Group 1 - A number of A-share listed chemical companies, including Guoen Co., Linglong Tire, Proya, and Baili Tianheng, have accelerated their plans for listing in Hong Kong, aiming to create an "A+H" dual capital platform to broaden their development paths and inject new momentum into their growth [1] - The surge in Hong Kong listings is driven by both policy support and market demand, with international expansion and enhanced global competitiveness becoming key motivations for chemical companies [1][2] - Guoen Co. announced that the Hong Kong Stock Exchange's listing committee held a hearing on its application for H-share issuance on December 11, marking a critical stage in its listing process [1] Group 2 - The listing trend is supported by ongoing reforms in Hong Kong's capital market and policies from mainland China, which have made the Hong Kong Stock Exchange more attractive for innovative companies since the introduction of new listing rules in 2018 [2] - Recent measures from the Ministry of Finance and the China Securities Regulatory Commission have expanded the list of qualified institutions for H-share auditing, enhancing the quality of auditing services available to mainland companies seeking to list in Hong Kong [2] - The move to list in Hong Kong represents a proactive choice for companies to broaden financing channels and advance international development, reflecting the dual opening of China's capital market [3]

Investment Strategy Overview - The report emphasizes two main investment themes for the chemical industry: anti-involution policies and domestic substitution, which are expected to drive recovery and growth in the sector [4][5][6] Anti-Involution and Cycle Recovery - The report suggests that the chemical industry is at a turning point, with anti-involution measures leading to a recovery in the cycle. Key areas include the peak of new capacity in organic silicon, the end of PTA capacity expansion, and a rebound in prices for certain chemicals due to supply chain disruptions [4][5] - The China Chemical Product Price Index (CCPI) has decreased significantly, dropping to 3865 points by November 30, 2025, down 16.37% from early 2024 and 10.71% from the beginning of 2025 [4][20] Domestic Substitution as a Growth Driver - Domestic substitution is highlighted as a key growth driver, with significant support from national policies for bio-based materials and advancements in technology leading to a more robust domestic supply chain [4][6] - The report identifies several companies positioned to benefit from these trends, including KaiSai Bio and RuiFeng New Materials, which are making strides in bio-based materials and lubricant additives, respectively [5][6] Market Dynamics and Price Recovery - The report notes that while the chemical market is experiencing a downturn, certain segments are expected to see price recovery due to improved supply-demand dynamics and reduced capacity expansion [4][22] - Specific chemical products have shown varied price movements, with some experiencing significant declines while others are stabilizing or recovering [22] Manufacturing Sector Recovery - The manufacturing sector is showing signs of recovery, which is anticipated to support the chemical industry. The report mentions that the real estate market is stabilizing, and automotive production has increased, indicating a potential uptick in demand for chemical products [25][33] Capital Expenditure Trends - Capital expenditure growth in the chemical industry is slowing, with a notable decline in new projects. The report indicates that the total construction in progress for the chemical sector was 327.57 billion yuan in Q3 2025, down 17.64% year-on-year [34][39] Inventory and Consumption Trends - High inventory levels in the chemical sector are being addressed as consumer demand begins to recover. The report suggests that the inventory-to-revenue ratio for the basic chemical industry was 0.62 in Q3 2025, indicating a slight increase from the previous year [41][42] Profitability and Financial Performance - The report highlights a recovery in profitability for the chemical industry, with gross margins and return on equity (ROE) showing improvement in Q3 2025 compared to previous periods [56][60] - Specific sub-sectors, such as agrochemicals and fluorochemicals, have demonstrated significant profit growth, with some exceeding 100% year-on-year increases [55][56]

