——飞龙股份(002536)年报点评 分析师：龙羽洁 登记编码：S0730523120001 longyj@ccnew.com 0371-65585753 收入业绩创新高，新能源与国际化打开增 长空间 汽车零部件Ⅱ 联系人：李智 | | | | | | 证券研究报告-年报点评 买入(首次) 相关报告 个股相对沪深 300 指数表现 -32% -19% -7% 6% 19% 31% 44% 57% 2024.04 2024.08 2024.11 2025.03 飞龙股份 沪深300 资料来源：中原证券研究所，聚源 市场数据(2025-04-01) | 收盘价(元) | 14.70 | | --- | --- | | 一年内最高/最低(元) | 18.47/8.07 | | 沪深 300 指数 | 3,887.68 | | 市净率(倍) | 2.53 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 78.87 | | 基础数据(2024-12-31) | | | 每股净资产(元) | 5.80 | | 每股经营现金流(元) | 0.66 | | 毛利率(%) | 21.54 | | 净资产收益率_摊薄(%) | 9.88 | | ...

其他化学制品Ⅱ 分析师：牟国洪 登记编码：S0730513030002 证券研究报告-年报点评 增持(维持) 市场数据(2025-04-01) | 收盘价(元) | 40.85 | | --- | --- | | 一年内最高/最低(元) | 54.10/27.15 | | 沪深 300 指数 | 3,887.68 | | 市净率(倍) | 1.57 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 206.36 | | 基础数据(2024-12-31) | | | 每股净资产(元) | 26.00 | | 每股经营现金流(元) | 3.15 | | 毛利率(%) | 12.38 | | 净资产收益率_摊薄(%) | 3.58 | | 资产负债率(%) | 20.03 | | 总股本/流通股(万股) | 50,650.08/50,516.07 | | B 股/H 股(万股) | 0.00/0.00 | 个股相对沪深 300 指数表现 -36% -27% -18% -9% 1% 10% 19% 28% 2024.04 2024.08 2024.11 2025.03 当升科技 沪深300 资料来源：中原证券研究所 地址： 上海浦东新区 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China Telecom, indicating an expected increase of over 15% relative to the CSI 300 index in the next six months [10][18]. Core Insights - China Telecom's revenue for 2024 reached 523.57 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.1%, with a net profit of 33.01 billion yuan, up 8.4% year-on-year [5]. - The company is experiencing steady growth in its core business and digital services, with a significant focus on enhancing its cloud services through the Tianyi Cloud platform [10]. - The company plans to distribute a total dividend of 0.2598 yuan per share for 2024, representing 72% of its net profit attributable to shareholders, with an aim to increase this to over 75% in the next three years [10]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, China Telecom achieved a revenue of 131.60 billion yuan, reflecting a 3.84% year-on-year growth, and a net profit of 3.71 billion yuan, which is an 11.01% increase year-on-year [5]. - The mobile communication service revenue for 2024 was 202.5 billion yuan, up 3.5% year-on-year, with mobile value-added services growing by 16.1% [8]. Business Segments - The digital services segment generated 146.6 billion yuan in revenue, a 5.5% increase, with Tianyi Cloud revenue reaching 113.9 billion yuan, up 17.1% [8]. - The company is enhancing its AI capabilities and has launched various innovative products, including AI cameras and cloud computers, to maintain a competitive edge [8]. Cost Management and Capital Expenditure - Operating costs for 2024 were 373.5 billion yuan, a 3.3% increase, with a focus on improving service quality and investing in strategic emerging businesses [10]. - Capital expenditure for 2024 was 93.5 billion yuan, down 5.4% year-on-year, with a projected decrease to 83.6 billion yuan in 2025 [10][9]. Future Projections - The report forecasts net profits of 35.62 billion yuan, 38.19 billion yuan, and 40.80 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 20.06X, 18.71X, and 17.52X [10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company, indicating a projected increase of 5% to 15% relative to the CSI 300 index over the next six months [27]. Core Insights - The company achieved total revenue of 8.034 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 15.93%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 375 million yuan, down 2.36% year-on-year. However, the net profit excluding non-recurring items increased by 34.41% to 398 million yuan [6][7]. - The decline in revenue is primarily attributed to intensified market competition in wind power and coal equipment, with the new energy equipment segment experiencing a significant drop of 78.74% [8][10]. - The company has successfully expanded its overseas market presence, with overseas orders increasing by over 80%, marking a historical high in both total volume and proportion [12]. - The company is a leader in the special robot sector, focusing on applications in safety, emergency response, and mining, thereby cultivating a second growth curve [13]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported a gross margin of 22.68%, an increase of 2.95 percentage points year-on-year, and a net margin of 4.42%, up 0.3 percentage points year-on-year [9][11]. - The revenue breakdown shows that the mining and heavy equipment segment accounted for 69.48% of total revenue, with a year-on-year decline of 8.51% [10]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.286 