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苏试试验(300416):2025年业绩预告点评:归母净利润同比+7%~16% 符合预期,关注航天、半导体等高端赛道
Soochow Securities· 2026-01-24 08:45
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [1] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 250 to 270 million yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 7% to 16% [2] - The fourth quarter of 2025 is projected to see a net profit of 90 to 110 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 6% to 30% [2] - The growth in performance is attributed to the recovery of demand in special industries, capacity release in the integrated circuit sector, and increased demand in aerospace [2] - The company is well-positioned in high-barrier testing sectors, with significant growth potential in aerospace, semiconductors, and new energy [4] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 2,117 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 17.26% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023 is estimated at 314.27 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 16.44% [1] - Earnings per share (EPS) for 2023 is expected to be 0.62 yuan [1] - The company anticipates a total revenue of 2,220 million yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 9.61% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is forecasted at 251.42 million yuan, indicating a growth of 9.59% [1] - The projected EPS for 2025 is 0.49 yuan [1]
保险Ⅱ行业点评报告:政策引导+行协牵头,保险业布局康养领域进程再加速
Soochow Securities· 2026-01-24 02:20
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the insurance industry [1] Core Insights - The insurance industry is accelerating its layout in the health and wellness sector, driven by policy guidance and industry association leadership [1] - The average annual compound growth rate of commercial health insurance has exceeded 20% over the past decade, with over 11,000 medical insurance products currently available [4] - The report anticipates that insurance institutions will further accelerate their investments in the health and wellness sector, leveraging policy support to create a second growth curve through the "insurance products + health services" model [4] Industry Trends - The China Insurance Industry Association held a seminar focusing on the high-quality development of commercial health insurance, discussing the integration of commercial insurance with the medical field [4] - The Shanghai Financial Regulatory Bureau has released a plan for the high-quality development of pension finance, proposing 20 measures to support the pension industry [4] - Major insurance companies are establishing specialized health management subsidiaries to build a comprehensive health and wellness service ecosystem [4] Financial Performance - The report indicates that both the liability and asset sides of the insurance companies are continuously improving, with significant upward valuation potential [4] - The market demand remains strong, and the reduction in the preset interest rate along with the transformation of participating insurance will optimize liability costs [4] - As of January 23, 2026, the insurance sector's valuation is projected at 0.61-0.83 times PEV and 1.10-2.19 times PB, which is at a historical low [4]
苏试试验:2025年业绩预告点评归母净利润同比+7%~16%符合预期,关注航天、半导体等高端赛道-20260124
Soochow Securities· 2026-01-24 02:20
Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Accumulate" for the company [1] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 250-270 million yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 7%-16% [2] - The fourth quarter of 2025 is projected to see a net profit of 90-110 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 6%-30% [2] - The growth in Q4 is attributed to the recovery in demand from special industries, capacity release in the integrated circuit sector, and increased demand in aerospace [2] - The company is well-positioned in high-barrier testing sectors, with significant growth potential in aerospace, semiconductors, and new energy [4] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 2,117 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 17.26% [1] - The net profit for 2023 is estimated at 314.27 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 16.44% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2023 is expected to be 0.62 yuan [1] - The company anticipates a net profit of 251.42 million yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 9.59% [1] - The projected P/E ratio for 2025 is 42.44 [1] Industry Insights - The global commercial aerospace industry has entered a rapid development phase since 2024, becoming a significant growth driver for the company [3] - The company plans to invest at least 300 million yuan to establish a subsidiary in the Hangzhou Yunqi Town, focusing on high-end space environment simulation testing equipment [3] - The testing and inspection industry in China is expected to achieve a revenue of approximately 487.6 billion yuan in 2024, with a growth rate of 4% [4]
