Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Jianfa Co., Ltd. has experienced a decline in stock price and financial performance, indicating potential challenges in its operations and market perception [1][2]. - As of January 27, Jianfa's stock price dropped by 2.04% to 9.14 CNY per share, with a total market capitalization of 26.502 billion CNY [1]. - The company has seen a year-to-date stock price decrease of 1.19%, with a 10.30% decline over the past 60 days [1]. Group 2 - For the period from January to September 2025, Jianfa reported a revenue of 498.983 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 0.63%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.149 billion CNY, down 44.19% year-on-year [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 19.039 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 6.570 billion CNY distributed in the last three years [3]. - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders decreased by 2.69% to 58,200, while the average circulating shares per person increased by 2.77% to 49,786 shares [2].

证券研究报告 房地产 行业定期报告 hyzqdatemark 2026 年 01 月 27 日 证券分析师 邓力 SAC：S1350525070006 dengli@jzsec.com 陈颖 SAC：S1350525110002 chenying02@huayuanstock.com 唐志玮 tangzhiwei@huayuanstock.com 二手房成交回暖，《求是》发文提及城市更新 投资评级： 看好（维持） ——房地产行业周报（26/1/17-26/1/23） 投资要点： 风险提示：房地产量价超预期下行、房地产融资资金趋紧、房地产政策不及预期。 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 板块行情：本周上证指数上升 0.8%、深证成指上升 1.1%、创业板指下跌 0.3%、沪深 300 下 跌 0.6%、房地产（申万）上升 5.2%。个股方面，涨跌幅前五的分别为：*ST 荣控(+15.8%)、 顺发恒能(+15.7%)、城投控股(+14.9%)、大悦城(+14.4%)、珠免集团(+12.6%)，涨跌幅后五 的分别为：城建发展(-6.0%)、中洲控股(-2.8%)、电子城(-2.1%)、特发服务(-1.9 ...

Group 1: Financial Sector Insights - The banking sector is expected to maintain a proactive lending strategy in early 2026, with new loans in January projected to be around 5.2-5.3 trillion yuan, reflecting a slight year-on-year increase [16] - Large banks are anticipated to have a strong advantage in expanding their balance sheets due to favorable deposit conditions, with total deposits expected to exceed expectations [17] - The wealth management sector saw a significant increase, with the scale reaching 33.29 trillion yuan by the end of 2025, marking an 11.15% year-on-year growth [22] Group 2: Energy and New Energy Sector - The space photovoltaic sector is entering a new era with silicon-based PERC solar cells being adopted for low-orbit satellites, significantly reducing costs compared to traditional III-V multi-junction solar cells [27] - P-type HJT solar cells are identified as the most suitable technology for space applications due to their superior radiation resistance and lower cost [28] - The market for space-based solar power is expected to expand significantly, driven by initiatives like SpaceX's plan to deploy 100GW of solar energy satellites [29] Group 3: Electronics Sector - Major passive component manufacturers have announced price increases due to rising costs of raw materials, leading to a new upward cycle in the passive components market [32] - The demand for passive components is expected to remain strong, particularly in emerging sectors such as AI servers and electric vehicles, potentially extending the current upcycle [35] - The average price of passive components is projected to rise, driven by inflationary pressures and increased demand from high-end applications [36] Group 4: Agriculture and Livestock Sector - The white feather chicken market is experiencing price support due to supply constraints from overseas breeding disruptions, with prices averaging 7.44 yuan/kg in December 2025 [38] - The yellow feather chicken market is under pressure, with prices declining to 11.77 yuan/kg in December, influenced by seasonal demand and reduced breeding activity [39] - Egg prices are also declining, with a significant number of laying hens expected to be culled, which may provide some support for future prices [40] Group 5: Real Estate and Construction Sector - Jianfa Co. is forecasting a significant decline in net profit for 2025, primarily due to poor performance from subsidiaries and increased impairment losses [43] - The company's supply chain operations remain profitable, with overseas business growth of 37% year-on-year, indicating resilience in certain segments [45] - Real estate sales figures are down, with Jianfa's sales amounting to 1220.8 billion yuan, reflecting a 9% year-on-year decrease [46]

每日经济新闻 （记者 曾健辉） 免责声明：本文内容与数据仅供参考，不构成投资建议，使用前请核实。据此操作，风险自担。 每经AI快讯，开源证券1月26日发布研报称，给予建发股份（600153.SH）"买入"评级。评级理由主要包 括：1）美凯龙及联发集团预计归母净利润为负，影响公司全年业绩；2）供应链运营业务稳健盈利，海 外业务规模同比增长；3）房产销售数据有所下降。风险提示：大宗商品经营不及预期、房地产行业恢 复不及预期。 每经头条（nbdtoutiao）——国际金价冲破5000美元！7年涨了280%，什么时候才见顶？专家：关键还 看美元，重点关注国际货币体系、降息和科技革命 ...

