——春节前下游补库节奏渐起 夏莹莹 投资咨询证书：Z0016569 研究助理：余维函 期货从业证号：F03144703 联系邮箱：yuwh@nawaa.com 投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1290号 2026年01月05日 第一章 核心矛盾及策略建议 1.1 核心矛盾 本周碳酸锂市场呈现宽幅震荡偏强态势。展望未来，碳酸锂期货价格的驱动逻辑将聚焦以下因素：国内外锂 资源释放进度、国内锂矿库存紧张程度、下游需求的可持续性，上述因素将共同主导后续市场价格走势。 锂矿端，国内可售锂精矿库存紧张程度有所缓解，2026年1月份锂矿进口量持续放量，一定程度上可以缓解 市场锂矿紧张程度。供给方面，"枧下窝复产进度"经过持续不断的炒作后，市场对此消息的反应已经减 弱，建议直接关注公司公告和工厂实际开工情况。需求端表现强劲，市场整体库存持续去化，下游库存降幅 显著。同时，下游补库节奏亦不容忽视，预计后续春节前补库需求逐步释放，现货基差有望逐步走强。 综合基本面等因素分析，中长期看，行业基本面支撑下的长期价值并未改变，碳酸锂仍具备逢低布多的机 会。操作层面，建议投资者聚焦回调后的结构性做多机会，依托基本面锚定合理估值区间 ...

每经AI快讯，中矿资源1月5日晚间发布公告称，中矿资源集团股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"或"本公 司"）董事会于近日收到公司副总裁王振华先生的书面辞职报告，因其个人原因，申请辞任公司副总裁 职务。王振华先生辞任后将不担任公司及子公司的任何职务。根据《中华人民共和国公司法》等国家有 关法律法规、规范性文件的规定，王振华先生的辞任自其辞职报告送达公司董事会之日起生效，其辞任 不影响公司的正常生产经营。 （记者 曾健辉） 每经头条（nbdtoutiao）——秒光！1499元飞天茅台上线即空，i茅台App冲上苹果购物榜第一，10万用 户已下单！经销商同价做回馈，1000箱很快卖完 ...

中矿资源集团股份有限公司 证券代码：002738 证券简称：中矿资源 公告编号：2026-002 号 中矿资源集团股份有限公司 2026 年 1 月 5 日 截止本公告披露日，王振华先生持有公司股票 251,000 股，占公司总股本的比例为 0.0348%，其所持股份将继续遵守《上市公司股东减持股份管理暂行办法》及《深圳证 券交易所上市公司自律监管指引第 18 号——股东及董事、高级管理人员减持股份》等 相关法律法规中关于股份管理规定。王振华先生在其就任时确定的任期内（2023 年 5 月 18 日至 2026 年 5 月 17 日）和任期届满后六个月内，继续遵守以下规定： 1. 每年转让的股份不得超过其所持有本公司股份总数的百分之二十五； 2. 离职后半年内，不得转让其所持本公司股份； 3. 遵守《中华人民共和国公司法》等法律、法规、规范性文件中关于高级管理人 员股份转让的其他规定。 公司及董事会对王振华先生在任期间为公司做出的贡献表示衷心的感谢。 特此公告。 中矿资源集团股份有限公司董事会 关于公司高级管理人员辞任的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚假记载、 误导性陈述 ...

中矿资源1月5日公告，公司董事会近日收到副总裁王振华的书面辞职报告，王振华因个人原因申请辞去 公司副总裁职务，辞职后将不再担任公司及子公司的任何职务。王振华的辞任自辞职报告送达公司董事 会之日起生效。 ...

| 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600301 | 华锡有色 | 37.12 | -3.23% | 17.16万 | | 6.39 Z | | 002428 | 云南错业 | 30.94 | -2.55% | 54.28万 | | 16.87 乙 | | 920068 | 天工股份 | 19.11 | -2.00% | | 5.87万 | 1.13亿 | | 600456 | 宝钛股份 | 38.83 | -1.57% | 35.84万 | | 13.93亿 | | 002842 | 翔鹭钨业 | 14.31 | -1.04% | 26.76万 | | 3.84 Z | | 002978 | 安宁股份 | 32.88 | -0.51% | | 5.00万 | 1.65亿 | | 688750 | 金天钛业 | 19.90 | -0.35% | | 8.04万 | 1.60亿 | | 000962 | 东方铝业 | 33.29 | 0.70% | 28.98万 | | ...

