Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced significant declines in various sectors, particularly in metals and banks, with a notable focus on bank stocks as a safe haven amid volatility in precious metals prices [1][3][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - On February 2, A-share non-ferrous metals led the decline with a drop of 7.62%, while steel, chemicals, coal, and oil and gas sectors also fell over 5% [1]. - The Shanghai Composite Index closed down 2.48%, with over 4,600 stocks declining and a trading volume of approximately 2.61 trillion yuan, a decrease of nearly 250 billion yuan from the previous trading day [3][4]. - The banking sector showed resilience, with certain banks like Citic Bank and Shanghai Bank posting gains of 2.64% and 1.62%, respectively, amidst the overall market downturn [4]. Group 2: Bank Sector Analysis - The banking sector has seen a significant correction, with the China Securities Bank Index dropping 6.76% as of January 30, with major banks like Pudong Development Bank and Agricultural Bank of China experiencing declines of 19.29% and 12.5%, respectively [4][5]. - Analysts believe that the peak of fund outflows from the banking sector has passed, with the sector's valuation becoming more attractive, as the median price-to-book (PB) ratio is around 0.57 and the median dividend yield has risen to over 4.5% [5][6]. - Recent reports indicate that passive fund outflows have been a major factor in the banking sector's recent adjustments, but the selling pressure is expected to diminish, allowing for potential recovery in bank stock prices [6][7]. Group 3: Institutional Insights - Institutions are starting to show interest in bank stocks, with reports indicating that active funds had reduced their holdings in bank stocks by 1.3 billion shares by the end of the fourth quarter [7]. - Several regional banks have announced stock buyback plans, which have been positively received by the market, reinforcing confidence in the banking sector's fundamentals [7].

Group 1 - In January 2026, over 600 A-share listed companies were surveyed by institutions, indicating a high level of interest in investment opportunities in the A-share market [1][3] - The sectors that attracted the most attention included electronics, machinery, pharmaceuticals, power equipment, and computers, with a notable increase in the banking sector's activity [1][8] - Jiemai Technology was the most frequently surveyed company, with over 10 surveys conducted in January, highlighting the interest from various types of institutions including public funds, private funds, and foreign capital [3][4] Group 2 - Ice Wheel Environment and Taihe New Materials also received significant attention, each with over 10 surveys, discussing their product developments and market strategies [4][5] - The banking sector saw a marked increase in survey activity, with institutions like Hu Nong Commercial Bank and Suzhou Bank outlining their credit strategies and growth plans for 2026 [7][9] - Hu Nong Commercial Bank emphasized a balanced approach to risk while setting aggressive credit targets, focusing on major projects and green transformation initiatives [9][10]

| 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 601963 | 重庆银行 | 10.18 | -1.83% | 12.29万 | 1.25亿 | | 601838 | 成都银行 | 15.82 | -1.62% | 44.70万 | 7.10亿 | | 601665 | 齐鲁银行 | 5.64 | -1.57% | 74.37万 | 4.21亿 | | 601169 | 北京银行 | 5.28 | -1.31% | 196.28万 | 10.39亿 | | 601229 | 上海银行 | 9.27 | -1.28% | 53.77万 | 4.98亿 | | 601577 | 长沙银行 | 9.56 | -0.93% | 19.60万 | 1.87亿 | | 600928 | 西安银行 | 3.69 | -0.81% | 24.44万 | 9033.50万 | | 601997 | 贵阳银行 | 5.69 | -0.70% | 42.61万 | 2.43亿 | | 616009 | 江苏银行 | ...

