Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the light industry manufacturing sector [5] Core Insights - The personal creative tools market is rapidly growing, with a projected increase from USD 4 billion in 2022 to USD 6.8 billion in 2024, corresponding to a CAGR of 31.0%. The market is expected to reach USD 39.1 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 33.8% from 2024 to 2030 [9][12] - The market for laser tools is concentrated, with xTool being the leading player, holding approximately 37% market share in the global laser personal creative tools market as of September 2025 [23][24] - xTool, established in 2021, has developed a strong brand presence and ecosystem, focusing on hardware, software, and community engagement [27] Summary by Sections Industry Scale - The personal creative tools market is expected to grow significantly, with non-additive tools showing strong performance. The market size is projected to increase from USD 4 billion in 2022 to USD 6.8 billion in 2024, with a CAGR of 31.0% [9][12] - The market for additive tools is also expected to grow, from USD 2.3 billion in 2022 to USD 4.1 billion in 2024, with a CAGR of 32.7% [12] Industry Structure - The laser tools market is dominated by a few key players, with xTool leading the market with a 37% share. The top five brands account for 60% of the market share in laser engraving and cutting machines [23][24] - xTool's market share in the core laser engraving and cutting machine segment is approximately 47%, significantly higher than its competitors [23] Company Overview - xTool has established itself as a leader in the laser manufacturing sector, with a strong brand identity and a comprehensive product matrix that caters to various customer segments [27] - The company has seen revenue growth from CNY 1.457 billion in 2023 to CNY 2.476 billion in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 69.97% [29] - xTool's average selling price for laser tools increased from CNY 15,600 to CNY 21,100, despite a decrease in sales volume [29][36]

Group 1: Second-hand Housing Market - From January 1 to February 7, 2026, second-hand housing sales in 22 cities decreased by 19.9% year-on-year, with first-tier cities seeing a decline of 14.4%[10] - After adjusting for the lunar calendar, national and first-tier second-hand housing sales showed a year-on-year decline of -16% and -26.8%, respectively, although this is an improvement from December 2025's -27.9% and -37.4%[10] - The average price of second-hand homes in January 2026 decreased by 0.85% month-on-month, a slight improvement from December's 0.97%[14] - The total number of second-hand homes listed in January 2026 was 2.56 million, a decrease from December 2025, consistent with seasonal trends[22] Group 2: New Housing Market - New housing sales in 67 cities from January 1 to February 7, 2026, decreased by 7.2% year-on-year, with a lunar calendar-adjusted decline of -44.7%[27] - The average price of new residential properties in January 2026 was 17,000 yuan per square meter, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 0.18%[32] - The inventory of unsold residential properties stood at 400 million square meters as of December 2025, with a sales cycle extending from 5.8 months to 6.6 months due to declining sales[33] - The total inventory, including land and pre-sold properties, was 5.1 billion square meters, with the overall sales cycle increasing from 78 months to 84 months[33]

Economic Data and Events - US manufacturing and services PMI, along with consumer confidence, exceeded expectations, while employment data was significantly weaker than anticipated[2] - Eurozone's January manufacturing PMI showed a larger-than-expected rebound, but services PMI and retail sales fell short of expectations[2] - Japan's January manufacturing and services PMI both improved[2] Economic Activity Index - The US WEI index stood at 2.13% for the week ending January 31, with a four-week moving average of 2.32%[4] - Germany's WAI index returned to positive territory at 0.1%, with a four-week moving average of 0%[4] Demand Indicators - US Redbook commercial retail year-on-year growth was 6.7%, with a four-week moving average of 6.25%[5] - The 30-year mortgage rate in the US stabilized at 6.11%, with mortgage applications declining by 8.9% week-on-week[5] Employment Data - Initial jobless claims rose to 231,000, up from 209,000 the previous week[6] - The INDEED job vacancy index was 103.9, slightly down by 0.5% from the previous week[7] Price Trends - The RJ/CRB commodity price index decreased by 3.3% week-on-week, while US gasoline prices remained stable at $2.75 per gallon[8] Financial Conditions - The Bloomberg Financial Conditions Index for the US was 0.755, recovering from 0.539 the previous day[9] - The Eurozone's Financial Conditions Index increased to 1.714 from 1.533 the previous