国泰海通（601211） 2025 年一季报点评：并表海通，各主营业务 增速可观，带动扣非净利润同比增长 61% 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 36,141 | 43,397 | 67,415 | 76,533 | 83,556 | | 同比（%） | 1.89% | 20.08% | 55.35% | 13.52% | 9.18% | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 9,374 | 13,024 | 26,866 | 28,047 | 32,633 | | 同比（%） | -18.54% | 38.94% | 106.28% | 4.39% | 16.35% | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 1.05 | 1.39 | 1.52 | 1.59 | 1.85 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 13.36 | 10.12 | 9.23 | 8.84 | 7.60 | 证券研究报告·公司点评 ...

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·计算机设备 电科网安（002268） 2024 年年报和 2025 年一季报点评：符合市 场预期，"价值创造"重塑增长逻辑 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 3,073 | 2,467 | 2,843 | 3,276 | 3,776 | | 同比（%） | (10.62) | (19.71) | 15.23 | 15.24 | 15.25 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 348.76 | 158.15 | 201.71 | 264.88 | 365.05 | | 同比（%） | 13.74 | (54.65) | 27.54 | 31.32 | 37.82 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.41 | 0.19 | 0.24 | 0.31 | 0.43 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 35.98 | 79.35 | 62.22 | 47.38 | 34.3 ...

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·能源金属 雅化集团（002497） 2024 年报及 2025 一季报点评：自有矿即将 贡献利润，民爆业绩增速亮眼 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 11,895 | 7,716 | 9,456 | 11,909 | 15,206 | | 同比（%） | (17.72) | (35.14) | 22.55 | 25.94 | 27.69 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 40.22 | 257.12 | 808.12 | 1,281.52 | 1,942.01 | | 同比（%） | (99.11) | 539.36 | 214.30 | 58.58 | 51.54 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.03 | 0.22 | 0.70 | 1.11 | 1.68 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 324.72 | 50.79 | 16.16 | 10.19 | ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights a significant increase in net profit attributable to shareholders, with a year-on-year growth of 39.5% in Q1 2025, reaching 288 billion yuan [7][14] - The new business structure has notably improved, with the proportion of floating income business premiums rising to 51.7% in Q1 2025, a substantial increase compared to previous periods [7] - The company is expected to benefit from its competitive advantages as a leading player in the life insurance industry, with forecasts for net profit attributable to shareholders of 107.5 billion yuan, 112.0 billion yuan, and 120.5 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [7][18] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 344.27 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 53.53% in 2024 [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 106.93 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 131.56% [1] - The company's total investment assets grew by 3.1% to 6.82 billion yuan, while total investment income decreased by 16.8% to 53.8 billion yuan [7] - The weighted return on equity (ROE) improved to 5.5%, an increase of 1.2 percentage points year-on-year [7] Business Structure and Strategy - The company is actively diversifying its product offerings, focusing on floating income products, which are expected to enhance profitability [7] - The sales force remains stable, with a slight decrease in individual agents, but improvements in retention and recruitment rates are noted [7] - The "Seed Plan" initiative is being implemented to further enhance the quality and performance of the sales team [7] Valuation Metrics - The current market capitalization is approximately 1,024.03 billion yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 22.17 for 2023 [5][17] - The price-to-embedded value (PEV) is projected to be 0.68x for 2025, indicating that the stock is still undervalued [7][18]

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·商用车 江淮汽车（600418） 2025 年一季报点评：业绩符合预期，尊界 S800 上市在即 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 45,016 | 42,202 | 58,633 | 70,493 | 81,243 | | 同比（%） | 23.07 | (6.25) | 38.93 | 20.23 | 15.25 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 151.51 | (1,784.16) | 840.29 | 1,592.18 | 3,388.78 | | 同比（%） | 109.57 | - | - | 89.48 | 112.84 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.07 | (0.82) | 0.38 | 0.73 | 1.55 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 515.63 | - | 92.97 | 49.07 | 23.05 | [Table_T ...

