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兆易创新:持续推进存储和MCU业务,重视端侧AI应用机会
东方证券· 2025-01-23 01:50
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 145.18 CNY based on a projected average PE of 61 for comparable companies in 2025 [2][5][7]. Core Insights - The company is focusing on advancing its storage and MCU (Microcontroller Unit) businesses while emphasizing opportunities in edge AI applications. It aims to leverage its position in the NOR Flash market, which ranks second globally, to benefit from the growing demand in consumer electronics and AI-related devices [1][6]. - The earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are projected at 1.68 CNY, 2.38 CNY, and 3.04 CNY respectively, reflecting adjustments due to a downward supply-demand cycle impacting revenue and gross margins [2][7]. - The company is actively pursuing niche markets in DRAM, with expectations of supply improvements by mid-2025, and is expanding its product offerings in automotive MCU, which is entering a rapid growth phase [6][7]. Financial Summary - The company's revenue is projected to recover from 5,761 million CNY in 2023 to 11,315 million CNY by 2026, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 20.2% [4][11]. - Operating profit is expected to increase significantly from 120 million CNY in 2023 to 2,236 million CNY in 2026, indicating a strong recovery trajectory [4][11]. - The gross margin is forecasted to improve from 34.4% in 2023 to 44.1% in 2026, reflecting better cost management and product mix [4][11].
兆易创新:24业绩预计高增,持续打造平台化/多品类IC公司
华金证券· 2025-01-22 14:21
Investment Rating - Buy (Maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve high growth in 2024, driven by increased revenue and sales across multiple sectors, including consumer, networking, and computing [3] - Revenue for 2024 is projected to reach approximately 7.349 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27.57% [3] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 1.09 billion yuan in 2024, a significant increase of 576.43% compared to 2023 [3] - The company's DRAM business is focused on niche markets, with plans to complete the development of DDR4 and LPDDR4 small-capacity products within 1-2 years [3] - The Nor Flash market is expected to see increased demand due to AI-driven growth in PC and headset applications, with limited further price declines [4] - The acquisition of Saixin is expected to enhance the company's competitiveness in the analog sector, particularly in battery management technologies [5] Financial Performance and Valuation - Revenue for 2024 is forecasted at 7.349 billion yuan, with a projected growth rate of 27.6% [6] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to reach 1.09 billion yuan in 2024, with a growth rate of 576.1% [6] - Gross margin is expected to improve from 34.4% in 2023 to 35.6% in 2024 [6] - The company's P/E ratio for 2024 is estimated at 83.0, with a projected decrease to 52.2 in 2025 [6] - ROE is expected to increase from 1.1% in 2023 to 6.7% in 2024 [6] Business Strategy and Market Position - The company continues to focus on market share expansion, with significant R&D investment and product iteration [3] - The DRAM business is strategically positioned in niche markets, with plans to develop LPDDR5 products in the future [3] - The Nor Flash market is expected to benefit from AI-driven demand, particularly in PC and headset applications [4] - The acquisition of Saixin is aimed at strengthening the company's position in the analog sector, particularly in battery management and power management chips [5] Industry and Market Trends - The DRAM market is expected to see price stabilization and recovery in the second half of 2025, driven by improved supply conditions [3] - The Nor Flash market is expected to see increased demand from AI applications, with limited further price declines [4] - The company's MCU business is exploring new directions, including automotive MCUs, which have a different business model compared to consumer and industrial MCUs [5]
兆易创新(603986) - 2024 Q4 - 年度业绩预告
2025-01-21 09:55
Financial Performance Forecast - The company expects a net profit attributable to shareholders of approximately 1,090 million yuan for 2024, an increase of about 928.86 million yuan compared to the same period last year, representing a year-on-year growth of approximately 576.43%[1] - The expected net profit attributable to shareholders after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is approximately 1,030 million yuan, an increase of about 1,002.60 million yuan compared to the same period last year, reflecting a year-on-year growth of approximately 3,659.04%[3] - The company anticipates total operating revenue of approximately 7.349 billion yuan for 2024, an increase of about 1.588 billion yuan compared to the same period last year, indicating a year-on-year growth of approximately 27.57%[3] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period last year was 161.14 million yuan, and the net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 27.40 million