week[9] Fiscal Data - As of February 5, US federal spending was approximately $784.5 billion, with a year-on-year growth rate of 3.8%[10]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the company Core Insights - The company reported a consolidated revenue of NT$177.91 billion for Q4 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 9.6% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 5.5% [1][2] - The gross margin for Q4 2025 was 19.5%, up 3.1 percentage points year-over-year and 2.4 percentage points quarter-over-quarter, driven by high capacity utilization in the ATM factories, product mix optimization, and favorable currency effects [2][9] - The company achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of NT$14.71 billion in Q4 2025, reflecting a 58% increase year-over-year [10] Financial Performance Overview Q4 2025 Performance - Revenue reached NT$1779.15 billion, with a gross margin of 19.5% [1][2] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was NT$14.71 billion, with a basic earnings per share of NT$3.37 [10][11] Full Year 2025 Performance - Total revenue for 2025 was NT$6453.88 billion, a year-over-year increase of 8.4% [3][11] - The gross margin for the year was 17.7%, with a net profit of NT$40.66 billion, up 25% year-over-year [3][11] Business Segment Revenue Summary Semiconductor Packaging Division (ATM) - Q4 2025 revenue was NT$1097.07 billion, a year-over-year increase of 24.2% [13][18] - The gross margin for this segment was 26.3%, benefiting from strong demand for advanced packaging and testing solutions [13][14] Electronic Manufacturing Services (EMS) - Q4 2025 revenue was NT$689.91 billion, down 7.9% year-over-year [20][24] - The gross margin was 9.0%, with a focus on transitioning towards AI and related applications [20][24] Performance Guidance Q1 2026 Guidance - The company expects a mild revenue decline of 5%-7% quarter-over-quarter due to seasonal factors [4][25] - The gross margin is anticipated to decrease by 0.5-1 percentage points [4][25] Full Year 2026 Guidance - The company forecasts continued revenue growth, with ATM revenue expected to outperform the logic semiconductor market [4][26] Market Outlook and Strategic Layout - The industry is in a long-term upward cycle driven by AI, with growth extending to edge devices [5][30] - Capital expenditures for 2026 are projected to approach US$4.9 billion, with significant investments in advanced capacity [5][30] - The company is expanding its operations in Penang, Malaysia, to meet global manufacturing demands [5][31]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a positive investment rating to Amazon, indicating strong growth potential in the upcoming quarters [2][3]. Core Insights - Amazon's FY2025Q4 revenue reached $213.4 billion, a 12% year-over-year increase, with operating profit at $25 billion. The company reported a free cash flow of $11.2 billion over the past 12 months, and operating cash flow for the year increased to $139.5 billion, reflecting a 20% growth [3][8]. - The North America segment generated $127.1 billion in revenue, up 10% year-over-year, while the AWS segment saw a revenue increase of 24%, reaching $35.6 billion, marking the fastest growth in 13 quarters [4][11]. - Strategic focuses include advancements in artificial intelligence with proprietary chips, and the successful launch of the Amazon Leo satellite internet service, which aims to enhance connectivity and service offerings [5][10]. Revenue Breakdown - **North America Segment**: Revenue of $127.1 billion, operating profit of $11.5 billion, and a profit margin of 9%. The growth was driven by an increase in essential goods demand and improved delivery efficiency [4][9]. - **International Segment**: Revenue of $50.7 billion, with an operating profit of $1 billion and a profit margin of 2.1%. The company implemented competitive pricing strategies and expanded its physical store investments [4][10]. - **AWS Segment**: Revenue of $35.6 billion, with an operating profit of $12.5 billion and a profit margin of 35%. The growth was attributed to cloud migration and increased demand for AI services [4][11]. - **Advertising and Other Segments**: Revenue reached $21.3 billion, a 22% increase year-over-year, driven by the growth of AI shopping assistant Rufus and record viewership for live events [4][12]. Performance Guidance - For FY2026Q1, Amazon expects revenue between $173.5 billion and $178.5 billion, with operating profit projected between $16.5 billion and $21.5 billion. The company anticipates a favorable impact from currency exchange rates [4][13].