以下文章来源于因歪斯汀小明 ，作者因特瑞斯汀 小明 因歪斯汀小明 . 保护我方金融消费者！ ↑点击上面图片 加雪球核心交流群 ↑ 风险提示：本文所提到的观点仅代表个人的意见，所涉及标的不作推荐，据此买卖，风险自负。 澳洲矿区 此前锂下行周期澳矿都在拼命降本增效 ， 包括开采高品位区域 、 改造设备提高回收率 、 缩减资本开支等方式 。 除三家关停矿山外 ， 财务压 力山大的MRL被迫出售了其30%的锂业务给韩国浦项制铁 。 澳矿在2026年新增产能为Greenbushes早在2018年规划的三期项目 （ 6.5万吨 ） ， 市场更关注的边际变化可能是 —— 关停矿山在锂上行周 期复产 。 但 ， 锂矿价格预期稳定在复产决策线上方只是必要条件之一 ， 实际可复产量＜关停量 。 澳矿复产必选题是Pilbara的高成本Ngungaju项目 （ 1.7万吨 ） ， 若作出决策 ， PLS能够给出澳洲最快的复产准备时间 ， 约为4个月 。 关停 三家各有各的问题 ： Bald Hill此前经历过非常痛苦的23年复产24年再停产过程 ， 复产决策取决于MRL的运营压力 ； Finniss重启需要进行融 资 ， 这延长了复 ...

Group 1: Stock Recommendations - Torch Electronics (603678.SH) shows improving industry conditions with a 24.20% revenue growth to 17.72 billion CNY and a 59.04% increase in net profit to 2.61 billion CNY in H1 2025[10] - Huace Navigation (300627.SZ) achieved a revenue of 32.51 billion CNY in 2024, a 21.38% year-on-year growth, with a net profit of 5.83 billion CNY, up 29.84%[17] - Kingsoft Office (688111.SH) reported a revenue of 41.78 billion CNY for the first three quarters of 2025, a 15.21% increase, with a net profit of 11.78 billion CNY, up 13.32%[22] Group 2: Market Trends and Performance - The global MLCC market is projected to reach 132.6 billion CNY by 2029, with a CAGR of 5.7% from 2024 to 2029[13] - The lithium business of Zhongmin Resources (002738.SZ) saw a revenue increase of 34.99% to 48.18 billion CNY in the first three quarters of 2025, despite a net profit decline of 62.58%[36] - The automotive sealing strip market is benefiting from the rise of European-style door designs, with a projected revenue growth for Zhejiang Xiantong (603239.SH) to 14.7 billion CNY in 2025, a 20.2% increase[31] Group 3: Investment Ratings and Risks - Torch Electronics maintains a "recommended" rating with expected EPS of 1.09 CNY, 1.36 CNY, and 1.81 CNY for 2025-2027[14] - Huace Navigation is rated "recommended" with a target price indicating a potential upside of 16%-36%[22] - Risks include potential market fluctuations, increased competition, and technological advancements not meeting expectations[35]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Zhongmin Resources has seen a significant increase in its stock price, rising by 5.17% to 82.61 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 1.721 billion CNY and a market capitalization of 59.602 billion CNY as of January 5 [1] - Zhongmin Resources Group Co., Ltd. is based in Beijing and was established on June 2, 1999, with its listing date on December 30, 2014. The company specializes in the development and utilization of rare light metal resources (lithium, cesium, rubidium), geological exploration technical services, mineral rights investment, international mineral product trade, and international engineering [1] - The main revenue composition of Zhongmin Resources includes 71.26% from merchandise sales, 18.70% from other sources, 9.22% from operating leases, and 0.82% from service provision [1] Group 2 - From the perspective of fund holdings, one fund under ICBC Credit Suisse has Zhongmin Resources as a significant holding. The Rare Metal ETF Fund (159671) reduced its holdings by 11,400 shares in the third quarter, now holding 367,900 shares, which represents 3.21% of the fund's net value, ranking it as the eighth-largest holding [2] - The Rare Metal ETF Fund (159671) was established on February 17, 2023, with a current size of 568 million CNY. It has achieved a return of 92.7% this year, ranking 54 out of 4,189 in its category, and has the same return over the past year [2] - The fund manager of the Rare Metal ETF Fund is Shi Baokao, who has been in the position for 4 years and 37 days, with a total asset scale of 3.816 billion CNY. The best return during his tenure is 78.79%, while the worst return is -36.2% [3]

