证券研究报告 | 公司点评 gszqdatemark 2025 04 27 年 月 日 中国化学（601117.SH） 当前时点如何看中国化学？ 估值处于历史底部，现金流情况优异，有息债务率极低，分红具备较大提升空间。公司 当前 PB 为 0.75 倍，处于近 10 年的 6.2%分位，具备较强安全边际。公司 2024Q3 末 有息债务率仅为 6.3%（8 大建筑央企中最低），在手现金类资产 397 亿元，减去有息 债务后为 256 亿元（公司当前市值为 453 亿元），是 8 大建筑央企中唯一在手现金大于 有息负债的公司。公司自上市以来每年经营性现金流净额均为正，且近五年（2019-2023 年）经营性现金流与投资性现金流净额之和为 139 亿元（8 大建筑央企仅有中国化学与 中国中冶为正）。公司现金流及资产负债表情况实际与中钢国际、中材国际等公司特征 类似（自由现金流为正、有息债务率低、在手现金大于有息债务），相较于两家公司平 均 43%的分红率，未来公司分红率（目前 20%）具备较大潜在提升空间。 己二腈项目运行顺利，受益进口替代加速及原材料价格下行，盈利有望明显提升。公司 己二腈项目整体进展顺利，负荷 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance relative to the market [4][7]. Core Views - The company reported stable revenue in Q1 2025, with total revenue at 1.1 billion yuan, unchanged year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 100 million yuan, reflecting a 5% increase year-on-year [1]. - The company is focusing on long-term asset construction and is expected to maintain steady performance in 2025, with projected net profits of 433 million yuan, 487 million yuan, and 555 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4][6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company's gross profit margin increased by 0.9 percentage points to 20.8%, while the net profit margin rose by 0.5 percentage points to 9.6% [1]. - The company’s revenue for 2025 is estimated to be 5.054 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 4.4% [6]. Business Segments - The company’s wool yarn sales are expected to remain stable, while cashmere yarn sales are projected to grow by 15% to 20% year-on-year in Q1 2025 [2]. - The company is expanding its production capacity, with plans for significant increases in output for various yarn products in 2024 and 2025 [3]. Inventory and Cash Flow - As of Q1 2025, inventory increased by 20.7% year-on-year to 2.26 billion yuan, leading to a net operating cash flow of -140 million yuan [3]. - The accounts receivable turnover days increased by 2 days to 44 days, indicating a slight delay in cash collection [3]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is a leader in the wool yarn market and is committed to long-term capacity building, which is expected to enhance its competitive strength in the medium to long term [4]. - The company is actively expanding its global production capacity to meet increasing customer demand [3].

证券研究报告 | 公司点评 gszqdatemark 2025 04 27 年 月 日 中国化学（601117.SH） 当前时点如何看中国化学？ 估值处于历史底部，现金流情况优异，有息债务率极低，分红具备较大提升空间。公司 当前 PB 为 0.75 倍，处于近 10 年的 6.2%分位，具备较强安全边际。公司 2024Q3 末 有息债务率仅为 6.3%（8 大建筑央企中最低），在手现金类资产 397 亿元，减去有息 债务后为 256 亿元（公司当前市值为 453 亿元），是 8 大建筑央企中唯一在手现金大于 有息负债的公司。公司自上市以来每年经营性现金流净额均为正，且近五年（2019-2023 年）经营性现金流与投资性现金流净额之和为 139 亿元（8 大建筑央企仅有中国化学与 中国中冶为正）。公司现金流及资产负债表情况实际与中钢国际、中材国际等公司特征 类似（自由现金流为正、有息债务率低、在手现金大于有息债务），相较于两家公司平 均 43%的分红率，未来公司分红率（目前 20%）具备较大潜在提升空间。 己二腈项目运行顺利，受益进口替代加速及原材料价格下行，盈利有望明显提升。公司 己二腈项目整体进展顺利，负荷 ...

