Group 1: Rare Metal ETF Performance - The Rare Metal ETF has a turnover rate of 11.57% during trading, with a transaction volume of 359 million yuan, indicating active market trading [3] - The latest scale of the Rare Metal ETF reached 3.08 billion yuan, marking a new high since its inception and ranking first among comparable funds [3] - The ETF's share reached 3.67 billion shares, also a new high since inception, and ranks first among comparable funds [3] - Over the past three days, the Rare Metal ETF has seen continuous net inflows, with a maximum single-day net inflow of 358 million yuan, totaling 551 million yuan [3] - As of October 10, the net value of the Rare Metal ETF has increased by 17.31% over the past three years [3] - The highest monthly return since inception is 24.02%, with the longest consecutive monthly increase being five months and a maximum increase of 66.25%, averaging a monthly return of 8.60% [3] Group 2: Cobalt Export Quotas and Market Dynamics - According to CITIC Construction Investment, cobalt export quotas for Congo (Kinshasa) have been finalized, with Luoyang Molybdenum, Glencore, and Eurasian Resources holding the top three shares at 35.9%, 27.3%, and 21.6% respectively [4] - The total quota for 2026 and 2027 is set at 96,600 tons, which includes a basic quota of 87,000 tons allocated to production enterprises and a strategic quota of 9,600 tons [4] - Under the quota system, only about 44% of production can be exported, resulting in a reduction of over 100,000 tons [4] - Based on estimates for 2024, with a supply of 270,000 tons and demand of 230,000 tons, the market is expected to shift from a surplus of about 70,000 tons to a shortage of about 30,000 tons, potentially driving cobalt prices higher [4] Group 3: Rare Earth Export Controls - The Ministry of Commerce has issued four documents to strengthen rare earth export controls, adding five categories of medium and heavy rare earths to the export control list [4] - The controls also extend to the entire industrial chain, including equipment, technology, and raw materials, with additional regulations on overseas military and high-end semiconductor demands [4] - The strategic position of rare earths has been further reinforced through these measures [4] Group 4: Rare Metal Index and Investment Opportunities - As of September 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Rare Metal Theme Index include Northern Rare Earth, Luoyang Molybdenum, Huayou Cobalt, and others, collectively accounting for 59.91% of the index [4] - Investors can also participate in the rare metal sector through the Rare Metal ETF linked fund (014111) [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the industry and specific companies within the non-ferrous metals sector, highlighting strong performance and favorable market conditions [8]. Core Views - The report emphasizes that the recent increase in gold prices is driven by heightened risk aversion due to renewed US-China trade tensions and expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [4][8]. - Industrial metals are expected to continue strengthening due to supply disruptions and robust demand, particularly in copper and aluminum [2][3]. - Energy metals, particularly lithium and cobalt, are projected to perform well due to strong demand from the electric vehicle and energy storage markets [3]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry and Stock Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.80%, while the SW Non-ferrous Index increased by 11.89% during the reporting period [1]. - Precious metals, including gold and silver, saw significant price increases of 6.48% and 2.48%, respectively [1]. 2. Base Metals 2.1 Price and Stock Correlation - The report notes that aluminum prices are supported by a seasonal increase in demand and controlled inventory levels, with a current price of 20,950 RMB/ton [27]. - Copper prices are influenced by supply disruptions and a favorable macroeconomic environment, with a recent price of 10,374 USD/ton [12][41]. 2.2 Industrial Metals - The report highlights that aluminum production is expected to remain low due to increased direct supply ratios and seasonal demand, which supports price stability [25][26]. - Copper supply is under pressure from production cuts by major mining companies, which is expected to sustain higher prices [2][41]. 2.3 Lead, Tin, and Nickel - Lead prices have shown resilience due to tight supply conditions, with recent prices around 20,026 USD/ton [58]. - Nickel prices are fluctuating due to regulatory changes in Indonesia and supply concerns, currently priced at 122,180 RMB/ton [60]. 3. Precious Metals and Minor Metals 3.1 Precious Metals - Gold prices have surged due to strong safe-haven demand, with a recent price of 4,035.50 USD/oz, reflecting a 6.48% increase [14][74]. - Silver prices are also rising, driven by industrial demand and investment interest, currently at 47.52 USD/oz [14][74]. 3.2 Energy Metals - Lithium demand remains robust, with prices supported by strong consumption in electric vehicles and energy storage, with industrial-grade lithium carbonate priced at 71,300 RMB/ton [14][3]. - Cobalt prices are expected to rise due to supply constraints from the Democratic Republic of Congo, with current prices around 331,500 RMB/ton [3][14]. 4. Key Company Recommendations - The report recommends several companies for investment, including Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Huayou Cobalt, citing strong earnings forecasts and favorable market conditions [4][8].

