Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 32.48 CNY based on a 29x PE valuation for comparable companies in 2026 [3][6]. Core Insights - The company is actively expanding its optical communication business and enhancing its product layout in cloud and terminal modules, aiming to integrate into the global optical interconnect ecosystem [11]. - The company has strong competitive advantages in technology, industrial synergy, and production capacity, which are expected to support its growth in the optical communication sector [11]. - The company is also focusing on strengthening its product offerings related to cloud computing and data centers, with promising growth in its server board business [11]. - The smart glasses market is projected to grow significantly, and the company is well-positioned to benefit from this trend as a leading manufacturer of SiP modules for smart wearable devices [11]. Financial Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.75 CNY, 1.12 CNY, and 1.37 CNY for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively, with adjustments made to revenue and gross margin forecasts [3][12]. - Revenue is expected to decline slightly in 2025 before rebounding with growth rates of 18% and 12% in 2026 and 2027, respectively [5][12]. - The company’s net profit is forecasted to recover significantly, with a projected increase of 50% in 2026 and 22% in 2027 [5][12].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the machinery equipment industry [6]. Core Insights - Tesla plans to sell humanoid robots to the public by 2027, with expectations for increased market interest and investment opportunities [3][9]. - The humanoid robot production capacity is set to accelerate, with Tesla aiming to produce 50,000 units in 2026 and ramping up to 1 million units by 2030 [9]. - Companies with strong manufacturing and operational capabilities are expected to gain higher market shares as humanoid robot sales increase and prices decrease [9]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The report highlights the rapid development of the humanoid robot industry, with Tesla's announcements indicating a faster-than-expected timeline for public sales [9]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests several investment opportunities, including Top Group (601689, Buy), Sanhua Intelligent Control (002050, Buy), Wuzhou New Spring (603667, Buy), Hengli Hydraulic (601100, Not Rated), and Zhenyu Technology (300953, Buy) [3]. Market Expectations - The anticipated deployment of Tesla's humanoid robots in industrial settings by late 2026 is expected to enhance market expectations and create investment opportunities [3][9].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Positive" [5] Core Viewpoints - The PVC industry is expected to undergo continuous revaluation due to its high energy consumption and carbon emissions, particularly as China approaches its carbon peak during the 14th Five-Year Plan. The supply side may face strict controls, leading to potential reductions in production quotas. The demand for PVC in developing regions such as Africa and Latin America is anticipated to drive growth, despite the challenges posed by domestic production constraints [2][7] - The petrochemical industry is experiencing an upward trend in profitability, driven by significant price increases in key products such as butadiene rubber, PX, PTA, styrene, and ethylene glycol. The market's expectations for improved demand in 2026 are contributing to this positive outlook, with potential adjustments in operational strategies by leading companies likely to reshape supply and demand dynamics [7] Summary by Relevant Sections Investment Suggestions and Targets - The report recommends several companies across various sub-sectors, including: - MDI leader: Wanhua Chemical (600309, Buy) - PVC-related companies: Zhongtai Chemical (002092, Not Rated), Xinjiang Tianye (600075, Not Rated), Chlor-alkali Chemical (600618, Not Rated), Tianyuan Co., Ltd. (002386, Not Rated) - Refining sector leaders: Sinopec (600028, Buy), Rongsheng Petrochemical (002493, Buy), Hengli Petrochemical (600346, Buy) - Phosphate chemical companies benefiting from energy storage growth: Chuanheng Co., Ltd. (002895, Not Rated), Yuntianhua (600096, Not Rated) - Oxalic acid sector: Hualu Hengsheng (600426, Buy), Huayi Group (600623, Buy), Wankai New Materials (301216, Buy) [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the mechanical equipment industry, indicating a favorable outlook for the sector [6]. Core Insights - The production of humanoid robots is expected to drive growth in the flexible protective outer layer market, leading to increased orders for related manufacturers [3]. - Tesla's Optimus robot has made significant advancements with the introduction of a flexible protective outer layer, enhancing its humanoid appearance and functionality [9][11]. - The flexible protective outer layer is designed to protect the robot and reduce safety risks during human-robot interactions, with domestic manufacturers making progress in this area [12]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The report focuses on the mechanical equipment industry, highlighting the potential for growth driven by advancements in robotics and related technologies [5]. Investment Recommendations - Key investment targets include Henghui Security (300952), Meirui New Materials (300848), and Nanshan Zhishang (300918), which are positioned to benefit from the growth in the flexible protective outer layer market [3]. Technological Developments - Tesla's Optimus robot has transitioned from a bare steel exterior to a more human-like design with a flexible protective outer layer, which is expected to open new market opportunities, especially in consumer-facing service scenarios [9][11]. - The flexible protective outer layer not only protects the robot but also enhances safety in collaborative environments, with domestic companies like Xiaopeng and Henghui Security making strides in this technology [12]. Market Potential - The flexible protective outer layer is anticipated to become a consumable item for robots, similar to clothing for humans, leading to higher replacement rates and a larger market space [15]. - The report suggests that as robotic applications become more widespread, consumer demand for customization in the appearance of robots will increase, further expanding the market for flexible protective outer layers [15].