广发证券（000776） 2025 年一季报点评：各业务板块收入均有增 长，自营及经纪表现亮眼 买入（维持） 证券研究报告·公司点评报告·证券 II | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 23,300 | 27,199 | 30,826 | 35,387 | 40,571 | | 同比（%） | -7.29% | 16.74% | 13.33% | 14.80% | 14.65% | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 6,978 | 9,637 | 12,137 | 14,469 | 17,006 | | 同比（%） | -12.00% | 38.11% | 25.94% | 19.21% | 17.54% | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.92 | 1.26 | 1.59 | 1.90 | 2.23 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 17.50 | 12.67 | 10.06 | 8.44 | 7.18 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 report shows a decline in total revenue by 14% year-on-year to 1 billion yuan, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 186% year-on-year to 31 million yuan [1] - The decline in revenue is attributed to reduced income from asset management technology services, risk and platform technology services, and operational and institutional technology services [7] - Investment income saw a significant increase of 2635% year-on-year to 55 million yuan, contributing to the overall profit despite the revenue drop [7] Revenue and Profit Analysis - Total revenue forecast for 2023A is 7,281 million yuan, with a projected decline in 2024A to 6,581 million yuan, followed by a recovery to 7,551 million yuan in 2025E [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 1,424 million yuan in 2023A, decreasing to 1,043 million yuan in 2024A, and then recovering to 1,199 million yuan in 2025E [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2023A is 0.75 yuan, projected to decrease to 0.55 yuan in 2024A, and then increase to 0.63 yuan in 2025E [1] Business Segment Performance - Wealth technology service revenue decreased by 5% year-on-year to 235 million yuan in Q1 2025 [7] - Asset management technology service revenue saw a significant decline of 34% year-on-year to 187 million yuan [7] - Operational and institutional technology service revenue decreased by 9% year-on-year to 212 million yuan [7] - Risk and platform technology service revenue decreased by 43% year-on-year to 56 million yuan [7] Cost Structure - Overall costs decreased, with operating costs down by 2% year-on-year to 362 million yuan [7] - Sales expenses decreased by 32% year-on-year to 85 million yuan, with a sales expense ratio of 8% [7] - Management expenses decreased by 11% year-on-year to 145 million yuan, with a management expense ratio of 14% [7] - Research and development expenses decreased by 11% year-on-year to 500 million yuan, with a research expense ratio of 49% [7] Future Outlook - The company maintains its previous performance forecasts, expecting net profits of 1.2 billion yuan, 1.4 billion yuan, and 1.7 billion yuan for 2025-2027, corresponding to P/E ratios of 46, 40, and 33 times respectively [7] - The overall recovery of the capital market is anticipated, although significant growth in technology investment from financial institutions has not yet been observed [7]

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·工程机械 浙江鼎力（603338） 2025 年一季报点评：归母净利润+42%略超 预期，盈利水平同环比修复 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 6,312 | 7,799 | 9,322 | 10,432 | 11,705 | | 同比（%） | 15.92 | 23.56 | 19.53 | 11.91 | 12.20 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 1,867 | 1,629 | 2,135 | 2,438 | 2,780 | | 同比（%） | 48.51 | (12.76) | 31.07 | 14.19 | 14.05 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 3.69 | 3.22 | 4.22 | 4.81 | 5.49 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 11.74 | 13.46 | 10.27 | 8.99 | 7.88 | [Table_Tag] ...

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·其他电源设备Ⅱ 英杰电气（300820） 2024 年报&2025 年一季报点评：业绩短期承 压，半导体射频电源打造新增长极 增持（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 1,770 | 1,780 | 2,119 | 2,555 | 3,205 | | 同比（%） | 37.99 | 0.59 | 19.03 | 20.58 | 25.45 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 431.42 | 322.76 | 401.30 | 497.76 | 633.77 | | 同比（%） | 27.23 | (25.19) | 24.34 | 24.04 | 27.32 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 1.95 | 1.46 | 1.81 | 2.25 | 2.86 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 20.66 | 27.62 | 22.21 | 17.91 | 14.06 | ...

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·电池 力佳科技（835237） 2024 年报&2025 一季报点评：2024 年锂价回 落带动毛利率回升，2025 年价格传导或有回 落 增持（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 381.94 | 381.62 | 419.79 | 461.77 | 507.95 | | 同比（%） | 14.14 | (0.08) | 10.00 | 10.00 | 10.00 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 44.61 | 73.22 | 58.59 | 65.42 | 73.35 | | 同比（%） | 13.85 | 64.13 | (19.99) | 11.65 | 12.13 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.67 | 1.10 | 0.88 | 0.98 | 1.10 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 46.19 | 28.14 | 35.17 | 31.50 | ...