Group 1 - The A-share market saw a rise in bank stocks, with Xiamen Bank increasing by over 6% [1] - Chongqing Bank rose by more than 4% [1] - Ningbo Bank and Shanghai Bank both increased by over 3% [1] - Nanjing Bank, Qilu Bank, Hangzhou Bank, Yucheng Rural Commercial Bank, Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank, and Jiangsu Bank all saw increases of over 2% [1]

Core Viewpoint - The performance reports of 10 A-share listed banks indicate overall steady growth in profitability and asset quality, with expectations for continued improvement in 2026 as net interest margin decline is expected to narrow and credit costs continue to decrease [1][2]. Profitability - All 10 A-share listed banks reported year-on-year growth in net profit for 2025, with notable performance from city commercial banks [2]. - Qingdao Bank achieved a net profit of 5.188 billion yuan, marking a 21.66% year-on-year increase, leading the group of disclosed banks [2]. - Other banks such as Ningbo Bank, Nanjing Bank, and Hangzhou Bank also surpassed 10 billion yuan in net profit, with year-on-year growth rates of 8.13%, 8.08%, and 12.05% respectively [2][3]. Revenue Growth - Except for CITIC Bank, all other banks reported positive revenue growth for 2025 [4]. - Nanjing Bank recorded the highest revenue growth at 10.48%, reaching 55.54 billion yuan, while Qingdao Bank and Ningbo Bank reported revenue of 14.573 billion yuan and 71.968 billion yuan, with growth rates of 7.97% and 8.01% respectively [4][5]. - The revenue growth of city commercial banks and rural commercial banks showed some differences, with Nanjing Bank benefiting from strong net interest income growth [4]. Asset Quality - The asset quality of the 10 listed banks remained stable, with most reporting a steady or declining non-performing loan (NPL) ratio [6][9]. - Qingdao Bank's NPL ratio decreased to 0.97%, down 17 basis points from the previous year, indicating improved asset quality [9][10]. - The provision coverage ratio for Qingdao Bank increased to 292.3%, reflecting a continuous improvement in core asset quality indicators [10]. Market Outlook - Analysts expect that the net interest margin for listed banks will stabilize, with a slight narrowing of the decline anticipated in 2026 [8][9]. - The first quarter of 2026 is projected to see a significant increase in credit issuance, with January alone expected to account for over 30% of the annual total [8]. - The overall credit growth is expected to remain robust, supported by favorable monetary policy adjustments [8].

2月4日，银行低开高走，全天走强，个股集体拉升，截至收盘，A股42只银行股近九成涨逾1%，宁波 银行、厦门银行涨超3%，青岛银行、齐鲁银行涨超2%，常熟银行、杭州银行、招商银行等涨幅居前。 | | 代码 | 名称 | 两日图 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 002142 | 宁波银行 | | 31.70 | | | | 2 | 601187 | 厦门银行 | | 7.21 | 0.22 | 3.15% | | 3 | 002948 | 青岛银行 | | 5.52 | 0.15 | 2.79% | | 4 | 601665 | 齐鲁银行 | m | 5.76 | 0.12 | 2.13% | | 5 | 601128 | 常熟銀行 | | 7.26 | 0.14 | 1.97% | | 6 | 600908 | 元锡银行 | | 5.88 | 0.11 | 1.91% | | | 600926 | 杭州银行 | Ma | 16.14 | 0.30 | 1.89% | | 8 | 601009 | 南京银行 | | ...

证券研究报告 银行业月报 ——行业盈利温和修复，关注优质区域行 银行行业 强于大市（维持） 证券分析师 袁喆奇 投资咨询资格编号：S1060520080003 研究助理 李灵琇 一般证券业务编号：S1060124070021 2026年2月4日 请务必阅读正文后免责条款 核心摘要 注：全文所指银行指数均为银行（中信）指数 2 行业核心观点：资金结构深刻变化，顺势而为重配置轻交易。资金流向的变化是推动板块估值修复中不可忽视的力量，一方面被动指数的持续扩容带来了稳定的资 金流入，板块高权重的特征仍将持续推动资金的流入，一方面银行板块低波高红利的特征更易获得险资等中长期资金的青睐，目前板块平均股息率达到4.50%，结 合监管一系列引导中长期资金入市的措施，预计板块的股息配置价值吸引力仍将持续。个股维度，我们结合股息和潜在增量中长期资金流入空间，看好A股股份行 板块以及部分优质区域行（成都、江苏、上海、苏州、长沙），同时关注更具股息优势的港股大行配置机会。 25年度快报综述：营收盈利回暖，资产质量稳中有进。营收盈利回暖，资产质量稳中有进。截至1月末，共10家银行披露2025年度业绩快报，大部分银行营收盈利 同比增速均 ...

