Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2][6][25] Core Views - The company's main brand shows steady growth, with a notable performance in professional sports, particularly in the children's segment, which is growing faster than the adult segment [6] - The company plans to optimize its multi-brand matrix by focusing on core running business and transitioning to a Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) model, which is expected to enhance its competitive position in the professional sports sector [6] - The company has healthy inventory levels and stable discount rates, maintaining its annual profit growth guidance of over 10% [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for FY2023 to FY2027 are as follows: - FY2023: 143 billion RMB - FY2024: 136 billion RMB - FY2025E: 146 billion RMB - FY2026E: 158 billion RMB - FY2027E: 169 billion RMB - Net profit forecasts for the same period are: - FY2023: 10.3 billion RMB - FY2024: 12.4 billion RMB - FY2025E: 13.7 billion RMB - FY2026E: 15.0 billion RMB - FY2027E: 16.3 billion RMB - The company expects a gross margin improvement, with projections of 42% in FY2023, increasing to 45% by FY2027 [5][6][16]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative return of over 20% within the next six months [6]. Core Insights - The company reported a mid-single-digit year-on-year growth in retail sales for its main brand in Q1 2025, with retail discounts ranging from 7% to 75% and channel inventory turnover of approximately four months. The subsidiary brand, Saucony, achieved over 40% year-on-year growth in retail sales [1]. - The company has been actively promoting public health and sports development since 2007, sponsoring 44 top marathon and road running events across China in 2024, including the prestigious Xiamen Marathon [2]. - The company aims to enhance its direct-to-consumer (DTC) business model to foster deeper and more personalized interactions with customers, thereby increasing brand loyalty and retention rates [3]. - Saucony has quickly become a prominent player in the running market, ranking among the top three in terms of wearing rates in Chinese marathons. The DTC strategy has driven over 100% compound annual growth in the professional sports segment's revenue from 2020 to 2024 [4]. Financial Projections - The company forecasts revenues of RMB 14.7 billion, RMB 15.8 billion, and RMB 17 billion for the years 2025 to 2027, with net profits of RMB 1.36 billion, RMB 1.52 billion, and RMB 1.69 billion respectively. Corresponding EPS is projected to be RMB 0.49, RMB 0.55, and RMB 0.61, with PE ratios of 9x, 8x, and 8x [5].

