证券研究报告 | 公司动态点评 2024 年 11 月 05 日 华恒生物（688639.SH） 3Q24 公司盈利有待改善，产品多元布局打开增长空间 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |--------------------------------------------|-------|-------|-------|-------|-------|------------------------------------------|----------| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 财务指标 | 2022A | 2023A | 2024E | 2025E | 2026E | 买入（维持评级） | | | 营业收入（百万元） | 1,419 | 1,938 | 2,460 | 3,477 | 4,613 | 股票信息 | | | 增长率 yoy （ % ） | 48.7 | 36.6 | 26.9 | 41.4 | 32.6 | | | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 320 | 449 | ...

证券研究报告| 公司动态点评 2024 年 11 月 05 日 合盛硅业（603260.SH） 3Q24 公司业绩略有下降，光伏行业有望迎来拐点 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |--------------------------------------------|--------|--------|--------|--------|--------|------------------------------------------|-----------| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 财务指标 | 2022A | 2023A | 2024E | 2025E | 2026E | 买入（维持评级） | | | 营业收入（百万元） | 23,657 | 26,584 | 29,975 | 36,695 | 41,942 | 股票信息 | | | 增长率 yoy （ % ） | 10.6 | 12.4 | 12.8 | 22.4 | 14.3 | | | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 5,14 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting the stock price to outperform the industry index by over 15% in the next six months [15]. Core Views - The company experienced short-term pressure on its performance in Q3 2024, with a year-on-year revenue increase of 11.31% but a decline in net profit by 15.91% [1]. - The company's cash flow from operating activities showed significant growth, increasing by 572.11% year-on-year in the first three quarters of 2024 [3]. - The report highlights the company's ongoing expansion in PTA production capacity, which is expected to enhance its competitive edge and profitability in the long run [6]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company reported total revenue of 49.197 billion yuan, with a net profit of 746 million yuan [1]. - The gross profit margin for the first three quarters of 2024 was 5.61%, a decrease of 0.74 percentage points compared to the same period last year [2]. - The company’s revenue for 2024 is projected to be 64.846 billion yuan, with a net profit of 1.075 billion yuan, reflecting a slight decline in profit compared to 2023 [7]. Operational Highlights - The company’s production and sales of key products such as DTY, FDY, and POY showed stable growth, with production increases of 9.30%, 7.36%, and 14.84% respectively in the first three quarters of 2024 [4]. - The average selling prices for major products experienced slight fluctuations, with DTY and FDY prices increasing by 3.05% and 0.67% respectively [4]. - The company is actively working on a 5 million-ton PTA project, which is part of its strategy to create a complete polyester filament industry chain [6]. Future Projections - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 64.846 billion yuan in 2024, 69.566 billion yuan in 2025, and 75.011 billion yuan in 2026, with corresponding net profits of 1.075 billion yuan, 1.640 billion yuan, and 1.952 billion yuan respectively [7]. - The projected EPS for the next three years is 0.71 yuan in 2024, 1.08 yuan in 2025, and 1.28 yuan in 2026, indicating a positive growth trajectory [7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 18.35 RMB per share [1][4] Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from the recovery in consumer electronics, particularly in the smartphone market, which will drive demand for its CMI products [1][2] - The company's MLCC business is entering a small-scale production phase, with potential for significant growth as the industry recovers and domestic substitution accelerates [3][5] - The DPC ceramic substrate business is poised to become a new growth driver, benefiting from the laser industry's expansion and domestic substitution trends [5][66] Financial Performance - Revenue is projected to grow from 612 million RMB in 2024E to 1.02 billion RMB in 2026E, with a CAGR of 18.6% [1] - Net profit is expected to turn positive in 2025E, reaching 48 million RMB, and further increase to 85 million RMB in 2026E [1] - The company's ROE is forecasted to improve significantly, from -46.5% in 2024E to 24.9% in 2026E [1] Business Segments Consumer Electronics - The company is a leading manufacturer of CMI products, which are used in smartphone camera modules (CCM) and voice coil motors (VCM) [1][12] - CMI products are expected to see strong demand due to the recovery in smartphone shipments and the adoption of advanced camera technologies like periscope lenses [5][61] Automotive Electronics - The company is expanding its presence in the automotive electronics market, focusing on chassis control systems, including ABS, ESC, and ONE BOX products [12][62] - The domestic market share for automotive precision components is expected to increase, driven by the rapid adoption of wire-controlled chassis systems [62] Electronic Ceramics - The company is accelerating the development of high-capacity, small-size MLCC products, targeting applications in consumer electronics, automotive, and industrial markets [3][65] - The DPC ceramic substrate business is expected to benefit from the growth in high-power LED, laser, and VCSEL markets, with a projected CAGR of 4.43% from 2023 to 2029 [52][66] Industry Trends Smartphone Market - Global smartphone shipments are expected to grow by 4.0% YoY in Q3 2024, reaching 316 million units, driven by strong demand from Chinese manufacturers [2][31] - The adoption of advanced camera technologies, such as periscope lenses and OIS, is driving demand for VCM and CCM components [33][61] Automotive Market - The domestic automotive market is experiencing steady growth, with new energy vehicle sales increasing by 32% YoY in H1 2024 [36] - The penetration rate of wire-controlled braking systems is expected to exceed 50% in 2024, with new energy vehicles leading the adoption [36][62] MLCC Market - The global MLCC market is projected to grow from 974 billion RMB in 2023 to 1.04 trillion RMB in 2024, driven by demand from consumer electronics, automotive, and AI applications [39][41] - Domestic substitution for high-end MLCC products is accelerating, with Chinese manufacturers expected to capture a larger share of the market [63][65] DPC Ceramic Substrate Market - The global DPC ceramic substrate market is forecasted to grow from 2.52 billion USD in 2023 to 3.27 billion USD in 2029, with a CAGR of 4.43% [52][66] - The market is highly concentrated, with the top three players accounting for over 60% of the global market share [66]