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a strong buy rating for Alphabet, anticipating a performance exceeding the benchmark index by over 20% in the next six months [47]. Core Insights - Alphabet's FY2025Q4 performance was impressive, with total revenue reaching $113.8 billion, a year-over-year increase of 18% (17% at constant currency), and an annual revenue of $402.8 billion, up 15% [3][8]. - The operating profit margin for FY2025Q4 was 31.6%, with operating profit at $35.9 billion and net profit at $34.5 billion, reflecting a 30% year-over-year increase [3][8]. - The company expects FY2026Q1 consolidated revenue to benefit from currency fluctuations, with projected capital expenditures between $175 billion and $185 billion, primarily directed towards AI computing, data centers, hardware, and renewable energy [12]. Revenue Breakdown Google Services - Revenue from Google Services reached $95.9 billion, a 14% year-over-year increase, accounting for over 84% of total revenue [4][9]. - Key contributors included search and other advertising ($63.1 billion, +17% YoY), YouTube advertising ($11.4 billion, +9% YoY), and subscription/platform and device revenue ($13.6 billion, +17% YoY) [9]. - The operating profit for this segment grew by 22% to $40.1 billion, with a profit margin of 41.9% [9]. Google Cloud - Google Cloud revenue was $17.7 billion, a significant 48% year-over-year increase, with an annualized revenue exceeding $70 billion [10]. - The growth was driven by accelerated new customer acquisition, large order increases, and strong demand for enterprise AI products, with nearly 75% of customers utilizing vertically optimized AI [10]. - Operating profit for Google Cloud doubled to $5.3 billion, with a profit margin of 30.1% [10]. Other Businesses - Other businesses generated $370 million in revenue but incurred an operating loss of $3.6 billion, primarily due to a $2.1 billion stock option compensation expense related to Waymo [11]. - Waymo completed its largest financing round, raising $16 billion, with significant advancements in autonomous driving services [11]. Strategic Focus - AI is positioned as the core growth engine, with infrastructure integration of NVIDIA GPUs and proprietary seventh-generation TPUs [5]. - The company is enhancing its enterprise AI services, deepening partnerships with leading SaaS companies like Salesforce and Shopify [5].

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, Naconor, for the first time [1]. Core Insights - Naconor is a leading manufacturer of battery electrode rolling equipment, benefiting from the growth of solid-state batteries. The company is expected to see significant revenue growth in the coming years, particularly from its advancements in dry electrode technology [6][9]. - The company has established a strong position in the lithium battery equipment market, with a focus on rolling technology and a diverse application range, which enhances its business resilience [12][19]. - The solid-state battery trend is clear, with the industry expected to recover, leading to increased demand for lithium battery equipment [49]. Financial Summary - Total revenue projections for Naconor are as follows: 1,054 million in 2024, 938 million in 2025, 1,319 million in 2026, and 1,790 million in 2027, with a notable increase in growth rates from 2026 onwards [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 162 million in 2024, 62 million in 2025, 212 million in 2026, and 285 million in 2027, indicating a significant recovery in profitability by 2026 [2]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 1.03 in 2024, 0.40 in 2025, 1.35 in 2026, and 1.82 in 2027, reflecting the company's growth trajectory [2]. Company Overview - Naconor was established in 2000 and has become a leading manufacturer of battery electrode rolling machines, with a strong customer base including major players like CATL and BYD [6][12]. - The company has a clear and stable shareholding structure, with experienced management, which contributes to its operational stability [14][18]. - Naconor's core business focuses on rolling technology, with applications extending to various new energy battery technologies, enhancing its market position [19]. Market Trends - The solid-state battery market is expected to grow significantly, with projections indicating a global shipment of 614.1 GWh by 2030, representing a 10% market penetration [50]. - The demand for high-precision continuous processing equipment is anticipated to increase as the solid-state battery industry matures, creating structural opportunities for equipment manufacturers like Naconor [49][50].