宠物公司业绩表现亮眼，行业持续高景气 同时，宠物营销界发布 3 月数据：抖音作为新内容平台，销量、销售 额数据均呈现同比增长，看好头部国产品牌中长期成长空间。根据宠 物营销界数据，抖音 2025 年 3 月情况如下：销售额达到 8.18 亿，同 比+24.32%，销售量 1800.4 万，同比+34.12%；客单价下降 6.27%， 关联商品数增长 2.7%，关联品牌数增长 0.43%，关联小店数增长 29.94%，关联达人数增长 34.65%。其中销售额前五品牌情况：1）抖 音狗主粮：麦富迪、伯纳天纯、明亮与狗、比乐、鲜粮说，2）抖音猫 主粮：麦富迪、弗列加特、卫仕、喵梵思、蓝氏。淘宝 2025 年 3 月情 况如下：1）淘宝猫主粮：销量环比上升了29.30%，同比下降了21.25%； 销售额环比上升了 35.34%，同比下降了 21.37%。2）淘宝狗主粮：销 量环比上升 33.78%，同比下降了 17.79%；销售额环比上升 36.26%， 同比下降 12.56%，抖音新内容平台增长较好。 证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 04 27 年 月 日 生猪养殖：本周全国瘦肉型肉 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance [4][7]. Core Views - The company reported stable revenue in Q1 2025, with total revenue at 1.1 billion and a year-on-year net profit increase of 5% [1]. - The company is focusing on long-term asset construction and is expected to maintain steady performance in 2025, with projected net profits of 433 million, 487 million, and 555 million for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4][6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company's revenue remained flat year-on-year at 1.1 billion, while net profit increased by 5% to 100 million. The gross margin improved by 0.9 percentage points to 20.8% [1]. - The company’s operating cash flow was negative at -140 million in Q1 2025, primarily due to inventory buildup [3]. Business Segments - The company’s wool yarn sales are estimated to be flat year-on-year, while cashmere yarn sales are expected to grow by 15% to 20% due to increased production capacity [2]. - The company is expanding its production capacity, with plans for significant increases in output for various yarn types in 2024 and 2025 [3]. Capacity Expansion - The company is actively pursuing capacity expansion, with several projects underway, including a 60,000 spindle high-end yarn project and a 50,000 spindle project in Vietnam [3]. - Inventory levels increased by 20.7% year-on-year to 2.26 billion, leading to a longer inventory turnover period of 218.8 days [3]. Market Outlook - The company is expected to see stable growth in revenue and net profit for the year, despite a decline in wool orders and a cautious approach to domestic orders [4]. - The company is positioned as a leader in the wool yarn market, with a focus on long-term capacity building and innovation in product offerings [4].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [5] Core Views - The company reported Q1 2025 results that exceeded expectations, with a revenue of 9.149 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.24%, and a net profit of 657 million yuan, up 32.00% year-on-year. The net profit margin reached 7.03%, close to the previous cycle's high point [1] - The company maintains a strong market position in the loader segment and has significantly outpaced industry growth in the excavator business, with a sales growth rate 27 percentage points higher than the industry average [2] - The company is actively expanding its overseas market presence, with notable growth in regions such as Africa, South Asia, and the Middle East, contributing to a diversified market structure [2] Financial Performance Summary - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 2.1 billion, 2.8 billion, and 3.7 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 9.7, 7.3, and 5.5 [3] - The projected revenue growth rates for the years 2025 to 2027 are 17.1%, 14.7%, and 12.2%, respectively, indicating a robust growth trajectory [10] - The company's return on equity (ROE) is expected to improve from 10.8% in 2025 to 14.7% in 2027, reflecting enhanced profitability [10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Accumulate" for the company [6]. Core Views - The company has shown steady growth in its main business, with its core audiovisual platform continuing to strengthen [1]. - The IPTV basic business has seen robust growth, with effective user numbers steadily increasing [2]. - The content copyright business is integrating industry resources to build a closed-loop value chain, despite a slight decline in revenue [3]. - The company is expected to achieve revenue growth in the coming years, with projected revenues of 16.7 billion, 18.0 billion, and 19.5 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [3]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 1.579 billion (YoY +3.63%) and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 658 million (YoY -7.04%) [1]. - For Q1 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 407 million (YoY +1.48%) and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 161 million (YoY +8.69%) [1]. - The gross margin for 2024 and Q1 2025 was 50.20% and 48.94% respectively [1]. - The company’s IPTV basic business revenue reached 834 million in 2024 (YoY +3.13%), with effective users reaching 20.57 million (YoY +5.43%) [2]. - The internet audiovisual business generated revenue of 633 million in 2024 (YoY +4.49%) [2]. - The content copyright business revenue declined to 84 million in 2024 (YoY -5.67%) [3]. Future Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 701 million, 771 million, and 851 million for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [3]. - The current market capitalization corresponds to a PE ratio of 13, 12, and 11 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance in the coming months [5]. Core Views - The company achieved total revenue of 8.2 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 6%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 670 million yuan, up 18.5% year-on-year [1]. - The growth in 2024 is primarily driven by the domestic automotive electronics and 5G Fixed Wireless Access (FWA) business, which is expected to continue benefiting from the acceleration of 5G technology [1][2]. - The company has invested significantly in research and development, with 720 million yuan allocated in 2024, representing 9% of its revenue, and has established a robotics product line to capitalize on opportunities in the robotics sector [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a total revenue of 8.2 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 6.1% [4]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 was 670 million yuan, reflecting an 18.5% increase compared to the previous year [4]. - The projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 8.5 billion yuan, 10.0 billion yuan, and 11.2 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 630 million yuan, 770 million yuan, and 870 million yuan [3][4]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is positioned as a leading player in the module industry, with a comprehensive layout across various downstream sectors, which is expected to yield benefits as 5G technology proliferates [1][2]. - The establishment of a robotics product line in 2023 aims to leverage the growing demand in the robotics industry, with the launch of an automatic lawn mowing robot solution in June 2024 [2]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to see revenue growth driven by the AIoT market and robotics applications, with anticipated revenues of 8.5 billion yuan in 2025 and a net profit of 630 million yuan [3]. - The report suggests that the company’s strong management efficiency and market leadership will contribute to gradual improvement in its operational performance [3].

