024 to come from transformers, with overseas orders growing over 50% and a remarkable 89% growth in the first half of 2025 [2] - The surge in demand for high-voltage transmission and distribution equipment driven by AI computing centers and new energy projects presents significant growth opportunities for the company [2] Group 3 - China XD Electric (601179) is a state-owned enterprise based in Xi'an, specializing in high and ultra-high voltage transformers and power transmission and distribution equipment, capable of producing products across a voltage range of 10kV to 1000kV [3] - The company has a significant market share in UHV projects and has seen an increase in exports to Europe, with its technology reaching international advanced levels [3] - The demand for UHV technology is increasing due to the need for long-distance power transmission, and the company is well-positioned to meet both domestic and international market needs [3] Group 4 - Baobian Electric (600550) is a core supplier of UHV DC transformers based in Baoding, with a strong position in high-end transformers and a market share of 30% in UHV products [4] - The company has unique technologies that reduce material costs and has participated in major projects, exporting to over 40 countries [4] - The urgent demand for high-reliability transformers driven by AI computing centers and new energy power stations positions the company to benefit from both domestic and international projects [4] Group 5 - Jinpan Technology (688676) is a leading global manufacturer of dry-type transformers based in Haikou, focusing on wind and solar energy applications, with 98% of its products supporting renewable energy [5] - The company has a significant order backlog of 2.85 billion yuan for 2025, reflecting a substantial year-on-year growth of 180% [5] - The increasing demand for efficient dry-type transformers from AI computing centers and the proliferation of renewable energy generation presents a strong growth opportunity for the company [5] Group 6 - Mingyang Electric (301291) is a leader in offshore wind power transformers based in Zhongshan, specializing in dry-type transformers and prefabricated substations [6] - The company has developed products that meet the extreme conditions of offshore environments and is expected to achieve significant sales in North America by 2026 [6] - The growing demand for offshore wind power and the urgent need for grid upgrades in North America provide ample order support for the company [6] Group 7 - Teruid (300001) is a pioneer in outdoor box-type power equipment based in Qingdao, recognized as a champion enterprise in manufacturing [7] - The company has a complete technology system for modular prefabricated substations and has a leading market share in the new energy sector [7] - The demand for modular products from AI computing centers and the need for grid upgrades position the company to capture significant market growth [7] Group 8 - XJ Electric (000400) is a high-tech enterprise based in Xuchang, focusing on UHV and smart grid technologies, with a comprehensive industrial chain covering all aspects of power transmission and distribution [8] - The company has participated in all domestic UHV DC transmission projects and has a strong patent portfolio [8] - The growth in AI computing and electricity demand is accelerating the construction of smart grids, providing competitive advantages for the company [8] Group 9 - Sifang Co., Ltd. (601126) is based in Beijing and has a strong advantage in smart distribution networks, providing a full range of products for self-healing control and primary and secondary integration [9] - The company has implemented its products in over 30 provinces and cities, significantly improving efficiency in power distribution [9] - The demand for reliable power supply from AI computing centers and the ongoing digital transformation of distribution networks present broad development opportunities for the company [9] Group 10 - Samsung Medical (601567) is based in Ningbo and operates in both smart power distribution and medical services, covering a wide range of products in the power equipment sector [10] - The company has established manufacturing bases in multiple locations and has a marketing presence in over 70 countries [10] - The construction of AI computing centers and new energy projects requires substantial power distribution equipment, positioning the company to benefit from global demand growth [10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the power equipment sector [6][17]. Core Viewpoints - The domestic data center industry is entering a new cycle of expansion and upgrades, with direct current (DC) power supply equipment expected to benefit first. The market size of China's data center industry is projected to exceed 318 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of approximately 14.7%. By 2030, it may reach 1.2 trillion yuan, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of about 25%-28% [5][15]. - The load scale of data centers is expected to be around 7.05 GW in 2025, increasing to 9.37 GW by 2030, with a CAGR of approximately 5.85%. The demand for AI computing power is driving significant capital expenditure from leading internet companies, with ByteDance planning to invest about 160 billion yuan in AI infrastructure in 2026, and Alibaba expecting to invest over 380 billion yuan in cloud and AI hardware from 2025 to 2027 [5][15]. - The industry is experiencing an unexpected expansion, with infrastructure technology upgrades creating investment opportunities in IDC-compatible DC power supply equipment [5][15]. Summary by Sections Investment Viewpoints - The report suggests focusing on the IDC sector, recommending companies such as Kehua Data and Jinpan Technology, as well as Sifang Co. and Liangxin Co. for their potential in the HVDC/SST industry. It also highlights the importance of high-voltage circuit breakers and suggests monitoring companies like Zhongheng Electric, Magmeter, and Oulu Tong in the power supply sector [6][16]. Key Companies and Profit Forecasts - The report includes profit forecasts for several companies, with notable mentions: - Kehua Data (002335.SZ): EPS forecast of 1.86 yuan for 2026, currently unrated [18]. - Liangxin Co. (002706.SZ): Rated "Buy" with an EPS forecast of 0.44 yuan for 2026 [19]. - Magmeter (002851.SZ): Rated "Buy" with an EPS forecast of 2.07 yuan for 2026 [19]. - Sunshine Power (300274.SZ): Rated "Buy" with an EPS forecast of 7.74 yuan for 2026 [19]. - Jinpan Technology (688676.SH): Rated "Buy" with an EPS forecast of 2.20 yuan for 2026 [19]. Market Performance - The power equipment sector saw a 5.02% increase last week, ranking 12th among 28 sub-industries, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 1.21 percentage points [46].

Core Insights - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, along with four other departments, has issued the "Guidelines for the Construction and Application of Industrial Green Microgrids (2026-2030)" to promote the development and application of green microgrids in the industrial sector, aiming to enhance the use of green electricity and reduce carbon emissions in key industrial areas [1] Group 1: Industry Overview - In the past six months, 40 listed companies have disclosed their involvement in microgrid-related businesses through investor Q&A platforms or research activities, primarily in the power equipment sector with 19 companies [1] - Other sectors involved include machinery equipment, construction decoration, and telecommunications, with 4, 3, and 3 companies respectively [1] Group 2: Company Performance and Predictions - Among the concept stocks, 20 have received institutional ratings, with 10 stocks attracting significant attention from institutions, having ratings from five or more agencies [1] - According to consensus forecasts, 8 out of the 10 stocks are expected to achieve year-on-year growth in net profit attributable to shareholders by 2025, with Teruide (300001) projected to have the highest net profit growth rate of 30.4%, and Dongfang Electronics (000682) expected to increase by over 20% [1] Group 3: Stock Performance Data - The table lists various companies along with their stock performance on January 9, including: - Guodian Nari (600406) with a 0.55% increase and a projected net profit growth of 9.73% [2] - Weisheng Information (688100) with a 1.32% decrease and a projected growth of 14.97% [2] - Sifang Co. (601126) showing a 5.08% increase with a 17.98% growth forecast [2] - Teruide (300001) with a slight increase of 0.19% and a projected growth of 30.4% [2] - Dongfang Electronics (000682) with a 0.48% increase and a forecasted growth of 23.78% [2]