Core Viewpoint - The company forecasts a significant decline in net profit for 2025, primarily due to a substantial drop in pig sales prices despite an increase in sales volume and a decrease in breeding costs [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company expects a net profit attributable to shareholders of 313 to 384 million yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year decline of 44.09% to 54.43% [1] - The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is projected to be 278 to 349 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 49.92% to 60.11% [1] - The company anticipates a sales volume of 3.0742 million pigs in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 35.34%, with a sales revenue of 4.729 billion yuan, up 5.21% year-on-year [1] Group 2: Cost and Production Efficiency - The breeding cost continues to decline, with the total cost expected to drop to 12.3 yuan per kilogram for 2025, including a production cost of 11.4 yuan per kilogram and an expense amortization of 0.9 yuan per kilogram [2] - The company achieved a PSY (Pigs per Sow per Year) of 29.5 and a feed conversion ratio of 2.45-2.48, indicating improved overall production performance compared to 2024 [2] Group 3: Investment Outlook - The company projects net profits for 2025-2027 to be 346 million, 511 million, and 823 million yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.66, 0.97, and 1.57 yuan [3] - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 29 times for 2026, and the investment rating is maintained at "Accumulate-B" [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry [1][4]. Core Views - The report anticipates a reversal in the livestock cycle, particularly benefiting Hong Kong dairy farming stocks [1]. - The monthly recommended stock portfolio includes leading companies in various segments: Yuran Agriculture, Modern Farming, Muyuan Foods, Dekang Agriculture, and Lihua Co., among others [1][3]. - The report highlights the expected upward trend in domestic beef and milk prices, driven by a recovery in the livestock cycle and improved cash flow for leading companies [1][14]. Summary by Sections Livestock Sector - The livestock sector is expected to experience a significant turnaround, with recommendations for Yuran Agriculture and Modern Farming as key beneficiaries [1][14]. - The report notes that domestic beef production capacity is decreasing, which may lead to price increases through 2028 [14]. - The improvement in raw milk prices is anticipated to benefit dairy farming companies, with a projected profit increase for Yuran Agriculture and Modern Farming [17]. Swine Sector - The swine sector is highlighted for its potential recovery, with leading companies like Huazhong, Dekang Agriculture, and Muyuan Foods recommended for investment [1][14]. - The report indicates that the industry is moving towards a more stable price center, supported by a reduction in production capacity and improved cash flow for leading firms [15][20]. Poultry Sector - The poultry sector is expected to see a recovery in demand, with recommendations for Lihua Co. and Shengnong Development [1][18]. - The report notes that the supply of white feather chickens is increasing, but demand is expected to improve, leading to potential price recovery [22][24]. Pet Sector - The pet food market is identified as a growing segment, with a focus on domestic brands like Guibao Pet [1][16]. - The report emphasizes the long-term growth potential of the pet sector, driven by rising consumer sentiment and market expansion [16]. Feed Sector - The feed sector is expected to benefit from deeper industrialization in livestock farming, with leading companies like Haida Group recommended [1][18]. - The report notes that feed prices are at historical lows, providing a strong support level for future price recovery [18].

Core Insights - The report emphasizes a favorable outlook for the livestock sector, particularly dairy farming, anticipating a significant cyclical reversal benefiting Hong Kong-listed dairy farming companies [1][12] - The investment strategy highlights a recommended monthly portfolio including leading companies in various segments such as dairy, pig farming, and pet food [1][3] Livestock Sector - The livestock sector is expected to experience a cyclical reversal, with both beef and milk prices projected to rise, driven by a reduction in domestic beef production and a historical low in milk prices [14][29] - Key recommendations include Yuran Dairy and Modern Farming, which are positioned to benefit from the anticipated price recovery in raw milk and beef [14][17] Pig Farming Sector - The pig farming sector is witnessing a stabilization in prices, with a notable increase in piglet prices, indicating a potential recovery in profitability for leading companies [20][21] - Recommended companies in this sector include Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuffs, and Huazhong Holdings, which are expected to benefit from improved cash flow and dividend returns [3][15] Poultry Sector - The poultry sector is seeing a slight increase in supply, with expectations of demand recovery supporting price stability, particularly for broiler chickens [22][24] - Leading companies such as Lihua Agricultural and Shengnong Development are highlighted for their competitive advantages in cost management and market positioning [18][19] Pet Food Sector - The pet food market is identified as a high-growth area, benefiting from rising consumer sentiment and the emergence of domestic brands [16][18] - Companies like Guibao Pet Food are recommended for their strong growth potential in this segment [3][16] Feed Sector - The feed industry is expected to deepen its industrialization, with leading companies leveraging technological and service advantages to enhance competitive positioning [1][3] - The report notes that feed prices are at historical lows, providing a supportive cost structure for producers [20][21] Agricultural Products - The report tracks agricultural product prices, noting fluctuations in pork, chicken, and feed prices, with implications for overall market dynamics [2][21] - The analysis indicates that soybean meal prices are at historical lows, while corn prices are stabilizing, suggesting a tightening supply-demand balance in the medium term [20][21]

