证券研究报告：机械设备 | 公司点评报告 股票投资评级 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 公司基本情况 | 最新收盘价（元） | 11.17 | | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本（亿股）5.08 | / 4.69 | | 总市值/流通市值（亿元）57 | / 52 | | 52 周内最高/最低价 | 14.50 / 9.36 | | 资产负债率(%) | 42.2% | | 市盈率 | 19.23 | | 第一大股东 | 宁波聚源瑞利创业投资 | | | 合伙企业(有限合伙) | 研究所 分析师:刘卓 SAC 登记编号:S1340522110001 Email:liuzhuo@cnpsec.com 分析师:虞洁攀 SAC 登记编号:S1340523050002 Email:yujiepan@cnpsec.com 江苏神通(002438) 业绩符合预期，核电订单同比高增 l 投资要点 事件：公司披露 2024 年年报和 2025 年一季报。 业绩符合预期，稳健增长。2024 年，公司实现营收 21.43 亿元， 同比+0.48%；实现归母净利润 2.95 亿元，同比+9.68%；实现扣非归 母净利 ...

新特电气（301120.SZ）深度报告 特种变压器龙头，AIDC 新机遇拾级而上 2025 年 05 月 14 日 ➢ 高压变频用变压器领军企业，积极拓展工商业储能第二成长曲线。1985 年 公司前身北京新华都电抗器厂成立，自成立以来公司持续专注于以变频用变压器 为核心的各式特种变压器、电力变压器、电抗器等。公司是高压变频器配套的变 频用变压器国产替代先驱，2004 年公司成功研制高绝缘等级（H 级）变频用变 压器，打破国外同类产品的垄断，实现进口替代。2020 年公司在高压变频器配 套的变频用变压器市场占有率超过 25%，占据较大的市场份额。2022 年 12 月， 公司投资设立控股公司苏州华储，并依赖苏州华储全面发力储能市场，可为客户 提供从方案设计到储能升压一体舱集成等一站式服务。 ➢ 高压变频器用变压器壁垒较高，公司发力数据中心、电动船舶、石化等增量 市场。变频器可实现高效调速，高压变频器用的高压变压器主要为高压隔离移相 变压器，在变频器中成本占比约 29%，各个部件间绝缘难度高、干扰大、谐波干 扰强，技术壁垒远大于中低压变频器。超大型数据中心需要配置高压变压器，且 HV 变压器通常是定制制造的，交付 ...

证券研究报告/公司研究 银轮股份：汽车热管理老牌龙头，液冷行业新星 投资要点 ➢ 热管理行业龙头，产品多元化发展 银轮股份深耕热管理行业四十余年，多轮战略精准判断行业趋势，2005-2024 年营 业收入复合增速达 19%。公司前身是 1958 年成立的天台机械厂，公司抓住商用车 国产化替代需求进入热交换领域；2007 年深交所上市；2010 年后，商用车业务增 速放缓，公司进行全球化拓展与多产品领域延伸，从商用车延伸至乘用车、工业换 热、尾气处理等领域；2017 年公司成立新能源乘用车事业部，2018 年起公布二次 创业计划，大力发展新能源乘用车业务；2023 年公司正式成立数字能源事业部，包 含储能和数据中心液冷产品等，作为第三成长曲线。 ➢ 储能+数据中心+超充多点开花，液冷行业"从1到N"放量在即 数据中心液冷：功耗、政策、成本驱动，预计2025年中国市场规模140亿元。单芯 片功耗和机柜功率密度持续提升，超过传统风冷上限；政策严控PUE值；芯片端、 服务器端、运营商端出于对全生命周期成本的追求，协同推进液冷应用。 储能液冷：渗透率持续提升，预计2025年中国市场规模121.5亿元。随着电池能量 密度 ...

