公司规划，到2028年，公司的资源储量、主要矿产品产量、销售收入、资产规模、利润等综合指标排名 进一步提升，铜、金矿产品产量进入全球前3位，全面建成高度适配且具有紫金特色的全球化运营管理 体系和ESG可持续发展体系；力争到2035年，公司主要指标较2025年实现跨越式增长，部份指标达到全 球首位，全面建成"绿色高技术超一流国际矿业集团"。 格隆汇2月9日丨紫金矿业(02899.HK)发布公告，2026年2月8日，公司召开第九届董事会2026年第4次临 时会议，会议审议通过《公司三年(2026—2028年)主要矿产品产量规划和2035年远景目标纲要》，明确 未来三年主要矿产品产量规划指标，并提出至2035年全面建成"绿色高技术超一流国际矿业集团"的远景 目标。 ...

關於三年（2026—2028 年）主要礦產品產量規劃和 2035 年遠景目標綱要的公告 重要内容提示： 一、編制背景 2023—2025 年，面對全球政治經濟和社會環境深刻變革，公司堅持「提質、控本、增效」工 作總方針，超預期完成目標任務，主要經濟指標和銅、金礦產品產量進入全球第 3—5 位。 主要財務數據 單位：人民幣億元 營業收入 利潤總額 歸母淨利潤 經營性淨現金流 資產總額 2022 年 2,703 300 200 287 3,060 2025 年 約 3,450 約 800 約 510-520 約 730 約 5,100 增長率 約 28% 約 167% 約 155%-160% 約 154% 約 67% 註：以上 2025 年數據為初步核算數據，具體以公司後續披露的經審計的 2025 年年度報告為 準。 1 ● 2026 年 2 月 8 日，紫金礦業集團股份有限公司（以下簡稱「本公司」、「公司」、「紫金」） 召開第九屆董事會 2026 年第 4 次臨時會議，會議審議通過《公司三年（2026—2028 年） 主要礦產品產量規劃和 2035 年遠景目標綱要》，明確未來三年主要礦產品產量規劃指 標，並提出 ...

Core Viewpoint - The new mandatory ESG information disclosure guidelines for A-share listed companies in China, effective from 2026, aim to enhance the quality and comparability of environmental data, addressing long-standing issues in environmental information disclosure [1][2]. Group 1: New Guidelines and Their Impact - The revised guidelines introduce three new environmental disclosure topics: pollutant emissions, energy utilization, and water resource utilization, providing a unified method for ESG reporting [2]. - Companies are expected to align their 2025 ESG disclosures with the new guidelines, aiming for full compliance with the Shenzhen Stock Exchange's requirements [1][5]. - The guidelines address the fragmentation and lack of standardization in environmental disclosures, which have historically hindered data comparability and quality [2][4]. Group 2: Industry Response and Implementation - Companies like Zijin Mining and Dufu Technology are developing systematic data collection processes to comply with the new guidelines, integrating ESG data into their daily management [5][10]. - The guidelines emphasize the need for companies to analyze the financial impacts of environmental issues on their operations, including effects on profit and cash flow [6][7]. - The guidelines allow for adjustments based on the complexity of a company's operations and data availability, promoting a more tailored approach to ESG reporting [3][8]. Group 3: Risk Management and Opportunities - The new guidelines provide a framework for companies to identify and manage environmental risks, linking ESG disclosures with internal management practices [8][9]. - Companies are recognizing green opportunities, such as recycling and energy recovery, which can enhance both environmental performance and economic benefits [9][10]. - The guidelines encourage companies to proactively manage environmental challenges, moving from compliance to strategic management [8].

