Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 1.93 [4][6]. Core Insights - The company's operating profit for Q1 2025 increased by 0.2% year-on-year to HKD 430 million, which is significantly lower than the 30.8% growth seen in Q1 2024. The operating profit margin decreased by 0.6 percentage points to 20.7% [1][11]. - Total revenue for Q1 2025 grew by 3.0% year-on-year to HKD 2.09 billion, also lower than the 17.8% growth in Q1 2024. Revenue from Hong Kong and Macau increased by 9.8% to HKD 1.36 billion, accounting for 64.9% of total revenue [1][11]. - New contract signings for Q1 2025 rose by 0.6% year-on-year to HKD 3.72 billion, which is below the 4.9% growth in Q1 2024. The company secured several high-quality curtain wall projects [2][11]. Financial Summary - The company reported actual revenues of HKD 7.67 billion in 2022, with projections of HKD 9.55 billion for 2025 and HKD 11.33 billion for 2026, reflecting growth rates of 17.9% and 18.6% respectively [5][12]. - Shareholder net profit was HKD 422 million in 2022, expected to rise to HKD 727 million in 2025 and HKD 905 million in 2026, with growth rates of 11.7% and 24.5% respectively [5][12]. - The forecasted price-to-earnings ratio for FY25 is 4.4 times, indicating a low valuation compared to the target price [4][6].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Insights - The company is developing a 720 billion parameter large-scale autonomous driving model, named "Xiaopeng World Base Model," which aims to significantly enhance the intelligence of AI vehicles and support various applications such as AI robots and flying cars [2][4][8]. - The company has established a robust AI infrastructure, including a computing cluster with a cloud capacity of 10 EFLOPS, which is crucial for building a "cloud model factory" [8][30]. - The company has achieved significant milestones in AI development, including the successful implementation of scaling laws in autonomous driving, demonstrating that larger models yield better performance [36][41]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Xiaopeng Motors is focusing on AI-driven autonomous driving technology, with a significant investment in developing a large-scale model that is 35 times the parameter size of mainstream models [27][30]. AI Infrastructure - The company has built the first 10,000-car intelligent computing cluster in the domestic automotive industry, achieving a cloud computing capacity of 10 EFLOPS, with a high operational efficiency of over 90% [8][25]. - The data infrastructure has been self-developed to enhance data access efficiency, with video data for training the base model currently at 20 million clips, expected to increase to 200 million clips by the end of the year [30][20]. Technological Advancements - The company is leveraging a multi-modal model that incorporates visual understanding, chain reasoning, and action generation capabilities, which are essential for achieving L3 and L4 level autonomous driving [8][23]. - The company has initiated the training of the 72 billion parameter base model, focusing on reinforcement learning to enhance the model's performance and adaptability [45][50]. Market Position - The company is positioned to benefit from a new vehicle launch cycle in 2025, with multiple new models expected to drive sales growth [8][30]. - The anticipated revenue for 2025 is projected to be 99.1 billion, corresponding to a price-to-sales ratio of 1.4X, indicating a strong market outlook [8].

证券研究报告 2025年04月15日 乘用车 小鹏汽车-W(9868.HK)公司深度报告： 新车大周期开启，智驾助力出海塑造成长新动力 评级：买入(维持) 陈梦竹(证券分析师) 詹广鹏(证券分析师) S0350521090003 S0350524030005 chenmz@ghzq.com.cn zhangp03@ghzq.com.cn 最近一年走势 -34% 24% 82% 140% 198% 256% 2024/04/15 2024/06/15 2024/08/15 2024/10/15 2024/12/15 2025/02/15 小鹏汽车-W 恒生指数 | 市场数据 | 2025/04/14 | | --- | --- | | 当前价格（港元） | 81.10 | | 52周价格区间（港元） | 25.50-106.00 | | 总市值（百万港元） | 154,175.04 | | 流通市值（百万港元） | 154,175.04 | | 总股本（万股） | 190,104.85 | | 流通股本（万股） | 190,104.85 | | 日均成交额（百万） | 2,743.77 | | 近一月换手（%） ...