Core Viewpoint - The supercapacitor sector experienced a decline of 3.10% as of the market close on December 16, with companies like China National Heavy Machinery, Black Peony, and Meiansen leading the losses [1]. Market Performance - The supercapacitor concept ranked among the top decliners in the market, with a drop of 3.10%, while other sectors like duty-free shops and ride-hailing services saw gains of 1.44% and 0.89%, respectively [2]. - The supercapacitor sector was part of a broader trend where several sectors faced declines, including superconductors (-3.32%) and silicon energy (-3.16%) [2]. Fund Flow Analysis - The supercapacitor sector saw a net outflow of 1.125 billion yuan, with 32 stocks experiencing net outflows, and 11 stocks seeing outflows exceeding 50 million yuan [3]. - The stock with the highest net outflow was Zhongtian Technology, which had a net outflow of 144.38 million yuan, followed by Shentech and Xinzhoubang with outflows of 84.55 million yuan and 83.49 million yuan, respectively [3]. - Other notable stocks with significant net outflows included China National Heavy Machinery (-7.95%) and Shanshan Co. (-3.50%) [3][4]. Individual Stock Performance - The top stocks in the supercapacitor sector by net outflow included: - Zhongtian Technology: -4.21% with a turnover rate of 2.88% and a net outflow of 144.38 million yuan [3]. - Shentech: -2.91% with a turnover rate of 2.23% and a net outflow of 84.55 million yuan [3]. - Xinzhoubang: -1.85% with a turnover rate of 2.31% and a net outflow of 83.49 million yuan [3]. - Other companies with notable declines included China National Heavy Machinery (-7.95%) and Shanshan Co. (-3.50%) [3][4].

Core Viewpoint - The company plans to issue H shares and apply for listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to enhance its global development strategy, improve its international brand image, and optimize its capital structure [1]. Group 1: Company Overview - The company, established in 1996 and headquartered in Shenzhen, was listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange's Growth Enterprise Market in 2010 [4]. - Initially focused on capacitor chemicals, the company has expanded into lithium battery electrolytes, organic fluorochemicals, and semiconductor chemicals [4]. - Through multiple acquisitions, including BASF's electrolyte business and Haisford Chemical, the company has developed a global production and sales network [5]. Group 2: Strategic Initiatives - The issuance of H shares aims to support the company's globalization efforts and enhance its competitive strength in the global market [1]. - The company seeks to create an international capital operation platform and improve its governance and core competitiveness [1].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the chemical raw materials industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The 2026 refrigerant quota has been issued, maintaining an upward trend in the market; the shutdown of leading PVDF companies is expected to catalyze a market reversal [4][20] - The refrigerant market is characterized by stable long-term demand and a lack of substitutes, which supports a positive outlook for the sector [30] Summary by Sections 1. Fluorochemical Industry Weekly Perspective - The 2026 refrigerant quota has been issued with limited adjustments compared to 2025, indicating a stable market environment [28] - The shutdown of a leading PVDF producer is expected to create upward price pressure, with current market prices reaching up to 56,000 yuan/ton [21][24] 2. Market Performance - The fluorochemical index rose by 0.12% during the week of December 8-12, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 0.47% [6][17] - The overall market sentiment remains strong, with companies like Dongyangguang and Juhua showing significant stock price increases [12][20] 3. Raw Material and Product Pricing - The price of R32 refrigerant is stable at 63,000 yuan/ton, while R134a has seen a price increase to 57,500 yuan/ton [10][11] - PVDF prices have rebounded from 36,000 yuan/ton to 49,000 yuan/ton, indicating a recovery in demand [21][22] 4. Industry Dynamics - The demand for PVDF is expected to continue growing, with the coating-grade PVDF market share projected to reach 25% by 2024 [22] - The overall fluorochemical market is experiencing a stable trend, with the price of raw materials like hydrogen fluoride showing mixed movements [38][39]