2月3日，A股市场银行（核心股）股逆势下跌，其中，中国银行、工商银行、农业银行、建设银行、邮 储银行、上海银行、沪农商行跌超1%。 股票频道更多独家策划、专家专栏，免费查阅>> 责任编辑：栎树 | 代码 | 名称 | | 涨幅% ↑ | 总市值 | 年初至今涨幅% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 601988 | 中国银行 | 1 | -1.66 | 17174亿 | -6.98 | | 601398 | 工商银行 | 1 | -1.64 | 25661亿 | -9.21 | | 601288 | 农业银行 | 1 | -1.33 | 23414 乙 | -12.89 | | 601939 | 建设银行 | 1 | -1.25 | 22707亿 | -6.47 | | 601658 | 邮储银行 | 1 | -1.18 | 6053 Z | -5.43 | | 601229 | 上海银行 | | -1.17 | 1319亿 | -8.12 | | 601825 | 沪农商行 | 美 | -1.08 | 798亿 | -10.98 | | 601077 | 渝 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the ongoing institutional research on listed banks in January, focusing on credit issuance, net interest margin, asset quality trends, and bond investment strategies during the peak marketing season [1][2][7]. Group 1: Institutional Research and Credit Issuance - A total of 373 institutions conducted research on 11 A-share listed banks, with 49 research instances recorded by January 31 [1][7]. - The banks under review include Nanjing Bank, Ningbo Bank, Shanghai Bank, and others, with Nanjing Bank being the most favored, receiving 76 institutional inquiries [2][8]. - Institutions are particularly focused on credit issuance during the marketing peak, with many banks reporting better performance compared to the same period in 2025 [2][8]. - Key areas for credit issuance include manufacturing, infrastructure construction, and green low-carbon transformation projects [3][9]. Group 2: Net Interest Margin Stability - Net interest margin (NIM) is a critical indicator of banking performance, with banks focusing on stabilizing NIM through asset and liability management [4][11]. - Shanghai Bank anticipates a slight decline in NIM due to the expected decrease in loan market quotation rates (LPR) and competitive pressures on deposit pricing [11][12]. - Qilu Bank is optimizing its asset portfolio and enhancing low-cost deposit acquisition to stabilize NIM [11][12]. Group 3: Bond Investment Strategies - The bond market has been volatile since 2025, affecting the bond investment returns of regional small and medium-sized banks [6][12]. - Shanghai Bank expects bond rates to remain in a fluctuating range in 2026, with limited potential for a trend reversal [6][13]. - Hu Nong Bank plans to focus on bond investment for asset allocation while employing risk management strategies, including the use of derivatives [6][13]. Group 4: Asset Quality Management - Banks are implementing measures to maintain stable asset quality, including improving the quality of new loans and increasing efforts to manage non-performing loans [6][13].

Group 1 - In January, 11 A-share listed banks were surveyed by 373 institutions, with a total of 49 survey instances, focusing on credit issuance, net interest margin, asset quality trends, and bond investment strategies during the peak marketing season [1] - The surveyed banks include Nanjing Bank, Ningbo Bank, Shanghai Bank, Hangzhou Bank, Suzhou Bank, Qingdao Bank, Qilu Bank, Xiamen Bank, Hu Nong Bank, Qing Nong Bank, and Zijin Bank, with six banks experiencing stock price increases, led by Qingdao Bank with over 16% growth [2] - Nanjing Bank was the most favored by institutions, receiving 76 surveys, while Shanghai Bank received 75 surveys, indicating strong interest in their credit issuance during the marketing peak [2] Group 2 - The focus of the credit issuance during the peak marketing season is on corporate credit, with banks reporting better performance compared to the same period in 2025, emphasizing manufacturing, infrastructure, and green transformation projects [2][3] - Shanghai Bank anticipates a continued decline in the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) in 2026, which may lead to a slight decrease in net interest margin due to competitive market factors [4] - Qilu Bank aims to stabilize its net interest margin by optimizing asset management and expanding low-cost deposits while managing liabilities effectively [4] Group 3 - The overall pressure on net interest margin for listed banks is expected to ease in 2026, with a narrowing decline anticipated, supported by improvements in funding costs [5] - Shanghai Bank predicts that bond yields will continue to fluctuate within a range in 2026, with low likelihood of a trend reversal [5] - Hu Nong Bank plans to focus on bond investments primarily for allocation, while also employing advanced technologies for trading and risk management [6]