交通运输/物流 建发股份（600153.SH） 全年业绩短暂承压下滑，供应链运营业务稳健盈利 2026 年 01 月 26 日 投资评级：买入（维持） 股价走势图 -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 2025-01 2025-05 2025-09 建发股份 沪深300 数据来源：聚源 相关研究报告 《营收利润同比收缩，回款比例保持 高位—公司信息更新报告》-2025.9.2 《营收规模有所收缩，增强回报保护 股 东 利 益 — 公 司 信 息 更 新 报 告 》 -2025.4.17 ——公司信息更新报告 | 齐东（分析师） | 胡耀文（分析师） | | --- | --- | | qidong@kysec.cn | huyaowen@kysec.cn | | 证书编号：S0790522010002 | 证书编号：S0790524070001 | |  | 全年业绩短暂承压下滑，供应链运营业务稳健盈利，维持"买入"评级 | 建发股份发布 2025 年业绩预告，公司预计 2025 年度实现归母净利润为-100 亿元 到-52 亿元，预计实现扣非归母净利润为-65 亿元到-33 亿元，同比转亏。受美凯 龙业 ...

运营商财经网 章少霞/文 在国内众多房企中，建发房产作为闽系房企新龙头，一向是市场关注的焦点。近日，运营商财经网注意 到建发房产总经理林伟国，拟升任建房房产董事长，并同步兼任联发集团董事长。本文试图揭秘他的过 往经历。 大家首先要搞清楚联发集团与建发集团的关系。 建发集团是联发集团的控股股东，联发集团是建发集团地产开发板块的核心平台。两者在项目开发上分 工明确，例如建发房产侧重高端产品定位和品牌输出，联发集团则负责工程管理和供应链。说白了，建 发房产是房地产开发商，联发集团是建筑企业。 根据中指数据，王文怀上任不到一年，整个2025年全年拿地权益金额123亿元，在2025年中国房地产企 业权益拿地金额TOP100中排名第十四；而在2024年中国房地产企业权益拿地金额TOP100的排名中并没 有联发集团。 日前，建发股份对外宣布，预计2025年度归母净利润为负值，原因之一是房地产业务子公司联发集团年 内结算利润为负、存货跌价准备计提增加。 现在卖房这么难，王文怀还去花那么钱拿地，财报能好看吗？ 根据联发集团三季度财报，经营性现金流量净额为-53.29亿元。资产负债率为73.71%。财务出生的林伟 国是否能够有效 ...

交通运输/物流 建发股份（600153.SH） 全年业绩短暂承压下滑，供应链运营业务稳健盈利 2026 年 01 月 26 日 投资评级：买入（维持） | 日期 | 2026/1/23 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(元) | 9.39 | | 一年最高最低(元) | 11.71/8.68 | | 总市值(亿元) | 272.27 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 272.27 | | 总股本(亿股) | 29.00 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 29.00 | | 近 3 个月换手率(%) | 59.21 | 股价走势图 -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 2025-01 2025-05 2025-09 建发股份 沪深300 数据来源：聚源 相关研究报告 《营收利润同比收缩，回款比例保持 高位—公司信息更新报告》-2025.9.2 《营收规模有所收缩，增强回报保护 股 东 利 益 — 公 司 信 息 更 新 报 告 》 -2025.4.17 ——公司信息更新报告 | 齐东（分析师） | 胡耀文（分析师） | | --- | --- | | qidong@kysec.cn | huyaowen@ ...

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview Coatings and Waterproofing Materials - There are opportunities for price increases in the coatings and waterproofing materials sectors, with coatings showing signs of growth in 2025 and waterproofing expected to follow in 2026. Key companies to focus on include Yuhong, Keshun, and Sankeshu [1][2] Pipe Manufacturing - Companies targeting the C-end market are performing steadily with good cash flow and dividends, making them suitable for conservative investors. Recommended companies include Tubao and Weixing [1][2] Glass Fiber Sector - The demand outlook for the glass fiber sector is positive, with significant price increases in ordinary electronic cloth since the beginning of the year. China Jushi and Zhongcai Technology have considerable growth potential in the high-end electronic cloth market [1][2] Construction Sector - Large companies with low valuations and high dividend yields, such as Tunnel Co. and China State Construction, are worth attention. A recovery in traditional construction demand will benefit upstream material suppliers like Honglu Steel Structure and Jinggong Steel Structure [1][2] Non-Ferrous Metals Industry - The non-ferrous metals sector is currently at a high PB valuation, around the 75th percentile over the last 20 years, but still has upward potential based on PE valuation at approximately the 35th percentile. Gold stocks are valued at 12-13 times earnings, with a potential increase of 50%-70% during a bull market. Energy metals like copper and aluminum also show around 40% upside potential. The gold sector has risen 30% since the beginning of the year and is in the middle of a quarterly uptrend [3][4] Coal Industry Current Fundamentals - The coking coal sector shows strong fundamentals, with a recent increase in the coal index by 1.44%, outperforming the CSI 300 index. Supply-side data is low, with significant inventory reductions. As of January 23, coal inventory was 168 million tons, down 3.3% year-on-year, with coking coal inventory down 12% [5][6] Future Expectations - The coal sector is expected to see significant price increases following policy changes that will affect inventory and production levels. High-quality coking coal companies and high-dividend thermal coal companies are recommended for investment [6] Real Estate Sector Market Trends - The real estate sector is nearing the end of its bottoming phase, with recommendations to accumulate stocks that have improved fundamentals but have not yet realized performance. Jianfa Co. is highlighted, with expected losses of 5.2 to 10 billion yuan in 2025 but a commitment to maintain dividends of at least 0.7 yuan per share [7][8] Company Performance - Jianfa Co. has a stable supply chain business with significant growth in overseas operations, achieving sales of 14 billion USD, a 37% year-on-year increase. Major losses are attributed to its home furnishing business and real estate operations [9][10] Future Performance Expectations - The year 2025 is anticipated to be a low point for Jianfa Co., with a projected rebound in 2026, estimating profits between 3 to 3.5 billion yuan. The company is expected to maintain a stable dividend strategy, supported by strong cash flow [11]