yuan per share (including tax) to all shareholders [6]. Business Segment Analysis - The mining and heavy equipment segment generated 5.582 billion yuan, while the special materials segment brought in 1.338 billion yuan, and the robot and intelligent equipment segment contributed 904 million yuan, all showing declines [10]. - The significant drop in the new energy equipment segment's revenue reflects the challenges faced in that market [8]. Future Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025 to 2027 are projected at 9.602 billion yuan, 10.581 billion yuan, and 11.426 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 541 million yuan, 623 million yuan, and 727 million yuan [14][15].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company, indicating a projected increase of 5% to 15% relative to the CSI 300 index over the next six months [27]. Core Insights - The company achieved total revenue of 8.034 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 15.93%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 375 million yuan, down 2.36% year-on-year. However, the net profit excluding non-recurring items increased by 34.41% to 398 million yuan [6][7]. - The decline in revenue is primarily attributed to intensified market competition in wind power and coal equipment, with the revenue from new energy equipment dropping by 78.74% [8][10]. - The company has successfully expanded its overseas market, with effective orders increasing by over 80% year-on-year, marking a historical high in both total volume and proportion of overseas orders [12]. - The company is a leader in the special robot industry, focusing on applications in safety, emergency response, and mining, thereby cultivating a second growth curve [13]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported a gross margin of 22.68%, an increase of 2.95 percentage points year-on-year, and a net margin of 4.42%, up 0.3 percentage points year-on-year [9][11]. - The revenue breakdown shows that the mining and heavy equipment segment accounted for 69.48% of total revenue, with a year-on-year decline of 8.51% [10]. - The company’s earnings per share for 2024 was 0.084 yuan, with a weighted average return on equity of 4.43% [6]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company forecasts revenues of 9.602 billion yuan, 10.581 billion yuan, and 11.426 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 541 million yuan, 623 million yuan, and 727 million yuan [14][15].

其他化学制品Ⅱ 分析师：牟国洪 登记编码：S0730513030002 证券研究报告-年报点评 增持(维持) 市场数据(2025-04-01) | 收盘价(元) | 40.85 | | --- | --- | | 一年内最高/最低(元) | 54.10/27.15 | | 沪深 300 指数 | 3,887.68 | | 市净率(倍) | 1.57 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 206.36 | | 基础数据(2024-12-31) | | | 每股净资产(元) | 26.00 | | 每股经营现金流(元) | 3.15 | | 毛利率(%) | 12.38 | | 净资产收益率_摊薄(%) | 3.58 | | 资产负债率(%) | 20.03 | | 总股本/流通股(万股) | 50,650.08/50,516.07 | | B 股/H 股(万股) | 0.00/0.00 | ——当升科技(300073)年报点评 个股相对沪深 300 指数表现 -36% -27% -18% -9% 1% 10% 19% 28% 2024.04 2024.08 2024.11 2025.03 当升科技 沪深300 资料来源 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 523.57 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 3.1%, with a net profit of 33.01 billion yuan, up 8.4% year-on-year [5] - The basic business shows steady growth, with mobile communication service revenue reaching 202.5 billion yuan, a 3.5% increase year-on-year, and mobile value-added services growing by 16.1% [8] - The digital industry revenue reached 146.6 billion yuan, a 5.5% increase, with Tianyi Cloud revenue at 113.9 billion yuan, up 17.1% [8] - The company plans to distribute a final dividend of 0.0927 yuan per share, with an expected total dividend payout ratio exceeding 70% [10] - Capital expenditure is expected to decrease to 83.6 billion yuan in 2025, with a focus on increasing investment in computing power [10] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company reported a revenue of 131.6 billion yuan, a 3.84% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 3.71 billion yuan, up 11.01% [5] - The company’s operating costs were 373.5 billion yuan, a 3.3% increase, with sales expenses decreasing by 1.1% [8] Business Segments - The mobile user ARPU was 45.6 yuan, a 0.44% increase, while the broadband ARPU was 47.6 yuan [8] - The company is enhancing its product offerings with AI-enabled devices and services, maintaining a competitive edge in the market [8] Future Outlook - The company expects net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 35.62 billion yuan, 38.19 billion yuan, and 40.80 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 