证 券 研 究 报 告 恒铭达（002947）2025 年一季报点评 强推（维持） 大客户模切&华阳通双轮驱动，25Q1 业绩符 合预期 事项： 2025 年 4 月 27 日公司发布 2025Q1 业绩报告：25Q1 年实现营收 6.49 亿元 （YOY + 52.59%），归母净利润 1.08 亿元（YOY+ 53.69%），扣非净利润 1.03 亿元（YOY+ 49.23%），毛利率 30.12%（YOY +1.67pct）。 评论： [ReportFinancialIndex] 主要财务指标 | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万) | 2,486 | 4,130 | 5,605 | 7,152 | | 同比增速(%) | 36.7% | 66.1% | 35.7% | 27.6% | | 归母净利润(百万) | 457 | 700 | 938 | 1,223 | | 同比增速(%) | 62.4% | 53.2% | 34.1% | 30.3% | | 每股盈利(元) | 1.78 ...

公司研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 宝立食品（603170）2024 年报及 2025 年一季报点评 强推（维持） 营收增长稳健，静待盈利弹性 目标价：18.2 元 事项： ❖ 公司发布 2024 年年报及 2025 年一季报，2024 年实现营业收入 26.51 亿元，同 比增长 11.91%；归母净利润 2.33 亿元，同比-22.52%；2025 年 Q1 实现营业收 入 6.69 亿元，同比增长 7.18%；归母净利润 0.58 亿元，同比-4.19%。 评论： [ReportFinancialIndex] 主要财务指标 联系人：严文炀 | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万) | 2,651 | 2,943 | 3,307 | 3,728 | | 同比增速(%) | 11.9% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 12.7% | | 归母净利润(百万) | 233 | 279 | 327 | 387 | | 同比增速(%) | -22.5% | 19.7% | 17.3% | 18.1 ...

事项： 评论： [ReportFinancialIndex] 主要财务指标 | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万) | 777,102 | 1,093,172 | 1,314,867 | 1,527,268 | | 同比增速(%) | 29.0% | 40.7% | 20.3% | 16.2% | | 归母净利润(百万) | 40,254 | 57,985 | 70,375 | 81,390 | | 同比增速(%) | 34.0% | 44.0% | 21.4% | 15.7% | | 每股盈利(元) | 13.25 | 19.08 | 23.16 | 26.78 | | 市盈率(倍) | 28 | 19 | 16 | 14 | | 市净率(倍) | 6.1 | 4.2 | 3.5 | 2.9 | 证 券 研 究 报 告 资料来源：公司公告，华创证券预测 注：股价为 2025 年 4 月 25 比亚迪（002594）2025 年一季报点评 强推（维持） 业绩符合预期，关注智能化及海外进展 目 ...

泸州老窖（000568）2024 年报及 2025 年一季报点评 强推（维持） 公司研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 公司发布 2024 年报及 2025 年一季报，24 年实现营收 312.0 亿元，同增 3.2%, 归母净利润 134.7 亿元，同增 1.7%。其中单 Q4 收入 68.9 亿元，同减 16.9%， 归母净利润 18.8 亿元，同减 29.9%。25Q1 实现营收 93.5 亿元，同增 1.8%， 归母净利润 45.9 亿元，同增 0.4%。25Q1 销售回款 98.7 亿元，同减 7.3%，经 营性现金流净额 33.1 亿元，同减 24.1%。Q1 末合同负债 30.7 亿元。 评论： [ReportFinancialIndex] 主要财务指标 | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万) | 31,196 | 31,932 | 34,059 | 36,594 | | 同比增速(%) | 3.2% | 2.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | | 归母净利润(百万) | 13,4 ...

证 券 研 究 报 告 汤臣倍健（300146）2025 年一季报点评 中性（维持） 收入承压延续，净利率降幅收窄 目标价：13.5 元 事项： [ReportFinancialIndex] 主要财务指标 | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万) | 6,838 | 7,172 | 7,569 | 7,917 | | 同比增速(%) | -27.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | | 归母净利润(百万) | 653 | 866 | 1,018 | 1,137 | | 同比增速(%) | -62.6% | 32.7% | 17.6% | 11.6% | | 每股盈利(元) | 0.38 | 0.51 | 0.60 | 0.67 | | 市盈率(倍) | 28 | 21 | 18 | 16 | | 市净率(倍) | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 资料来源：公司公告，华创证券预测 注：股价为 2025 年 4 月 25 日收盘价 公司研究 其他食品 2025 年 0 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, expecting it to outperform the benchmark index by over 20% in the next six months [4][23]. Core Views - The company achieved record high performance in 2024, with a revenue of 3.263 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 49.94%, and a net profit of 460 million yuan, up 272.47% year-on-year [7][8]. - The company is positioned as a leader in the domestic smart audio SoC sector, with a diversified revenue structure and a strong focus on R&D in AI and wearable technology [7][8]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported a total revenue of 3.263 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 49.94%, and a net profit of 460 million yuan, reflecting a significant increase of 272.47% [7][8]. - For Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 999.5 million yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 52.25% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 25.88% [7]. - The gross margin for Q1 2025 reached 38.47%, with net profit margins of 14.11% for 2024 and 19.16% for Q1 2025, indicating improved profitability [7][8]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company forecasts revenues of 4.920 billion yuan, 6.315 billion yuan, and 7.557 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 923 million yuan, 1.304 billion yuan, and 1.660 billion yuan [8][9]. - The expected EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 7.69 yuan, 10.86 yuan, and 13.83 yuan respectively [8][9]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is focusing on enhancing its R&D capabilities, particularly in Wi-Fi, NPU, and ISP technologies, to maintain its competitive edge in the smart wearable and smart home markets [7]. - The report highlights the growing trend of edge AI, with the company launching new products like the MYVU AR smart glasses and Ola Friend AI earphones, which are expected to drive future growth [7][8].