公司基本情况 | 最新收盘价（元） | 11.17 | | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本（亿股）5.08 | / 4.69 | | 总市值/流通市值（亿元）57 | / 52 | | 周内最高/最低价 52 | 14.50 / 9.36 | | 资产负债率(%) | 42.2% | | 市盈率 | 19.23 | | 第一大股东 | 宁波聚源瑞利创业投资 | | | 合伙企业(有限合伙) | 研究所 分析师:刘卓 SAC 登记编号:S1340522110001 Email:liuzhuo@cnpsec.com 分析师:虞洁攀 SAC 登记编号:S1340523050002 Email:yujiepan@cnpsec.com 江苏神通(002438) 证券研究报告：机械设备 | 公司点评报告 股票投资评级 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 业绩符合预期，核电订单同比高增 l 投资要点 事件：公司披露 2024 年年报和 2025 年一季报。 业绩符合预期，稳健增长。2024 年，公司实现营收 21.43 亿元， 同比+0.48%；实现归母净利润 2.95 亿元，同比+9.68%；实现扣非归 母净利 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Add-A" investment rating for the company [1][8] Core Views - The company experienced significant revenue growth in 2024, achieving 6.695 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 86.46%, and a net profit of 161 million yuan, up 125.82% [3][4] - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 1.543 billion yuan, a decline of 10.62% year-on-year, and a net loss of 197 million yuan, a decrease of 217.87% [3][4] - The decline in Q1 performance is attributed to lower-than-expected demand in H2 2024 and a drop in storage prices, compounded by a high base effect from Q1 2024 [4] - The report suggests that Q1 2025 may represent the bottom of the company's performance, with a recovery expected due to rising storage prices and increased demand from AI applications [4][5] Financial Performance - The company’s basic and diluted earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 were -0.46 yuan, with a net asset value per share of 5.35 yuan and a return on equity (ROE) of -8.91% [2] - Forecasted EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.03 yuan, 1.79 yuan, and 2.57 yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 61.2, 35.2, and 24.6 [8][10] - The company is expected to see a revenue increase to 8.546 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 27.6% [10] Market Trends and Strategic Positioning - The company is actively expanding its AI edge products, including high-performance storage technologies for AI smartphones, AIPC, and AI glasses, with a projected revenue exceeding 1 billion yuan in 2024 from these products, a growth of approximately 294% year-on-year [5] - The report highlights the company's competitive advantage through self-developed main control chips, firmware algorithms, and advanced packaging capabilities [5][6] - The company is advancing its wafer-level packaging project, expected to be operational in H2 2025, which will enhance its service offerings in the integrated storage and advanced packaging market [6][7]

证券研究报告：汽车 | 公司点评报告 发布时间：2025-05-14 股票投资评级 增持|维持 个股表现 -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 2024-05 2024-07 2024-10 2024-12 2025-02 2025-05 中汽股份 汽车 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 公司基本情况 | 最新收盘价（元） | 5.97 | | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本（亿股）13.22 / 13.22 | | | 总市值/流通市值（亿元）79 / 79 | | | 52 周内最高/最低价 | 7.06 / 4.92 | | 资产负债率(%) | 16.5% | | 市盈率 | 45.92 | | 第一大股东 | 中国汽车技术研究中心 | | 有限公司 | | 研究所 分析师:付秉正 SAC 登记编号:S1340524100004 Email:fubingzheng@cnpsec.com 中汽股份(301215) AEBS 强标征求意见，二期试验场投产贡献增量 ⚫ 投资要点 事件：近日，工信部对强制性智能网联汽车标准《轻型汽车自动 紧急制动系 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a market price of RMB 126.11 and a sector rating of outperforming the market [2][4]. Core Insights - The company has shown significant revenue and profit growth in 2024, driven by a recovery in storage market prices and breakthroughs in high-end products, indicating potential for accelerated growth [4][6]. - The company is expected to benefit from a recovery in storage prices and an expanding downstream market, with strategic planning likely to yield results in the medium to long term [6][9]. Financial Performance Summary - The company achieved a revenue of RMB 4,773 million in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 168.7%, and a net profit of RMB 351 million, up 1,302.3% year-on-year [8][9]. - For 2025, the company is projected to generate revenues of RMB 7,263 million and a net profit of RMB 526 million, with corresponding PE ratios of 38.8 [6][8]. - The company's gross margin for 2024 was 17.75%, an increase of 1.09 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 7.35%, up 5.94 percentage points year-on-year [9]. Market Dynamics - The storage market is expected to stabilize and gradually recover in 2025, with emerging demands from AI and automotive electronics driving growth [9]. - The company is positioned to leverage the trend of domestic storage product localization, enhancing its competitive edge in the market [9].