Core Viewpoint - The new mandatory ESG information disclosure guidelines for A-share listed companies in China, effective from 2026, aim to enhance the quality and comparability of environmental data, addressing long-standing issues of fragmented and qualitative disclosures [1][2]. Group 1: New Guidelines Overview - The revised guidelines introduce three new environmental disclosure topics: pollutant emissions, energy utilization, and water resource utilization, providing a unified method for ESG reporting [2]. - The guidelines aim to resolve the historical challenges of inconsistent data standards and improve the credibility of environmental disclosures by establishing clear definitions and calculation methods [2][3]. Group 2: Industry Response and Implementation - Several listed companies are preparing to align their 2025 ESG disclosures with the new guidelines, with a goal of full compliance by the end of March [1]. - Companies like Zijin Mining and Dufu Technology are developing systematic data collection processes to ensure accurate reporting, utilizing technology for real-time monitoring and data management [4][5]. Group 3: Financial Impact Analysis - The new guidelines emphasize the need for companies to analyze and disclose the financial impacts of environmental issues on their financial statements, including potential effects on cash flow and operational costs [5]. - Companies are encouraged to assess how environmental factors, such as extreme weather and resource scarcity, could affect their financial performance [5][6]. Group 4: Risk Management and Strategic Opportunities - The guidelines provide a framework for companies to identify and manage environmental risks, integrating ESG disclosures into their overall management strategies [6]. - Companies are recognizing green opportunities, such as recycling and energy efficiency projects, which can enhance both environmental performance and economic benefits [6][7]. Group 5: Challenges and Recommendations - Companies face challenges in aligning domestic regulations with international standards, particularly in data reporting and calculation methods [7]. - There is a call for regulatory bodies to offer training and support to help companies navigate the complexities of the new guidelines and improve their ESG reporting practices [7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the copper industry [6] Core Views - Short-term copper prices are expected to fluctuate, but there is optimism for an upward trend in copper prices in 2026 due to ongoing supply-demand tightness [1][4] - The TC spot price continues to hit historical lows, indicating tight procurement of copper concentrate [1][3] - The report recommends specific companies for investment: Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, Jincheng Mining, and Western Mining, while also suggesting to pay attention to Tongling Nonferrous Metals [4] Supply and Demand Summary - **Supply**: - As of February 6, 2026, domestic copper concentrate inventory at major ports is 638,000 tons, down 5.2% from the previous week [2][46] - The TC spot price is at -51.23 USD/ton, a decrease of 0.9 USD/ton from January 30, 2026, marking a low since September 2007 [3][57] - **Demand**: - Cable manufacturing utilization rate increased by 0.7 percentage points to 60.15% as of February 5, 2026 [4][70] - Air conditioning production is projected to decline by 31.6% in February, 6.5% in March, and increase by 4.0% in April 2026 [4][87] Inventory Summary - Domestic copper social inventory increased by 4.0% week-on-week, while LME copper inventory rose by 4.9% [2][24] - Global inventory across major exchanges reached 1,021,000 tons, up 3.6% from January 30, 2026 [2][24] Price Trends - As of February 6, 2026, SHFE copper closed at 100,100 CNY/ton, down 3.45% from January 30, 2026, while LME copper closed at 13,060 USD/ton, down 0.08% [1][17]

Core Insights - The report introduces a "Five-Dimensional Industry Comparison Framework" that integrates multiple factors affecting stock price performance, emphasizing the need for a comprehensive analysis rather than relying on a single indicator [3][9] - Historical backtesting from 2016 to February 2025 shows that industries with higher scores in this framework tend to perform better, with annualized returns for the top scoring group at 11.8% compared to -10.5% for the lowest scoring group [21][23] - The report suggests a focus on growth sectors for February, particularly in high valuation industries such as electronics, power equipment, machinery, non-ferrous metals, communications, and computers [3][34] Five-Dimensional Industry Comparison Framework - The framework consists of five dimensions: market style, fundamentals, liquidity, trading, and valuation, with subjective judgments applied to market style, liquidity, and valuation [9][12] - The scoring process involves adjusting weights based on market conditions, with equal weighting during non-earnings seasons and increased emphasis on fundamentals during earnings seasons [8][30] February Market Outlook - The report anticipates a growth-oriented market style for February, with expectations of net inflows from public funds and a focus on high valuation sectors [3][34] - Key industries identified for investment include electronics, power equipment, machinery, non-ferrous metals, communications, and computers, which are expected to benefit from favorable market conditions [34][35] Industry Recommendations - **Electronics and Communications**: Companies like Zhongji Xuchuang and ShenNan Circuit are highlighted for their strong positions in AI-related markets and expected growth in demand for high-end products [36] - **Power Equipment**: Firms such as Shenghong Co. and Yangguang Electric are recommended due to their potential benefits from overseas storage and AI power sectors [40] - **High-End Manufacturing**: Companies like Anpeilong and Jingjin Equipment are noted for their advancements in robotics and AI applications, with significant growth potential [42] - **Non-Ferrous Metals**: Companies like Zijin Mining and Luoyang Molybdenum are expected to benefit from rising copper prices and strategic stockpiling initiatives [46][47] - **Computers**: Firms such as Hikvision and Kingsoft are recognized for their strong AI capabilities and market positioning, with expectations for sustained growth [49][50]