证券研究报告 | 公司点评 | 医疗美容 ❑ 24 年年报：业绩符合预期，未来 3 年高分红+股权激励彰显发展信心。 24 年业绩符合预期。24 年收入/净利润 25.7/2.5 亿元，同比+19.9%/+9.7%。 24 年 毛利率/净利率 46.3%/9.8%，同比+0.7pp/-0.9pp。销售/管理/研发费用率同比 +0.3pp/+0.2pp/-0.2pp。 公司承诺，自公告日起未来三个完整财年期间将不少于 50%的归母净利用于分 红，也将充分利用管理层股权激励计划，考核指标涵盖未来三年营业收入及利润 提升。 ❑ 基石业务内生稳健增长，医美新客拓展持续，女性特护超预期增长。 24 年收入拆分：生美及保健 56%+医美 36%+亚健康医疗服务 8%。 1） 生美及保健：基石业务内生稳健增长，加码身体护理与智能美养。 24 年收入 14.4 亿（+21%，括号内为同比，下同），毛利率 40.7%（+1.1pcts），具 体来看：①量为主要驱动，全年到店人次/活跃会员人数同增 19.5%/45%。②直营 /加盟收入同增 21%/21%，门店数量分别为 239/276 家。③公司于 24H2 收购奈瑞 儿，新 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Hold" rating with a target price of HKD 3.0 per share, indicating a potential upside of 14.5% from the current price of HKD 2.62 [5][16]. Core Views - The company's main brands are currently in a period of adjustment, and the effectiveness and sustainability of these changes need further observation. The company continues to be affected by external environmental factors [5][16]. - The first quarter of 2025 shows slight improvements in operations, although the overall performance remains under pressure due to external conditions [3][7]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the turnover rates for the main brands were 3.1, 2.6, and 2.6 times per day for Tai Er, Song Hotpot, and Jiu Mao Jiu respectively, showing year-on-year declines of -0.8, -0.4, and -0.4 times per day. Compared to Q4 2024, there were slight improvements [3][7]. - Same-store daily sales decreased year-on-year by -21.2%, -24.2%, and -18.6% for the respective brands, but the decline showed slight improvement compared to Q4 2024 [3][7]. - Average customer spending was RMB 72, RMB 100, and RMB 56 for the three brands, with year-on-year changes of -1.4%, -13.8%, and -1.8% respectively, indicating some stabilization [3][7]. Store Expansion and Strategy - The company is pursuing a cautious expansion strategy while closing underperforming stores. In Q1 2025, Tai Er opened 1 new store in Hong Kong and closed 26 underperforming stores, while Song Hotpot opened 3 and closed 2. Jiu Mao Jiu closed 2 stores without opening new ones [3][8]. - As of the end of Q1 2025, the total number of stores was 780, with Tai Er having 610, Song Hotpot 81, and Jiu Mao Jiu 69 [8]. Customer Experience Initiatives - Tai Er is focusing on enhancing customer experience by launching new products and a "Heartfelt Service Plan." In March 2025, a new "Fresh" store model was introduced to improve customer satisfaction and dining experience [4][15]. - Song Hotpot has upgraded its product offerings and dining environment to be more customer-friendly, enhancing customer loyalty through promotional activities [4][15]. Earnings Forecast - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be RMB 0.1, RMB 0.15, and RMB 0.24 respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 25.4, 16.7, and 10.1 [6][16].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [4] Core Views - The report discusses the valuation and growth potential of the company, 毛戈平, in the context of international luxury beauty brands and domestic new consumption trends. It highlights the company's unique brand culture and competitive advantages in the high-end beauty market, suggesting that it is well-positioned to capture market share and achieve stable growth [1][8]. Summary by Sections International Beauty Giants - International beauty giants like L'Oréal, Estée Lauder, and Shiseido have maintained stable growth and valuation premiums due to their comprehensive brand matrices and global strategies. L'Oréal's average PE from 2015 to 2024 is 38 times, with a revenue and net profit CAGR of 6.5% and 7.7% respectively [2][3]. - Estée Lauder has focused on youthfulness and high-end branding, achieving an average PE of 80 times from 2020 to 2022, but faced significant volatility post-2021 due to market changes [2]. - Shiseido's strategy of focusing on mid-to-high-end products and global expansion has led to a peak PE exceeding 100 times, although it has faced challenges in revenue and profit stability in recent years [3]. Domestic New Consumption - The rise of domestic brands reflects increased cultural confidence and changing consumer demands. Brands like 毛戈平, 老铺黄金, and 泡泡玛特 have capitalized on cultural recognition and competitive scarcity, leading to significant stock performance [4]. - 毛戈平 is highlighted as a rare high-end domestic beauty brand with substantial growth potential, leveraging its founder's cultural IP and a professional product matrix to establish a strong market position [8]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 50.54 billion, 65.03 billion, and 82.58 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with net profits of 11.85 billion, 15.06 billion, and 19.18 billion yuan respectively. The compound annual growth rate for net profit from 2024 to 2027 is estimated at 29.6% [9]. - The expected EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 2.42, 3.07, and 3.91 yuan, corresponding to PE ratios of 41.53, 32.68, and 25.67 times [9]. Competitive Advantages - 毛戈平's unique brand culture and high-end product offerings create a competitive moat in the domestic beauty market. The company is expanding its product matrix and has begun exploring overseas markets, with initial revenues from international sales already noted [8][9].