Core Insights - The Chinese liquor market is experiencing a significant decline in retail prices for the top ten products, with an overall drop in market confidence [1] - The total retail price for a bundled sale of the top ten products is 8,982 yuan, marking a decrease of 58 yuan from the previous day, the lowest since November 18 of the previous year [1] Price Movements - Seven out of the ten major liquor products saw price declines, with notable drops including: - Wuliangye (普五八代) down 15 yuan per bottle - Qinghua Lang (青花郎) down 15 yuan per bottle - Guojiao 1573 (国窖1573) down 14 yuan per bottle - Premium Moutai (精品茅台) down 7 yuan per bottle - Feitian Moutai (飞天茅台) down 3 yuan per bottle - Ancient Liquor (古井贡古20) down 3 yuan per bottle - Crystal Jiananshun (水晶剑南春) down 2 yuan per bottle [1][3][4] - The only product to see a price increase was Qinghua Fen (青花汾20), which rose by 1 yuan per bottle [1] Market Sentiment - The overall market is characterized by a downward trend, reflecting a lack of confidence among consumers and investors [1] - The price adjustments across leading brands indicate a broader issue within the industry, as multiple core products are experiencing simultaneous price declines [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Shenzhen State-owned Enterprise ESG Index (970055) closed at 1436.92 points, down 0.32%, with a trading volume of 43.67 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 1.69% [1] Group 1: Index Performance - On the day, 19 constituent stocks rose, with Zhongtung High-tech leading with a 7.67% increase, while 29 stocks fell, with Yun Aluminum leading the decline at 3.21% [1] - The index's constituent stocks experienced a net outflow of 222 million yuan from institutional investors and a net outflow of 127 million yuan from retail investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 348 million yuan [1] Group 2: Top Constituents - The top ten constituents of the Shenzhen State-owned Enterprise ESG Index are as follows: - Hikvision (sz002415) with a weight of 9.57%, latest price at 30.07, and a decrease of 1.05% [1] - Wuliangye (sz000858) with a weight of 9.23%, latest price at 107.52, and a decrease of 0.60% [1] - Xugong Machinery (sz000425) with a weight of 8.83%, latest price at 11.73, and a decrease of 0.26% [1] - Weichai Power (sz000338) with a weight of 7.59%, latest price at 17.82, and an increase of 0.91% [1] - Luzhou Laojiao (sz000568) with a weight of 7.52%, latest price at 117.12, and a decrease of 1.26% [1] - Yun Aluminum (sz000807) with a weight of 5.93%, latest price at 33.78, and a decrease of 3.21% [1] - Inspur Information (sz000977) with a weight of 5.93%, latest price at 67.42, and a decrease of 0.98% [1] - AVIC Optoelectronics (sz002179) with a weight of 3.53%, latest price at 37.08, and a decrease of 0.40% [1] - Yanghe Distillery (sz002304) with a weight of 3.17%, latest price at 62.26, and a decrease of 1.77% [1] - Guangxun Technology (sz002281) with a weight of 2.96%, latest price at 71.18, and an increase of 2.45% [1]

北京商报讯(记者刘一博冯若男)1月7日尾盘，三大指数集体上涨，沪指4085.77点上涨0.05%。白酒板块 以2198.30点收盘，下跌0.21%，其中15只白酒股下跌。 从个股来看，贵州茅台（600519）收盘价达1423.36元/股，下跌0.33%；五粮液（000858）收盘价达 107.52元/股，下跌0.60%；山西汾酒（600809）收盘价达177.49元/股，下跌0.89%；泸州老窖 （000568）收盘价达117.12元/股，下跌1.26%；洋河股份（002304）收盘价达62.26元/股，下跌1.77%。 国盛证券（002670）在其发布研报称，白酒2025年充分释放风险，2026年有望迎"供给先行、需求渐 进"双改善，当下动销、价盘、报表三重底部，短期元春动销环比改善正向催化，中期维度动销、价 盘、报表有望相继修复，配置短期基于供给角度，中期基于格局与分红。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The liquor sector experienced a decline of 0.47% on January 7, with *ST Rock leading the drop, while the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.05% and the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.06% [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - The closing prices and performance of key liquor stocks showed mixed results, with Guizhou Moutai at 1423.36 yuan (-0.33%), and Wuliangye at 107.52 yuan (-0.60%) [1][2]. - The total net outflow of main funds from the liquor sector was 244 million yuan, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 437.07 thousand yuan [2]. Group 2: Trading Volume and Value - Guizhou Moutai had a trading volume of 29,700 hands and a transaction value of 4.234 billion yuan, while Wuliangye had a trading volume of 123,100 hands and a transaction value of 1.326 billion yuan [1][2]. - The trading volume for the liquor sector was highlighted, with notable transactions including Luzhou Laojiao at 93,700 hands and a transaction value of 1.102 billion yuan [2]. Group 3: Fund Flow Analysis - Guizhou Moutai saw a main fund inflow of 76.40 million yuan, while *ST Rock experienced a main fund outflow of 4.17 million yuan [3]. - The fund flow analysis indicated that retail investors contributed positively to some stocks, such as Tianyoude Liquor, which had a retail net inflow of 121.59 thousand yuan [3].