交通运输 | 证券研究报告 — 调整盈利预测 2025 年 5 月 14 日 600755.SH 厦门国贸控股集团有限公司（%） 37.82 资料来源：公司公告， Wind ，中银证券 以 2025 年 5 月 12 日收市价为标准 相关研究报告 《厦门国贸》20241129 《厦门国贸》20240201 《厦门国贸》20231117 中银国际证券股份有限公司 具备证券投资咨询业务资格 增持 原评级：增持 市场价格:人民币 6.40 板块评级:强于大市 股价表现 (%) 今年 至今 1 个月 3 个月 12 个月 绝对 (2.0) 2.3 (1.4) (18.8) 相对上证综指 (4.5) (2.6) (2.6) (24.7) 发行股数 (百万) 2,167.46 流通股 (百万) 2,132.16 总市值 (人民币 百万) 13,611.67 3 个月日均交易额 (人民币 百万) 98.00 主要股东 (26%) (18%) (11%) (4%) 4% 11% May-24 Jun-24 Jul-24 Aug-24 Sep-24 Oct-24 Nov-24 Dec-24 Jan-25 Feb-25 Mar- ...

2025 年 5 月 13 日 公司研究 离子交换树脂龙头企业，新产能投产在即，国产替代主力军 ——争光股份（301092.SZ）首次覆盖报告 要点 深耕离子交换与吸附树脂三十载，技术攻坚引领行业发展。公司成立于 1996 年， 近三十年深耕离子交换与吸附树脂领域，形成集研发、生产及销售于一体的全方 位布局。公司现有控股子公司 6 个，主要生产基地 3 个。目前，公司已稳居国 内离子交换与吸附树脂行业一线地位，主导或参与起草多项国家及行业标准，并 作为中国膜工业协会离子交换树脂分会高级副会长单位，持续引领行业技术升 级。此外，公司作为国际水质协会(WQA)成员单位，技术实力与品牌影响力获国 际权威认可。依托国产替代趋势及高端领域产能扩张战略，公司正加速推进成为 全球吸附分离材料领域的领军企业。 荆门项目投产在即，公司竞争优势有望扩大。公司目前拥有年产 19750 吨离子 交换与吸附树脂、2300 吨大孔吸附树脂以及 15000 吨食品级精处理树脂的设计 产能。公司正积极布局未来发展，在湖北荆门投资建设功能性高分子新材料项目， 总投资额达 10 亿元人民币。该项目主要生产离子交换与吸附树脂，规划总产能 达 54 ...

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [5]. Core Insights - The company has transitioned from being a virtual goods agent for telecom operators to a builder of cloud terminal platforms, with a projected revenue CAGR of 32% from 2020 to 2024, and a 45% revenue growth in Q1 2025 [1][2]. - The digital goods operation serves as a stable cash flow business, while the cloud terminal and IoT operations are expected to drive rapid growth in the second and third curves of the business [3][4]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company, established in 2012, has expanded its business from digital goods operations to IoT traffic operations and AI + computing operations, becoming a core technology service provider for Huawei Cloud [10][12]. - Digital goods services account for over 80% of revenue, with IoT and cloud terminal operations poised for significant growth [12][38]. Digital Goods Operations - The company integrates various digital goods and fragmented channel resources, establishing stable partnerships with telecom operators and video service providers [1][25]. - The business model is highly replicable across regions and customer segments, with a focus on online and rights-based services [47][30]. Cloud Terminal Operations - The company collaborates with Huawei and China Mobile to develop cloud phones, enhancing user experience through cloud-based computing [2][48]. - The cloud phone user base is rapidly growing, with a target of over 100 million users in three years, leading to increased revenue from shared income [2][56]. IoT Scene Operations - The company has developed IoT traffic operations and solutions, targeting various sectors with a focus on traffic operation as the core business model [3][73]. - It has established partnerships with over 500 industry clients, leveraging its technology to provide comprehensive IoT solutions [73][84]. Financial Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 134 million, 193 million, 280 million, and 406 million yuan from 2024 to 2027, with corresponding PE ratios of 68x, 47x, 32x, and 22x [4][3]. - The report emphasizes the potential for rapid development in the second and third business curves, recommending investment based on strong growth prospects [3][4].