Group 1 - The city commercial bank sector increased by 1.9% on February 4, with Ningbo Bank leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4102.2, up 0.85%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14156.27, up 0.21% [1] - Key individual stock performances included Ningbo Bank at 31.70 with a rise of 3.26%, Xiamen Bank at 7.21 with a rise of 3.15%, and Qingdao Bank at 5.52 with a rise of 2.79% [1] Group 2 - The net inflow of main funds in the city commercial bank sector was 128 million yuan, while retail funds saw a net inflow of 67.65 million yuan [1] - The table of fund flows indicated that Ningbo Bank had a main fund net inflow of 1.15 billion yuan, while retail funds experienced a net outflow of 1.34 billion yuan [2] - Jiangsu Bank had a main fund net inflow of 38.95 million yuan, but retail funds saw a net outflow of 73.94 million yuan [2]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share banking sector has experienced a significant decline of 5.8% year-to-date, contrasting with a 1.1% increase in H-share Chinese banks, indicating a divergence in market performance [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The banking sector's performance has been weak, ranking last among 35 industries in the Wind secondary industry classification [1] - Despite the overall downturn, certain banks like Qingdao Bank and Ningbo Bank have shown strong performance, with increases of 19.87% and 9.29% respectively in January [2] - The average dividend yield for A-share banks remains at approximately 4.5%, which is higher than the 0.5%-2.0% returns of various risk-free assets, making bank stocks attractive for long-term investors [3] Group 2: Fund Flow and Market Sentiment - Since October 2025, there has been a cautious approach from funds towards the banking sector, leading to a period of consolidation [5] - Significant outflows have been recorded, with estimates showing that around 10% of the trading volume has been affected by net outflows from bank-related ETFs, totaling approximately 9111 billion yuan [6] - Despite short-term pressures, there is a belief that the fundamentals of the banking sector are improving, as indicated by increased institutional interest in bank credit issuance [6][9] Group 3: Long-term Opportunities - The banking sector is expected to see internal differentiation, with regional banks like Qingdao Bank and Ningbo Bank performing well against the backdrop of overall sector weakness [7] - Analysts predict that Qingdao Bank will maintain double-digit profit growth in 2026, supported by strong loan issuance capabilities and stable asset quality [8] - The demand for high-dividend assets remains strong, with expectations that insurance funds will inject over 2 trillion yuan into the market in 2026, further supporting bank stocks [9][10] Group 4: Investment Strategies - The current market adjustment reflects short-term fund disturbances, but the long-term outlook remains positive due to improving fundamentals [9] - Institutions are focusing on banks with strong asset quality and those that are improving their cost of liabilities and non-interest income [10] - The banking sector is anticipated to benefit from a stable dividend profile and recovery trading logic, especially as credit issuance continues to grow [10]

2026年1月23日，杭州银行股份有限公司（以下简称"杭州银行"）发布2025年度业绩快报。作为其2021– 2025年"二二五五"战略规划的收官之年，该行交出了一份经营稳健、质效双升的高质量发展答卷。数据 显示，截至2025年末，杭州银行总资产突破2.36万亿元，较上年末增长11.96%；全年实现归属于上市公 司股东的净利润190.30亿元，同比增长12.05%；不良贷款率连续多年稳定在0.76%，拨备覆盖率达 502.24%，资产质量指标继续保持在上市银行第一梯队。 战略收官成效显著，经营效益稳步提升 2025年，面对复杂多变的宏观经济环境，杭州银行深入贯彻落实党的二十大和二十届历次全会精神，紧 扣"从严治行、服务客户、转型发展"主线，扎实推进"二二五五"战略目标全面落地。通过深化科创金 融、信用小微、中小企业服务和财富管理等重点领域改革，强化资产负债主动管理，全行经营质效持续 向好。 业绩快报显示，2025年杭州银行实现营业收入387.99亿元，同比增长1.09%；其中利息净收入275.94亿 元，同比增长12.83%；手续费及佣金净收入42.07亿元，同比增长13.10%，盈利结构进一步优化。归属 于 ...

