Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that the retail prices of the top ten Chinese liquor products have slightly weakened, with a total price of 9183 yuan, down 32 yuan from the previous day, marking a recent low [1][6][7] - Among the top ten products, six saw price declines, three increased, and one remained stable. The price increases were led by Xijiu Junpin, which rose by 7 yuan per bottle, and Guizhou Moutai Feitian, which increased by 6 yuan per bottle due to pre-holiday consumption and channel replenishment demand [1][6][7] - The report highlights that the market is experiencing high-level consolidation and structural differentiation, with some brands like Qinghua Lang and Yanghe Dream Blue M6+ dropping by 13 yuan per bottle, and Guojiao 1573 decreasing by 11 yuan per bottle, likely due to pre-holiday inventory adjustments [1][6][7] Group 2 - The data for the liquor prices is sourced from approximately 200 collection points across various regions, including designated distributors, social distributors, e-commerce platforms, and retail outlets, aiming to provide an objective and traceable market price for well-known liquors [2][7] - The introduction of new sales channels for Guizhou Moutai Feitian at 1499 yuan per bottle and premium Moutai at 2299 yuan per bottle has begun to show a magnetic influence on the market retail prices of these products [2][7] - Dongwu Securities maintains a "buy" rating for Shanxi Fenjiu, noting its steady national expansion and significant growth potential in the clear liquor market, with projected revenues reaching 600-700 billion yuan in the medium to long term [2][7]

Core Viewpoint - The food and beverage sector experienced a significant pullback on February 10, with the Huabao Food and Beverage ETF (515710) declining by 1.17% by the end of the trading day, primarily driven by substantial losses in the liquor segment, particularly among major brands like Guizhou Moutai and others [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Huabao Food and Beverage ETF opened weakly and showed low-level fluctuations throughout the day, closing down 1.17% [1]. - Major liquor stocks such as Jiu Gui Jiu fell by 3.35%, while Shanxi Fenjiu, Luzhou Laojiao, and Shede Liquor dropped over 2%, with Guizhou Moutai and Yanghe Co. also declining more than 1% [1][2]. Group 2: Upcoming Product Launch - The official announcement from "i Moutai" indicated that the 53-degree 500ml Guizhou Moutai liquor (Bingwu Year) will be available for sale from February 10 to February 16, with limited quantities [2][3]. - The product launch is strategically timed to capture gift-giving and collection demands during the Spring Festival, which is expected to boost direct sales and gross margins for Moutai [3]. Group 3: Valuation Insights - Analysts noted that the food and beverage sector is currently at a historical low in terms of valuation, making it an attractive time for investment [3]. - As of February 9, the price-to-earnings ratio for the Huabao ETF's underlying index was 20.85, placing it in the 11.55% percentile of the last decade, indicating a favorable long-term investment opportunity [3]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Dongfang Securities suggested that the liquor channel may be at a turning point, with expectations of performance improvement in the upcoming quarterly reports, marking a potential investment window for the sector [4]. - Galaxy Securities projected that supply-demand dynamics across various sub-sectors will improve by 2026, with traditional consumption benefiting from a recovery in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) [4]. Group 5: Investment Strategy - The Huabao Food and Beverage ETF is positioned to track the sub-sector index, with approximately 60% of its portfolio allocated to leading high-end and mid-range liquor brands, while the remaining 40% includes leaders in beverages, dairy, and condiments [5]. - Investors can also consider the Huabao Food and Beverage ETF linked funds for exposure to core assets in the food and beverage sector [5].

Core Insights - JD.com's "Send New Year Goods to Hometown" event successfully delivered festive products, including the popular Yanghe liquor, to local residents in Guangming Village, Suqian City, Jiangsu Province [1] - The sales of "Guangming Village Edition" Yanghe liquor on JD.com increased by 51% week-on-week, highlighting its popularity during the festive season [1] Company Collaboration - JD.com and Yanghe liquor have deepened their partnership since 2012, launching various products tailored to consumer needs, such as 211ml small bottles and 618ml commemorative editions [1] - During JD.com's 20th anniversary, a co-branded product, Dream Blue JD20, was introduced, showcasing a blend of traditional flavors crafted by 46 national liquor masters, exemplifying the collaboration between the two companies [1] Industry Impact - Yanghe liquor is a staple for celebrations and gatherings, with specific products like Dream Blue and Tian Zhi Lan being popular choices for weddings and family reunions [1] - The unique taste profile of Yanghe liquor, characterized by its "sweet, soft, and fragrant" qualities, has significantly influenced the development of the Chinese liquor industry, establishing a new category of mellow liquor [1]

