Core Insights - The report emphasizes the strong growth potential in the testing services industry, particularly driven by emerging sectors such as commercial aerospace and new technologies [4][6] - The testing services sector is closely linked to macroeconomic growth, with a projected global market size of approximately 2.3 trillion RMB by 2024, reflecting a CAGR of about 6% from 2021 to 2024 [4][24] - In China, the testing services market is expected to reach around 487.6 billion RMB by 2024, with a CAGR of approximately 10.5% from 2015 to 2024, indicating a robust growth trajectory [5][24] Industry Overview - The testing, inspection, and certification (TIC) industry serves various sectors including consumer goods, industrial products, and pharmaceuticals, covering all stages from R&D to production and distribution [16][24] - The industry is characterized by a large market space and stable growth, with demand closely tied to macroeconomic trends and government regulations [20][24] - Emerging technologies such as AI, electric vehicles, and commercial aerospace are expected to create new testing demands, raising the entry barriers for new players [6][20] Company Performance - The report analyzes 19 listed companies in the testing services sector, highlighting their revenue and profit performance, with notable companies including Huace Testing, Guangdian Measurement, and Su Testing [2][11] - In the first three quarters of 2025, the testing services sector in China reported a revenue of 30.4 billion RMB, a decline of 7% year-on-year, but a growth of 3% when excluding companies heavily involved in medical testing [5][57] - Leading companies such as Huace Testing, Guangdian Measurement, and Su Testing demonstrated superior performance, with revenue growth rates of 7%, 12%, and 9% respectively, significantly outpacing the industry average [5][62] Market Dynamics - The testing services market is experiencing a structural shift, with a trend towards consolidation as larger firms gain market share and smaller firms face challenges [44][50] - The report notes that the majority of testing institutions in China are small and micro-sized, which limits their ability to withstand economic pressures [50][51] - Government policies are increasingly supporting the marketization and consolidation of testing institutions, aiming to enhance the overall quality and efficiency of the industry [51][53] Financial Metrics - The report indicates that the average gross margin for the testing services sector has improved, reaching 26.2% in the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a recovery in profitability [63] - The accounts receivable turnover days have increased from 90 days in 2019 to 176 days in 2025, indicating a slowdown in cash flow and potential credit risks within the industry [67][68] - The report highlights that the proportion of accounts receivable in relation to revenue has risen to 50%, suggesting increasing challenges in managing receivables [71]

Investment Rating - The report recommends focusing on leading companies in the testing service industry, particularly those with strong capital, management, and research capabilities, such as Huace Testing, Guangdian Measurement, and Sutest [7] Core Insights - The testing service industry is closely related to macroeconomic growth, with significant market space and stable growth. The global testing service market is projected to reach approximately 2.3 trillion RMB by 2024, with a CAGR of about 6% from 2021 to 2024 [4][24] - China's testing service industry is expected to outpace GDP growth, with a projected market size of around 487.6 billion RMB in 2024, reflecting a CAGR of approximately 10.5% from 2015 to 2024 [5][24] - The industry is experiencing a structural shift, with emerging sectors such as AI, new energy vehicles, and commercial aerospace driving new demand for testing services [6][33] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The testing, inspection, and certification (TIC) industry serves various sectors, including consumer goods, industrial products, and pharmaceuticals, covering all stages from R&D to production and distribution [16] - The demand for testing services is highly correlated with macroeconomic trends, with growth driven by global trade, increasing quality and safety standards, and stricter regulations [20][24] Market Performance - In 2025, the testing service sector in China reported revenues of 30.4 billion RMB, a year-on-year decline of 7%. Excluding companies with high medical testing proportions, the sector saw a 3% growth [5][57] - Leading companies like Huace Testing, Guangdian Measurement, and Sutest outperformed the industry average, with revenue growth rates of 7%, 12%, and 9% respectively in the first three quarters of 2025 [57][62] Emerging Opportunities - New technologies and industries, such as low-altitude economy and semiconductor sectors, are rapidly developing, creating new testing service demands. The investment threshold for laboratories in these areas is significantly higher than traditional sectors [6][33] - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on leading companies that possess brand, capital, and management advantages to capitalize on these emerging opportunities [6][7] Competitive Landscape - The testing service market in China is characterized by a large number of small and medium-sized enterprises, with over 96% of testing institutions being micro-sized, which poses risks due to their limited