2025 年 05 月 13 日 公司点评 买入/维持 温氏股份(300498) 目标价: 昨收盘:16.66 年报&1 季报点评：猪鸡业务稳健增长，成本持续优化 ◼ 走势比较 (30%) (20%) (10%) 0% 10% 20% 24/5/13 24/7/25 24/10/6 24/12/18 25/3/1 25/5/13 温氏股份 沪深300 ◼ 股票数据 | 总股本/流通(亿股) | 66.54/52.35 | | --- | --- | | 总市值/流通(亿元) | 1,108.54/872. | | | 21 | | 12 个月内最高/最低价 | 23.9/15.12 | | (元) | | 相关研究报告 <<公司点评：生猪出栏快速增长，成 本持续下降>>--2025-01-14 <<温氏股份：双主业优势显著，三季 度业绩亮眼>>--2019-10-24 <<中报点评：双主业弱化猪周期影 响，持续盈利>>--2018-08-16 证券分析师：程晓东 电话：010-88321761 E-MAIL：chengxd@tpyzq.com 分析师登记编号：S1190511050002 事件：公司近日发布 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][5] Core Views - The company is experiencing steady growth with a focus on optimizing its product structure and enhancing operational efficiency, supported by strong performance in its cloud computing and telecommunications segments [3][8] - Revenue and net profit for 2024 are projected to be RMB 609.14 billion and RMB 23.22 billion, respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 27.88% and 10.34% [8] - The company is expected to achieve significant revenue growth in the coming years, with projected revenues of RMB 7,564.19 billion, RMB 9,126.78 billion, and RMB 10,552.89 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [5][7] Financial Summary - The company’s main revenue for 2023 is RMB 476.34 billion, with a projected growth rate of 27.9% for 2024 [7][25] - The EBITDA for 2024 is expected to be RMB 32.23 billion, with a net profit of RMB 23.22 billion [7][25] - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is RMB 1.48, with a corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 13.0 [5][25] - The company’s gross margin for 2024 is expected to be 7.28%, with a net profit margin of 3.81% [8][25] Business Segments - The cloud computing segment is anticipated to show robust growth, with revenues expected to exceed RMB 3,193.77 billion in 2024, marking a year-on-year increase of 64.37% [8] - The telecommunications and mobile network equipment segment is also projected to grow steadily, with revenues of RMB 2,878.98 billion in 2024 [8] - The company is focusing on AI server products, which have seen revenue growth exceeding 150%, becoming a core growth driver [8]

证券研究报告：汽车 | 公司点评报告 发布时间：2025-05-14 股票投资评级 增持|维持 个股表现 -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 2024-05 2024-07 2024-10 2024-12 2025-02 2025-05 中汽股份 汽车 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 公司基本情况 | 最新收盘价（元） | 5.97 | | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本（亿股）13.22 / 13.22 | | | 总市值/流通市值（亿元）79 / 79 | | | 52 周内最高/最低价 | 7.06 / 4.92 | | 资产负债率(%) | 16.5% | | 市盈率 | 45.92 | | 第一大股东 | 中国汽车技术研究中心 | | 有限公司 | | 研究所 分析师:付秉正 SAC 登记编号:S1340524100004 Email:fubingzheng@cnpsec.com 中汽股份(301215) AEBS 强标征求意见，二期试验场投产贡献增量 ⚫ 投资要点 事件：近日，工信部对强制性智能网联汽车标准《轻型汽车自动 紧急制动系 ...