芯碁微装:PCB与泛半导体双轮驱动,业绩实现高质量增长-20260123
Soochow Securities· 2026-01-23 07:25
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company has released its 2025 annual performance forecast, expecting a net profit attributable to shareholders of between 275 million to 295 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 71.13% to 83.58% [2] - The fourth quarter is projected to see a single-quarter net profit of 86 million yuan, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 52% [2] - The high-quality growth is primarily driven by breakthroughs in high-end PCB and semiconductor businesses [2][3] Financial Performance Summary - The company anticipates total revenue of 1.61 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 68.82% [1][6] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 294.67 million yuan in 2025, with a significant increase of 83.37% compared to the previous year [1][6] - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 2.24 yuan in 2025, with a corresponding P/E ratio of 82.37 [1][6] Business Growth Drivers - The global demand for AI computing power is driving the PCB industry towards high-layer and high-density upgrades, with the company positioned as a leading provider of high-end laser direct imaging (LDI) equipment [4] - The successful launch of the second production base has effectively expanded the capacity for high-end equipment, ensuring efficient order delivery [4][6] - The advanced packaging business has become a new growth engine for the company, with significant orders from leading domestic customers and successful product acceptance for mass production [5][6]
芯碁微装(688630):PCB与泛半导体双轮驱动,业绩实现高质量增长
Soochow Securities· 2026-01-23 06:34
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company has released its 2025 annual performance forecast, expecting a net profit attributable to shareholders of between 275 million to 295 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 71.13% to 83.58% [2] - The fourth quarter is projected to show a significant increase in net profit, with a median of 86 million yuan, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter growth of 52% [2] - The high-quality growth is primarily driven by breakthroughs in high-end PCB and semiconductor businesses [2][3] Financial Performance Summary - The company anticipates total revenue of 1.61 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 68.82% [1][6] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 294.67 million yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 83.37% [1][6] - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 2.24 yuan in 2025, with a corresponding P/E ratio of 82.37 [1][6] Business Growth Drivers - The global demand for AI computing power is driving the PCB industry towards high-layer and high-density upgrades, with the company positioned as a leading provider of high-end laser direct imaging (LDI) equipment [4] - The successful launch of the second production base has effectively expanded the capacity for high-end equipment, ensuring efficient order delivery [4][6] - The advanced packaging business has become a new growth engine for the company, with significant orders from leading domestic customers and successful product acceptance for mass production [5][6]
2025Q4公募基金持仓分析:资源品仓位创历史新高
Soochow Securities· 2026-01-23 05:49
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In Q4 2025, there were five major highlights in the holdings of public - offering funds, including the contraction of active equity scale with eased redemption pressure, the differentiation of A/H - share positions, the continuation of the "passive > active" situation, the record - high position of resource products and the record - low position of consumer services, and no subscription or redemption operations of Huijin for ETFs [6]. - The stock positions of all mainland public - offering funds declined, and from both overall and median perspectives, the stock positions of active equity - biased funds in Q4 2025 also declined [6]. - From the perspective of the fund allocation side of stocks, the shareholding scale of index and "fixed - income +" products increased. Compared with Q3 2025, in Q4 2025, the number of top - holding stocks of mainland public - offering funds increased, the market value slightly shrank, and the concentration of the top 100 top - holding stocks decreased [6]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 2025Q4 Public - Offering Fund Holdings: Five Major Highlights - **Active equity scale contraction with eased redemption pressure**: In Q4 2025, the scale of active equity funds shrank, but the redemption pressure eased. The scale of active equity - biased funds was 3.9 trillion yuan, a 4% quarter - on - quarter contraction; the share was 2.65 trillion shares, a decrease of 71.6 billion shares quarter - on - quarter. The net redemption share was 125.6 billion shares, a contraction of 91.9 billion shares quarter - on - quarter [15]. - **Differentiation of A/H - share positions, reduction of Alibaba in Hong Kong stocks**: In Q4 2025, the A/H - share positions of mainland active equity - biased funds were differentiated. The A - share position slightly increased, while the Hong Kong - share position significantly declined. The active equity - biased funds held about 483.6 billion yuan of Hong Kong stocks, accounting for 23.4% of the scale of active equity - biased funds that could invest in Hong Kong stocks (a 3.9 - percentage - point quarter - on - quarter decrease). Tencent Holdings remained the largest Hong Kong - stock top - holding of mainland active equity - biased funds, with a reduction of 3.9 billion Hong Kong dollars in Q4. Alibaba and other software and hardware technology directions were under - allocated, with the largest under - allocation scale of Alibaba reaching 11.2 billion Hong Kong dollars [20]. - **Continuation of the "passive > active" situation, "fixed - income +"承接 residents' entry into the market**: In Q4 2025, the scale of "fixed - income +" funds reached 2.6 trillion yuan, a 9.8% quarter - on - quarter increase. Index funds became an important channel for funds to enter the market, and the gap between passive and active funds widened. The scale expansion of "fixed - income +" funds might be an important carrier for the transfer of residents' deposits [22][24]. - **Record - high position of resource products and record - low position of consumer services**: In Q4 2025, active equity - biased funds significantly increased their positions in resource products and reduced their positions in TMT. The position of resource products reached 13.3%, and the under - allocation margin narrowed to a record high; the position of consumer services was 9.8%, reaching a record low [29]. - **No subscription or redemption operations of Huijin for ETFs**: As of the end of Q4 2025, Huijin's holding shares of the 12 "preferred" ETFs were the same as those in H1 and Q3, with no subscription or redemption operations during the period [32]. 3.2 Mainland Public - Offering Fund Asset Allocation - **All mainland public - offering funds**: In Q4 2025, the stock positions of mainland public - offering funds declined, and the bond positions increased. The total asset value of mainland public - offering funds was 39.48 trillion yuan, a 3.5% quarter - on - quarter increase; the net asset value was 36.35 trillion yuan, a 2.7% quarter - on - quarter increase. The stock position was 22.87%, a decrease of 0.71 percentage points quarter - on - quarter [36]. - **Active equity - biased funds**: In Q4 2025, the net asset value and stock market value of active equity - biased funds declined compared with Q3, and the stock position decreased synchronously, while the A - share position slightly increased. The stock position of active equity - biased funds was 84.37%, a decrease of 1.41 percentage points quarter - on - quarter; the A - share position was 72.26%, an increase of 0.66 percentage points quarter - on - quarter [40]. - **"Fixed - income +" funds**: In Q4 2025, the net asset value of "fixed - income +" funds increased by 9.8%, the stock market value continued to grow, and both the stock and bond positions increased slightly. The stock position was 10.04%, an increase of 0.17 percentage points quarter - on - quarter; the bond position was 86.02%, an increase of 0.19 percentage points quarter - on - quarter [44]. - **Median of fund positions**: From the median perspective, in Q4 2025, the stock positions of active equity - biased and "fixed - income +" funds declined, while the position of index funds remained stable. The median stock position of active equity - biased funds was 87.90%, a decrease of 1.01 percentage points quarter - on - quarter [48]. - **Stock allocation side**: The shareholding scale of index and "fixed - income +" products increased. In Q4 2025, the stock market value of active equity - biased funds was 3.37 trillion yuan, a 5.2% quarter - on - quarter decrease; the stock market value of index funds was 4.70 trillion yuan, a 3.4% quarter - on - quarter increase; the stock market value of "fixed - income +" funds was 301.501 billion yuan, a significant 14.1% quarter - on - quarter increase [53]. 