证券研究报告·公司点评报告·通用设备 2025 年一季报点评：业绩短期承压，产能稳 步扩张注入长期成长性 增持（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 3,323 | 3,352 | 3,870 | 4,471 | 5,168 | | 同比（%） | 4.59 | 0.85 | 15.46 | 15.53 | 15.59 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 609.48 | 522.99 | 641.03 | 759.63 | 895.60 | | 同比（%） | 17.06 | (14.19) | 22.57 | 18.50 | 17.90 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 1.17 | 1.00 | 1.23 | 1.46 | 1.72 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 16.49 | 19.21 | 15.68 | 13.23 | 11.22 | [Table_Tag] [投资要点 Table_S ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a total revenue of 514.4 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 10.7% [7] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 268.5 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 11.6% [7] - The company is focusing on dual drivers of revenue growth from both Moutai liquor and series liquor, with a planned revenue increase of 9% for 2025 [7] - The company aims to optimize product and channel matching to explore revenue increments, maintaining stable pricing for Moutai liquor [7] Financial Forecasts - Total revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023A: 150,560 million yuan - 2024A: 174,144 million yuan - 2025E: 190,054 million yuan - 2026E: 206,830 million yuan - 2027E: 227,000 million yuan - Year-on-year growth rates for total revenue are projected at: - 2023A: 18.04% - 2024A: 15.66% - 2025E: 9.14% - 2026E: 8.83% - 2027E: 9.75% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted as follows: - 2023A: 74,734 million yuan - 2024A: 86,228 million yuan - 2025E: 93,203 million yuan - 2026E: 100,942 million yuan - 2027E: 110,276 million yuan - Year-on-year growth rates for net profit are projected at: - 2023A: 19.16% - 2024A: 15.38% - 2025E: 8.09% - 2026E: 8.30% - 2027E: 9.25% [1] Valuation Metrics - The latest diluted EPS (Earnings Per Share) estimates are: - 2023A: 59.49 yuan - 2024A: 68.64 yuan - 2025E: 74.19 yuan - 2026E: 80.35 yuan - 2027E: 87.79 yuan - The corresponding P/E (Price to Earnings) ratios are: - 2023A: 25.95 - 2024A: 22.49 - 2025E: 20.81 - 2026E: 19.21 - 2027E: 17.59 [1]

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·电池 天奈科技（688116） 2024 年报及 2025 一季报点评：业绩符合预 期，单壁碳管放量在即 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 1,404 | 1,448 | 2,174 | 2,902 | 3,867 | | 同比（%） | (23.75) | 3.13 | 50.15 | 33.45 | 33.27 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 297.16 | 250.20 | 450.04 | 652.68 | 912.76 | | 同比（%） | (29.96) | (15.80) | 79.88 | 45.03 | 39.85 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.86 | 0.73 | 1.31 | 1.89 | 2.65 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 47.22 | 56.08 | 31.18 | 21.50 | 15.37 | [Table ...

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·保险Ⅱ 新华保险（601336） 2025 年 04 月 30 日 证券分析师 孙婷 执业证书：S0600524120001 sunt@dwzq.com.cn 股价走势 2025 年一季报点评：新单保费、NBV、净利 润均表现亮眼 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入（百万元） | 71547 | 132555 | 138052 | 143499 | 149352 | | 同比（%） | -33.8% | 85.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 8712 | 26229 | 29196 | 30229 | 31352 | | 同比（%） | -59.5% | 201.1% | 11.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | | EV（元/股） | 80.30 | 82.85 | 90.72 | 99.66 | 109.66 | | PEV | 82 ...

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·保险Ⅱ 新华保险（601336） 2025 年 04 月 30 日 证券分析师 孙婷 执业证书：S0600524120001 sunt@dwzq.com.cn 股价走势 2025 年一季报点评：新单保费、NBV、净利 润均表现亮眼 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入（百万元） | 71547 | 132555 | 138052 | 143499 | 149352 | | 同比（%） | -33.8% | 85.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 8712 | 26229 | 29196 | 30229 | 31352 | | 同比（%） | -59.5% | 201.1% | 11.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | | EV（元/股） | 80.30 | 82.85 | 90.72 | 99.66 | 109.66 | | PEV | 82 ...