Event Overview - The 2025 (10th) Lithium Battery Industry Annual Conference and Lithium Battery Golden Ding Award Ceremony will be held on December 18-19, 2025, in Shenzhen, focusing on new cycles, technologies, and ecosystems [2] Company Developments - CATL signed a framework supply agreement with Vena Energy to provide 4GWh of EnerX battery energy storage systems, utilizing 530Ah cells with a capacity of 5.6MWh per 20-foot container [5] - XINWANDA established a new subsidiary in Zaozhuang with a registered capital of 300 million RMB, focusing on energy technology R&D, battery manufacturing, and electric vehicle charging infrastructure [6] - DEYI Energy launched a 20GWh power battery project in Dagang Economic Development Zone, with a fixed asset investment of approximately 4 billion RMB [7] - FULIN Technology announced price increases for some products due to rising raw material costs and expanding market demand [8] - DEGA Energy will raise battery prices by 15% starting December 16, 2025, in response to increased production costs [9] - Beijing Weilan New Energy submitted an IPO application to the Beijing Securities Regulatory Bureau [10] - Samsung SDI secured a contract to supply lithium iron phosphate batteries worth over 2 trillion KRW (approximately 9.6 billion RMB) for an energy facility in the U.S. [12] - LG Energy signed a battery supply agreement with Mercedes-Benz valued at 2.06 trillion KRW (approximately 988.6 million RMB) [14] - Tianqi Materials announced a second delay for its lithium-ion battery materials project, extending the completion date to July 31, 2026 [16] - ENJIE signed a memorandum of understanding with Arkema to jointly develop next-generation battery separators [17] - FOSU Technology's acquisition of JINLI Co., Ltd. was approved, with a total transaction value of 5.08 billion RMB [18] - XINZHOUBANG plans to list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to enhance its global competitiveness [19] - GUOCHENG Technology intends to acquire FUYUE Technology for 241 million RMB [21] Industry Trends - In November, China's automotive production exceeded 3.5 million units for the first time, with a year-on-year growth of over 10% [31] - NEV exports reached 2.315 million units, doubling year-on-year [31] - The second-generation solid-state electrolyte from XINYUREN has entered battery-level testing [24] - New battery recycling projects are being initiated in Shandong and Anhui, indicating a growing focus on battery recycling and resource recovery [28][29]

Group 1 - The company has initiated the process for issuing H-shares and listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to enhance its global development strategy and improve its international brand image and market competitiveness [3] - The core purpose of the H-share issuance is to optimize the capital structure and shareholder composition, thereby enhancing governance and core competitiveness for sustainable long-term development [3] - The company is a leading player in the high-end electronic chemicals and fluorinated materials sector, maintaining a strong market position in battery electrolytes, capacitor chemicals, and fluorinated liquids, while accelerating import substitution in semiconductor chemicals [3] Group 2 - In the high-end energy storage electrolyte sector, the company holds a dominant position, with its energy storage electrolyte category accounting for 45% of the global market by 2025 [4] - The company is the primary supplier of energy storage electrolytes for CATL, with a combined production capacity of 80,000 tons from its Poland and Huizhou plants, meeting 13% of global energy storage electrolyte demand [4] - The supply volume of energy storage electrolytes increased by 180% year-on-year in Q3 2025, and the company secured over 800 million yuan in overseas energy storage orders [4]

Core Viewpoint - The company plans to issue H-shares and apply for a listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to advance its globalization strategy, pending approval from relevant regulatory bodies [1] Company Developments - The company has achieved batch applications for hydrogen fluoride ether and perfluoropolyether products, establishing partnerships with multiple clients, indicating potential growth in the fluorinated liquid business [1] - The company’s lithium hexafluorophosphate self-supply ratio currently stands at 50%-70%, which meets the current production needs for electrolytes, with expectations to increase this ratio after the completion of technical upgrades by the end of 2025 [2] - The company has completed the phased capacity construction for core fluorinated liquid products, with hydrogen fluoride ether capacity at approximately 3,000 tons and perfluoropolyether capacity at about 2,500 tons [3] - The company reported a revenue of approximately 4.25 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of about 18.6%, with net profit around 480 million yuan, up 16.4% [3] Industry Insights - The electrolyte sector has entered a rebound phase since Q3, with prices of lithium hexafluorophosphate rising, and new contracts will reference the latest market prices [4] - The company maintains an optimistic outlook for 2026, anticipating a tight supply-demand situation and rational price returns, influenced by fluctuations in lithium carbonate and other material prices [4] - The company has plans for capital expenditures and aims to enhance its overseas supply chain, focusing on factories in Malaysia and Poland, while also improving domestic efficiency and developing high-value new projects [4]