其他电子零组件Ⅲ 香农芯创（300475.SZ） 买入-A(首次) "分销+产品"双轮驱动，企业级存储国产替代需求增长 2025 年 5 月 14 日 公司研究/公司快报 事件描述 风险提示 供应商依赖风险：公司目前第一大供应商为 SK 海力士，公司向 SK 海 请务必阅读最后股票评级说明和免责声明 1 公司发布 2024 年年报及 2025 年一季度报告。2024 年全年公司实现营业 收入 242.71 亿元，同比增长 115.40%；实现归母净利润 2.64 亿元，同比下降 30.08%。2025 年第一季度公司实现营业收入 79.06 亿元，同比增长 243.33%； 实现归母净利润 0.17 亿元，同比增长 18.66%。 事件点评 受益于服务器需求持续增长和存储行业复苏，公司营收创历史新高。 2024 年全年公司实现营业收入 242.71 亿元，同比增长 115.40%；2025 年第 一季度公司实现营业收入 79.06 亿元，同比增长 243.33%。公司 2024 年及 2025 年一季度营业收入均创同期新高，主因系人工智能等相关半导体需求持续激 增和电子产品复苏的推动，带动公司半导体分销业务迎 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate-A" rating for the company [1][8] Core Views - The company's revenue for 2024 reached 6.695 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 86.46%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 161 million yuan, up 125.82% year-on-year. However, in Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 1.543 billion yuan, a decline of 10.62% year-on-year, and a net loss of 197 million yuan, a decrease of 217.87% year-on-year [2][4] - The decline in Q1 2025 performance is attributed to lower-than-expected demand in H2 2024 and a drop in storage prices, compounded by a high base effect from Q1 2024. However, since March 2025, storage prices have shown a clear upward trend due to proactive production cuts by manufacturers and a balanced supply-demand situation driven by AI demand [4][5] - The company is actively expanding its AI edge products, leveraging self-developed main control chips, firmware algorithms, and advanced packaging capabilities to create differentiated competitive advantages. The rapid growth in AI edge products is expected to continue, particularly with the anticipated increase in AI glasses production [5][6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 6.695 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 86.46%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 161 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 125.82% year-on-year. For Q1 2025, the revenue was 1.543 billion yuan, down 10.62% year-on-year, and the net profit was -197 million yuan, a decline of 217.87% year-on-year [2][4][10] Market Trends - The report highlights a new cycle of storage price increases alongside accelerated demand for AI edge products. The company is expected to benefit from this trend, with Q1 2025 potentially marking the bottom of its performance [4][5] Product Development - The company has launched various high-performance storage products for AI applications, including UFS, LPDDR5/5X, and ePOP series products, which have been adopted by major brands in the smart wearable sector. The revenue from emerging AI edge sectors is projected to exceed 1 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of approximately 294% [5][6] Future Outlook - The company anticipates that its wafer-level advanced packaging project will commence production in H2 2025, enabling it to offer comprehensive storage and advanced packaging solutions, which are expected to significantly enhance its value proposition [6][7][8]

证券研究报告：机械设备 | 公司点评报告 股票投资评级 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 公司基本情况 | 最新收盘价（元） | 11.17 | | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本（亿股）5.08 | / 4.69 | | 总市值/流通市值（亿元）57 | / 52 | | 52 周内最高/最低价 | 14.50 / 9.36 | | 资产负债率(%) | 42.2% | | 市盈率 | 19.23 | | 第一大股东 | 宁波聚源瑞利创业投资 | | | 合伙企业(有限合伙) | 研究所 分析师:刘卓 SAC 登记编号:S1340522110001 Email:liuzhuo@cnpsec.com 分析师:虞洁攀 SAC 登记编号:S1340523050002 Email:yujiepan@cnpsec.com 江苏神通(002438) 业绩符合预期，核电订单同比高增 l 投资要点 事件：公司披露 2024 年年报和 2025 年一季报。 业绩符合预期，稳健增长。2024 年，公司实现营收 21.43 亿元， 同比+0.48%；实现归母净利润 2.95 亿元，同比+9.68%；实现扣非归 母净利 ...

新特电气（301120.SZ）深度报告 特种变压器龙头，AIDC 新机遇拾级而上 2025 年 05 月 14 日 ➢ 高压变频用变压器领军企业，积极拓展工商业储能第二成长曲线。1985 年 公司前身北京新华都电抗器厂成立，自成立以来公司持续专注于以变频用变压器 为核心的各式特种变压器、电力变压器、电抗器等。公司是高压变频器配套的变 频用变压器国产替代先驱，2004 年公司成功研制高绝缘等级（H 级）变频用变 压器，打破国外同类产品的垄断，实现进口替代。2020 年公司在高压变频器配 套的变频用变压器市场占有率超过 25%，占据较大的市场份额。2022 年 12 月， 公司投资设立控股公司苏州华储，并依赖苏州华储全面发力储能市场，可为客户 提供从方案设计到储能升压一体舱集成等一站式服务。 ➢ 高压变频器用变压器壁垒较高，公司发力数据中心、电动船舶、石化等增量 市场。变频器可实现高效调速，高压变频器用的高压变压器主要为高压隔离移相 变压器，在变频器中成本占比约 29%，各个部件间绝缘难度高、干扰大、谐波干 扰强，技术壁垒远大于中低压变频器。超大型数据中心需要配置高压变压器，且 HV 变压器通常是定制制造的，交付 ...