↑点击上面图片 加雪球核心交流群 ↑ 风险提示：本文所提到的观点仅代表个人的意见，所涉及标的不作推荐，据此买卖，风险自负。 作者：羽界之家 来源：雪球 前两天，我经历了一件并不愉快、但让我思考了很久的事情。朋友突然找我，说能不能"帮帮他"。 他说他之前在茅台上割了三次，现在又买了紫金矿业被套牢，内心非常痛苦，完全无法原谅自己。他反复追问我，能不能跟着我投资。 我跟他说， 短期被套是投资里的常态 ，没有人能做到买入就涨、卖出就跌。我也跟他说，我写过很多文章，你如果能看懂、学会，其实就是在"跟 着我投资"。 但他接着说了一句话，让我非常无语，也让我警惕： "有些文章我看不懂。" 他并不是在问问题，而是在反复痛恨自己的投资失误，情绪已经完全失控，甚至说出了一些让我必须立刻拉开边界的话。 我只能明确告诉他： 如果你在一个高频犯错、情绪主导的状态里，还不断放大仓位、放大期待，那结果往往不是"学会了投资"，而是被市场反复惩罚。 二、合格的投资者，永远把风险放在第一位 我很同情他的处境，但 我帮不了他 。不是因为标的，而是因为 他的投资心态本身，就不是任何人能"带"的状态 。 而且，说得直白一点——我们只是萍水相逢，对陌生 ...

[Table_Page] 投资策略|专题报告 2026 年 2 月 8 日 证券研究报告 [Table_Summary [Table_Title] ] 春节前后，港股如何反应？ ——港股市场策略展望 报告摘要： （4）港股天量 IPO 对市场影响不大，影响主要在于 IPO 过后 6 个月 的解禁高峰。典型的例如 11 年年中、15 年下半年、19 年 3 月、21 年 二季度、22 年年中，解禁潮都与港股下跌出现在相似时间段。26 年 3 月主要是有色金属（紫金黄金国际、南山铝业国际）+茶饮（蜜雪冰城） 的解禁潮，中大型规模公司的解禁规模 872 亿港元，高于去年年末的 解禁小高峰。由于港股通账户并不能够参与打新，享受稀缺性公司的 上市红利，却需要承受限售股解禁带来的风险，这可能确实是南向资 金对于 2026 年港股的主要担忧之一。 | [分析师： Table_Author]刘晨明 | | | --- | --- | | | SAC 执证号：S0260524020001 | | | SFC CE No. BVH021 | | | 010-59136616 | | | liuchenming@gf.com.cn ...

有色金属周报 20260208 情绪趋稳，商品价格筑底 glmszqdatemark 重点公司盈利预测、估值与评级 | 代码 | 简称 | 股价（元） | | EPS（元） | | | PE（X） | | 评级 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | | | 601899.SH | 紫金矿业 | 37.19 | 1.21 | 2.00 | 2.71 | 31 | 19 | 14 | 推荐 | | 603993.SH | 洛阳钼业 | 21.99 | 0.63 | 0.88 | 1.29 | 35 | 25 | 17 | 推荐 | | 000807.SZ | 云铝股份 | 31.70 | 1.27 | 1.94 | 2.31 | 25 | 16 | 14 | 推荐 | | 603799.SH | 华友钴业 | 70.45 | 2.50 | 3.15 | 4.17 | 28 | 22 | 17 | 推荐 | | 00 ...

有色金属周报 20260208 情绪趋稳，商品价格筑底 glmszqdatemark 重点公司盈利预测、估值与评级 | 代码 | 简称 | 股价（元） | | EPS（元） | | | PE（X） | | 评级 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | | | 601899.SH | 紫金矿业 | 37.19 | 1.21 | 2.00 | 2.71 | 31 | 19 | 14 | 推荐 | | 603993.SH | 洛阳钼业 | 21.99 | 0.63 | 0.88 | 1.29 | 35 | 25 | 17 | 推荐 | | 000807.SZ | 云铝股份 | 31.70 | 1.27 | 1.94 | 2.31 | 25 | 16 | 14 | 推荐 | | 603799.SH | 华友钴业 | 70.45 | 2.50 | 3.15 | 4.17 | 28 | 22 | 17 | 推荐 | | 00 ...