证券研究报告 | 行业周报 2024 年 11 月 04 日 风电周报（2024.10.28-2024.11.3） 三季度海风并网提速，上海深远海示范项目启动 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |---------------|---------------|---------------|---------------|------------------|------------|-------|----------|-----------------------------|----------| | 股票 \n代码 | 股票 \n名称 | 投资 \n评级 | EPS \n2024E | （元） \n2025E | PE \n2024E | 2025E | | 强于大市（维持评级） | | | 002531.SZ | 天顺风能 | 增持 | 0.48 | 0.72 | 18.96 | 12.91 | | | | | 300129.SZ | 泰胜风能 | 增持 | 0.5 | 0.71 | 15.88 | 11.18 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 15% relative to the industry index within the next six months [16]. Core Insights - The company's Q3 2024 performance exceeded expectations, with revenue and net profit both showing significant growth. The total revenue for the first three quarters of 2024 reached 40.465 billion, a year-on-year increase of 18.01%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 683 million, up 41.02% year-on-year [1][2]. - The improvement in profitability is attributed to strong sales growth in the company's main products and a reduction in losses in the green petrochemical segment, which positively impacted overall performance [2]. - The company is experiencing a robust increase in sales volume and revenue in its modified plastics segment, with Q3 2024 revenue from this segment reaching 8.497 billion, a 5.48% increase year-on-year [4]. Financial Summary - For 2024, the company is projected to achieve revenues of 55.665 billion, 63.071 billion in 2025, and 69.503 billion in 2026, with corresponding net profits of 972 million, 1.557 billion, and 2.274 billion respectively [8]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 0.36, 0.58, and 0.85 for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 20.6, 12.8, and 8.8 [8]. - The company's cash flow from operating activities for the first three quarters of 2024 was 1.467 billion, a decrease of 53.11% year-on-year, primarily due to increased inventory levels to ensure stable production [3]. Segment Performance - The green petrochemical products segment saw production of 497,600 tons in Q3 2024, a 5.33% increase year-on-year, with sales volume increasing by 16.19% [4]. - The average selling price for green petrochemical products was 7,477.53 per ton, reflecting an 11.03% year-on-year increase [4]. - The modified plastics segment also showed resilience, with production and sales reaching historical highs, supported by the company's competitive advantages in providing comprehensive solutions and global services [4][7]. Emerging Opportunities - The company is actively expanding into emerging fields such as flying cars, drones, and robotics, with new materials expected to contribute significantly to future growth [7]. - The development of lightweight, high-strength materials for flying cars and drones is underway, addressing key technical challenges and expanding market applications [7].