Core Viewpoint - The liquor sector, particularly the baijiu market, is experiencing a downturn with significant declines in stock prices of major companies, indicating a potential shift in supply-demand dynamics and financial pressures within the industry [1] Industry Summary - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4128.37 points, up 0.13%, while the baijiu sector index closed at 2288.11 points, down 0.80% [1] - A total of 19 baijiu stocks declined, with notable drops in major brands: Kweichow Moutai at 1504.80 CNY/share (-1.32%), Wuliangye at 106.50 CNY/share (-0.80%), Shanxi Fenjiu at 170.28 CNY/share (-2.53%), Luzhou Laojiao at 118.19 CNY/share (-2.56%), and Yanghe at 55.08 CNY/share (-1.04%) [1] Company Insights - Huachuang Food and Beverage's report highlights a persistent mismatch between supply and demand over the past three years, with an expanding gap between "reporting" and "sales" [1] - The report suggests that Kweichow Moutai may lower its growth targets starting in Q3 of this year, which could lead to accelerated financial pressure across the industry [1] - The first turning point in supply-demand dynamics is anticipated in Q4 2025, with expectations for the "sales-reporting" gap to narrow [1] - Continuous observation of industry bottoming signals is necessary through 2026, focusing on changes in cash flow for channels and liquor companies, as well as the transition from inventory pressure to orderly clearance [1] - The price of Moutai's aged liquor is still in a bottoming phase and is expected to recover [1]

Group 1 - Several A-share listed companies are launching "Year of the Horse" themed products as the 2026 Spring Festival approaches [3][6] - Kweichow Moutai has introduced a new marketing plan focusing on a pyramid product structure to meet diverse consumer needs, emphasizing premium and zodiac wines [3] - Other liquor companies like Wuliangye and Yanghe are also releasing zodiac-themed products, available on major e-commerce platforms [6] Group 2 - The demand for gold jewelry has significantly increased with the upcoming Year of the Horse, leading to seasonal growth in customer traffic and order volume for companies like Cuihua Jewelry [6][8] - Qingdao Kingwang has launched a new ceramic fragrance gift box for the Year of the Horse, available on Tmall [8] - Various companies are implementing special marketing activities for the Year of the Horse, such as Senma's interactive online events and in-store experiences [8]

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese liquor market is experiencing a slight decline in retail prices for the top ten products, indicating a structural differentiation while maintaining a high-level consolidation trend [1][6]. Price Movements - Among the top ten products, seven saw price declines while three experienced increases. The notable price increases include: - Qinghua Lang rose by 9 yuan per bottle - Yanghe Dream Blue M6+ increased by 7 yuan per bottle, marking five consecutive days of price growth due to pre-festival consumption and channel replenishment support - Wuliangye Pu 58th generation saw a minor increase of 1 yuan per bottle [1][7] - Conversely, the price declines included: - Feitian Moutai decreased by 9 yuan per bottle - Premium Moutai fell by 4 yuan per bottle after a period of strong price increases - Guojiao 1573 and Qinghua Fen 20 both dropped by 3 yuan per bottle - Ancient Well Tribute 20 decreased by 2 yuan per bottle - Xijiu Junpin and Crystal Jian Nan Chun both saw minor declines of 1 yuan per bottle [1][7]. Data Collection Methodology - The daily data for liquor prices is sourced from approximately 200 collection points across various regions, including designated distributors, social distributors, e-commerce platforms, and retail outlets. The aim is to provide an objective, real, and scientifically traceable dataset regarding well-known liquor market prices [2][7]. Market Dynamics - The introduction of new sales channels for Feitian Moutai and Premium Moutai has begun to show a magnetic influence on their market retail prices. The iMoutai platform started selling Feitian Moutai at 1499 yuan per bottle and Premium Moutai at 2299 yuan per bottle, which has contributed to price adjustments [2][7]. - Bernstein's recent report highlights a positive outlook on Moutai's RTM (Route to Market) channel reform, indicating a shift from passive pricing to active value chain control. Moutai has implemented dynamic contracts to replace fixed quotas, allowing for flexible price and volume adjustments [8]. Profitability and Inventory Management - Moutai's wholesale price has stabilized and rebounded, with the 500ml Feitian Moutai now priced approximately 28% higher than traditional wholesale channels, enhancing profit margins. The company has reduced the supply of high-end variants by 30%-50%, leading to a significant recovery in wholesale prices [8]. - The expected inventory of aged liquor by 2027 is projected to reach 64,000 tons, providing a solid foundation for price management. Currently, the channel profit margin for Feitian Moutai stands at 25%, significantly higher than competitors, ensuring channel loyalty and price system resilience [8].