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese liquor market is experiencing a significant price decline, with the average retail price of the top ten liquor products dropping, indicating a bearish market sentiment and a further downward adjustment in price levels [1]. Price Trends - The total price for a bundled sale of the top ten liquor products is 9040 yuan, down 28 yuan from the previous day, marking a new low in two months [1]. - Six monitored products showed price declines, with notable drops including: - Xijiu Junpin down 15 yuan per bottle - Guojiao 1573 and Jingpin Moutai down 5 yuan per bottle - Feitian Moutai down 4 yuan per bottle - Wuliangye Pu 58th generation down 3 yuan per bottle - Qinghua Fen 20 down 1 yuan per bottle [1][3][4]. Price Movements of Specific Products - The following products experienced price changes: - Feitian Moutai (53 degrees, 500ml) priced at 1738 yuan, down 470 yuan - Jingpin Moutai (53 degrees, 500ml) priced at 2357 yuan, down 570 yuan - Wuliangye Pu 58th generation (52 degrees, 500ml) priced at 820 yuan, down 370 yuan - Guojiao 1573 (52 degrees, 500ml) priced at 897 yuan, down 5 yuan [3][4]. - Conversely, some products saw price increases: - Guqingong Gu 20 up 3 yuan to 507 yuan - Yanghe Dream Blue M6+ up 1 yuan to 578 yuan - Qinghua Lang up 1 yuan to 726 yuan [4].

Core Insights - Sichuan's industrial development has shown strong momentum, with significant achievements in various sectors over the past 40 years, particularly in manufacturing and digital economy [8][9][21] Industrial Growth and Achievements - From 1978 to 2017, Sichuan's total industrial output value expanded by 194 times, with an average annual growth rate of 12.1%, outpacing the national growth rate by 1.6 percentage points [9][10] - The province's industrial investment increased by 645.6 times during the same period, with a total industrial investment of 9,181 billion yuan in 2017 [12][13] - Sichuan has established a complete industrial system with 41 major industries, employing 3.19 million people in large-scale industrial enterprises [10][11] Strategic Initiatives - Sichuan is focusing on developing a "5+1" modern industrial system to enhance industrial quality and efficiency, with specific emphasis on digital economy and high-tech industries [6][15][25] - The province has launched initiatives to optimize regional industrial layouts, promoting collaborative development across five economic zones [15][18] Technological Advancements - Sichuan has made significant strides in technological innovation, with over 4,000 high-tech enterprises and more than 1,000 provincial-level technology centers established [22] - The digital economy in Sichuan surpassed 1 trillion yuan in scale, with advancements in smart manufacturing and internet integration in the industrial sector [17][21] Export and Investment - By the end of 2017, Sichuan had over 230 industrial enterprises investing abroad, with a focus on high-end equipment and emerging sectors [24] - The province has attracted 189 Fortune 500 companies, maintaining its position as the leading region in Western China for foreign investment [24]

Core Viewpoint - The demand for liquor during the New Year holiday was weak, with feedback indicating a year-on-year decline of over 20%, although there was slight improvement compared to November and December. The supply side is adjusting with lower targets from liquor companies, and channel inventory is expected to ease. The overall demand for the Spring Festival is anticipated to decline by double digits, but the drop is expected to be less severe than during the New Year holiday. High-end liquor prices are under pressure due to continuous shipments from Moutai and upcoming deliveries from traditional channels, with expectations of price stabilization after a decline [1][2][3][4]. Demand Analysis - The New Year demand was weak, with a year-on-year decline of over 20%, but there was a slight month-on-month improvement from November and December. The industry is still in the off-season, and consumer gatherings were limited. The estimated industry shipment volume during the New Year is expected to decline by over 10%, with significant reductions in business banquets and group