Core Viewpoint - The overall performance forecast for Chinese airlines in 2025 indicates a trend of "significantly reduced losses, some airlines turning profitable, and accelerated profit differentiation" [2][3]. Group 1: Annual Performance Forecast - China Southern Airlines and Hainan Airlines have turned profitable, contributing significantly to the sector's profit recovery, while Air China and China Eastern Airlines remain in the loss zone, with China Eastern's losses narrowing [1][2]. - China Southern Airlines and Hainan Airlines are the core contributors to profit recovery, while Huaxia Airlines continues to show growth, reflecting the relative advantages of regional routes and operational flexibility [2][3]. Group 2: Quarterly Performance Insights - In Q4 2025, the industry remains under pressure with losses prevailing, but most airlines show significant year-on-year improvements, indicating a continued recovery trend despite seasonal profitability pressures [1][2]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Demand remains a key variable for ticket price recovery and profit improvement, with domestic passenger volume expected to grow moderately due to normalized consumer travel and enhanced leisure tourism [4]. - The supply constraints and cost pressures are likely to amplify profit elasticity, with slow aircraft deliveries maintaining capacity control and policies aimed at reducing disorderly competition stabilizing revenue quality [4]. Group 4: Recommended Stocks - The top picks include Hainan Airlines (600221.SH) and Huaxia Airlines (002928.SZ), with a focus on China National Aviation (601111.SH, 00753), Juneyao Airlines (603885.SH), and Spring Airlines (601021.SH) [5].

证券研究报告 交通运输 行业定期报告 hyzqdatemark 2026 年 02 月 02 日 证券分析师 孙延 SAC：S1350524050003 sunyan01@huayuanstock.com 王惠武 SAC：S1350524060001 wanghuiwu@huayuanstock.com 曾智星 SAC：S1350524120008 zengzhixing@huayuanstock.com 张付哲 SAC：S1350525070001 zhangfuzhe@huayuanstock.com 1）圆通速递举行 2025 年工作总结暨 2026 年工作部署大会，强调"守底线、强基 石、开新路"。1 月 26 日，圆通速递 2025 年工作总结暨 2026 年工作部署大会召开， 圆通速递董事局主席喻渭蛟表示：要打造安全畅通、便捷高效、自主可控、可持续、 有韧性的供应链；要贯彻执行国家邮政局局长赵冲久关于深入推进交通强国邮政篇 建设等 9 个方面的工作，要以"守底线、强基石、开新路"为管理理念和工作指南， 做好各项重点工作。圆通速递总裁潘水苗围绕"守底线、强基石、开新路"对 2026 年重点工作作了具 ...

航班抵达沈阳桃仙国际机场后，早已等候的海关、空港物流站坪保障部、货站开启"绿色通道"，海关实 施"快查、快检、快放"通关模式，仅用90分钟便完成全部查验流程。"这批三文鱼的鲜度完全达到特级 标准，肉质紧实度和营养保留率均优于行业平均水平。"沈阳某高端商超采购负责人表示。 此次4吨挪威三文鱼的成功运输，是沈阳空港物流战略转型重要举措的具体实践，更是有效落实机场集 团领导"面向服务要效益、面向管理提效能、面向市场求发展"要求的缩影。近年来，沈阳空港物流 以"生态共建者"定位，持续完善"物流 + 贸易服务 + 产业"三位一体服务体系，依托航线网络，已构建起 覆盖欧洲、美洲、日韩、东南亚的运输网络，同时建设完善口岸功能，为促进中外经贸合作、丰富国内 消费市场提供更坚实的物流支撑。（编辑：张彤 校对：张薇 审核：程凌） （南航供图） 沈阳空港物流在战略转型之后，瞄准航司驻外营业部，广泛联系法兰克福、迪拜、首尔等地货运经理， 为沈阳国际回程航班货物增量添彩。作为连接欧洲市场与中国东北腹地的关键枢纽，法兰克福办事处积 极配合物流转型发展，充分发挥营业部本地化优势，为此次三文鱼运输搭建起 "产地直达+枢纽中转+终 端配送" ...

Group 1 - The 2026 Spring Festival travel season will start on February 2 and end on March 13, lasting for 40 days, with a total of 88,800 flights planned at Beijing Capital and Daxing airports, representing a year-on-year increase of approximately 1.67% [1] - Air China plans to increase its fleet by 25 aircraft compared to last year, executing over 70,000 passenger flights during the Spring Festival, a 10.1% increase from 2025, with an average of 1,800 flights per day, an increase of 160 flights [1] - Air China will focus on key routes between major city clusters, maintaining high operational levels and covering nearly 50 domestic routes [1] Group 2 - In the western region, Air China will add over 500 flights covering popular tourist destinations such as Lijiang, Dali, and Xishuangbanna [2] - Eastern Airlines plans to deploy 822 passenger aircraft, including 14 domestic C919 aircraft, executing 125,000 flights during the Spring Festival, a year-on-year increase of about 3.6% [4] - Southern Airlines plans to operate over 126,000 passenger flights during the Spring Festival, with approximately 13,000 additional flights across more than 260 routes [4] Group 3 - Hainan Airlines expects to operate over 33,000 flights, transporting approximately 5.516 million passengers, with increased flight frequencies on major routes and tourist destinations [5] - Hainan Airlines will expand its international route network, adding several new international destinations from Beijing and Haikou compared to last year's Spring Festival [5]