capacity to withstand economic fluctuations [50][51] - The report predicts a trend towards consolidation in the industry, with resources increasingly concentrating in leading firms as smaller entities face challenges [50][51]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Accumulate" (Maintain) [1] Core Insights - Southwest Securities plans to raise 6 billion yuan through a private placement, which is expected to enhance its capital structure and accelerate business development, thereby improving its comprehensive financial service capabilities and market competitiveness [4] - The major shareholder, Yufu Holdings, is showing strong support by committing to subscribe for 1.5 billion yuan, which represents 25 billion yuan or 42% of the total issuance [4] - The funds raised will be allocated across various business areas, including wealth management (500 million yuan), investment banking (250 million yuan), asset management (900 million yuan), and securities investment (1.5 billion yuan) [4] - The financing is expected to dilute the Return on Equity (ROE) in the short term but is beneficial for the company's long-term strategic development [4] - The report indicates that the refinancing of securities firms may have been fully opened, with several firms completing or undergoing private placements since 2025 [4] Summary by Sections Industry Trends - Since 2025, there has been a significant increase in the number of securities firms engaging in refinancing, with four firms completing or in the process of private placements as of February 14, 2026 [4] - The report highlights that major shareholders are showing confidence in the future prospects of securities companies, as evidenced by their substantial subscription amounts [4] Financing Details - The planned private placement by Southwest Securities involves issuing up to 1.994 billion shares to no more than 35 specific investors, with a total fundraising target of 6 billion yuan [4] - The funds will be used for various purposes, including enhancing capital for wealth management, investment banking, asset management, and technology compliance [4][5]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - This week (from February 9th to February 13th, 2026), there were no new secondary capital bonds issued in the inter - bank and exchange markets [1] - The weekly trading volume of secondary capital bonds this week was approximately 204.5 billion yuan, a decrease of 70.6 billion yuan compared to last week. The top three bonds in terms of trading volume were 25 Bank of China Secondary Capital Bond 02BC, 25 Bank of China Secondary Capital Bond 03A(BC), and 25 Agricultural Bank of China Secondary Capital Bond 04A(BC) [2] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Primary Market Issuance - No new secondary capital bonds were issued in the inter - bank and exchange markets from February 9th to February 13th, 2026 [1] Secondary Market Transactions - **Trading Volume**: The total weekly trading volume of secondary capital bonds was about 204.5 billion yuan, down 70.6 billion yuan from last week. The top three bonds in trading volume were 25 Bank of China Secondary Capital Bond 02BC (13.209 billion yuan), 25 Bank of China Secondary Capital Bond 03A(BC) (8.914 billion yuan), and 25 Agricultural Bank of China Secondary Capital Bond 04A(BC) (8.217 billion yuan) [2] - **Regional Trading Volume**: The top three regions in terms of trading volume were Guangdong Province (about 155.3 billion yuan), Shandong Province (about 16.5 billion yuan), and Shanxi Province (about 8.5 billion yuan) [2] - **Yield to Maturity**: As of February 13th, for 5Y secondary capital bonds, the yield to maturity of AAA -, AA +, and AA - rated bonds changed by - 6.56BP, - 6.91BP, and - 6.91BP respectively compared to last week; for 7Y bonds, the changes were - 8.84BP, - 5.66BP, and - 5.66BP; for 10Y bonds, the changes were - 6.53BP, - 4.86BP, and - 4.86BP [2] Top 30 Bonds with Valuation Deviation - **Overall Situation**: This week, the overall valuation deviation of the weekly trading average price of secondary capital bonds was not large. The proportion of discount transactions was greater than that of premium transactions, and the discount amplitude was larger than the premium amplitude [3] - **Discount Bonds**: The top three bonds with the highest discount rates were 17 Binhai Rural Commercial Secondary 01 (- 0.5685%), 23 Huaxing Bank Secondary Capital Bond 01 (- 0.4765%), and 22 Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Secondary Capital Bond 04B (- 0.4336%). The implicit ratings of China Central Depository & Clearing Co., Ltd. were mainly AAA -, AA, and AA +, and the bonds were mostly from Beijing, Shanghai, and Tianjin [3] - **Premium Bonds**: The top three bonds with the highest premium rates were 21 Huishang Bank Secondary 01 (0.5063%), 23 Hankou Bank Secondary Capital Bond 02 (0.4304%), and 23 Tianjin Bank Secondary Capital Bond 01 (0.3847%). The implicit ratings of China Central Depository & Clearing Co., Ltd. were mainly AA +, AAA -, and AA, and the bonds were mostly from Beijing, Zhejiang, and Fujian [3]