Core Viewpoint - The announcement highlights the successful completion and trial production of a lithium salt production upgrade project by Zhongmin Resources, which aims to enhance production efficiency and reduce costs in the lithium salt business [1] Group 1: Project Overview - Zhongmin Resources' wholly-owned subsidiary, Zhongmin Resources (Jiangxi) Lithium Industry Co., Ltd., has completed the construction of a 30,000-ton high-purity lithium salt technical upgrade project [1] - The project represents a comprehensive technological upgrade of the existing 25,000-ton lithium salt production line, with a total investment of 120.7442 million yuan [1] - The project is located in Xinyu City, Jiangxi Province, and commenced production trial operations on January 2, 2026 [1] Group 2: Objectives and Benefits - The primary goal of the project is to further reduce production costs in the lithium salt business and accelerate the transition to intelligent manufacturing while promoting a green and low-carbon development model [1] - The project is expected to improve lithium recovery rates and lower production costs, with main products being battery-grade lithium carbonate and battery-grade lithium hydroxide, which can be flexibly adjusted based on market demand [1] - The successful launch of this project increases Zhongmin Resources' total annual production capacity of battery-grade lithium salts to 71,000 tons, enhancing the company's competitive edge in the industry [1] Group 3: Market Considerations - The announcement also notes that lithium salt product prices may fluctuate due to supply-demand relationships, industrial policies, and international trade environments, indicating that actual benefits from the project may differ from expectations [1]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided regarding the report industry investment rating 2. Core Viewpoint - The report focuses on the high - level oscillation of lithium carbonate and suggests paying attention to the actual production cut situation of cathode materials [1] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Fundamental Tracking - **Futures Data**: For the 2601 contract, the closing price is 120,000 yuan, the trading volume is 5,997 lots, and the open interest is 11,285 lots. For the 2605 contract, the closing price is 121,580 yuan, the trading volume is 392,450 lots, and the open interest is 490,194 lots. The warehouse receipt volume is 20,281 lots [1] - **Basis Data**: The basis of spot - 2601 is - 1,500 yuan, spot - 2605 is - 3,080 yuan, 2601 - 2605 is - 1,580 yuan, electric carbon - industrial carbon is 3,000 yuan, and spot - CIF is 20,654 yuan [1] - **Raw Material Data**: The price of lithium spodumene concentrate (6%, CIF China) is 1,548 yuan, lithium mica (2.0% - 2.5%) is 3,465 yuan [1] - **Lithium Salt Data**: The price of battery - grade lithium carbonate is 118,500 yuan, industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 115,500 yuan, battery - grade lithium hydroxide (micropowder) is 114,600 yuan, etc. [1] 3.2 Macro and Industry News - SMM's battery - grade lithium carbonate index price is 117,373 yuan/ton, up 1,564 yuan/ton from the previous working day. The average price of battery - grade lithium carbonate is 118,500 yuan/ton, up 500 yuan/ton, and that of industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 115,500 yuan/ton, up 500 yuan/ton [2] - Zhongkuang Resources' subsidiary's 30,000 - ton high - purity lithium salt technical renovation project was officially ignited and put into trial production on January 2, 2026. The total investment is about 121 million yuan. After the project is completed and put into production, the total designed annual production capacity of battery - grade lithium salt will increase from 41,000 tons to 71,000 tons [3] 3.3 Trend Intensity - The trend intensity of lithium carbonate is 0 [3]