Core Viewpoint - The resilience and security of supply chains have become core anchors of national economic competitiveness amid structural fluctuations, geopolitical tensions, and cost pressures. Companies like Jianfa Co., Ltd. are transitioning from passive risk management to proactive global resource allocation strategies, establishing themselves as benchmarks in this transformation [1]. Group 1: Domestic Trade and Supply Chain - Domestic trade circulation serves as a crucial economic artery, directly impacting the stability of livelihoods and operational efficiency of industries. Jianfa Co., Ltd. plays a key role in this sector by providing large-scale, specialized supply chain services to overcome regional circulation bottlenecks, ensuring the rapid and stable supply of essential materials [3]. - The company focuses on food security as a priority, particularly addressing the "north grain south transport" strategy, achieving over 10 million tons in domestic agricultural product operations in the last production season, thereby reinforcing the food security framework [3][5]. Group 2: Global Supply Chain Integration - Jianfa Co., Ltd. is advancing its global supply chain layout while deepening its domestic circulation network, aiming to stabilize domestic industries and livelihoods. The company targets key global production areas to ensure a steady supply of essential resources for domestic manufacturing and consumer sectors [6]. - The company has established over 70 overseas companies and offices, forming strategic partnerships with global suppliers to create a stable supply chain that meets domestic demands. This includes sourcing high-quality agricultural products from regions like South America and Europe [6][9]. Group 3: New Consumption Empowerment - Jianfa Co., Ltd. is leveraging its supply chain capabilities to support the growth of new consumption sectors, integrating domestic circulation experience with global resource capabilities. This dual approach aims to enhance the quality and expansion of the consumer market [10]. - The company's involvement in the coffee industry exemplifies its role in empowering new consumption, with significant growth in procurement and sales, achieving over 40,000 tons of coffee bean purchases and sales exceeding 700 million yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of over 120% [11]. - Collaborations with global dairy companies and technology firms further illustrate Jianfa Co., Ltd.'s commitment to enhancing product quality and market competitiveness through efficient supply chain management [12][14]. Group 4: Strategic Partnerships and Future Outlook - During the 2023 China International Import Expo, Jianfa Co., Ltd. signed agreements worth over 5.2 billion USD with seven global agricultural and trading firms, expanding its strategic layout in multiple agricultural categories [7]. - The company's comprehensive supply chain service system, which spans from livelihood protection to industrial support and consumption upgrading, positions it as a key player in stabilizing national supply chains and contributing to the resilience of the economy [10][14].

厦门大宗商品供应链"三巨头"重磅发布 近日，厦门大宗商品供应链领域的"三巨头"——厦门象屿、厦门国贸、建发股份——相继亮出五年战略 蓝图，清晰描绘出2026年至2030年供应链头部企业的跃升路径。 强化资源掌控力 在厦门象屿的五年发展规划中，国际化业务与资源布局被提升至全新战略高度。公司将立足国内核心市 场，加速国际化布局，拓展海外资源端与消费端市场，建立海外资源、贸易、产业、物流、资金中心， 形成国内外联动的市场网络。同时，加强顶层设计，优化海外区域与资源布局，通过做实海外平台、推 进属地化经营，构建全球资源供应链网络。 厦门国贸自诞生起就自带国际贸易基因，因此，将"国际化"列为其首要战略举措。通过从"打通业 务"到"建强组织"的根本性转变，打造"一核两翼三支柱"：一核是聚焦组织能力出海；两翼是构建"敏捷 前台"与"赋能中台"协同作战体系；三支柱是夯实组织与人才机制、国际化激励与考核机制、风险合规 与全球化文化。深度融入国际市场，大力开发属地化业务，为未来业务发展注入增量。 近日发布的业绩预告显示，尽管建发股份由于地产板块经营不力，导致2025年度归母净利润预计为负， 但公司的供应链运营业务仍保持稳健盈利， ...