东亚机械（301028）2024 年报以及 2025 年一季报点评 强推（维持） 盈利能力保持优异，国产替代及品类拓展持 续推进 事项： 公司发布 2024 年报以及 2025 年一季报业绩。公司 2024 年实现收入 11.40 亿 元，同比+18.9%，实现归母净利润 2.17 亿元，同比+33.23%。25 年 Q1 公司实 现收入 3.01 亿元，同比+6.53%，实现归母净利润 0.56 亿元，同比增长 9.78%。 评论： 公司研究 其他专用机械 2025 年 04 月 28 日 目标价：15.47 元 当前价：11.63 元 华创证券研究所 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师：范益民 电话：021-20572562 邮箱：fanyimin@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360523020001 证券分析师：丁祎 邮箱：dingyi@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360523030001 公司基本数据 | 总股本(万股) | 38,177.41 | | --- | --- | | 已上市流通股(万股) | 24,618.39 | | 总市值(亿元) | 44.40 | | 流通市值(亿元) ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 100.64 CNY per share, compared to the current price of 83.65 CNY [3]. Core Views - The company is experiencing steady growth in the smartphone market, with a focus on high-end products and expansion into emerging markets. The overall revenue for 2024 is projected to be 687.15 billion CNY, representing a year-over-year increase of 10.31% [3][7]. - The company aims to diversify its business by expanding into digital accessories and home appliances, leveraging its established presence in emerging markets [3]. - The TECNO AI ecosystem is being developed to enhance user experience through advanced technology, including AI-driven features in imaging and charging [3]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a total revenue of 687.15 billion CNY, with a net profit of 55.49 billion CNY, reflecting a slight increase of 0.21% year-over-year [3][7]. - The smartphone business generated 631.97 billion CNY in revenue, marking a 10.20% increase, with a total shipment of approximately 201 million units [3]. - The company holds a 14.0% share of the global smartphone market, ranking third among manufacturers, and leads the African smartphone market with over 40% share [3]. Future Projections - The report forecasts net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 63.74 billion CNY, 73.97 billion CNY, and 84.69 billion CNY respectively, indicating a positive growth outlook [3][7]. - Revenue growth is expected to continue, with projected increases of 13.5% in 2025 and 12.7% in 2026 [7].

同比-22% 公司公告 2024 年报及 2025 一季报： 公司研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 韵达股份（002120）2024 年报及 2025 年一季报点评 推荐（维持） 2024 年盈利 19.1 亿，同比+18%；Q1 盈利 3.2 亿， 3）单票毛利：24 年单票毛利 0.19 元，同比-4.3%（-0.01 元）；其中单票面单 毛利 0.07 元，同比-0.07 元，单票中转毛利-0.04 元，同比-0.08 元。 4）单票利润：24 年单票净利 0.08 元，同比-6.6%(-0.006 元），25Q1 单票净利 0.053 元，同比-36.6%(-0.031 元）。24 年单票扣非净利 0.069 元，同比-6.3%（- 0.005 元），25Q1 单票扣非净利 0.051 元，同比-34.8%（-0.027 元）。 5）期间费用率：24 年期间费用率 4.1%，同比-1.2pct；25Q1 期间费用率 4.0%， 同比-0.7pct。 [ReportFinancialIndex] 主要财务指标 1、财务数据： 1）2024 年实现收入 485.4 亿，同比增长 7.9%。实现归母净利 19. ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for Satellite Chemical, with a target price of 25.32 CNY [2][8]. Core Views - Satellite Chemical reported a significant year-on-year revenue increase of 40.03% in Q1 2025, achieving a total revenue of 12.329 billion CNY. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 1.568 billion CNY, marking a 53.38% increase year-on-year [2][8]. - The company is expected to continue its high-quality growth, driven by the successful launch of new production lines and cost reduction initiatives [2][8]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2024A, the projected main revenue is 45.648 billion CNY, with a year-on-year growth rate of 10.0%. By 2025E, revenue is expected to rise to 50.435 billion CNY, reflecting a growth rate of 10.5% [4]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 6.072 billion CNY in 2024A, increasing to 7.096 billion CNY in 2025E, which corresponds to a growth rate of 16.9% [4]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to grow from 1.80 CNY in 2024A to 2.11 CNY in 2025E [4]. Market and Industry Insights - The report highlights that the company has successfully launched new products, including a 100,000-ton/year ethanolamine plant and an 800,000-ton multi-carbon alcohol project, contributing to significant revenue growth [2][8]. - The report notes that the price of ethane has shown a downward trend, which is expected to alleviate cost pressures for the company [2][8]. - The company is expanding its industrial chain, with a total investment of 26.6 billion CNY in the alpha-olefins project, which is anticipated to enhance profitability through the production of high-value-added products [2][8].