证券研究报告 | 行业研究简报 gszqdatemark 2025 04 27 年 月 日 煤炭开采 俄煤：25Q1 海运出口同比-2.9%，库兹巴斯煤企亏损面至 57% 本周全球能源价格回顾。截至 2025 年 4 月 25 日，原油价格方面，布伦 特原油期货结算价为 66.87 美元/桶，较上周下跌 1.09 美元/桶（-1.60%）； WTI 原油期货结算价为 63.02 美元/桶，较上周下跌 1.66 美元/桶（- 2.57%）。天然气价格方面，东北亚 LNG 现货到岸价为 10.98 美元/百万 英热，较上周下跌 0.91 美元/百万英热（-7.7%）；荷兰 TTF 天然气期货 结算价 32.32 欧元/兆瓦时，较上周下跌 3.26 欧元/兆瓦时（-9.2%）；美 国 HH 天然气期货结算价为 2.94 美元/百万英热，较上周下跌 0.31 美元/ 百万英热（-9.5%）。煤炭价格方面，欧洲 ARA 港口煤炭（6000K）到岸 价 92.3 美元/吨，较上周下跌 7.6 美元/吨（-7.6%）；纽卡斯尔港口煤炭 （6000K）FOB 价 93.8 美元/吨，较上周下跌 1.3/吨（-1.4%）；IP ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Changsha Bank is "Buy" [5] Core Views - In 2024, Changsha Bank achieved a revenue of 25.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.57%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 7.8 billion yuan, up 4.87% year-on-year. For Q1 2025, the bank reported a revenue of 6.8 billion yuan, a 3.78% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 2.2 billion yuan, up 3.81% year-on-year [1][2] - The bank's non-performing loan ratio at the end of Q1 2025 was 1.18%, with a provision coverage ratio of 309.82%, showing slight improvements in asset quality [1][4] - The bank's dividend payout ratio for 2024 reached 22.49%, an increase from 21.39% in 2023, with a cash dividend of 4.20 yuan per 10 shares [1] Performance Summary - Revenue and net profit growth rates for Q1 2025 were 3.78% and 3.81%, respectively, reflecting a slight decline compared to 2024 [2] - Net interest income increased by 1.81% year-on-year, while the net interest margin for 2024 was 2.11%, showing a decrease of 20 basis points compared to 2023 [2] - Fee and commission income saw a significant increase of 53.08% year-on-year, attributed to a low base effect from the previous year [3] Asset Quality - The non-performing loan ratio for Q1 2025 was 1.18%, with a slight increase from the previous quarter, primarily due to fluctuations in retail loan asset quality [4] - The provision coverage ratio decreased by 3 percentage points to 309.82% [4] Asset and Liability Management - As of Q1 2025, total assets and loans amounted to 1.21 trillion yuan and 587.9 billion yuan, respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 14.13% and 12.56% [9] - Total deposits reached 750.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.98% [9] Investment Outlook - Changsha Bank, as the largest city commercial bank in Hunan Province, is expected to continue benefiting from local economic growth, with projected net profits of 8.216 billion yuan, 8.695 billion yuan, and 9.460 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [9]