Multi-Strategy Performance - A-share equity strategies and commodity CTA strategies are currently dominant, with A-share equity strategies showing continued opportunities for allocation[7] - The index enhancement strategy has seen a rebound, with the median excess return for public funds turning positive[10] - Private CTA strategies remain strong, benefiting from trends in precious metals like gold and silver, as well as increased volatility in non-ferrous metals[29] Bank Wealth Management Performance - Overall, bank wealth management products have positive returns, with significant gains in commodity and equity products, but overall scale has not expanded[32] - Cash management products increased by 0.02%, while fixed income products rose by 0.06%, and mixed products saw a 0.24% increase, indicating strong performance relative to historical data[33] - The scale of cash management products decreased by 0.09%, and fixed income products saw a reduction of 0.04%, reflecting a general trend of declining scale across most categories[39] Risk Considerations - Extreme risk events, such as US-China relations and unexpected global geopolitical events, could disrupt historical statistical patterns[4] - The risk of quantitative indicators failing, as historical data may not effectively guide future performance, is a concern[4]

Group 1 - The report indicates that multi-strategy approaches, particularly A-share equity strategies and CTA strategies, are currently favored. Equity assets have returned to a state of fluctuation, with enhanced index strategies showing signs of recovery, and there are still opportunities for allocation in A-share equity strategies. In the context of ongoing trends in precious metals like gold and silver, as well as increased volatility in non-ferrous metals, CTA strategies continue to play a role in enhancing returns and reducing volatility in asset allocation [7][55]. - The performance of bank wealth management products has been positive overall, but there has not been a corresponding expansion in scale. Products in the commodity and derivative categories, as well as equity-related wealth management products, have led the gains. However, aside from a slight net increase in mixed wealth management products, the remaining categories have generally seen a decline in their existing scale [32][55]. Group 2 - In the recent week, the performance of multi-strategy approaches showed that small-cap index enhancement and CTA strategies led the gains, with the median return of public neutral strategies turning positive. Large-cap index enhancement strategies, however, showed weaker returns [10]. - The report highlights that the public neutral strategy products have seen an overall recovery in returns, with the highest, lowest, and median returns for public neutral strategy products being 2.39%, -1.05%, and 0.18% respectively. Private neutral strategy products had returns of 3.38%, -5.26%, and -0.43% respectively [26][27]. - The private CTA strategy remains strong, with the highest, lowest, and median returns for private CTA strategy products being 6.09%, -1.94%, and 0.35% respectively, indicating robust performance in the context of ongoing trends in precious metals and increased volatility in commodities [29][31].

基金研究 | 专题报告 配置型基金系列：细分赛道 Stable beta+ 基金优选 研究结论 报告发布日期 2026 年 01 月 21 日 | 张思宇 | 执业证书编号：S0860525120001 | | --- | --- | | | zhangsiyu1@orientsec.com.cn | | | 021-63326320 | | 王继恒 | 执业证书编号：S0860525090004 | | | wangjiheng@orientsec.com.cn | | | 0755-82819271 | 周期热度持续，关注化工主题基金：2026 年 01 月主动权益基金配置月观点 2026-01-08 公募主观多头基金定量跟踪月报（截至 2025 年 12 月底） 2026-01-05 基准之上，何以为胜：主动权益基金基准 的选择与锚定 2025-12-19 基金研究 | 专题报告 —— 配置型基金系列：细分赛道 Stable beta+ 基金优选 目 录 风险提示 指数分类有所错漏，数据计算有所遗误。本报告结论完全基于公开的历史数据进行计 算，对基金产品和基金管理人的研究分析结论并不预示其未来表现，也不 ...