3.3 A - Share Top - Holding Stock Analysis of Mainland Public - Offering Active Equity - Biased Funds - **Overall situation**: Compared with Q3 2025, in Q4 2025, the number of top - holding stocks increased, the market value slightly shrank, and the concentration of the top 100 top - holding stocks decreased. The number of top - holding stocks was 2,429, an increase of 117 quarter - on - quarter; the market value was 1.61 trillion yuan, a 2.72% quarter - on - quarter decrease [58]. - **Sector allocation**: The over - allocation ratio of the GEM increased, and the under - allocation ratio of the main board expanded. In Q4 2025, the allocation ratios of the main board, GEM, STAR Market, and Beijing Stock Exchange were 58.5%, 24.8%, 16.5%, and 0.3% respectively [63]. - **Style allocation**: The allocation ratio of large - cap stocks continued to rise, while the positions of mid - and small - cap stocks declined. In Q4 2025, the allocation ratios of CSI 100 and CSI 300 increased by 1.35 and 1.87 percentage points quarter - on - quarter respectively, while those of CSI 500 and CSI 1000 decreased by 0.42 and 0.40 percentage points quarter - on - quarter respectively [66]. - **Large - category allocation**: The allocation ratio of TMT declined from a high level, while the allocation ratio of resource products increased significantly. In Q4 2025, the top three allocation ratios of active equity - biased funds among large - category industries were TMT (37.8%), mid - stream manufacturing (25.7%), and resource products (13.3%) [70]. - **First - level industry allocation**: The positions of cyclical products increased, while the positions of TMT decreased significantly. The top five industries with increased positions were non - ferrous metals, non - bank finance, basic chemicals, machinery and equipment, and food and beverages; the top five industries with decreased positions were electronics, media, computers, national defense and military industry, and communications [78]. - **Second - level industry allocation**: The positions of insurance and industrial metals increased significantly. After excluding the impact of stock prices, the positions of insurance, industrial metals, and auto parts increased, while consumer electronics, games, and batteries were relatively under - allocated [84]. - **Individual stocks**: Zhongji Innolight became the new top - holding stock of institutions. China Ping An, Dongshan Precision, and Baiwei Storage were significantly increased in position; Industrial Foresight, EVE Energy, and Ninebot were significantly reduced in position [88].
艾为电子:艾为转债:国内数模混合龙头企业-20260123
Soochow Securities· 2026-01-23 05:24
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is suggested to be "actively subscribe" for the convertible bond issuance [14]. Core Views - The report highlights that the company, Aiwei Electronics, is a leading domestic player in the mixed-signal and analog chip design sector, focusing on high-performance integrated circuits [17][34]. - The expected listing price range for the convertible bond is between 133.78 and 148.51 yuan, with an anticipated conversion premium rate of around 35% [15][14]. - The company has shown steady revenue growth since 2020, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 19.51% projected from 2020 to 2024 [18]. Summary by Sections 1. Convertible Bond Basic Information - The total issuance scale of the Aiwei convertible bond is 1.901 billion yuan, with net proceeds allocated for global R&D center construction and various chip development projects [12][11]. - The bond has a maturity of 6 years, with a credit rating of AA+sti/AA+sti, and a face value of 100 yuan [12][10]. 2. Investment Subscription Suggestions - The report estimates a first-day price for the convertible bond between 133.78 and 148.51 yuan, with a conversion price of 79.83 yuan per share [14][15]. - The expected subscription rate for online investors is projected to be 0.0060% [16]. 3. Underlying Stock Fundamental Analysis 3.1 Financial Data Analysis - The company has maintained a steady revenue growth trajectory, with a projected revenue of 2.933 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 15.88% [18]. - The net profit margin and gross profit margin have remained stable, with sales net profit margins recorded at 7.07%, 12.39%, -2.55%, 2.02%, and 8.69% from 2020 to 2024 [25]. 3.2 Company Highlights - Aiwei Electronics is recognized as a high-tech enterprise and has developed over 1,500 product models, with sales exceeding 6 billion units in 2024 [34].