Group 1 - A-shares of bank stocks collectively rose, with notable increases in stocks such as Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank, which rose over 2%, and several others including Ningbo Bank, Shanghai Bank, and Qilu Bank, which rose over 1% [1] - Specific stock performance includes Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank increasing by 2.24% with a total market value of 72.7 billion, and Ningbo Bank rising by 1.76% with a market value of 206.3 billion [2] - The year-to-date performance shows significant variations, with Ningbo Bank up 11.21%, while Shanghai Bank down 7.03%, and Hu'nong Commercial Bank down 10.23% [2] Group 2 - The MACD golden cross signal has formed, indicating a positive trend for these bank stocks [2]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive," indicating an expected overall return exceeding 5% above the CSI 300 index within the next six months [3][40]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the banking sector's performance is entering a recovery phase, with a focus on the stability of interest margins and the potential for improved asset quality as the economy recovers [7]. - The report emphasizes the importance of strong capital positions and reliable dividend payouts for investment selection, recommending specific banks based on their financial health and market position [7]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index and CSI 300 Index experienced changes of -0.44% and +0.08% respectively, while the banking sector index rose by 0.86%, outperforming the CSI 300 by 0.78 percentage points [10][11]. - Notable performances within the banking sector included increases in share prices for major state-owned banks such as Bank of China (+1.90%) and Agricultural Bank of China (+0.81%) [13][14]. Data Tracking - As of January 30, 2026, the banking sector's price-to-book (PB) ratio stands at 0.65, indicating a valuation at the 70.10 percentile over the past five years [6][19]. - The median dividend yield for individual stocks in the sector is 4.54%, which is 2.73 percentage points higher than the yield on 10-year government bonds [6][19]. Industry Dynamics - The Federal Reserve has decided to maintain interest rates between 3.5% and 3.75%, reflecting a balanced approach to managing inflation and employment concerns [33][35]. - The China Banking Association has introduced guidelines for the collection of personal consumption loans, aiming to standardize practices and promote healthy industry development [37][39].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Buy" [2] Core Insights - The report provides a comprehensive analysis of 163 regional banks in Zhejiang Province, highlighting their asset and liability structures, profitability, and asset quality [6][20] - The asset growth rate for major city commercial banks in Zhejiang is 9.4%, which is lower than the 14.2% growth rate of listed city commercial banks, while major rural commercial banks show an asset growth rate of 8.0%, exceeding the 6.7% growth rate of listed rural commercial banks [6][25] - The report indicates that the loan-to-asset ratio for city commercial banks is projected to reach 55.5% in 2024, an increase of 95 basis points year-on-year, while rural commercial banks will see a decrease to 59.3%, down 19 basis points [31] - Profitability metrics show that the average Return on Assets (ROA) for city commercial banks in Zhejiang is 0.78%, slightly above the average of listed city commercial banks, while rural commercial banks have an average ROA of 0.82%, which is below the average of listed rural commercial banks [6][31] - The asset quality of regional banks in Zhejiang is reported to be better than that of listed banks, with non-performing loan ratios lower by 16 basis points for city commercial banks and 9 basis points for rural commercial banks compared to their listed counterparts [6][31] Summary by Sections Section 1: Economic Structure of Zhejiang Province - Zhejiang Province is focused on high-quality development and aims to become a model for common prosperity [13] - The province's GDP is heavily concentrated in cities like Hangzhou, Ningbo, and Wenzhou, with Hangzhou accounting for 24.3% of the total GDP in 2025 [15] Section 2: Overview of 163 Regional Banks - The report categorizes the banks into city commercial banks, rural banks, and others, with a total of 163 banks in the region [20] - The distribution of registered capital among these banks is relatively balanced, with 63 banks having over 500 million yuan in registered capital [22] Section 3: Asset and Liability Structure - The asset growth of major city and rural commercial banks has been declining since 2019, with city banks showing a growth rate of 9.4% in the first half of 2025 [25] - The liability structure indicates that customer deposits account for 77.5% of liabilities for city commercial banks, which is higher than the 66.2% for listed city banks [44] Section 4: Profitability and Asset Quality - The average ROE for city commercial banks in Zhejiang is 11.98%, slightly lower than the average of listed city banks [6][31] - The report highlights that the non-performing loan ratio for city commercial banks is lower than that of listed banks, indicating better asset quality [6][31]