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中免.SH好风凭借力:中免的底牌是什么?证券
五矿证券· 2024-05-26 14:55
Financial Data and Key Indicators Changes - The company reported a revenue of 67.54 billion yuan in 2023, representing a year-on-year increase of 24.08% and a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15.61% from 2017 to 2023 [12] - The net profit attributable to the parent company was 6.714 billion yuan, up 33.46% year-on-year, indicating a continuous recovery [12] - The gross profit margin for 2023 was 31.4%, and the net profit margin was 9.9%, showing an improvement compared to 2022 [14] Business Line Data and Key Indicators Changes - The company's revenue is primarily derived from product sales, which include both tax-free and taxable goods. In 2023, the taxable business accounted for over 33.56% of total revenue, reflecting a shift from the previous focus on tax-free sales [12] - The company has established approximately 200 duty-free stores, covering over 100 cities, and has maintained a leading position in the domestic duty-free sales market, with a market share of over 85% [3][4] Market Data and Key Indicators Changes - The company has successfully secured duty-free store operating rights at major airports, including Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport and Shanghai Pudong International Airport, which are among the top three airports in terms of passenger throughput [20] - The duty-free business in Hainan has become a significant contributor, accounting for over 60% of the company's performance, supported by favorable policies and strategic store placements [20] Company Strategy and Development Direction and Industry Competition - The company aims to leverage its scale advantages and strong bargaining power to enhance competitiveness in the duty-free market, particularly as the Hainan Free Trade Port develops [4] - The company is also expanding its online taxable business, which has shown significant growth, indicating a strategic shift towards integrating online and offline sales channels [23] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the long-term growth of the duty-free market, driven by policies encouraging consumption return and the recovery of international travel [2] - The management highlighted that the recent agreements to reduce airport rental fees would significantly improve profitability as international passenger traffic recovers [4] Other Important Information - The company has a low debt-to-asset ratio of 23.21%, indicating a strong financial position [7] - The company is rated "Hold" with a target net profit forecast of 7.9 billion yuan for 2024, 9.6 billion yuan for 2025, and 10.9 billion yuan for 2026, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 23x, 19x, and 17x respectively [4] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the outlook for the duty-free market in Hainan? - Management indicated that the duty-free market in Hainan is expected to grow significantly, supported by government policies aimed at boosting consumption and the establishment of new duty-free stores [20] Question: How does the company plan to address increasing competition in the duty-free sector? - The company plans to leverage its scale and operational efficiencies to maintain its market leadership, as historical trends suggest that increased competition often leads to the exit of smaller players, benefiting larger firms [4][3]
中免23年股东大会交流纪要
中国银行· 2024-05-24 15:38
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported an increase in revenue for 2023, but sales expenses also rose significantly due to increased airport rents and operational costs from new projects [3][4][6] - The company's return on equity (ROE) is approximately 12%, with a gross margin of 30% and a net profit margin below 10% [6] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The recovery of airport duty-free sales is strong, with major airports seeing a recovery rate of over 60%, and some sales data even exceeding 2019 levels [1] - The company is focusing on enhancing customer experience and adjusting product offerings in response to changing consumer behavior, particularly in high-end and personalized products [6][8] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The influx of inbound tourists from Southeast Asia and India is increasing, with their purchasing habits differing from Chinese consumers, prompting the company to adjust its supply sources [2] - The company is experiencing a decline in purchase rates and average transaction values, despite an increase in foot traffic [5][8] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to enhance its competitive edge through improved service quality, differentiation, and a focus on long-term profitability rather than solely competing on price [6][8] - Future strategies include integrating online and offline sales channels, expanding into urban duty-free markets, and leveraging both duty-free and taxable sales [6][8] Management Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management believes the company is not in a "darkest hour" but is adapting to post-pandemic changes and market dynamics [6] - The company is optimistic about future growth driven by online-offline integration, urban duty-free expansion, and a focus on domestic and international markets [6][8] Other Important Information - The company is considering stock buyback options, but this is subject to regulatory guidelines from the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission [3][6] - The company has initiated a "Super Service" plan to enhance customer loyalty and improve profitability despite sales fluctuations [6] Q&A Session Summary Question: How is the recovery of airport duty-free sales compared to pre-pandemic levels? - The recovery rate is over 60% at major airports, with some sales exceeding 2019 levels [1] Question: What measures is the company taking in response to the rapid recovery of inbound and outbound tourism? - The company is adjusting its product offerings and enhancing shopping experiences in response to changing consumer preferences [2] Question: Why have sales expenses increased significantly? - Sales expenses rose due to increased airport rents and operational costs from new projects [3][4] Question: What measures are being taken for stock price management? - The company is focused on improving competitiveness and shareholder returns, including potential increases in dividend payouts [3] Question: What is the reason for the increase in prepaid equity investment? - The increase is due to the acquisition of a 49% stake in a subsidiary, with payments structured over time [4] Question: How does the company plan to enhance online and offline integration? - The company aims to balance revenue and profit while focusing on quality and service differentiation [6] Question: What is the company's outlook on ROE, gross margin, and net profit margin? - The company is working on improving these metrics through scale advantages and supply chain efficiency [6] Question: How does the company view its stock performance and market trends? - The company is optimistic about its market position and is adapting to consumer trends and competitive pressures [5][6]
中国中免:好风凭借力:中免的底牌是什么?