Investment Performance - The January stock portfolio achieved a return of +15.42%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index and CSI 300 Index by 13.77 percentage points and 8.31 percentage points respectively [2] - The portfolio included one Hong Kong stock with a return of 11.04%, while the Hang Seng Index rose by 6.85% [2] - The top-performing sectors included non-ferrous metals (+23%), media (+18%), and oil and petrochemicals (+16%) [2] February Investment Strategy Outlook - The A-share market has seen increased volatility since late January, influenced by valuation levels and external factors such as precious metals and the US dollar index [3] - The strategy suggests selecting stocks with solid fundamentals and low implied expectations, while maintaining a balanced portfolio to avoid overexposure to any single sector [3] - Key indicators to monitor include the trends in precious metals, the US dollar index, and A-share market trading volume [3] February Stock Recommendations Power Equipment and New Energy - Zhongtian Technology (600522.SH) is recommended due to its leadership in optical fiber and expected benefits from increased demand driven by AI investments and a significant investment plan from the State Grid [5][6] Electronics - Helin Micro-Nano (688661.SH) is favored for its potential growth in the chip testing market, driven by increased complexity and demand for FT probes [7] Robotics - Amperelong (301413.SZ) is highlighted for its expansion in automotive sensor products and its role in the emerging field of humanoid robots [9][10] Media - Alibaba-W (09988.HK) is recommended due to its rapid growth in cloud services and AI-related products, with a significant market share in China's public cloud IaaS market [12][13] Transportation - Southern Airlines (600029.SH) is positioned to benefit from high capacity and operational efficiency, with a projected increase in passenger volume [14] New Materials - Huafeng Aluminum (601702.SH) is expected to benefit from the demand for aluminum materials in the new energy vehicle sector and the trend of "aluminum replacing copper" [16] Building Materials - China Jushi (600176.SH) is recommended as it is positioned to benefit from a market shift in electronic fabrics and the ongoing demand for fiberglass [17] Real Estate - China Merchants Shekou (001979.SZ) is favored for its strong asset structure optimization and focus on core cities, which positions it well in the current market environment [18] Non-Banking Financials - China Life (601628.SH) is expected to perform well in 2026, with strong sales and investment returns [19] North Exchange - Haixi Communications (920405.BJ) is recommended due to its expanding energy storage business and stable traditional operations [22]

（王潇雨 摄影） 本报（chinatimes.net.cn）记者王潇雨 北京报道 全球民航机队规模的迅速扩张，在为飞机制造商带来丰厚订单同时，也为航空产业链带来了更多市场空 间的增长，其中一个最重要的领域就是航空售后服务市场。 在最新发布的《全球航空服务市场预测》（Global Services Forecast，下称"GSF"）中，欧洲空中客车公 司（下称"空客"）方面预测，中国的航空售后服务市场规模预计将从2025年的248亿美元增长至2044年 的638亿美元。 全球最大市场 "全球航空售后服务市场正呈现出明显的重心东移趋势，中国也将成为市场价值最大的市场，"空客中国 副总裁、空客中国客户服务负责人赵辰在1月中旬举行的一次媒体宣讲会上对包括《华夏时报》记者在 内的媒体记者表示，"中国在机场基础设施建设和空中交通管理方面持续投入，在保持高运行效率的同 时，支撑了航空交通量的不断增长。根据空中客车全球市场预测（GMF），未来20年中国预计将接收 约9570架新飞机，这将进一步强化飞机全生命周期内对各类服务的需求。" 对于飞机制造商而言，尽管受益于空中交通运输需求的增长，每年都能够获得大量新飞机订单，且手握 ...

【中泰交运｜航空】航司业绩快评：盈利改善确认，春运旺季可期 业绩预告： # 海航控股，①全年归母/扣非归母净利润分别为18～22亿元/9～11亿元，同比扭亏为盈。 ②测算Q4归母/扣非归母净亏损分别为6.45～10.45亿元/16.02～18.02亿元。 # 南方航空，①全年归母/扣非归母净利润分别为8～10亿元/1.3～1.9亿元，同比扭亏为盈。 【中泰交运｜航空】航司业绩快评：盈利改善确认，春运旺季可期 业绩预告： # 海航控股，①全年归母/扣非归母净利润分别为18～22亿元/9～11亿元，同比扭亏为盈。 ②测算Q4归母/扣非归母净亏损分别为6.45～10.45亿元/16.02～18.02亿元。 # 南方航空，①全年归母/扣非归母净利润分别为8～10亿元/1.3～1.9亿元，同比扭亏为盈。 ②测算Q4归母/扣非归母净亏损分别为13.07～15.07亿元/12.33～12.93亿元。 # 中国东航，①全年归母/扣非归母净亏损分别为13～18亿元/27～33亿元，同比减亏。 # ①春运旺季即将来临。 ②测算Q4归母/扣非归母净亏损分别为34.03～39.03亿元/41.05～47.05亿元。 # 中国国航，① ...