10月10日，中矿资源盘中下跌2.03%，截至09:59，报52.53元/股，成交5.88亿元，换手率1.55%，总市值 379.00亿元。 资金流向方面，主力资金净流出5395.48万元，特大单买入8148.09万元，占比13.86%，卖出1.14亿元， 占比19.31%；大单买入1.50亿元，占比25.53%，卖出1.72亿元，占比29.25%。 中矿资源今年以来股价涨50.09%，近5个交易日涨20.79%，近20日涨32.79%，近60日涨60.84%。 机构持仓方面，截止2025年6月30日，中矿资源十大流通股东中，香港中央结算有限公司位居第三大流 通股东，持股1640.78万股，相比上期增加78.61万股。东方新能源汽车主题混合（400015）位居第六大 流通股东，持股1110.35万股，持股数量较上期不变。南方中证500ETF（510500）位居第七大流通股 东，持股1074.06万股，相比上期增加144.03万股。 责任编辑：小浪快报 资料显示，中矿资源集团股份有限公司位于北京市丰台区金泽路161号院1号楼-4至43层101内35层08， 成立日期1999年6月2日，上市日期2014年12月3 ...

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights a significant block trade of Zhongmin Resources on October 9, with a transaction volume of 129,000 shares and a transaction amount of 6.917 million yuan, at a price of 53.62 yuan per share [2] - The closing price of Zhongmin Resources on the same day was 53.62 yuan, reflecting an increase of 8.32%, with a daily turnover rate of 6.13% and a total transaction amount of 2.282 billion yuan [2] - Over the past five days, the stock has accumulated a rise of 28.62%, while the net outflow of funds during this period totaled 235 million yuan [2] Group 2 - The latest margin financing balance for Zhongmin Resources is 1.39 billion yuan, which has decreased by 146 million yuan over the past five days, representing a decline of 9.50% [2] - The block trade was conducted entirely between institutional special seats, indicating a strategic move by institutional investors [2]

| 交易日期 | 证券代码 | 证券简称 | 成交价格 | 成交量 | 成交金额 | 买方营业部 | 卖方营业部 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | (元) | (万股/万份) | (万元) | | | | 2025-10-09 | 002738 | 中矿资源 | 53.62 | 12.90 | 691.70 机构专用 | | 机构专用 | 10月9日，中矿资源大宗交易成交12.9万股，成交额691.7万元，占当日总成交额的0.3%，成交价53.62 元，较市场收盘价53.62元持平。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent announcements from the Ministry of Commerce regarding export controls on rare earth-related items have led to a significant surge in the stock prices of companies in the rare earth sector, indicating a bullish outlook for the industry [1] Group 1: Market Reaction - On October 9, stocks such as Jiuling Technology rose over 19%, San Chuan Wisdom and Jinli Permanent Magnet increased by more than 13%, while companies like China Rare Earth and Northern Rare Earth hit the daily limit [1] - The overall rare earth sector is approaching a daily limit increase, with Zhongkuang Resources rising over 9% [1] Group 2: Regulatory Changes - The Ministry of Commerce issued two announcements to strengthen export controls on rare earth-related items, including restrictions on certain overseas rare earth items containing Chinese components and on rare earth-related technologies [1] - This announcement is seen as a further tightening of export controls initiated in April, aiming to manage the entire supply chain related to these metals, including technologies for recycling rare earth secondary resources [1] Group 3: Supply Chain Implications - According to SMM data, it is projected that by 2025, the contribution of secondary recycling to rare earth supply will reach 27%, marking a new high [1] - The new regulations have fully controlled the supply side of rare earths, making it difficult for significant unexpected increases in supply to occur without government intervention [1] Group 4: Legal Restrictions - The regulations impose strict limitations on Chinese citizens, legal entities, and non-legal entities from providing any substantial assistance or support for overseas rare earth-related activities without permission, effectively cutting off the possibility for foreign companies to rapidly expand production through Chinese technical personnel [1] Group 5: Investment Outlook - Companies in the rare earth and magnetic materials sectors are expected to benefit from the comprehensive control of the supply side due to these policies, leading to a long-term bullish outlook for the sector [1]