purchases. High-end liquor prices have dropped by over 10%, while mid-range liquor prices have generally decreased by 5-10%. However, there are signs of resilience in mass consumption, particularly in regions like Sichuan and Anhui [2][3]. Supply Side Insights - Liquor companies are lowering their targets, and channels are expected to further reduce inventory pressure. Many companies have not met their initial collection targets for the year, leading to more conservative growth targets for 2026. The requirement for Spring Festival returns has been lowered to 30-40%, and companies are slowing down their shipment pace to manage channel inventory effectively. The willingness to collect payments is cautious, focusing on cash flow protection and maintaining core brand distribution rights [3][4]. Price Dynamics - High-end liquor prices are expected to remain under pressure, with Moutai's continuous shipments and upcoming deliveries affecting the market. The price of Moutai is anticipated to face marginal pressure, while Wuliangye's promotional activities may slightly stimulate sales. The price of mid-range liquor is at a relatively low level, with channel profits thinning, and prices are expected to stabilize at low levels during the Spring Festival [4][5]. Company Strategies - Moutai is advancing its marketing transformation and reducing distribution pressure by creating a pyramid product system and launching digital initiatives to stimulate consumer demand. Wuliangye is focusing on maintaining market order and enhancing channel incentives, while also pushing for improved sales and market share. Luzhou Laojiao is adjusting its product structure and promoting low-alcohol products, and Fenjiu is enhancing regional coverage for its products. Other companies like Gujing and Yanghe are also focusing on market penetration and channel management to improve sales performance [5][6]. Investment Recommendations - The pessimistic factors have been priced in, and as the Spring Festival approaches, demand recovery is expected. Moutai is recommended for its strong fundamentals, while Gujing is highlighted for its potential growth in the mass market segment. Other companies like Wuliangye, Shanxi Fenjiu, and Luzhou Laojiao are also under observation for their inventory clearance strategies. Innovative products like Zhenjiu Lidu are noted for their market potential [7].

Core Viewpoint - The liquor sector experienced a slight increase of 0.39% on January 6, with Yanghe Co. leading the gains, while the overall market indices also showed positive performance [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4083.67, up by 1.5% [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14022.55, up by 1.4% [1] - Yanghe Co. saw a closing price of 63.38, with a rise of 2.92% [1] Group 2: Liquor Sector Stock Performance - The following stocks in the liquor sector showed notable performance: - Yanghe Co.: 63.38, +2.92%, volume 49,300, turnover 306 million [1] - ST Yanshi: 2.81, +1.81%, volume 118,900, turnover 32.83 million [1] - Quan Huijiu: 20.92, +1.31%, volume 47,200, turnover 98.63 million [1] - Shede Liquor: 57.55, +1.25%, volume 71,900, turnover 411 million [1] - Shui Jing Fang: 39.22, +1.24%, volume 56,800, turnover 221 million [1] - Shanxi Fenjiu: 179.09, +1.19%, volume 51,900, turnover 923 million [1] - Jisi Xing: 56.32, +0.99%, volume 96,800, turnover 541 million [1] - Shunxin Agriculture: 14.85, +0.75%, volume 68,400, turnover 10.1 million [1] - Jinshiyuan: 35.28, +0.63%, volume 67,300, turnover 23.6 million [1] - Tianyoude Liquor: 8.80, +0.57%, volume 48,000, turnover 42.16 million [1] Group 3: Capital Flow Analysis - The liquor sector experienced a net outflow of 37.01 million from main funds, while retail funds saw a net inflow of 128 million [1] - The following stocks had significant capital flow: - Shanxi Fenjiu: main net inflow 80.70 million, retail net outflow 48.88 million [2] - Luzhou Laojiao: main net inflow 64.98 million, retail net outflow 11.30 million [2] - Yanghe Co.: main net inflow 19.22 million, retail net outflow 7.69 million [2] - Jinshiyuan: main net inflow 11.97 million, retail net outflow 6.72 million [2] - Shui Jing Fang: main net inflow 11.36 million, retail net outflow 6.97 