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the insurance sector, expecting the industry index to outperform the benchmark index by over 5% in the next 3-6 months [19]. Core Insights - The insurance index decreased by 0.73% this week, outperforming the broader market by 0.6 percentage points. Individual stock performances varied, with Ping An increasing by 0.22% and China Life decreasing by 4.53% [1]. - The report highlights that the long-end interest rates remain stable, and the equity market is active, suggesting potential for significant growth in the investment sector in the first half of the year. The insurance sector is expected to achieve high double-digit growth in new policies this year [3][4]. - The report indicates that the new business value for the insurance industry is projected to maintain a double-digit growth trend, primarily driven by the transformation of dividend insurance [3]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The insurance index's performance this week was a decline of 0.73%, with Ping An showing a slight increase of 0.22% while other companies like China Life and Zhong An experienced declines of 4.53% and 7.09%, respectively [1]. Regulatory Updates - The Financial Regulatory Bureau has revised the "Bank and Insurance Institution License Management Measures," effective June 1, 2026, which will apply to insurance institutions [2]. Premium and Claims Data - In 2025, the total premium for the auto insurance sector is expected to reach approximately 996.37 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 2.99%. Claims settled are projected to be around 622.46 billion yuan, with a growth of 4.06% [2]. Company Actions - Ping An increased its stake in China Life H shares by 10.12%, acquiring 10.89 million shares at a price of 33.2588 HKD per share, totaling approximately 362 million HKD [2]. Valuation Metrics - The report provides PEV valuations for various insurance companies, indicating that China Life has a PEV of 0.91x, while Ping An stands at 0.81x. The report suggests that PEV valuations are expected to recover towards 1x [3][4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the low-altitude economy sector, indicating an expected increase in the industry index exceeding the benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 3-6 months [6][42]. Core Insights - The recent issuance of the "Low Altitude Economy Standard System Construction Guide (2025 Edition)" by ten government departments marks a significant step towards the practical implementation of low-altitude economic development, with a goal to establish a basic standard system by 2027 [6][10]. - The launch of the V5000 Tianjilong, the world's first 5-ton eVTOL by Fengfei Aviation, showcases China's leading position in the eVTOL sector, with significant implications for air logistics and passenger transport [3][12]. - The Huachuang Transportation Low Altitude 60 Index experienced a weekly decline of 1.6% but has shown an overall increase of 1% for the year, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index, which increased by 0.3% [16][17]. Summary by Sections Low Altitude Economy Development - The guide emphasizes safety, innovation, industry collaboration, and international alignment, focusing on five core areas: low-altitude aircraft, infrastructure, air traffic management, safety regulation, and application scenarios [7][10]. - The establishment of a comprehensive standard system is expected to accelerate the development of the low-altitude industry and provide clear guidance for local governments and industry participants [10]. eVTOL Product Launch - Fengfei Aviation's V5000 Tianjilong features a maximum range of 250 km for the electric version and up to 1500 km for the hybrid version, with capabilities for both passenger and cargo transport [12][13]. - The successful launch of this product is anticipated to enhance the accessibility of air logistics and reduce costs significantly [12][13]. Market Performance - The Huachuang Transportation Low Altitude 60 Index's performance reflects a 1% increase year-to-date, with notable individual stock performances, including significant gains from companies like Fulin Transportation and Xianheng International [16][18]. - The report highlights key companies across various segments of the low-altitude economy, suggesting a focus on manufacturers, supply chains, and operational entities to explore commercial opportunities [24][25].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating The provided content does not mention the industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The stock - bond seesaw effect has generally strengthened since 2025, but there are periods of weakening. The restoration of the stock - bond seesaw effect requires the continuous strengthening of the pricing factors of stocks or bonds. The market trends of the stock and bond markets have their own dominant factors, and the stock - bond seesaw is not the only pricing factor for bonds [3][43][46]. - The bond market strategy is to hold bonds during the holiday and appropriately increase the account's income elasticity. The report is optimistic about the future market and suggests starting to prepare for the whole - year trading market, shifting from a configuration - oriented to a trading - oriented approach [48][52]. - In the first week of February, the bond market