yuan[5] Factors Influencing Performance - The company attributes the performance increase to a recovery in downstream market demand, increased customer inventory, and significant revenue and sales growth across multiple sectors including consumption, networking, and computing[7] - The company continues to focus on market share, increasing R&D investment, optimizing product costs, and enhancing product competitiveness across multiple product lines[7] Asset Impairment and Forecast Accuracy - The impairment losses on goodwill and inventory assets in 2023 amounted to approximately 610 million yuan, with a significant decrease in related asset impairment losses expected in 2024 compared to 2023[7] - The performance forecast is based on the company's professional judgment and has not been audited by the annual audit accountant, with no significant uncertainties affecting the accuracy of the forecast[8] - The forecast data is preliminary and the specific financial data will be disclosed in the company's officially audited 2024 annual report[9]
兆易创新:2024年净利预计同比增长576.43%左右
证券时报网· 2025-01-21 09:47
Group 1 - The company, Zhaoyi Innovation (603986), expects to achieve a net profit of approximately 1.09 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of about 576.43% [1] - The industry is experiencing a recovery in downstream market demand, leading to an increase in customer inventory [1] - The company's products have seen significant revenue and sales growth across multiple sectors, including consumer electronics, networking, and computing [1]
兆易创新:2024年四季度前瞻:受季节性因素影响,净利润料环比下降12%至人民币2.76亿元;买入
高盛· 2025-01-19 15:07
Investment Rating - The report maintains a **Buy** rating for Gigadevice (603986 SS) with a 12-month target price of RMB 136, based on a 37x 2026E P/E ratio [10][12] Core Views - Gigadevice is expected to enter a new growth cycle driven by its expansion into niche DRAM products, with strong EPS growth anticipated as its market share in China's niche DRAM market increases [12] - The company's NOR Flash and MCU businesses are expected to remain stable and show moderate recovery in 2024-25 [12] - The current valuation of Gigadevice is below historical levels, making it attractive [12] 2024 Q4 Performance Outlook - Revenue for Q4 2024 is expected to be RMB 1 883 million, down 8% QoQ but up 38% YoY [1][4] - Gross margin is projected to decline to 39% in Q4 2024, down from 42% in Q3 2024, due to normalized product mix and continued DRAM price pressure [1][2] - Net profit is forecasted to be RMB 276 million, down 12% QoQ but a significant improvement from a loss in the same period last year [1][4] 2025 Q1 Performance Outlook - Revenue for Q1 2025 is expected to remain flat QoQ at RMB 1 866 million, reflecting the typical seasonal weakness in Q1 [2][3] - Net profit is projected to increase slightly by 6% QoQ to RMB 292 million [3][4] DRAM Business Outlook - The DRAM market is expected to remain oversupplied in H1 2025, with a recovery in supply-demand balance anticipated in H2 2025 [6] - Gigadevice's niche DRAM growth will be driven by product expansion, including the mass production of 8Gb DDR4 products in 2025, and increased order share from domestic customers [6] AI Opportunities - The growth of edge AI is expected to benefit Gigadevice's products, including increased NOR Flash chip adoption in AI PCs and AI headphones, and strong growth in AI glasses [7] - The company is exploring customized storage solutions, which could also benefit from edge AI development in areas like AI phones and robotics [7] Financial Forecast Adjustments - Revenue forecasts for 2024-27 have been revised downward by 0%-5%, with gross margin forecasts reduced by up to 3 percentage points, and net profit forecasts lowered by 3%-23% [7][8] - The 2026E revenue is now projected at RMB 11 628 million, with a gross margin of 39 4% and net income of RMB 2 459 million [8]
兆易创新(603986) - 北京市中伦(深圳)律师事务所关于兆易创新回购注销相关事项的法律意见书
2025-01-16 16:00
北京市中伦(深圳)律师事务所 关于兆易创新科技集团股份有限公司 回购注销相关事项的 法律意见书 二〇二五年一月 北京 • 上海 • 深圳 • 广州 • 武汉 • 成都 • 重庆 • 青岛 • 杭州 • 南京 • 海口 • 东京 • 香港 • 伦敦 • 纽约 • 洛杉矶 • 旧金山 • 阿拉木图 Beijing • Shanghai • Shenzhen • Guangzhou • Wuhan • Chengdu • Chongqing • Qingdao • Hangzhou • Nanjing • Haikou • Tokyo • Hong Kong • London • New York • Los Angeles • San Francisco • Almaty 北京市中伦(深圳)律师事务所 关于兆易创新科技集团股份有限公司 回购注销相关事项的 法律意见书 致:兆易创新科技集团股份有限公司 北京市中伦(深圳)律师事务所接受兆易创新科技集团股份有限公司(以下 简称"兆易创新"或"公司")的委托,担任兆易创新实施2020年股票期权与限 制性股票激励计划(以下简称"2020年激励计划")、2021年股票期权与 ...
兆易创新(603986) - 兆易创新关于部分限制性股票回购注销实施公告
2025-01-16 16:00
证券代码:603986 证券简称:兆易创新 公告编号:2025-002 兆易创新科技集团股份有限公司 | 回购股份数量 | 注销股份数量 | | 注销日期 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 股 64,915 | 64,915 | 股 | 年 2025 | 1 | 月 | 21 | 日 | 一、本次限制性股票回购注销的决策与信息披露 兆易创新科技集团股份有限公司(以下简称"公司")于 2024 年 10 月 25 日分别召开了第四届董事会第二十五次会议和第四届监事会第二十一次会议,审 议通过了《关于注销部分股票期权与回购注销部分限制性股票的议案》。 因 2020 年股票期权与限制性股票激励计划中 4 名原激励对象已离职,同意 公司以 69.999 元/股+同期存款利息(按日计息)的回购价格回购其已获授但尚 未解除限售的 23,940 股限制性股票,并办理回购注销手续。 关于部分限制性股票回购注销实施公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏,并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担 ...