Financing Overview - In January 2026, the new social financing (社融) increased by 72,200 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 1,654 billion RMB[1] - Government bond financing contributed significantly with an increase of 9,764 billion RMB, up 2,831 billion RMB year-on-year, representing 13.5% of total social financing, the highest since 2021[4] - Corporate bond financing added 5,033 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 579 billion RMB, but slightly below the three-year average of 3,471 billion RMB[1] Loan Dynamics - Financial institutions issued 47,100 billion RMB in new loans in January 2026, which is 4,200 billion RMB less than the same period last year[2] - Corporate loans accounted for 44,500 billion RMB, down 3,300 billion RMB year-on-year, while household loans increased by 4,565 billion RMB, up 127 billion RMB year-on-year[2] - The total loan balance grew by 6.10% year-on-year, a decrease of 0.3 percentage points from the end of 2025[2] Money Supply Trends - As of January 2026, M1 grew by 4.9% year-on-year, an increase of 1.1 percentage points from the end of 2025[3] - M2 increased by 9.0% year-on-year, up 0.5 percentage points from the end of 2025[3] - Total deposits rose by 80,900 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 37,700 billion RMB, with significant contributions from fiscal deposits[3] Economic Signals - The increase in M1 and M2 indicates a strong liquidity supply and a positive signal for economic activity and capital market performance[4] - The structure of loans is improving, with a notable increase in short-term loans for enterprises, which rose by 20,500 billion RMB, up 3,100 billion RMB year-on-year[6] - The government’s proactive fiscal measures and moderate monetary easing are expected to continue supporting financing structures and economic growth[4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve revenue growth in 2025, driven by the synergistic development of "robotics + vehicles + liquid cooling" [1] - The revenue forecast for 2025 is projected to be between 287.50 billion and 303.50 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 8.08% to 14.10% [8] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to decline by 3.35% to 13.35%, with estimates ranging from 26.00 billion to 29.00 billion yuan [8] - The company plans to issue H shares and list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to accelerate its international strategy and enhance overseas capacity [8] - The company has secured a 1.5 billion yuan order in its thermal management business, indicating strong demand in international markets [8] Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is reported at 19.701 billion yuan, with a projected increase to 29.939 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 12.55% [1] - The net profit for 2023 is 2.151 billion yuan, with a forecasted decline to 2.813 billion yuan in 2025, indicating a decrease of 6.25% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be 1.62 yuan in 2025, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 44.48 [1] - The company’s total assets are projected to grow from 37.544 billion yuan in 2024 to 60.648 billion yuan in 2027 [9] - The company’s debt-to-equity ratio is expected to decrease from 47.84% in 2024 to 45.49% in 2027, indicating improved financial stability [9]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Add" [1] Core Viewpoints - Tianfeng Securities has received three penalties or investigations, which are historical issues that, once resolved, may allow the company to operate more efficiently [4] - The penalties include a fine of 15 million yuan from the CSRC and a two-year suspension of private placement product sales [4] - The new controlling shareholder, Hubei Hongtai Group, is actively supporting the company's development, including a 4 billion yuan capital increase and a reduction in debt interest rates [4] - The company is expected to turn a profit in 2025, with projected net profits between 125 million and 185 million yuan [4] - The regulatory environment is tightening, which is expected to promote high-quality development in the securities industry [4] Summary by Sections Regulatory Actions - Tianfeng Securities faced penalties for violations related to financing and undisclosed related transactions, with total fines amounting to 34.8 million yuan for responsible individuals [4] - The company is under investigation for illegal information disclosure regarding its shareholding in Yong'an Forestry [4] Financial Performance - As of mid-2025, Tianfeng Tianrui managed a subscribed scale of 4.1 billion yuan and a paid-in scale of 3 billion yuan, with all products established before 2023 [4] - The company has completed exits from six projects in the first half of 2025, indicating limited impact from the penalties on its financial performance [4] Industry Outlook - The securities industry is entering a new phase of strict and precise regulation, with a focus on enhancing governance and compliance [4] - In 2025, the regulatory authorities issued 388 fines, a decrease of 41% year-on-year, but the total amount of fines increased by 64%, indicating a shift towards targeted enforcement [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve revenue growth in 2025, driven by the synergistic development of "robotics + vehicles + liquid cooling" [1] - The revenue forecast for 2025 is projected to be between 287.50 billion to 303.50 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 8.08% to 14.10% [8] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to decline by 3.35% to 13.35%, estimated at 26.00 billion to 29.00 billion yuan [8] - The company is planning to issue H shares and list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to accelerate its international strategy [8] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is reported