Core Insights - The report emphasizes a "slow bull" market expectation, suggesting a shift from a previous "crazy bull" sentiment to a more stable outlook, maintaining confidence in mid-cap blue chips and cyclical sectors [2][3] - The cyclical mid-cap blue chips, particularly in the chemical and non-ferrous sectors, are highlighted as key investment opportunities, with a focus on manufacturing and technology growth [3] - The chemical industry is undergoing a transformation, moving from a focus on market share to profitability, influenced by internal policy adjustments and external anti-dumping measures [3] Market Strategy - The report suggests maintaining a focus on mid-cap blue chips, particularly in cyclical and manufacturing sectors, with an emphasis on non-ferrous metals and chemicals, as well as smart vehicles and robotics [3] - Recommended ETFs include the Hang Seng ETF, Hang Seng Technology ETF, and various sector-specific ETFs such as the Chemical ETF and Non-ferrous ETF [3] Industry Analysis - The chemical industry is reaching the limits of market share expansion due to policy constraints and increased scrutiny on low-quality growth, signaling a need for companies to adjust their strategies [3] - Key areas of focus within the chemical sector include MDI, petrochemicals, phosphate chemicals, PVC, and polyester bottle chips, with a preference for companies demonstrating strong leadership advantages [3] - The zinc market is expected to see price increases due to favorable supply-demand dynamics, driven by infrastructure needs in developing regions and a tightening supply of zinc ore [4][3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3][5] Core Views - The main brand of the company is experiencing short-term revenue pressure, but the mid-term outlook remains positive due to the company's multi-brand international competitiveness [2][9] - The company has adjusted its earnings forecasts slightly downward for the main brand's revenue growth over the next three years, while also increasing the sales and management expense ratios for 2026 and 2027 [10] - The target price is set at 113.00 HKD, based on a 20x PE valuation for 2026 [3][10] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue (in million RMB): - 2023A: 62,356 - 2024A: 70,826 - 2025E: 78,495 - 2026E: 85,296 - 2027E: 92,805 - Year-on-Year Growth (%): 16.2%, 13.6%, 10.8%, 8.7%, 8.8% [4] - Operating Profit (in million RMB): - 2023A: 15,367 - 2024A: 16,595 - 2025E: 18,116 - 2026E: 19,321 - 2027E: 21,369 - Year-on-Year Growth (%): 36.8%, 8.0%, 9.2%, 6.6%, 10.6% [4] - Net Profit Attributable to Parent Company (in million RMB): - 2023A: 10,236 - 2024A: 15,596 - 2025E: 13,177 - 2026E: 14,231 - 2027E: 15,931 - Year-on-Year Growth (%): 34.9%, 52.4%, -15.5%, 8.0%, 11.9% [4] - Earnings Per Share (in RMB): - 2023A: 3.66 - 2024A: 5.58 - 2025E: 4.71 - 2026E: 5.09 - 2027E: 5.70 [4] - Gross Margin (%): - 2023A: 62.6% - 2024A: 62.2% - 2025E: 61.9% - 2026E: 62.2% - 2027E: 62.5% [4] - Net Margin (%): - 2023A: 16.4% - 2024A: 22.0% - 2025E: 16.8% - 2026E: 16.7% - 2027E: 17.2% [4] - Return on Equity (%): - 2023A: 18.3% - 2024A: 23.4% - 2025E: 17.3% - 2026E: 16.5% - 2027E: 16.2% [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 113.00 HKD for 2026, based on a 20x PE valuation [3][5]. Core Insights - The main brand of the company is experiencing short-term revenue pressure, but the mid-term outlook remains positive due to the company's multi-brand internationalization strategy [2][9]. - The company has adjusted its earnings forecasts for 2025-2027, projecting earnings per share of 4.71, 5.09, and 5.70 RMB respectively, slightly down from previous estimates [3][10]. - The company is expected to face challenges in the competitive landscape of the mass sports sector, but new store formats and product iterations are anticipated to support stable growth in the mid-term [9][10]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue (in million RMB) is projected to grow from 62,356 in 2023 to 92,805 in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates decreasing from 16.2% in 2023 to 8.8% in 2027 [4]. - Operating profit is expected to increase from 15,367 million RMB in 2023 to 21,369 million RMB in 2027, with a growth rate of 36.8% in 2023, tapering to 10.6% by 2027 [4]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to rise from 10,236 million RMB in 2023 to 15,931 million RMB in 2027, with a significant increase of 52.4% in 2024, followed by a decline of 15.5% in 2025 [4]. - The company’s gross margin is expected to remain stable around 62% over the forecast period, while net margin is projected to fluctuate between 16.4% and 22.0% [4][12]. Brand Performance Insights - The main brand is under pressure in the short term, but is expected to stabilize in the mid-term due to improvements in e-commerce and new store formats [9]. - The Fila brand showed improvement in Q4 and is expected to maintain steady growth starting in 2026 due to recent brand and product optimizations [9]. - Other brands, particularly Descente and KOLON, have shown strong growth, with revenue increasing by 35%-40% year-on-year in Q4, and are expected to continue outperforming the overall sportswear industry [9].