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights significant target price increases for several listed companies from January 26 to February 1, with notable mentions including Baili Tianheng, Zexing Pharmaceutical, and Great Wall Motors, indicating strong bullish sentiment in the market for these stocks [1][2]. Target Price Increases - Baili Tianheng (688506) has a target price increase of 375.97%, with a highest target price set at 1322.00 yuan [2]. - Zexing Pharmaceutical (688266) shows a target price increase of 88.56%, with a highest target price of 166.16 yuan [2]. - Great Wall Motors (601633) has a target price increase of 83.66%, with a highest target price of 38.00 yuan [2]. - Other companies with notable target price increases include Industrial Fulian (601138) at 73.31% and CATL (300750) at 71.71% [2][3]. Broker Recommendations - A total of 265 listed companies received broker recommendations during the period, with Qingdao Bank receiving the highest number of recommendations at 8 [3][4]. - Other companies with multiple recommendations include Xian Dao Intelligent and Wancheng Group, each receiving 5 recommendations [3][4]. Rating Adjustments - Eight companies had their ratings upgraded, including Shanghai Jahwa (600315) from "Hold" to "Buy" and ZTE Corporation (000063) from "Cautious Buy" to "Buy" [5][6]. - Two companies had their ratings downgraded, including Jincheng Shares (603396) from "Buy" to "Hold" and Huasheng Group (603018) from "Buy" to "Hold" [6]. First-Time Coverage - During the same period, 75 instances of first-time coverage were reported, with notable ratings including Shaanxi Tourism (603402) receiving a "Outperform Industry" rating and Bichu Electronics (688188) receiving a "Buy" rating [7].

Investment Rating - Industry rating: "Overweight" [2] Core Insights - The report highlights a significant drop in pig prices by 6% to 12.21 CNY/kg, while the price of white feather chicken products has increased to 9,400 CNY/ton [3][4] - The report indicates that the pig farming sector has been profitable for three consecutive weeks, with a profit of 25.1 CNY per head [3] - The report recommends continued investment in the pig farming sector, particularly in companies like Muyuan Foods, Tiankang Biological, Wens Foodstuff, and Lihua Agricultural [3] Summary by Sections Pig Farming - The average weight of pigs at slaughter has decreased to 127.86 kg, with the proportion of heavy pigs (over 150 kg) at 5.78% [3] - The price of two-yuan sows remains stable at 1,559 CNY/head, while the price of piglets has increased by 3.3% week-on-week [3] - The report anticipates a new wave of price declines post-Chinese New Year due to expected capacity reduction in the pig industry [3] Chicken Farming - The price of white feather chicken products has risen to 9,400 CNY/ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 1.6% [4] - Yellow feather chicken farming has been profitable for over five months, with an average price of 14.95 CNY/kg [4] - The report notes a historical high in the number of breeding stock for white feather chickens, with a total of 157.42 million sets updated in December 2025 [4] Cattle Industry - As of the end of 2025, the cattle stock in China has decreased by 8.6%, with expectations for prices to rise in the first half of 2026 [8] - The report suggests that the decline in cattle stock is a precursor to rising beef prices, with historical data supporting this trend [8] Pet Food Market - The pet market in China is projected to grow by 4.1% in 2025, reaching a total market size of 312.6 billion CNY [7] - The pet food market share has increased to 53.7%, with significant growth in core brands [7]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the industry [3] Core Insights - The price of piglets follows a clear historical pattern, with expectations for continued price increases followed by a decline around May/June. A significant capacity reduction cycle is anticipated in 2026, primarily occurring in the second half of the year, while stock prices are expected to start rising in the first half [5][6] - The report emphasizes that piglet prices are influenced by production patterns, with December and January being peak slaughter months, leading to increased demand for piglets. Conversely, supply remains relatively stable, which can lead to price increases when demand surges [7] - The report highlights that piglet prices do not correlate with pig price expectations and cannot be used to predict pig prices. The annual variations in piglet prices are consistent, while pig prices fluctuate yearly, indicating a lack of direct relationship [7] - The report recommends focusing on the pig farming sector, predicting a significant capacity reduction cycle in 2026. It suggests that the first half of 2026 will resemble the first half of 2023, with losses in fat pigs but profits in piglets, leading to a smoother capacity reduction after the anticipated price drop in May/June [7] - Key companies to watch include Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, Tiankang Biological, Juxing Agriculture, and Shennong Group, as their valuations are currently at the bottom, with potential for stock price increases as the industry faces losses and clearer capacity reduction trends [7][8] Summary by Sections Historical Price Trends - Piglet prices exhibit a clear historical trend, typically bottoming out in December/January and peaking in May/June. The fluctuations are tied to seasonal production patterns and demand cycles [5][7] Production and Supply Dynamics - The report discusses the relationship between supply and demand, noting that while supply is stable, demand spikes during certain months can lead to price increases. The cyclical nature of pig farming is highlighted, with adjustments made to align production with demand [7] Investment Opportunities - The report identifies a significant capacity reduction cycle in the pig farming industry for 2026, suggesting that investors should focus on companies with strong fundamentals and current low valuations, as they are likely to benefit from the anticipated market changes [7][8]