证券研究报告/公司研究 银轮股份：汽车热管理老牌龙头，液冷行业新星 投资要点 ➢ 热管理行业龙头，产品多元化发展 银轮股份深耕热管理行业四十余年，多轮战略精准判断行业趋势，2005-2024 年营 业收入复合增速达 19%。公司前身是 1958 年成立的天台机械厂，公司抓住商用车 国产化替代需求进入热交换领域；2007 年深交所上市；2010 年后，商用车业务增 速放缓，公司进行全球化拓展与多产品领域延伸，从商用车延伸至乘用车、工业换 热、尾气处理等领域；2017 年公司成立新能源乘用车事业部，2018 年起公布二次 创业计划，大力发展新能源乘用车业务；2023 年公司正式成立数字能源事业部，包 含储能和数据中心液冷产品等，作为第三成长曲线。 ➢ 储能+数据中心+超充多点开花，液冷行业"从1到N"放量在即 数据中心液冷：功耗、政策、成本驱动，预计2025年中国市场规模140亿元。单芯 片功耗和机柜功率密度持续提升，超过传统风冷上限；政策严控PUE值；芯片端、 服务器端、运营商端出于对全生命周期成本的追求，协同推进液冷应用。 储能液冷：渗透率持续提升，预计2025年中国市场规模121.5亿元。随着电池能量 密度 ...

公司基本情况 | 最新收盘价（元） | 11.17 | | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本（亿股）5.08 | / 4.69 | | 总市值/流通市值（亿元）57 | / 52 | | 周内最高/最低价 52 | 14.50 / 9.36 | | 资产负债率(%) | 42.2% | | 市盈率 | 19.23 | | 第一大股东 | 宁波聚源瑞利创业投资 | | | 合伙企业(有限合伙) | 研究所 分析师:刘卓 SAC 登记编号:S1340522110001 Email:liuzhuo@cnpsec.com 分析师:虞洁攀 SAC 登记编号:S1340523050002 Email:yujiepan@cnpsec.com 江苏神通(002438) 证券研究报告：机械设备 | 公司点评报告 股票投资评级 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 业绩符合预期，核电订单同比高增 l 投资要点 事件：公司披露 2024 年年报和 2025 年一季报。 业绩符合预期，稳健增长。2024 年，公司实现营收 21.43 亿元， 同比+0.48%；实现归母净利润 2.95 亿元，同比+9.68%；实现扣非归 母净利 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Add-A" investment rating for the company [1][8] Core Views - The company experienced significant revenue growth in 2024, achieving 6.695 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 86.46%, and a net profit of 161 million yuan, up 125.82% [3][4] - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 1.543 billion yuan, a decline of 10.62% year-on-year, and a net loss of 197 million yuan, a decrease of 217.87% [3][4] - The decline in Q1 performance is attributed to lower-than-expected demand in H2 2024 and a drop in storage prices, compounded by a high base effect from Q1 2024 [4] - The report suggests that Q1 2025 may represent the bottom of the company's performance, with a recovery expected due to rising storage prices and increased demand from AI applications [4][5] Financial Performance - The company’s basic and diluted earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 were -0.46 yuan, with a net asset value per share of 5.35 yuan and a return on equity (ROE) of -8.91% [2] - Forecasted EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.03 yuan, 1.79 yuan, and 2.57 yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 61.2, 35.2, and 24.6 [8][10] - The company is expected to see a revenue increase to 8.546 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 27.6% [10] Market Trends and Strategic Positioning - The company is actively expanding its AI edge products, including high-performance storage technologies for AI smartphones, AIPC, and AI glasses, with a projected revenue exceeding 1 billion yuan in 2024 from these products, a growth of approximately 294% year-on-year [5] - The report highlights the company's competitive advantage through self-developed main control chips, firmware algorithms, and advanced packaging capabilities [5][6] - The company is advancing its wafer-level packaging project, expected to be operational in H2 2025, which will enhance its service offerings in the integrated storage and advanced packaging market [6][7]