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Hold" rating with a target price of HKD 3.0 per share, indicating a potential upside of 14.5% from the current price of HKD 2.62 [5][16]. Core Views - The company's main brands are currently in a period of adjustment, and the effectiveness and sustainability of these changes need further observation. The company continues to be affected by external environmental factors [5][16]. - The first quarter of 2025 shows slight improvements in operations, with the main brands experiencing marginal increases in table turnover rates compared to the previous quarter, although year-on-year comparisons remain negative [3][7]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the table turnover rates for the main brands were 3.1 for Tai Er, 2.6 for Song Hotpot, and 2.6 for Jiu Mao Jiu, reflecting year-on-year declines of -0.8, -0.4, and -0.4 times per day respectively. Compared to Q4 2024, there were slight improvements [3][7]. - Same-store daily sales decreased year-on-year by -21.2%, -24.2%, and -18.6% for the respective brands, but showed slight improvement compared to Q4 2024 [3][7]. - The average customer spending per visit was 72, 100, and 56 yuan for the three brands, with year-on-year changes of -1.4%, -13.8%, and -1.8% respectively, indicating some stabilization [3][7]. Store Expansion and Strategy - The company is pursuing a cautious expansion strategy while closing underperforming stores. In Q1 2025, Tai Er opened 1 new store in Hong Kong and closed 26 underperforming stores, while Song Hotpot opened 3 and closed 2. Jiu Mao Jiu closed 2 stores without opening new ones [8][3]. - As of the end of Q1 2025, the total number of stores was 780, with Tai Er having 610, Song Hotpot 81, and Jiu Mao Jiu 69 [8][3]. Customer Experience Focus - Tai Er is focusing on enhancing customer experience by launching new initiatives and a "Fresh" store model in March 2025 to improve customer satisfaction and dining experience [4][15]. - Song Hotpot has upgraded its product offerings and dining environment to be more customer-friendly, aiming to increase customer loyalty through various promotional activities [4][15]. Earnings Forecast - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 0.1, 0.15, and 0.24 yuan respectively, with a corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 19 times for 2026 [5][16].

Equity Research Report | Company Research Report TMT | AI Infra/SaaS STRONG BUY (REIT) | HKD101.0 PT 15 April 2025 | HSI | 21,417.4 | | --- | --- | | HSTECH | 5,015.12 | | Key Data | | | Closing price (HKD) | 41.75 | | 52-week High/Low (HKD) | 144/32.4 | | Market Cap (HK$bn) | 107.12 | | Avg 3m Daily Volume | 4,478,140 | Analyst Head of TMT Research Chan Kwok Keung SFC No：BUL892 winson.chan@usmarthk.com Marketingforce (2556.HK) - FY24 Results Review ❑ Revenue +26.5% YoY. Gross Profit +16.9% YoY. Adj. Net Pr ...

证券研究报告 | 2025年04月15日 阿里巴巴-W（09988.HK） 4QFY25 前瞻：淘天保持货币化率提升，云收入加速 优于大市 |  | 公司研究·海外公司快评 |  | 互联网·互联网Ⅱ |  | 投资评级：优于大市（维持） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 证券分析师： | 张伦可 | 0755-81982651 | | zhanglunke@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码：S0980521120004 | | 证券分析师： | 张昊晨 | | | zhanghaochen1@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码：S0980525010001 | 事项： 阿里巴巴即将发布 2025 财年第四季度财报。 国信互联网观点：1）整体：预计 4QFY25 收入同比+7%，经调整 EBITA 利润率 13%。其中淘天/国际数字 商业/云智能集团/本地生活/菜鸟/大文娱收入增速分别为 5%/27%/20%/12%/1%/7%，经调整 EBITA 利润率 同比+2pcts，主要反映出非淘天业务亏损持续性收窄。2）淘天集团：预计 FY25Q ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for JD Logistics with a target price of HK$23.28, indicating a potential upside of 100% from the current price of HK$11.62 [1][2][7]. Core Insights - JD Logistics is expected to benefit from the resilience of the Chinese economy, with a projected revenue growth of 10% year-on-year for Q1 2025, driven by government subsidies for electronic products and home appliances [6][8]. - The company is focusing on automation, self-operated fleet construction, and cost-reduction measures, which are expected to stabilize its net profit margin [6][8]. - Despite the potential negative impact of the US-China trade tensions, JD Logistics has limited direct exposure to international trade, which mitigates the risks associated with tariff increases [6][7]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for JD Logistics are as follows: RMB 199,540 million for 2025E (+3% from previous estimates) and RMB 216,070 million for 2026E (+4%) [5]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025E is RMB 1.18, with a gradual increase to RMB 1.56 by 2027E [2][8]. - The company's financial performance shows a significant increase in net profit from RMB 1,985 million in 2023A to RMB 7,353 million in 2025E [8]. Valuation - The current valuation of JD Logistics is attractive, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 9.2x for 2025E, which may decrease further if the acquisition of the remaining 36% stake in Cross-border Express is completed successfully [7][8]. - The report emphasizes that the valuation attractiveness can offset potential negative impacts from external tariff environments [7].