国补红利稳健释放，延续 24Q4 良好趋势 ——京东 25Q1 前瞻点评 核心观点 盈利预测与投资建议 ⚫ 我们调整盈利预测，预测公司 25-27 年收入为 12591/13323/13891 亿元（原 25-26 年预测为 12586/13322 亿元，因带电类收入提速上调收入预测），经调整归母净利 润为 478/504/527 亿元（原 25-26 年预测为 483/510 亿元，因新业务投入加大下调利 润）。参考可比公司，维持京东零售 2025 年 11xPE，分部估值计算公司市值 6094 亿元，对应每股股价 205.93 港元（人民币兑港币汇率 1.08），维持"买入"评级。 执业证书编号：S0860525030001 | | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 1,084,662 | 1,158,819 | 1,259,138 | 1,332,346 | 1,389,115 | | 同比增长 (%) | 3.67% | 6.84% | 8.66% | ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for XPeng Motors (9868.HK) is not explicitly stated in the provided documents, but the report indicates a positive outlook on the company's new car cycle and financial improvements [2][3]. Core Viewpoints - The financial performance of XPeng Motors is showing continuous improvement, with a revenue of 40.87 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 33.2%, and a net loss of 5.79 billion yuan, which is an improvement of 44.2% year-on-year [2][3]. - The company has expanded its sales network to 690 stores across 226 cities, achieving a vehicle delivery volume of 190,000 units in 2024, a growth of 34.2% year-on-year [3]. - The launch of popular models is expected to drive rapid sales growth, with a significant increase in deliveries in Q1 2025, totaling 94,000 vehicles, a staggering 331% year-on-year increase [3]. - XPeng Motors is exploring long-term growth opportunities through advancements in smart driving technology, international expansion, flying cars, and robotics, indicating a broad potential for future development [3]. - Profit forecasts suggest that the company will achieve a net profit of -0.94 billion yuan in 2025, followed by positive profits of 2.51 billion yuan in 2026 and 6.91 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding EPS of -0.49, 1.32, and 3.63 yuan [3][4]. Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, XPeng Motors reported total revenue of 40.87 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 33% [4]. - The gross margin for 2024 was 14.3%, an increase of 12.8 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin improved to -14.2%, narrowing by 19.7 percentage points [3][4]. - The company expects significant revenue growth in the coming years, with projected revenues of 92.49 billion yuan in 2025 and 143.48 billion yuan in 2026 [4]. Sales and Market Expansion - The company has successfully expanded its sales network and is set to increase its international presence, aiming to enter 60 countries by 2025 [3]. - The introduction of new models, such as the MONA M03 and P7+, is anticipated to enhance sales performance significantly [3]. Long-term Growth Potential - XPeng Motors is investing in smart driving technology and has plans for flying cars and robotics, indicating a commitment to innovation and diversification [3]. - The company is also building a production facility for flying vehicles, with an expected annual capacity of 10,000 units [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative return of over 20% within the next six months [6]. Core Insights - The company reported a mid-single-digit year-on-year growth in retail sales for its main brand in Q1 2025, with retail discounts ranging from 7% to 75% and channel inventory turnover of approximately four months. The subsidiary brand, Saucony, achieved over 40% year-on-year growth in retail sales [1]. - The company has been actively promoting public health and sports development since 2007, sponsoring 44 top marathon and road running events across China in 2024, including the prestigious Xiamen Marathon [2]. - The company aims to enhance its direct-to-consumer (DTC) business model to foster deeper and more personalized interactions with customers, thereby increasing brand loyalty and retention rates [3]. - Saucony has quickly become a prominent player in the running market, ranking among the top three in terms of wear rate in Chinese marathons. The DTC strategy has driven over 100% compound annual growth in the professional sports segment's revenue from 2020 to 2024, achieving breakeven in 2023 [4]. Financial Projections - The company forecasts revenues of 14.7 billion RMB, 15.8 billion RMB, and 17 billion RMB for the years 2025 to 2027, with net profits of 1.36 billion RMB, 1.52 billion RMB, and 1.69 billion RMB respectively. Corresponding EPS is projected to be 0.49 RMB, 0.55 RMB, and 0.61 RMB, with PE ratios of 9x, 8x, and 8x [5].

国补红利稳健释放，延续 24Q4 良好趋势 ——京东 25Q1 前瞻点评 核心观点 盈利预测与投资建议 ⚫ 我们调整盈利预测，预测公司 25-27 年收入为 12591/13323/13891 亿元（原 25-26 年预测为 12586/13322 亿元，因带电类收入提速上调收入预测），经调整归母净利 润为 478/504/527 亿元（原 25-26 年预测为 483/510 亿元，因新业务投入加大下调利 润）。参考可比公司，维持京东零售 2025 年 11xPE，分部估值计算公司市值 6094 亿元，对应每股股价 205.93 港元（人民币兑港币汇率 1.08），维持"买入"评级。 风险提示：政策效果不及预期，新业务亏损不及预期，行业竞争加剧 公司主要财务信息 | | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 1,084,662 | 1,158,819 | 1,259,138 | 1,332,346 | 1,389,115 | | 同比增长 (%) | 3.67% ...