strengthened with oscillations due to the weakening of the equity market and the central bank's support. The 30 - 10y spread of treasury bonds has compression potential, and there are opportunities in long - term credit bonds [7][72][77]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Stock - Bond Seesaw "Failure" Re - discussion - **Overall Strengthening of the Stock - Bond Seesaw Effect in 2025**: The strengthening is mainly due to the significant boost in market risk appetite by the strong performance of the equity market and the significant widening of the stock - bond price ratio. For example, from September 2024 to October 2025, the share of open - ended bond funds decreased by 3.18%, while that of open - ended stock funds increased by 22.92%. As of February 2026, the margin trading balance in the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets reached 2.67 trillion yuan [10][14][15]. - **Weakening of the Stock - Bond Seesaw Effect in Some Windows**: There are two situations: stock - bond co - rising and stock - bond co - falling. Stock - bond co - rising occurs when the bond market has clear bullish factors (mostly related to easing expectations), and the yield is in a downward channel. Stock - bond co - falling is mostly related to the redemption of "fixed - income +" products. For example, in November 2025 and February 2026, the redemption of "fixed - income +" products led to an increase in bond yields [22][32]. - **End of the Stock - Bond Seesaw "Failure"**: The restoration of the stock - bond seesaw effect is driven by different factors, such as the "anti - involution" logic in July 2025 leading to the bond market following the adjustment, and the early "spring rally" in the equity market and the cooling of the bond market's easing expectations in late December 2025 - early January 2026 [41]. - **Summary**: The "failure" of the stock - bond seesaw is more common after the bond market's cost - performance returns. To restore the seesaw effect, the pricing factors of stocks or bonds need to be continuously strengthened. The subsequent trend of the "failure" during the "fixed - income +" redemption stage after the stock market decline needs to be observed [43][46]. 3.2 Bond Market Strategy - **Under - expected Bond Market Gains after the Decline in Risk Appetite**: The bond market gains were under - expected due to the redemption of "fixed - income +" funds and the lack of a clear trading theme in the short - term bond market [48]. - **Optimistic Outlook for the Future Market**: The central bank's pre - holiday capital injection is relatively active, and the capital fluctuation pressure is controllable. However, the institutions' cross - holiday capital arrangements are relatively late, and short - term frictions in the last week need attention. The power of allocation - type funds is relatively strong, and the pricing influence of the equity market on bonds is weakened. The bond market yield is still in the cost - performance range [52][61][66]. - **Operation Suggestions**: Continue to layout convex - type varieties, conduct spread mining according to the convex points. Focus on 5y China Development Bank bonds in the short - term, 8y Export - Import Bank of China bonds and 10y local government bonds in the medium - term. Insurance funds can configure long - term local government bonds at high yield fluctuations. It is recommended to hold bonds during the holiday and appropriately increase the account's elasticity, and layout long - term offensive varieties with good liquidity [69][72]. 3.3 Interest - Rate Bond Market Review - **Market Performance**: In the first week of February, the equity market was weak, and the bond market strengthened with oscillations. The 10y treasury bond yield was blocked at 1.80% multiple times, and the 30y treasury bond led the rise, driving the compression of the 30 - 10y spread. The 1y treasury bond active bond yield rose 2BP to 1.3100%, the 10y treasury bond active bond yield fell 0.8BP to 1.8020%, and the 30y treasury bond yield fell 3.45BP to 2.2255% [7]. - **Funding Situation**: The central bank's net withdrawal of funds was 656 billion yuan this week, and the funding situation was generally loose. The 1y inter - bank certificate of deposit issuance price of national joint - stock banks fell to 1.58%, and the weighted price of DR007 fell to 1.4613% [8]. - **Primary Issuance**: The net financing of policy - financial bonds decreased, while the net financing of treasury bonds, local government bonds, and inter - bank certificates of deposit increased [92]. - **Benchmark Changes**: The term spreads of treasury bonds and China Development Bank bonds both narrowed. The short - end yields of treasury bonds rose 2.08BP, and the long - end yields fell 0.1BP. The short - end yields of China Development Bank bonds fell 1.32BP, and the long - end yields fell 2.2BP [89].