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese liquor market is experiencing a slight decline in retail prices for the top ten products, indicating a structural differentiation while maintaining a high-level consolidation trend [1][6]. Price Changes - The overall retail price for the top ten liquor products is 9,215 yuan, down 6 yuan from the previous day [1][6]. - Among the top ten products, seven saw price declines while three experienced increases [1][7]. - The price increases were led by Qinghua Lang, which rose by 9 yuan per bottle, and Yanghe Dream Blue M6+, which increased by 7 yuan per bottle, marking five consecutive days of price growth [1][7]. - Conversely, Feitian Moutai dropped by 9 yuan per bottle, and the premium Moutai decreased by 4 yuan per bottle, following a period of strong price increases [1][7]. Data Collection Methodology - The price data is sourced from approximately 200 collection points across various regions, including designated distributors, social distributors, e-commerce platforms, and retail outlets, aiming to provide an objective and traceable overview of the liquor market [2][7]. Market Dynamics - The introduction of new sales channels for Feitian Moutai and premium Moutai has begun to show a magnetic influence on their retail prices [2][8]. - Bernstein's report highlights the successful channel reform of Kweichow Moutai, transitioning from passive pricing to active value chain control, which has led to a stabilization and rebound in wholesale prices [8]. - The implementation of dynamic contracts instead of fixed quotas allows for flexible price and volume adjustments, contributing to a significant increase in profit margins [8]. Future Outlook - The expected inventory of aged liquor by 2027 is projected to reach 64,000 tons, providing a solid foundation for price management [8]. - The profit margin for Feitian Moutai is currently at 25%, significantly higher than competitors, ensuring channel loyalty and resilience in the pricing system [8].

Core Viewpoint - Yanghe Dream Blue M6+ has been a partner of the Spring Festival Gala for seven consecutive years, showcasing its commitment to cultural heritage and consumer engagement during the Chinese New Year [2][3] Group 1: Brand Engagement and Cultural Integration - Yanghe Dream Blue M6+ will celebrate the New Year with global Chinese audiences during key moments on New Year's Eve, emphasizing its role in family reunions and cultural traditions [2] - The company has introduced new Spring Festival gift boxes featuring zodiac paper-cut elements and has supported local cultural activities, enhancing the festive experience for consumers [2] - Yanghe has launched a promotional campaign called "Yanghe 'Biao' Fortune, Full Power" with a chance for consumers to win limited edition products, further enriching the New Year experience [2] Group 2: Corporate Social Responsibility and Brand Strategy - Yanghe has established a brand culture strategy focused on national pride and community support, contributing to the development of a strong aerospace and maritime nation [3] - The company has set up the "Dream Blue Public Welfare Fund" and has been involved in educational support initiatives for over 20 years, helping students achieve their dreams [3] - The brand aims to create a sense of unity and celebration during the New Year, reinforcing its commitment to both individual and collective aspirations [3]

新浪财经"酒价内参"过去24小时收集的数据显示，中国白酒市场十大单品的终端零售均价在2月9日延续 上行态势。如果十大单品各取一瓶整体打包售卖，今日总售价为9221元，较昨日上涨29元，创下2025年 12月27日以来新高。头部酒品集体上行，中后部单品小幅回调，市场分化运行价格中枢走高。 | | 贵州茅台酒(精品) | 2410/瓶 | 7元 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 53度/500ml | | | | | 五粮液普五八代 | 807/瓶 | 3元 - | | | 52度/500ml | | | | | 青花汾20 53度/500ml | 389/瓶 | 持平 | | | 国窖1573 | | | | | 52度/500ml | 900/瓶 | 7元 ▲ | | | 洋河梦之蓝M6+ | | | | | 52度/550ml | 636/瓶 | 13元 - | | | 古井贡古20 | 544/瓶 | 12元 - | | | 52度/500ml | | | | | 习酒君品 | 651/瓶 | -7元 | | | 53度/500ml | | | | 北 | 青花郎 | 720 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese white liquor market is experiencing a price increase, with the average retail price of the top ten products reaching a new high since December 27, 2025, at 9,221 yuan, up 29 yuan from the previous day [1] Group 1: Price Trends - The top ten products saw six price increases, three decreases, and one stable price, indicating a strong overall upward trend [1] - Yanghe Dream Blue M6+ led the market with a price increase of 13 yuan per bottle, followed by Gujing Gong 20 with an increase of 12 yuan per bottle [1] - Moutai products, including Feitian Moutai, have shown strong performance due to high market demand before the Spring Festival, with Feitian Moutai achieving a five-day price increase [1] Group 2: Market Dynamics - A recent survey indicated that the overall sales of the national white liquor market have declined by 10%-20%, with significant regional differences [2] - High-end liquor, particularly Feitian Moutai, has performed well, with some distributors reporting a year-on-year sales increase of over 40% [2] - The market is characterized by a significant polarization, with high-end products benefiting from gifting and banquet demands, while mid-range products face challenges due to economic conditions and competition [2] Group 3: Data Collection Methodology - The data for the price trends is collected from approximately 200 points across various regions, including designated distributors, social distributors, e-commerce platforms, and retail outlets [2] - The pricing data aims to provide an objective and traceable representation of the market prices for well-known white liquors [2]