20.06X, 18.71X, and 17.52X [10] - The company aims to increase the proportion of cash dividends to over 75% of the annual profit within three years [10]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating to the company, indicating a potential increase in stock price relative to the CSI 300 index in the next six months [6][18]. Core Views - The company's performance has been negatively impacted by falling prices of potassium and lithium, but there are expectations for a recovery in the future [3][4]. - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for 2024, with revenue of 15.134 billion yuan, down 29.86% year-on-year, and a net profit of 4.663 billion yuan, down 41.07% year-on-year [3][6]. - The first quarter of 2025 is projected to show a positive turnaround, with expected net profit growth of 20.97% to 28.47% [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved an operating income of 15.134 billion yuan, a decrease of 29.86% year-on-year, and a net profit of 4.663 billion yuan, down 41.07% year-on-year [3][6]. - The average selling price of potassium chloride fell by 13.76% to 2506.57 yuan/ton, while sales volume decreased by 16.56% to 4.6728 million tons [3]. - The average selling price of lithium carbonate dropped by 56.26% to 74,000 yuan/ton, despite a sales volume increase of 10.51% to 41,600 tons [3]. Market Outlook - The potassium chloride market is expected to gradually recover due to stable demand and supply constraints from major producers [4][5]. - The company is positioned to benefit from a potential increase in potassium fertilizer prices as the spring farming season approaches [5]. Production Capacity and Cost Advantages - The company has a potassium chloride production capacity of 5 million tons per year, leading the domestic market with approximately 35% market share [3]. - The lithium carbonate production capacity is currently 40,000 tons per year, with plans to expand to 43,000 tons in 2025, leveraging cost advantages from its salt lake resources [6]. Earnings Forecast - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 and 2026 are projected to be 1.04 yuan and 1.18 yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 15.93 and 14.07 based on the closing price of 16.56 yuan [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" investment rating for the company, indicating a projected increase in stock price relative to the CSI 300 index in the next six months [1][11][18]. Core Views - The company reported a significant year-on-year increase in net profit for Q4, continuing its high dividend policy. Total revenue for 2024 was 595.61 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 0.55% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 49.89 billion yuan, down 1.26% year-on-year. However, the net profit after deducting non-recurring items increased by 1.71% year-on-year [5][11]. - The company’s packaging meat products segment achieved a historical high in profit per ton, with a sales revenue of 247.88 billion yuan, down 6.16% year-on-year, but operating profit increased by 6.8% [11]. - The fresh products segment showed signs of recovery, with Q4 revenue and net profit both increasing significantly, indicating a turnaround in sales performance [11]. Summary by Relevant Sections Market Data - Closing price: 26.97 yuan - Market capitalization: 934.27 billion yuan - Price-to-book ratio: 4.42 [1]. Financial Performance - 2024 total revenue: 595.61 billion yuan, down 0.55% year-on-year - 2024 net profit: 49.89 billion yuan, down 1.26% year-on-year - Q4 revenue: 156.03 billion yuan, up 13.46% year-on-year - Q4 net profit: 11.85 billion yuan, up 63.27% year-on-year [5][11]. Profitability Metrics - Gross margin: 17.69% - Return on equity (diluted): 23.62% - Operating cash flow per share: 2.43 yuan [1][11]. Future Projections - Expected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 57.51 billion yuan, 59.31 billion yuan, and 61.76 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.66 yuan, 1.71 yuan, and 1.78 yuan [11][12].

煤机业务再创新高，新能源汽车业务持续 突破 证券研究报告-年报点评 买入(维持) 专用机械 分析师：刘智 登记编码：S0730520110001 liuzhi@ccnew.com021-50586775 市场数据(2025-03-31) | 收盘价(元) | 15.85 | | --- | --- | | 一年内最高/最低(元) | 18.01/10.67 | | 沪深 300 指数 | 3,887.31 | | 市净率(倍) | 1.29 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 282.99 | 个股相对沪深 300 指数表现 -27% -20% -14% -7% -1% 6% 12% 18% 2024.04 2024.07 2024.11 2025.03 郑煤机 沪深300 资料来源：中原证券研究所，聚源 相关报告 《郑煤机(601717)季报点评：三季报增速小幅 放 缓 ， 煤 机 结 构 优 化 业 绩 稳 健 增 长 》 2024-11-06 《郑煤机(601717)公司深度分析：中报快速增 长，煤机、汽车零部件双轮驱动》2024-09-12 《郑煤机(601717)年报点评：煤机业务稳健增 长，汽车零部件盈 ...