at 19,701 million yuan, with a projected increase to 29,939 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 12.55% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 2,813 million yuan in 2025, a decrease of 6.25% compared to the previous year [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be 1.62 yuan in 2025, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 44.48 [1] Market Data - The closing price of the company's stock is 72.01 yuan, with a market capitalization of approximately 125,141.54 million yuan [6] - The company has a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 5.38 [6] Operational Insights - The company has secured a 15 billion yuan order in its thermal management business, indicating strong demand in international markets [8] - The company’s revenue growth is supported by its Tier 0.5 collaboration model and a diverse product portfolio [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for SANY Heavy Industry [1] Core Views - SANY Heavy Industry is positioned as a global leader in the construction machinery sector, benefiting from both cyclical recovery and systemic advantages [1] - The company is expected to fully benefit from the current industry recovery cycle, with projected net profits of 85 billion, 111 billion, and 127 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, corresponding to P/E ratios of 25, 19, and 17 [1] Summary by Sections 1. Domestic and International Resonance - The construction machinery industry is entering a new cycle, with exports becoming a core driver of growth, expected to account for 50% of total sales by 2025 [13][14] - Domestic excavator sales are projected to recover moderately, with a peak expected in 2028 at 250,000 units, indicating significant growth potential [17][21] - The overseas market is anticipated to enter a new upward cycle in 2026, aligning with domestic recovery [35] 2. Global Leadership and Multi-Category Development - SANY Heavy Industry has established a diversified product system centered around excavators, maintaining a leading position in key categories [1] - The company benefits from a stable shareholding structure and strong control by the founding team, which enhances operational stability [1] 3. Integrated Product, Channel, and Service Strategy - SANY focuses on high-margin core categories, enhancing product competitiveness through significant R&D investment and technological advancements [1] - The company has developed a robust sales network through a shareholding dealer model, improving market penetration and resilience [1] 4. Valuation Rationality - The report suggests that SANY's valuation is reasonable, with expectations for steady upward movement as overseas expansion continues [1] - The company's operational quality is improving, with significant enhancements in profit margins and cash flow metrics [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the environmental protection industry [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights the critical role of rhenium as a strategic metal in aerospace, emphasizing its increasing demand driven by advancements in aircraft and commercial space engines, while also noting the supply constraints due to its scarcity [8][9]. - By 2030, global rhenium demand is projected to rise from 75 tons in 2019 to 191 tons, with China's demand increasing from 8 tons to 56 tons, primarily fueled by the aerospace sector [17][18]. - The report underscores the high dependency of both the US and China on imported rhenium, with the US relying on imports for 82% of its consumption [9][10]. Summary by Sections 1. Rhenium: A Strategic Metal for Aerospace - Rhenium is essential in high-temperature alloys used in aircraft engines and rocket engines, with its unique properties allowing for higher performance under extreme conditions [8]. - The global rhenium consumption in 2019 was approximately 75 tons, with the US being the largest consumer [9][10]. - The report forecasts that by 2030, rhenium demand in the aerospace sector will significantly increase due to advancements in engine technology and the growth of commercial space ventures [17][18]. 2. Supply Constraints - Global rhenium supply is limited, with only about 2,600 tons of proven reserves, primarily concentrated in Chile, the US, and Russia [34][35]. - Rhenium is mainly recovered as a byproduct of copper and molybdenum refining, which adds to the supply rigidity [35][36]. - The report notes that China's rhenium production is heavily reliant on imports, with a significant portion of its supply coming from copper and molybdenum smelting processes [34][36]. 3. Demand and Price Dynamics - If domestic rhenium supply does not improve, China could face a supply gap of 51 tons by the long term, indicating a potential price increase for rhenium [17][18]. - The report reviews historical price trends, indicating that rhenium is currently in a new price increase cycle, with ammonium perrhenate prices rising significantly [17][18]. - Profitability analysis shows that if rhenium prices rise to 120 million yuan per ton, net profits could reach 45 million yuan per ton [17][18]. 4. Company Insights: Sains - Sains is positioned as a key player in rhenium extraction, with strategic partnerships and technological advantages in rhenium recovery [17][18]. - The company has initiated a production line for ammonium perrhenate and is expected to expand its rhenium production capacity through partnerships with major mining companies [17][18].