million [2]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the innovative approach of Luzhou Laojiao in promoting its product, Guojiao 1573, through the introduction of the "ice drinking" trend, which caters to modern consumer preferences and enhances the brand's appeal among younger demographics [2][5][6]. Group 1: Historical Context and Innovation - The series "Time Knows Taste Season 4" focuses on significant events in the history of Luzhou Laojiao, utilizing authentic historical materials from the National Library of China and the Luzhou Laojiao Museum [1]. - The introduction of the "ice drinking" concept in 2009 was a result of years of research by seven national-level bartenders, showcasing Luzhou Laojiao's forward-thinking vision and technical breakthroughs [2][5]. - The company has a long-standing technical foundation, having overcome challenges in low-alcohol liquor technology since the 1980s, which supports the feasibility of the "ice drinking" method [6]. Group 2: Consumer Engagement and Market Strategy - Luzhou Laojiao's "ice drinking" initiative aligns with the evolving expectations of younger consumers, who seek a more relaxed and engaging drinking experience, thus broadening the emotional connection with the product [7]. - The brand's innovative marketing strategy includes the "Ice·JOYS" series launched in 2018, which integrates music and art to elevate the drinking experience into a cultural lifestyle [7][8]. - The introduction of new product lines, such as the "black cap" light bottle and various fruit-flavored liquors, reflects the company's commitment to meeting the diverse preferences of modern consumers [8]. Group 3: Cultural and Experiential Marketing - Luzhou Laojiao has initiated cultural events like the "International Poetry and Wine Culture Conference" to position its products as vehicles for artistic and cross-cultural dialogue [9]. - The brand's participation in events like the 2025 Anaya Drama Festival showcases its strategy of embedding its products within contemporary cultural experiences, enhancing brand visibility and consumer engagement [9]. - The company's focus on emotional connections through product innovation and cultural experiences allows it to resonate with consumers, transforming traditional drinking into a modern lifestyle expression [9].

Group 1 - The report suggests that the liquor industry is expected to experience a dual improvement in supply and demand in 2026, following a risk release in 2025, with a focus on short-term sales recovery and mid-term structural and dividend considerations [4][78] - The consumer market is stabilizing, with structural growth changes continuing, as evidenced by a 4% decline in the food and beverage sector in 2025, which underperformed the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index by 20% [15][18] - The report highlights a significant differentiation in performance among consumer goods, with health products and frozen food sectors showing increases of 18% and 15% respectively, while liquor and beer sectors faced declines of 7% and 9% [15][18] Group 2 - The liquor sector is characterized by a threefold bottoming out, with supply clearing and value becoming more apparent, as major brands like Moutai and Wuliangye stabilize prices and restore confidence in the market [52][78] - The beer and beverage sectors are expected to benefit from a recovery in dining, with a focus on leading brands that can outperform expectations in terms of volume and price [4][52] - The food sector is positioned for recovery and growth, with a focus on strong alpha stocks, particularly in the restaurant supply chain and snack categories, as demand begins to rebound [4][52] Group 3 - The report indicates that the high-end consumer segment is showing signs of recovery, with luxury retail sales improving and experience-based consumption leading the way [30][33] - The report notes that the overall retail landscape is evolving towards discount retail, quality retail, and instant retail, reflecting a shift in consumer preferences [40][46] - The report emphasizes the importance of product innovation and channel development in the liquor industry, with a focus on lower alcohol content and appealing to younger consumers [72]