Core Insights - The chemical industry is entering a favorable phase driven by demand, value, and supply dynamics [5][6][7] - Global supply constraints and the exit of European capacities are expected to enhance the market environment for the chemical sector [7] Demand Drivers - Key opportunities identified in various sectors include: - Gas turbine upstream: companies like Zhenhua Co., Yingliu Co., Longda Co., and Wanze Co. [5] - Refrigerants and fluorinated liquids: companies such as Juhua Co., New Zhoubang, and Runhe Materials [5] - Energy storage supply chain: including Chuanheng Co., Xingfa Group, Yuntianhua, Batian Co., and others [5] - Semiconductor materials: companies like Yanggu Huatai, Wanrun Co., Dinglong Co., and others [5] Value Drivers - Potential for increased dividend yields in sectors such as: - Coal chemical: Hualu Hengsheng, Luxi Chemical, and Baofeng Energy [6] - Oil refining: Hengli Petrochemical, Satellite Chemical, and Sinopec [6] - Phosphate fertilizers: Yuntianhua, Yuntu Holdings, and others [6] Supply Drivers - Domestic anti-involution policies and the exit of European production capacities are expected to support the chemical industry: - PTA and polyester filament: companies like Xin Fengming and Tongkun Co. [7] - Tire manufacturing: including Sailun Tire, Zhongce Rubber, and others [7] Key Companies and Profit Forecasts - Selected companies with profit forecasts include: - Zhenhua Co. (Net profit forecast for 2025: 6.04 billion, PE: 21.8) [8] - Yingliu Co. (Net profit forecast for 2025: 4.08 billion, PE: 42.7) [8] - Longda Co. (Net profit forecast for 2025: 1.06 billion, PE: 34.9) [8] - Wanze Co. (Net profit forecast for 2025: 2.37 billion, PE: 32.9) [8] - Juhua Co. (Net profit forecast for 2025: 48.14 billion, PE: 24.4) [8] Industry Cycle Insights - The chemical industry is expected to enter a new cycle, with demand recovery and supply-side reforms driving growth [14][21] - The chemical price index has shown signs of recovery, indicating a potential upturn in the market [20][21]

12月11日，锂电材料企业新宙邦发布公告，宣布其第六届董事会第二十六次会议已审议通过H股 上市相关议案，公司 拟发行境外上市外资股并申请在香港联交所主板挂牌交易 。 新宙邦表示，此次赴港上市的目标在于推进全球化战略落地，实现资源本地化供应，进而提升国际 品牌影响力与全球市场竞争力。 企业通过港股募集的资金，可直接用于海外建厂、资源收购等全球化布局，有效规避欧美绿色贸易 壁垒与各类贸易限制。 如中伟股份借港股融资强化对印尼镍资源的掌控，宁德时代、亿纬锂能则将募资投向欧洲、东南亚 生产基地，精准适配海外市场旺盛的锂电产品需求，加速全球化产能落地。 据高工锂电不完全统计， 2025年以来，以行业龙头 宁德时代 为开端， 截至目前已有超16家锂 电相关企业扎堆赴港上市，覆盖电池、材料、设备等全产业链核心环节，形成规模化上市热潮。 其中，电池板块集结了宁德时代、亿纬锂能、欣旺达、南都电源、海辰储能、正力新能、双登集团 等企业；材料领域有星源材质、天赐材料、中伟股份、盛新锂能、格林美、金晟新能源及新宙邦等 企业；设备端则包括先导智能、中鼎智能等企业， 全产业链赴港上市态势显著 。 从上市模式来看，此次热潮呈现出 多元化 ...