证券研究报告 | 公司动态点评 2024 年 11 月 04 日 盛弘股份（300693.SZ） 充电桩驱动收入稳健增长，静待储能业务修复 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |----------------------|-------|-------|-------|-------|-------|------------------------------------------|------------------| | 财务指标 | 2022A | 2023A | 2024E | 2025E | 2026E | 增持（维持评级） | | | 营业收入（百万元） | 1,503 | 2,651 | 3,202 | 4,102 | 5,087 | 股票信息 | | | 增长率 yoy （ % ） | 47.2 | 76.4 | 20.78 | 28.12 | 24.02 | | | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 224 | 403 | 404 | 528 | 671 | 行业 | 电力设备及新能源 | | 增长率 yoy （ % ） | 9 ...

证券研究报告 | 公司动态点评 2024 年 11 月 04 日 恒逸石化（000703.SZ） 3Q24 公司盈利短期承压，静待炼化板块盈利修复 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |--------------------------------------------|---------|---------|---------|---------|---------|------------------------------------------|-----------| | 财务指标 | 2022A | 2023A | 2024E | 2025E | 2026E | 买入（维持评级） | | | 营业收入（百万元） | 152,050 | 136,148 | 142,625 | 155,325 | 168,288 | 股票信息 | | | 增长率 yoy （ % ） | 17.3 | -10.5 | 4.8 | 8.9 | 8.3 | | | | 归母净利润（百万元） | -1,080 | 435 | 452 | 683 | 1,09 ...

证券研究报告 | 公司动态点评 2024 年 11 月 04 日 东方电气（600875.SH）/（1072.HK） 新生效订单持续高增，盈利能力如期修复 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |---------------------------------|------------------|------------------|------------------|------------------|----------------|------------------------------------------|------------------| | 财务指标 \n营业收入（百万元） | 2022A \n54,190 | 2023A \n59,567 | 2024E \n65,939 | 2025E \n74,557 | 2026E \n81,042 | 买入 \n股票信息 | | | 增长率 yoy （ % ） | 15.9 | 9.9 | 10.7 | 13.1 | 8.7 | | | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 2,8 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Accumulate" for the company [1][6]. Core Views - The company has demonstrated strong growth in revenue and profit, with a projected revenue increase from 72.25 billion in 2023 to 87.11 billion in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth rate of 20.6% [1][6]. - The inverter segment is expected to see a shipment of 108GW in the first three quarters of 2024, a year-on-year increase of approximately 29% [2]. - The global energy storage market is expanding rapidly, with a projected shipment of 17GWh in the first three quarters of 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 57% [3]. - The company is focusing on enhancing its competitive edge through continuous investment in sales and R&D, with sales expenses and R&D expenses increasing by 8 million and 6.3 million respectively in the first three quarters of 2024 [4]. Financial Summary - The company achieved a revenue of 49.946 billion in the first three quarters of 2024, a year-on-year increase of 7.61%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 7.6 billion, up 5.21% year-on-year [1][4]. - The gross margin for Q3 2024 is reported at 29.52%, with a net margin of 14.16% [1]. - The company's inventory as of Q3 2024 stands at 32.151 billion, indicating a significant increase in project reserves [4]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is 5.02, with corresponding P/E ratios of 18.0X, 15.3X, and 13.6X for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively [6][9].