证券研究报告 公司研究 [Table_ReportType] 公司点评报告 [Table_StockAndRank] 小鹏汽车-W（9868.HK） 投资评级 上次评级 [Table_A 邓健全 uthor 汽车行业首席分析师 ] 执业编号：S1500525010002 联系电话：13613012393 邮 箱：dengjianquan@cindas.com 赵悦媛 汽车行业联席首席分析师 执业编号：S1500525030001 联系电话：13120151000 邮 箱：zhaoyueyuan@cindasc.com 赵启政 汽车行业高级分析师 执业编号：S1500525030004 联系电话：17888836075 邮 箱：zhaoqizheng@cindasc.com 丁泓婧 汽车行业分析师 执业编号：S1500524100004 联系电话：13062621910 邮 箱：dinghongjing@cindasc.com 徐国铨 汽车行业研究助理 邮 箱：xuguoquan@cindasc.com 邮 箱：dengjianquan@cindas.com 赵悦媛 汽车行业联席首席分析师 执业编号：S1500 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Alibaba Group [3][10]. Core Views - Alibaba Cloud's ecosystem is continuously improving, with accelerated deployment of AI agents. Revenue forecasts for FY2025-2027 are projected at 10027, 10542, and 11445 million yuan, respectively, with adjusted net profits of 1571, 1638, and 1809 million yuan [2][10]. - The company's market capitalization is estimated at 27957 million yuan, corresponding to a per-share value of 157.65 HKD [8][21]. Financial Performance Summary - For FY2025, total revenue is expected to reach 1002754 million yuan, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 6.54%. The adjusted net profit is projected at 132049 million yuan, with a significant increase of 65.60% compared to the previous year [9][11]. - The report highlights a steady increase in operating profit, with a forecast of 133751 million yuan for FY2025, representing an 18.00% growth [9][11]. Business Segment Analysis - **Taobao Group**: Revenue is expected to be 446799 million yuan in FY2025, with a year-over-year growth of 2.74% [11][21]. - **Cloud Intelligence Group**: Anticipated to experience a high growth cycle due to increased domestic AI computing demand, with a projected market value of 8500 million yuan [13][21]. - **International Digital Commerce Group**: Currently in an expansion phase, projected to have a market value of 1691 million yuan based on a PS valuation method [15][21]. - **Cainiao Group**: Expected to achieve a market value of 121 billion yuan, reflecting a stable profitability trend [17][21]. - **Local Life Group**: Valued at 1510 million yuan, utilizing a PS valuation method due to its current lack of profitability [19][21]. - **Entertainment Group**: Estimated market value of 449 million yuan, based on a PS valuation of its subsidiaries [20][21].

港股公司报告 | 公司点评 公司发布 25Q1 业绩公告 九兴控股（01836） 证券研究报告 25Q1 预计量增价减 由于高基数效应，公司收入同比减少 2.2%至 3.3 亿美元。 制造业务 25Q1 收入 3.2 亿美元，同比-1.8%，其中出货量同比+3.4%至 1210 万双，受运动类别所带动；ASP 同比-5.0%至 26.4 美元/双，主要由于平均 售价较低的运动产品订单占比较高所致。 生产工艺与效率：具备高端联名款和限量款生产能力，快反能力强，能够 迅速响应客户订单。 公司 2024 年已实现经营利润率 OPM 约 11.9%，提前达成三年规划 （2023-2025）目标。 公司已建议支付 6000 万美元现金作为 2024 年特别股息，并仍承诺于 2025 年及 2026 年除维持在通常水平 70%的派息率派付定期股息（包括末期股息 及中期股息）外，将通过结合股份回购及派付特别股息的方式向股东返还 每年最多 6000 万美元的额外现金。 具备开发设计能力及核心生产工艺，产能全球布局 开发设计能力：公司拥有强大的研发能力和自主设计能力，能够快速响应 市场需求，开发高附加值产品。 归母净利润 1. ...

可灵 2.0 模型全新发布，看好广告营销、 UGC、影视创意等多行业赋能 核心观点 盈利预测与投资建议 ⚫ 我们维持此前预测，预计 24-26 年公司经调整归母净利润为 177/194/229 亿元。参 考可比公司，维持此前给予公司 25 年 16xPE 估值，25 年经调整净利润 194 亿元， 对应合理价值为 3,107 亿 CNY/ 3,345 亿 HKD（汇率 0.929），目标价 77.61 港元/ 股，维持"买入"评级。 风险提示 宏观消费恢复不及预期，国内商业化效率不及预期，海外业务亏损加大 快手-W 01024.HK 公司研究 | 动态跟踪 | | 买入（维持） | | --- | --- | | 股价（2025年04月17日） | 50.05 港元 | | 目标价格 | 77.61 港元 | | 52 周最高价/最低价 | 68.9/37.55 港元 | | 总股本/流通 H 股（万股） | 430,956/357,094 | | H 股市值（百万港币） | 215,693 | | 国家/地区 | 中国 | | 行业 | 传媒 | | 报告发布日期 | 2025 年 04 月 18 日 | ...