此外，东航税前利润总额为2-3亿元，受所得税费用影响导致东航税后利润出现亏损：受21年经营利润亏损影 响，2021年三大航分别确认较大额度的未经抵消的递延所得税资产（未弥补税务亏损），根据报表披露21年国航/ 东航/南航确认额度分别为29.8/46.2/38.1亿元，根据税法约定，可抵扣暂时性差异形成的递延所得税资产要求在未 来5个纳税年度内能产生足够的应纳税所得额用以抵扣，意味着对于三大航而言需要在26年之前确认同等额度的所 得税费用，导致大航不得不在25年提前确认部分所得税费用，使得税后利润由正转负。 预计三大航均在25年提前确认15亿上下的所得税费用。 2、近期航空板块调整幅度较大，主要由于三方面原因：1）递延所得税问题逐步被市场认识，市场下修对2025年 业绩预期；2）地缘战争预期升温，油价同比大幅上涨，压制板块股价；3）中日航线摩擦持续，边际改善有限。 随着业绩预告最后一重利空落地，我们认为短期来看股价里面隐含的悲观预期得到了充分的释放；25年税后盈利 低于预期不改经营利润显著改善的趋势，预计26年开始行业的经营利润仍有望持续且显著的改善。 大航业绩预告落地，经营改善确认周期拐点 1、事件点评：三大 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights significant target price increases for several listed companies from January 26 to February 1, with notable mentions including Baili Tianheng, Zexing Pharmaceutical, and Great Wall Motors, indicating strong bullish sentiment in the market for these stocks [1][2]. Target Price Increases - Baili Tianheng (688506) has a target price increase of 375.97%, with a highest target price set at 1322.00 yuan [2]. - Zexing Pharmaceutical (688266) shows a target price increase of 88.56%, with a highest target price of 166.16 yuan [2]. - Great Wall Motors (601633) has a target price increase of 83.66%, with a highest target price of 38.00 yuan [2]. - Other companies with notable target price increases include Industrial Fulian (601138) at 73.31% and CATL (300750) at 71.71% [2][3]. Broker Recommendations - A total of 265 listed companies received broker recommendations during the period, with Qingdao Bank receiving the highest number of recommendations at 8 [3][4]. - Other companies with multiple recommendations include Xian Dao Intelligent and Wancheng Group, each receiving 5 recommendations [3][4]. Rating Adjustments - Eight companies had their ratings upgraded, including Shanghai Jahwa (600315) from "Hold" to "Buy" and ZTE Corporation (000063) from "Cautious Buy" to "Buy" [5][6]. - Two companies had their ratings downgraded, including Jincheng Shares (603396) from "Buy" to "Hold" and Huasheng Group (603018) from "Buy" to "Hold" [6]. First-Time Coverage - During the same period, 75 instances of first-time coverage were reported, with notable ratings including Shaanxi Tourism (603402) receiving a "Outperform Industry" rating and Bichu Electronics (688188) receiving a "Buy" rating [7].

截至2026年1月30日收盘，南方航空(600029)报收于7.21元，上涨0.14%，换手率0.45%，成交量61.08万 手，成交额4.41亿元。 当日关注点 交易信息汇总 资金流向 1月30日主力资金净流入1221.01万元，占总成交额2.77%；游资资金净流入1059.52万元，占总成交额 2.4%；散户资金净流出2280.53万元，占总成交额5.18%。 南方航空第十届董事会第十二次会议决议公告 2026年1月29日，南方航空召开第十届董事会第十二次会议，审议通过聘任信永中和会计师事务所为 2026年度国内财务报告及内部控制审计师，信永中和（香港）为国际财务报告审计师，审计服务酬金为 1098万元，并提交股东会审议。会议通过公司2026年度经营计划，提名蔡治洲为第十届董事会执行董事 候选人，修订董事会授权管理办法及相关治理制度，授权董事会办公室筹备2026年第一次临时股东会。 南方航空关于变更会计师事务所的公告 中国南方航空股份有限公司拟聘任信永中和会计师事务所（特殊普通合伙）为公司2026年度国内财务报 告审计师和内部控制审计师，信永中和（香港）会计师事务所有限公司为国际财务报告审计师。原聘任 的 ...