Core Viewpoint - Rare metal concept stocks have shown strong performance, with notable increases in share prices for companies like Western Superconducting (up 20%), Northern Rare Earth, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Zhongmin Resources (each up over 9%) [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The ETF tracking the CSI Rare Metals Theme Index has risen over 6% due to market influences [1] - Specific ETFs related to rare metals have reported the following price changes: - Rare Metals ETF (code: 159608) increased by 6.78% to 0.992 - Rare Metals ETF Fund (code: 159671) increased by 6.83% to 1.204 - Rare Metals ETF (code: 562800) increased by 6.56% to 0.861 - Rare Metals ETF Fund (code: 561800) increased by 6.37% to 0.918 [2] Group 2: Industry Insights - The CSI Rare Metals Theme Index includes up to 50 listed companies involved in the mining, smelting, and processing of rare metals, reflecting the overall performance of these securities [2] - Analysts indicate that strategic minor metals have limited reserves, high extraction difficulty, and insufficient supply elasticity, while downstream demand from sectors like new energy, semiconductors, and military industry is rapidly increasing, exacerbating supply-demand conflicts [2] - Given the ongoing resource scarcity, demand structure upgrades, and policy adjustments, minor metal prices are expected to continue an upward trend, benefiting companies with resource advantages, technological barriers, and compliant export channels [2]

Core Insights - The renewable energy sector is experiencing significant growth, with the China Securities Renewable Energy Index rising by 3.07% as of October 9, 2025, and key stocks like Maiwei Co., Ltd. and TBEA Co., Ltd. showing substantial gains [1][4]. Market Performance - The Renewable Energy ETF (159875) has increased by 2.52%, marking its third consecutive rise, and has accumulated a 6.98% increase over the past two weeks as of September 30, 2025 [1][4]. - The ETF's trading volume was active, with a turnover rate of 10.72% and a transaction value of 145 million yuan, indicating strong market engagement [4]. - The ETF's latest scale reached 1.275 billion yuan, with a recent increase of 67.5 million shares over the past two weeks [4]. Financial Metrics - The Renewable Energy ETF has seen a net asset value increase of 49.44% over the past six months, ranking 480 out of 3689 in the index fund category, placing it in the top 13.01% [4]. - The ETF's highest monthly return since inception was 25.07%, with a maximum consecutive monthly gain of 62.44% and an average monthly return of 8.85% [4]. Industry Trends - The electricity transmission and transformation industry is on an upward trend due to increasing global demand for grid construction and upgrades, with TBEA Co., Ltd. positioned to benefit from this growth [4]. - The solid-state battery and energy storage sectors are gaining attention from investors, driven by market transformations and unexpected overseas demand, particularly in the U.S. and Europe [5]. - The power equipment sector is actively responding to technological advancements, especially in relation to AI computing power and renewable energy-related equipment [5][6]. Key Stocks - As of September 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the China Securities Renewable Energy Index include CATL, Sungrow Power Supply, and TBEA Co., Ltd., collectively accounting for 45.2% of the index [8].

Core Viewpoint - The rare earth permanent magnet sector in A-shares has seen significant gains, driven by new export control announcements from the Chinese Ministry of Commerce regarding rare earth-related items and technologies [1][5][8]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of 13:30, the rare earth permanent magnet concept index rose over 4%, with notable stock performances including Jiuling Technology up over 13%, Jieli Permanent Magnet up over 11%, and Antai Technology hitting the daily limit [1]. - Other companies in the sector, such as Northern Rare Earth, Zhongmin Resources, Baogang Co., and China Rare Earth, also experienced gains [1]. Group 2: Export Control Announcements - The Ministry of Commerce issued two announcements regarding the export control of certain rare earth-related items, with the first announcement (2025 No. 61) targeting items containing Chinese components and the second (2025 No. 62) focusing on rare earth-related technologies [5][8]. - The measures are aimed at protecting national security and interests, as well as fulfilling international obligations related to non-proliferation [8].

Core Insights - The Chinese Ministry of Commerce announced export controls on rare earth-related technologies to safeguard national security and interests, effective October 9, 2025 [1] - The rare metal ETF index (930632) surged by 6.23% as of October 9, 2025, with significant gains in constituent stocks such as Western Superconducting (up 18.79%) and Ganfeng Lithium (up 9.15%) [1] - The rare metal ETF fund (561800) has seen a cumulative increase of 10.36% over the past two weeks, ranking first among comparable funds [1][3] Industry Performance - As of September 30, 2025, the rare metal ETF fund recorded a highest monthly return of 24.02% since its inception, with an average monthly return of 8.58% during rising months [3] - The rare earth prices, particularly for praseodymium and neodymium oxides, are expected to remain high, contributing to strong performance in the rare earth industry in the second half of the year [3] - The supply-demand dynamics in the rare earth sector are improving, with domestic supply growth lagging behind demand expansion due to regulatory measures on mining and separation [3] - Demand is driven by industries such as robotics, low-altitude economy, and military applications, while high refining costs abroad support price expectations [3] Key Stocks - The top ten weighted stocks in the rare metal index include Northern Rare Earth, Luoyang Molybdenum, and Ganfeng Lithium, collectively accounting for 59.91% of the index [4][5] - Notable stock performances include Salt Lake Co. (up 6.76%), Northern Rare Earth (up 7.31%), and Luoyang Molybdenum (up 9.04%) [7]