2026 年农业食品行业年度策略："误解"的 消费，农业食品中的"健康" 、 "快乐" 、 "划 算" 一、研究背景评估 二、范围与边界确认 三、核心摘要提炼 四、关键数据抓取与呈现 第 1页 共 5页 银发经济与年轻群体保健意识觉醒双轮驱动，我国保健品人均消费额仅为美国的 1/5，渗透 率差距显著。运动营养、体重管理等细分赛道增速亮眼（运动营养 2016-2023 年 CAGR 25.1%）。 电商渠道占比已提升至 46%，进口品牌加速进入，国内企业通过海外并购构建全球品牌矩阵。 第 2页 共 5页 五、风险与机遇诊断 一、研究背景评估 | 评估维度 | 说明 | | --- | --- | | 研究机构 | 中航证券有限公司研究所 | | 权威性说明 | 中航证券是具备中国证监会批准的证券投资咨询业务资格的持牌机构。本报告署名分析师彭海兰、陈翼均具备证券投资咨询 | | | 执业资格，彭海兰为农林牧渔行业首席分析师，拥有超过 10 年大宗商品研究经验，团队专业背景扎实。报告大量引用联合 | | | 国粮农组织、国家统计局、艾媒咨询、欧睿国际等权威第三方数据，研究方法严谨，在农业食品产业研究领域具备较强公信 ...

上证综指-1.27%,深证成指-2.11%,创业板指-3.28%。 个股涨跌幅排名前五位：渤海租赁（+16.85%）、华林证券（+11.41%）、亚联 发展（+6.79%）、拉卡拉（+3.99%）、中银证券（+3.16%）； 2026年 02月 07 日 证券研究报告|行业研究|行业点评 非银金融 非银行业周报(2026年第五期) 2026 中小券商聚焦差异化发展, 行业分化新格局 市场表现: 本期（2026.2.2-2026.2.6）非银（申万）指数-0.60%，行业排20/31、券商Ⅱ指数 -0.65%,保险II指数-0.71%; 个股涨跌幅排名后五位：长江证券（-8.08%）、华安证券（-7.55%）、越秀资本 (-5.57%）、广发证券（-5.34%）、财通证券（-4.73%）。 (注：去除 ST 及退市股票) 核心观点: 证券: 市场层面,本周,证券板块下跌 0.65%,跑赢沪深 300 指数 0.68pct,跑赢上证综 指数 0.62pct。当前券商板块 PB 估值为 1.36 倍。 近期,兴业证券、东吴证券、浙商证券、中原证券等数十家中小券商密集召开年 度工作会议,行业已形成高度共识:2026年 ...

2026年2月7日 证券研究报告|策略研究|策略点评 全球大类资产波动剧烈,A 股有望率先恢复上行 报告摘要 核心观点: | 作者 | | | --- | --- | | 董忠云 | 分析师 | | SAC 执业证书：S0640515120001 | | | 联系电话：010-59562478 | | | 邮箱：dongzy@avicsec.com | | | 刘庆东 | 分析师 | | SAC 执业证书：S0640520030001 | | | 联系电话：010-59219572 | | | 邮箱:liuqd@avicsec.com | | | 王警仪 | 分析师 | | SAC 执业证书：S0640525100001 | | | 联系电话: | | | 邮箱：wangjybj@avicsec.com | | | 庞晨 | 研究助理 | | SAC 执业证书: S0640124040009 | | | 联系电话: | | | 邮箱: pangc@avicsec.com | | | 杨子萌 | 研究助理 | | SAC 执业证书:S0640124060008 | | | 联系电话: | | 邮箱：yangzm ...