五矿证券· 2024-05-17 10:00
证券研究报告 [|T a公ble司_深Fir度st ] [Table_Main] 中国中免(601888.SH) [休Tab闲le_I服nve务st] 评级: 持有 首次覆盖 好风凭借力:中免的底牌是什么? 日期: 2024.05.17 报告要点 [分Ta析bl师e_ A何ut晓ho敏r] 登记编码:S0950523110001 长期看国策:消费回流 蛋糕做大 : (021)6139 2631 免税竞争格局有序,政策加码消费回流。免税品的中国境内消费是引导消费 : hexiaomin@wkzq.com.cn 回流的重要推力,中国经济长期向好的趋势从未改变,国民的高品质消费需 [公Ta司bl基e_本Ba数se据] 2024/5/17 求将不断释放,海南“十四五”免税业发展目标是吸引免税购物回流3000亿 总股本(万股) 206,885.90 元,离岛免税贸易实现倍增,共同做大蛋糕。 流通A股/B股(万股) 195,247.55 中期看格局:零售龙头 壁垒极强 资产负债率(%) 23.21 免税行业由规模效应决定进店转化率和议价能力,并构筑企业护城河。中国 每股净资产(元) 27.14 中免历史可追溯到 1984 ...
中免 成都策略会小范围交流纪要
中国银行· 2024-05-14 12:48
时间:2024年5月9日 嘉宾:郑总(IR) 纪要核心要点 1.一季度业绩:一季度的利润可能略超预期,尽管消费环境艰难,但公司表现优秀。 消费β没有回升,但中免具有自身的α。 2.现金分红提升:现金分红比例提升至50.85%,股息率大约为2%多,较以往的30% (分红比例)出头有所提高。 3.海南市场表现:海南海口海关数据显示3月份客单价不佳,但五一期间略有提升, 提升部分归因于假期因素。海南省委书记冯飞召开工作会议,提出用超常规手段促进 消费增长。海棠湾LV门店自去年11月开业以来销售表现优异,从2月份开始成为全 国销售额最高的门店,甚至可能在全球范围内也是最高的,体现公司的运营能力。 4.机场表现:海南市场是存量市场,而机场市场则是增量市场。上海机场,尤其是日 上免税店的表现超出预期,毛利率良好。 5.对未来的展望:今年海南市场有更多弹性,特别是利润贡献的弹性,期待机场市场 能带来更多积极影响。 Q&A Q:海南和机场的收入拆分 A:海南市场贡献约55%的收入,日上上海占25%,北京日上体量很小,是上海的 10%,所以日上上海机场非常重要。 Q:封关政策推进情况,公司是否有缓冲或者过渡性措施? A:封关政 ...
中国中免:H股公告-月报表
2024-05-06 09:11
股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2024年4月30日 狀態: 新提交 致:香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 中國旅遊集團中免股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2024年5月6日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 | 01880 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 116,383,500 RMB | | | 1 RMB | | 116,383,500 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | | RMB | | 0 | | 本月底結存 | | | 116,383,500 RMB | | | 1 RMB | | 116,383,500 | | 2. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 A | | | 於香港聯交 ...
中国中免:中国旅游集团中免股份有限公司2023年年度股东大会会议资料
2024-04-30 08:35
中国旅游集团中免股份有限公司 2023 年年度股东大会 会议资料 二〇二四年五月 | ਮ | | --- | | 附件五:《公司董事会议事规则》修订对照表 119 | | --- | 中国旅游集团中免股份有限公司 2023 年年度股东大会会议资料 一、会议按照《公司法》等有关法律、行政法规、部门规章、规范性文件以 及《公司章程》的有关规定进行,请参会人员自觉维护会议秩序,防止不当行为 影响其他股东合法权益。 二、出席现场会议的股东请在会议召开前30分钟到达会议现场办理签到手 续,并按规定出示及提供如下文件: 1、个人股东亲自出席会议的,应出示本人身份证或其它能够表明其身份的 有效证件或证明、股票账户卡;委托代理人出席会议的,代理人应出示本人有效 身份证件、委托人身份证复印件、股东授权委托书和股票账户卡; 2、法人股东定代表人出席会议的,应出示本人身份证、能证明其具有法定 代表人资格的有效证明、公司营业执照复印件;委托代理人出席会议的,代理人 应出示本人身份证、法人股东单位的法定代表人依法出具的书面授权委托书、公 司营业执照复印件。 三、出席大会的股东依法享有发言权、质询权、表决权等各项权利,但需由 公司统一安 ...