Group 1: Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.12%, the Shenzhen Component Index decreased by 1.31%, and the ChiNext Index dropped by 0.12% as of January 30 [2] - The livestock farming sector, particularly related to genetically modified organisms, agriculture, and corn, showed positive performance with significant gains in related ETFs [2] Group 2: Pig Farming Industry Insights - Recent data indicates a 13.79% increase in pig prices over the last 60 days, reaching 13.12 yuan per kilogram on January 29, supported by rising meat demand ahead of the Spring Festival [2] - Despite a recent price increase, the overall supply-demand situation is weak, with expectations of price declines post-holiday due to supply pressures and reduced output [3] - The average weight of pigs sold this week was 128.89 kg, showing a slight recovery, but the overall supply is expected to decrease in January [3] - The industry is experiencing losses, with prices falling below the cost line, leading to a reduction in production capacity and a stabilization of market conditions at the bottom [3] Group 3: Poultry Industry Insights - The white feather chicken market is experiencing price support due to weak supply elasticity caused by overseas epidemics halting domestic breeding [4] - The average selling price of white feather meat chickens in December was 7.44 yuan per kilogram, with a slight increase from the previous month, while breeding losses were reported at 0.26 yuan per bird [4] - The total stock of white feather breeding chickens reached 2.3377 million sets by the end of December, reflecting an 11.3% increase, indicating a potential for future price stability [4]

Core Viewpoint - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 313 to 384 million yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year decline of 44.1% to 54.4%, primarily due to a sharper-than-expected decline in pig prices in Q4, leading to losses in the pig farming business [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company anticipates a net profit of approximately -112 million yuan in Q4 2025, indicating a shift from profit to loss year-on-year [1] - The company is projected to sell 3.074 million pigs in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 35.4%, with an estimated average profit of 135 yuan per pig [2] - The average selling price of pigs is expected to be around 13.4 yuan/kg in 2025, down 17.7% from 16.3 yuan/kg in 2024 [2] Group 2: Cost Management - The company is continuously optimizing costs, with the total cost expected to decrease by 1.70 yuan/kg in 2025 compared to 2024 [3] - The target for total cost in 2026 is set at 11.5 yuan/kg, indicating potential for further cost reduction [3] - The company has a strong track record of meeting its cost and output targets, showcasing both growth potential and financial stability [4] Group 3: Profit Forecast and Valuation - Due to the unexpected decline in pig prices, the company has revised its 2025 net profit forecast to 367 million yuan [5] - The estimated net profits for 2026 and 2027 are projected to be 459 million yuan and 2.013 billion yuan, respectively [5] - The company is assigned a target price of 45.91 yuan based on a valuation of 4.36 times price-to-book ratio for 2026 [5]

Core Viewpoint - The aquaculture sector experienced a rise of 1.85% on January 29, with Fu Cheng Co., Ltd. leading the gains, while the overall market showed mixed results with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.16% and the Shenzhen Component Index down by 0.3% [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The aquaculture sector's performance was highlighted by Fu Cheng Co., Ltd. closing at 6.46, up by 5.38% with a trading volume of 347,300 shares and a transaction value of 223 million yuan [1] - Other notable performers included Mu Yuan Co., Ltd. at 46.33, up by 2.64%, and Wen's Foodstuffs Group at 15.55, up by 1.97% [1] - The overall trading volume for the aquaculture sector was significant, with Mu Yuan Co., Ltd. alone accounting for a transaction value of 2.824 billion yuan [1] Group 2: Capital Flow - The aquaculture sector saw a net inflow of 253 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 82.155 million yuan [2] - Main funds showed a positive net inflow in companies like Mu Yuan Co., Ltd. with 24.6 million yuan and Wen's Foodstuffs Group with 95.752 million yuan [3] - Conversely, retail investors showed significant outflows in companies such as Mu Yuan Co., Ltd. with 132 million yuan and Fu Cheng Co., Ltd. with 6.78 million yuan [3]

公司于 2025 年 12 月 25 日召开了第五届董事会第七次会议，补选陈晓丹女 士为薪酬与考核委员会主任委员、审计委员会委员、提名委员会委员职务，公司 董事会各专门委员会其他成员构成不变。具体内容详见公司于 2025 年 12 月 26 日在上海证券交易所网站（www.sse.com.cn）及指定信息披露媒体上披露的《公 司关于补选第五届董事会专门委员会委员的公告》（公告编号：2025-143）。 证券代码：605296 证券简称：神农集团 公告编号：2026-005 云南神农农业产业集团股份有限公司 关于完成工商变更登记及章程备案的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 云南神农农业产业集团股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于 2025 年 12 月 8 日召开了第五届董事会第六次会议、第五届监事会第六次会议，2025 年 12 月 25 日召开了 2025 年第六次临时股东会，分别审议通过了《关于取消监事会暨修 改<公司章程>并办理工商变更登记的议案》《关于选举第五届董事会独立董事的 议案》等议案。同意取消 ...