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·轨交设备Ⅱ 中国中车（601766） 2025 年一季报点评：25Q1 业绩实现高增，铁 路装备业务提供主要驱动力 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 234,262 | 246,457 | 273,163 | 293,684 | 313,940 | | 同比（%） | 5.08 | 5.21 | 10.84 | 7.51 | 6.90 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 11,712 | 12,388 | 13,808 | 14,880 | 16,034 | | 同比（%） | 0.50 | 5.77 | 11.47 | 7.77 | 7.75 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.41 | 0.43 | 0.48 | 0.52 | 0.56 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 17.45 | 16.50 | 14.80 | 13.73 | 12.74 | [Tab ...

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·电池 天奈科技（688116） 2024 年报及 2025 一季报点评：业绩符合预 期，单壁碳管放量在即 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 1,404 | 1,448 | 2,174 | 2,902 | 3,867 | | 同比（%） | (23.75) | 3.13 | 50.15 | 33.45 | 33.27 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 297.16 | 250.20 | 450.04 | 652.68 | 912.76 | | 同比（%） | (29.96) | (15.80) | 79.88 | 45.03 | 39.85 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.86 | 0.73 | 1.31 | 1.89 | 2.65 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 47.22 | 56.08 | 31.18 | 21.50 | 15.37 | [Table ...

证券研究报告 东吴证券晨会纪要 东吴证券晨会纪要 2025-04-30 宏观策略 [Table_MacroStrategy] 宏观深度报告 20250428：25Q1 固收+基金转债持仓十大亮点 特征 1：2025Q1，固收+基金规模整体为净申购，其中二级债基和可转债 基金的基金规模增幅相对更明显，受益于优异的净值表现，尤其是可转债 基金在 2025Q1 表现突出，整体跑赢其他固收+基金和中证转债指数，与 等权指数相当。 特征 2：观察大类资产配置情况，固收+基金多数降低了 杠杆率以及含权资产整体仓位，对其中转债、股票的配置变化不一。具体 来看，一级债基和二级债基相对稳健，降低了整体含权仓位的比例；转债 基金降低了股票仓位但提高转债仓位；而偏债混和灵活配置型基金则降 低了转债仓位，增加了股票仓位，弹性诉求或更强。按照基金波动性划分 看，高波基金提高了转债仓位，略微降低股票仓位；中低波基金的含权仓 位整体下降。 宏观量化经济指数周报 20250427：如何理解新的结构性货币政策工具和 新型政策性金融工具 从"量"和"价"两个方面拓宽流动性投放空间，结构性政策工具的"量 增、价降"也是"适度宽松"的重要内容。 本 ...

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·汽车服务 中国汽研（601965） 2024年报&2025一季报点评：业绩符合预期， 前沿布局持续跟进市场需求 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 4,096 | 4,697 | 5,471 | 6,322 | 7,365 | | 同比（%） | 24.48 | 14.65 | 16.50 | 15.55 | 16.50 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 836.17 | 907.78 | 1,114.41 | 1,275.21 | 1,437.57 | | 同比（%） | 21.33 | 8.56 | 22.76 | 14.43 | 12.73 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.83 | 0.90 | 1.11 | 1.27 | 1.43 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 22.77 | 20.98 | 17.09 | 14.93 | 13.25 | [Ta ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company achieved significant revenue growth in 2024, with total revenue reaching 7.914 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 97.70%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 670.34 million yuan, up 1,139.15% year-on-year [8] - The revenue growth was primarily driven by the core customer, Seres, which accounted for 53% of the company's revenue in 2024. The company has diversified its customer base, establishing strong partnerships with international automotive manufacturers such as Volkswagen, Daimler, and Audi, enhancing its order stability and market resilience [8] - The company is accelerating domestic substitution and has significant growth potential as a leading harness supplier. The new model M8 from Seres has received strong orders, which is expected to significantly boost performance once mass production begins [8] Financial Summary - The company forecasts revenue of 10 billion yuan in 2025 and 12.1 billion yuan in 2026, with expected year-on-year growth rates of 26% and 21%, respectively. The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 872 million yuan in 2025 and 1.091 billion yuan in 2026, with corresponding growth rates of 30% and 25% [8] - The gross profit margin for 2024 was 17.49%, an increase of 4.6 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to improved capacity utilization due to scale effects. The net profit margin was 8.47%, up 7.12 percentage points year-on-year [8] - The company's earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is projected at 1.53 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 19.63 based on the current price [1][9]