中国中免:中国旅游集团中免股份有限公司关于召开2023年年度股东大会的通知
2024-04-30 08:25
证券代码:601888 证券简称:中国中免 公告编号:临 2024-016 中国旅游集团中免股份有限公司 关于召开 2023 年年度股东大会的通知 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈 述或者重大遗漏,并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示: 一、 召开会议的基本情况 (一)股东大会类型和届次 2023 年年度股东大会 召开的日期时间:2024 年 5 月 23 日 14 点 00 分 召开地点:北京市朝阳区新源西里中街 18 号渔阳饭店会议厅 (五)网络投票的系统、起止日期和投票时间。 网络投票系统:上海证券交易所股东大会网络投票系统 网络投票起止时间:自 2024 年 5 月 23 日 至 2024 年 5 月 23 日 二、 会议审议事项 1 股东大会召开日期:2024年5月23日 本次股东大会采用的网络投票系统:上海证券交易所股东大会网络投票系统 (二)股东大会召集人:董事会 (三)投票方式:本次股东大会所采用的表决方式是现场投票和网络投票相结合的 方式 (四)现场会议召开的日期、时间和地点 采用上海证券交易所网络投票系统,通过交易系统投票平台的投票 ...
白云机场T1出境店新合同落地,中免与白云机场共赢
国泰君安· 2024-04-30 06:32
股 票 研 究 [Table_industryInfo] 社会服务业/社会服务 [ Table_Main[中ITnaf 国bol]e 中_Ti免tle]( 601888) [评Tab级le_:Inv est] 增持 上次评级: 增持 白云机场 T1 出境店新合同落地,中免与白云机场共赢 目标价格: 102.60 上次预测: 102.60 公 当前价格: 76.42 司 刘越男(分析师) 宋小寒(研究助理) 2024.04.30 更 021-38677706 010-83939087 [交Ta易bl数e_M据a rket] 新 liuyuenan@gtjas.com songxiaohan026736@gtjas.co 报 证书编号 S0880516030003 mS0 880122070054 5 总2 市周 值内 (股 百价 万区 元间 )( 元) 71.72 1- 51 85 ,3 1. 03 22 告 本报告导读: 总股本/流通A股(百万股) 2,069/1,952 流通 B股/H股(百万股) 0/116 白云机场T1出境店新合同落地,中免与白云机场共赢。 流通股比例 100% 日均成交量(百万股) 2 ...
2024Q1业绩点评:盈利能力改善,关注淡季表现
长江证券· 2024-04-30 05:33
%% research.95579.com %% 丨证券研究报告丨 公司研究丨点评报告丨中国中免( ) 601888.SH [2T0a2b4lQe_1T业itl绩e]点评:盈利能力改善,关注淡季表 现 报告要点 [2T0a2b4le年_S第um一m季a度ry],公司实现收入 188.07 亿元,同比-9.45%,归母净利润 23.06 亿元,同比 +0.25%,扣非后归母净利润22.99亿元,同比+0.15%。盈利预测及投资建议:预计2024-2026 年公司归母净利润分别为 79、91、100 亿,对应当前股价的 PE 分别为 19、16、15X,维持 “买入”评级。 ...
业绩符合快报数据,机场免税优化有望平滑压力期
中国银河· 2024-04-28 15:02
公[Ta司ble点_H评ead●er] 旅游零售Ⅱ 2024 年 04 月28 日 [Table_Title] 业绩符合快报数据,机场免税优化有望 [Table_StockCode] 中国中免(601888) 平滑压力期 [Tabl推e_In荐ves tRank] (维持) 核心观点: 分析师 [Table事_S件um:m1Qar2y4] 公司实现营收 188亿元/-9.5%,归母净利 23亿元/+0.2%,扣非归 [顾 Ta熹 b闽 le_ Authors] 母净利润 23亿元/+0.2%,与前期业绩快报数据一致。 :18916370173 ⚫ 收入端承压主要受离岛免税渠道营销,部分为机场渠道恢复所抵消 :guximin_yj@chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码:S0130522070001 1-3 月海南离岛免税销售金额 127.6 亿元/同比-21%,其中客单价 5938 元/同 比-21%。受离岛免税销售下滑影响,我们预计公司海南免税销售降幅约 20%, 而公司整体营收降幅低于离岛免税销售降幅,主要是受益于公司机场免税销 售恢复。我们估算以日上上海为主的其他板块为公司贡献营收约 8 ...