跟踪报告:DRAM产业持续创新,兆易创新有望充分受益
光大证券· 2025-01-14 03:09
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1]. Core Views - The DRAM industry is undergoing continuous innovation, and the company is expected to benefit significantly from this trend [19]. - The company is a leading player in the niche storage and MCU sectors in China, with a diversified product portfolio including storage devices, microcontrollers, and sensors [16]. - The introduction of the CUBE technology is anticipated to enhance overall system performance and address existing limitations in memory solutions, particularly for AI applications [11][14]. Financial Performance - In 2023, the company's revenue was 5.76 billion yuan, a decrease of 29.41% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 161 million yuan, down 92.15% [16]. - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved revenue of 5.65 billion yuan, an increase of 28.56% year-on-year, with a net profit of 832 million yuan, up 91.87% [16]. - The company forecasts net profits of 1.09 billion yuan, 1.62 billion yuan, and 2.10 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [19]. Product Overview - The company has launched various products, including high-capacity and high-performance SPI NOR Flash, SLC NAND Flash, and DRAM products, catering to diverse applications such as IoT, automotive, and industrial sectors [17]. - The DRAM segment is a key focus for the company, with products widely used in networking, television, set-top boxes, and smart home applications [16]. Market Position - The company is strategically partnered with Changxin Storage for DRAM product manufacturing, which enhances its capabilities in the niche DRAM market [19]. - The CUBE technology is positioned to revolutionize edge AI computing by providing high bandwidth and low power consumption, making it suitable for various applications [14].
兆易创新:CEO电话会;2025年展望及边缘AI机会要点;买入
高盛· 2025-01-14 01:21
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1][10]. Core Insights - The management emphasizes a market share-driven strategy, focusing on expanding the market share of key products such as NOR Flash, MCU, and DRAM. Key initiatives include product expansion targeting the automotive market and enhancing cost competitiveness through partnerships and innovation [2]. - The company is poised to benefit from the growth of edge AI, with expectations of increased demand for NOR Flash in AI PCs, AI headphones, and AI glasses, which require higher storage capacities [2]. - The price trend for products has likely bottomed out, but the potential for price recovery remains low [3]. Summary by Sections 2025 Outlook - The management's focus remains on expanding market share, with overall demand expected to remain volatile. The price trend has stabilized at low levels, with limited further downside, and price increases in 2025 are not anticipated [4]. - For NOR Flash, despite intense competition, the company maintains its position as the second-largest global revenue generator. The 2024 shipment volume is expected to be strong, driven by the automotive market and edge AI devices [4]. - The company aims for a 50% year-on-year increase in NOR Flash sales to the automotive sector in 2024, with similar growth targeted for 2025 [4]. MCU and DRAM Insights - The MCU segment is expected to see a slight recovery in 2024, with further observation needed for 2025 due to macroeconomic uncertainties. The overall revenue in the MCU sector has bottomed out in 2024 [5]. - The niche DRAM segment is currently undergoing a temporary inventory digestion phase, with a potential return to supply-demand balance expected in the second half of 2025 [8]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to enter a new growth cycle as it expands into niche DRAM products, supported by a strong increase in market share in mainland China. The NOR Flash and MCU businesses are expected to remain stable, with moderate recovery anticipated from 2024 to 2025 [10]. - The 12-month target price is set at RMB 120, based on a 37x P/E ratio for 2025 [11].
兆易创新(603986) - 兆易创新股票交易异常波动的公告
2025-01-09 16:00
证券代码:603986 证券简称:兆易创新 公告编号:2025-001 兆易创新科技集团股份有限公司 关于股票交易异常波动的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈 述或者重大遗漏,并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示: 兆易创新科技集团股份有限公司(以下简称"公司")股票连续3个交易 日内日收盘价格涨幅偏离值累计超过20%,根据《上海证券交易所交易规则》的 有关规定,属于股票交易异常波动情形。 经公司自查,并向控股股东、实际控制人书面询问,截止本公告披露日, 公司不存在影响上市公司股票交易异常波动的重大事项;不存在其他应披露未披 露的重大事项。公司目前生产经营正常,未发生重大变化。 公司敬请广大投资者注意投资风险,理性决策、审慎投资。 一、股票交易异常波动的具体情况 公司股票交易于 2025 年 1 月 7 日、2025 年 1 月 8 日、2025 年 1 月 9 日连续 3 个交易日内日收盘价格涨幅偏离值累计超过 20%,根据《上海证券交易所交易 规则》的有关规定,属于股票交易异常波动情形。 二、公司关注并核实的相关情况 针对公司股票交易异常波动的 ...