艾为转债:国内数模混合龙头企业
Soochow Securities· 2026-01-23 05:01
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report Core Viewpoints - The report recommends actively subscribing to the Aiwei Convertible Bond, expecting its listing price on the first day to be between 133.78 and 148.51 yuan, with an estimated subscription success rate of 0.0060% [2] Summary by Directory 1. Convertible Bond Basic Information - The Aiwei Convertible Bond (118065.SH) started online subscription on January 22, 2026, with a total issuance scale of 1.901 billion yuan. The net proceeds after deducting issuance fees will be used for four projects [2] - The current bond floor valuation is 98.8 yuan, with a YTM of 2.01%. The conversion parity is 104.4 yuan, and the parity premium rate is -4.29% [2][12] - The convertible bond terms are standard, with a total share capital dilution rate of 9.27% and a dilution rate of 14.93% for the floating shares, indicating relatively small dilution pressure on the share capital [2][13] 2. Investment Subscription Recommendations - Based on comparable targets and empirical results, considering the good bond floor protection of the Aiwei Convertible Bond and the average attractiveness of its rating and scale, the expected conversion premium rate on the listing day is around 35%, corresponding to a listing price between 133.78 and 148.51 yuan [2][15] - The expected priority subscription ratio of original shareholders is 70.50%, and the expected subscription success rate is 0.0060% [16] 3. Underlying Stock Fundamental Analysis 3.1 Financial Data Analysis - Aiwei Electronics focuses on high-performance analog-digital mixed signals, power management, and signal chain IC design, with products widely used in various markets. It has multiple certifications and many products are dominant in the smartphone field [17] - Since 2020, the company's revenue has steadily increased, with a compound growth rate of 19.51% from 2020 - 2024. In 2024, the operating income was 2.933 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.88%. The compound growth rate of net profit attributable to the parent from 2020 - 2024 was 25.82%, and in 2024, it reached 255 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 399.68% [18] - The company's sales net profit margin and gross profit margin are stable, the sales expense ratio has decreased, the financial expense ratio is stable, and the management expense ratio has decreased. The high-performance analog-digital mixed chips and power management chips contribute significantly to the gross profit [25] 3.2 Company Highlights - Aiwei Electronics is a leading domestic analog-digital mixed enterprise. As of 2025, it has over 1,500 main product models, with product sales exceeding 6 billion pieces in 2024, applicable to consumer electronics, industrial Internet, and automotive fields [34]
捷昌驱动:2025年业绩预告点评:业绩超市场预期,机器人零部件深化布局-20260123
Soochow Securities· 2026-01-23 02:50
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has exceeded market expectations with its 2025 performance forecast, projecting a net profit attributable to shareholders of 395 to 437 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 40% to 55% [7] - The company is enhancing its global core capacity layout, with steady growth in its linear drive business, and expects a revenue growth of 20-30% year-on-year for this segment in 2026 [7] - The company is focusing on self-research to build a product line for robot components, which is anticipated to become a new growth driver [7] - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been revised upwards, with expected net profits of 416 million, 545 million, and 712 million yuan respectively, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 47%, 31%, and 31% [7] Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to reach 4,424 million yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 21.13% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 415.75 million yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 47.44% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to be 1.08 yuan in 2025, with a corresponding P/E ratio of 35.71 [1] - The company’s total assets are estimated to be 6,661 million yuan in 2025, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 29.32% [8]
我国2025年对外直接投资同比增长7.1%,北证50上涨0.69%
Soochow Securities· 2026-01-23 02:40
证券研究报告·北交所报告·北交所定期报告 北交所定期报告 20260122 我国 2025 年对外直接投资同比增长 7.1%, 北证 50 上涨 0.69% 2026 年 01 月 22 日 yishsh@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 余慧勇 执业证书:S0600524080003 证券分析师 朱洁羽 执业证书:S0600520090004 zhujieyu@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 易申申 yuhy@dwzq.com.cn 研究助理 武阿兰 执业证书:S0600124070018 wual@dwzq.com.cn 执业证书:S0600522100003 研究助理 陈哲晓 《服务器 CPU 面临提价,北证 50 上 涨 0.14%》 2026-01-21 《中国 2025 年全年 GDP 同比增 5%,北证 50 上涨 0.02%》 2026-01-19 东吴证券研究所 1 / 8 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] ◼ 资本市场新闻:1)2026 年第一批 936 亿元超长期特别国债支持设备更 新资金已经下达。近日,2026 年第一批 9 ...