2026年01月31日 证券研究报告|行业研究|行业点评 非银金融 非银行业周报 (2026年第四期) 2025 券商业绩整体向好，关注券商估值修复 市场表现: 本期（2026.1.26-2026.1.30）非银(申万)指数+1.04%、行业排 7/31,券商Ⅱ指 数-0.69%,保险II指数+5.50%; 上证综指-0.44%，深证成指-1.62%，创业板指-0.09%。 个股涨跌幅排名前五位：中国人寿（+8.73%）、中国太保（+8.48%）、新华保险 (+8.40%）、华鑫股份（+4.53%）、中国平安（+4.46%）; 个股涨跌幅排名后五位: 拉卡拉（-9.93%）、越秀资本（-8.00%）、浙江东方（- 6.37%）、华金资本（-6.18%）、海南华铁（-6.14%）。 (注：去除 ST 及退市股票) 核心观点: 证券: 作者 相关研究报告 市场层面,本周,证券板块下跌 0.69%,跑输沪深 300 指数 0.77pct,跑输上证综 指数 0.25pct。当前券商板块 PB 估值为 1.36 倍。 本周,券商密集发布业绩快报及预增报告,截至１月 30日,已有中信证券为代表 的四家上市券商披露业绩快报 ...

2026年01月31日 证券研究报告|行业研究|行业点评 非银金融 非银行业周报 (2026年第四期) 2025 券商业绩整体向好，关注券商估值修复 市场表现: 本期（2026.1.26-2026.1.30）非银(申万)指数+1.04%、行业排 7/31,券商Ⅱ指 数-0.69%,保险II指数+5.50%; 上证综指-0.44%，深证成指-1.62%，创业板指-0.09%。 个股涨跌幅排名前五位：中国人寿（+8.73%）、中国太保（+8.48%）、新华保险 (+8.40%）、华鑫股份（+4.53%）、中国平安（+4.46%）; 个股涨跌幅排名后五位: 拉卡拉（-9.93%）、越秀资本（-8.00%）、浙江东方（- 6.37%）、华金资本（-6.18%）、海南华铁（-6.14%）。 (注：去除 ST 及退市股票) 核心观点: 证券: 市场层面,本周,证券板块下跌 0.69%,跑输沪深 300 指数 0.77pct,跑输上证综 指数 0.25pct。当前券商板块 PB 估值为 1.36 倍。 本周,券商密集发布业绩快报及预增报告,截至１月 30日,已有中信证券为代表 的四家上市券商披露业绩快报,另有国泰海通、国联 ...

Global Economic Trends - The global economy is experiencing two major trends: de-globalization and the AI technology revolution, expected to last at least 5-10 years[34] - The US dollar may have entered a long-term depreciation cycle, with global commodities likely entering a new "super cycle," leading to sustained price increases for gold, copper, and certain minor metals[34] A-Share Market Outlook - The A-share market is anticipated to enter a long-term slow bull trend, driven by the AI technology revolution and re-inflation, contingent on stable US-China relations[34] - The overall market is expected to show an upward trend in Q1, followed by fluctuations in Q2 and Q3, and a recovery in Q4[3] Investment Recommendations - Focus on sectors related to AI, copper, rare earths, and gold, as well as military trade exports and domestic demand upgrades[3] - Anticipate a shift in market sentiment towards consumption in the second and third quarters, as the market narrative evolves towards "low inflation"[3] Market Dynamics - The current economic transition in China is marked by a shift in the real estate cycle and the transformation of old and new growth drivers[35] - A stable economic cycle in China is expected to lead to reduced volatility in the A-share market, supporting the long-term slow bull trend[35]

2026年A股年度策略报告 2026年2月3日 AI 兴，再通胀，驭慢牛 2026年A股年度策略报告 庞庞庞 庞庞庞 SAC 庞庞庞庞庞S0640515120001 庞庞庞庞庞010-59562478 庞庞庞dongzy@avicsec .com 2 ➢ 全球政经格局来看 ，2025 庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞 庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞 庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞 庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞 庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞 ➢ 从大类资产中长期角度看 ，2025年进一步确认了全球两大趋势 ，即逆全球化与 AI科技革命，未来或将至少持续 5-10年。 美元或已进入长期贬值周期 ，全球商品有望进入新一轮 "超级周期"，黄金、铜以及部分小金属等资源品价格或将持 续上涨。 ➢ 庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞A 庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞庞A 股有望步入长 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the industry is "Overweight" [1][28]. Core Insights - Domestic and international grid investment trends are resonating, leading to rapid growth in demand for grid equipment during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [2]. - The aging of power grids in developed countries is driving a strong demand for global grid upgrades and renovations [3]. - The ongoing AI infrastructure development is expected to generate a demand for electrical equipment worth hundreds of billions [4]. - The domestic grid is accelerating its transformation to support the construction of a new power system, which is likely to boost demand for domestic electrical equipment [6]. Summary by Sections Section: Investment Trends - The mismatch between renewable energy investments and grid investments during the 14th Five-Year Plan is setting the stage for unprecedented levels of domestic grid investment and upgrades [2]. - From 2019 to 2023, domestic grid investment growth rates lagged behind power generation projects, but a reversal is expected starting in 2024 [12]. Section: Global Market Dynamics - The International Energy Agency (IEA) forecasts significant global grid investment needs, with a projected investment of 5,840 billion by 2030 [3]. - The global data center electricity consumption is expected to grow significantly, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 14.7% from 2024 to 2030 [26]. Section: Future Projections - The demand for AIDC (Artificial Intelligence Data Center) distribution systems is projected to range from 863 to 2,878 billion from 2025 to 2030 [27]. - The UPS (Uninterruptible Power Supply) market is expected to see a market space of 385 to 1,284 billion during the same period [27].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight," indicating that the growth level of the industry is expected to exceed that of the CSI 300 index over the next six months [3][43]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the securities sector experienced a decline of 2.21% during the week, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.64 percentage points. The current price-to-book (PB) ratio for the brokerage sector is 1.38 times [1][2]. - CITIC Securities reported a net profit of 30.051 billion yuan for 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 38.46%, and its operating revenue reached 74.83 billion yuan, up 28.75% year-on-year. This performance is attributed to the overall upward trend in the domestic capital market and increased investor confidence [2][41]. - The report emphasizes the importance of mergers and acquisitions in enhancing industry competitiveness and resource allocation, suggesting that regulatory encouragement for industry consolidation will support high-quality development [3][6]. Summary by Sections Securities Weekly Data Tracking - The average daily trading volume of A-shares was 34,651 billion yuan, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 21.50%, with a daily turnover rate of 5.41%, up 0.92 percentage points [12]. - As of January 16, 2026, the equity financing scale reached 115.727 billion yuan, with IPOs contributing 3 billion yuan and additional financing of 109.6 billion yuan [14]. - The total balance of margin financing was 27,187.27 billion yuan, showing an increase of 911.36 billion yuan from the previous week [21]. Insurance Weekly Data Tracking - As of November 2025, the total assets of insurance companies reached 40.65 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 15.50%. Life insurance companies accounted for 35.75 trillion yuan of this total [29]. - The original insurance premium income for the industry in November 2025 was 57,628.81 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 7.56% [31].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight," indicating that the growth level of the industry is expected to exceed that of the CSI 300 index over the next six months [3][37]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the securities sector experienced a decline of 2.21% during the week, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.64 percentage points. The current price-to-book (PB) ratio for the brokerage sector is 1.38 times [1][2]. - CITIC Securities reported a net profit of 30.051 billion yuan for 2025, marking a year-on-year growth of 38.46%, and its operating revenue reached 74.83 billion yuan, up 28.75% year-on-year. This performance is attributed to the overall upward trend in the domestic capital market and increased investor confidence [2][35]. - The report emphasizes that the growth drivers for the industry in 2025 will be diverse, with traditional businesses showing resilience and investment banking benefiting from a recovery in the equity financing market [2][6]. Summary by Sections Securities Weekly Data Tracking - The brokerage sector's performance is closely monitored, with traditional businesses like brokerage and proprietary trading showing high elasticity in growth due to increased market activity [2][9]. Insurance Weekly Data Tracking - The insurance sector saw a decline of 3.59%, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 3.02 percentage points. China Life Insurance reported over 62.24 million claims in 2025, with a total claim amount exceeding 100.4 billion yuan, reflecting a 10% year-on-year increase [7][8]. - The overall insurance industry achieved a premium income of 576.29 billion yuan in November 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 7.56% [25][8]. Industry Dynamics - The report notes that regulatory encouragement for industry consolidation is present, with mergers and acquisitions seen as effective means for brokerages to achieve external growth. This consolidation is expected to enhance industry competitiveness and resource allocation [3][6][30].