Market Overview - A-shares experienced a significant decline on February 2, with the Shanghai Composite Index and ChiNext Index both dropping over 2% [2][4] - The market showed a broad-based decline, with 4,652 stocks closing lower, particularly in resource sectors such as metals, coal, oil, and chemicals [4][9] - The trading volume decreased significantly, with daily turnover dropping by 255.8 billion to 2.61 trillion [5] Sector Performance - Resource stocks were heavily impacted, with declines exceeding 5% in sectors like non-ferrous metals, steel, basic chemicals, coal, and oil [8][9] - The food and beverage sector, particularly liquor stocks, showed resilience, with several companies like Jinhuijiu and Youyou Food hitting the daily limit [6][7] - Banking stocks also performed relatively well, with several banks showing slight gains despite the overall market downturn [8] Market Sentiment and Factors - The decline was attributed to a combination of external market disturbances, profit-taking, and heightened risk aversion ahead of the holiday [3][11] - Analysts suggest that the market may need 3 to 5 trading days to stabilize, with a focus on whether the Shanghai Composite can hold above the 4,000-point mark [3][15] - The current market environment is characterized as a healthy technical correction rather than a trend reversal, with no signs of panic selling or liquidity crisis [12][14] Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to avoid high-volatility sectors in the short term and to wait for clear signs of market stabilization before gradually increasing positions in quality sectors [3][16] - There is a recommendation to focus on defensive sectors such as electric grid equipment and high-dividend blue chips, while avoiding emotional selling [15][17] - The market is expected to recover quickly post-holiday, supported by liquidity replenishment and policy expectations from the upcoming Two Sessions [15][17]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a rating of "Buy" for Shanghai Bank [12] Core Insights - The new management team under Chairman Gu Jianzhong has clarified strategic priorities and initiated significant organizational changes, which have garnered market attention regarding the bank's growth potential [3][6] - The bank is expected to enhance organizational efficiency, accelerate credit issuance, and stabilize net interest margins, leading to improved profitability and performance growth [3][10] Summary by Relevant Sections Governance and Organizational Changes - The new management has implemented a major organizational restructuring aimed at reducing management layers and improving efficiency, particularly in the Shanghai region [6][25] - The bank plans to increase the allocation of professional talent, especially frontline employees, to support key growth areas such as technology finance and wealth management [6][27] Strategic Focus - The corporate banking segment will focus on technology finance, leveraging Shanghai's position as an international innovation center [7][33] - The retail segment is enhancing wealth management services, with a significant portion of assets under management (AUM) coming from pension clients, indicating strong future potential for financial products and insurance [7][39] Credit and Profitability Outlook - Credit growth is expected to accelerate starting in 2026, with a focus on corporate loans, particularly in key projects and state-owned enterprises [8][46] - The bank's net interest margin is projected to stabilize around 1.15%, with interest income growth expected to accelerate in 2026 [8][53] Asset Quality and Risk Management - The bank has been actively managing asset quality, with a decline in non-performing loan ratios since their peak in 2022, and is expected to continue improving risk indicators [9][44] - The focus on corporate real estate loans is expected to mitigate risks, with significant provisions already made for historical non-performing loans [9][44] Investment Recommendations - The governance changes are seen as a core investment logic, with strong capital positions and a commitment to increasing dividend payouts, suggesting a favorable risk-reward profile [10][12] - The bank's projected price-to-book (PB) ratios for 2025-2027 are 0.54x, 0.51x, and 0.47x, with expected dividend yields of 5.5%, 5.8%, and 6.1% respectively [10]

Market Overview - On February 2, the city commercial bank sector declined by 0.3% compared to the previous trading day, with Qilu Bank leading the decline [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4015.75, down 2.48%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13824.35, down 2.69% [1] Individual Bank Performance - Shanghai Bank (601229) closed at 66.6, up 1.62% with a trading volume of 821,000 shares and a transaction value of 776 million [1] - Beijing Bank (601169) closed at 5.35, up 0.94% with a trading volume of 2.4269 million shares and a transaction value of 1.304 billion [1] - Nanjing Bank (6001009) closed at 10.62, up 0.85% with a trading volume of 844,400 shares and a transaction value of 902 million [1] - Qilu Bank (601665) closed at 5.73, down 1.55% with a trading volume of 715,600 shares and a transaction value of 415 million [2] - Hangzhou Bank (600926) closed at 15.92, down 1.49% with a trading volume of 521,800 shares and a transaction value of 840 million [2] Capital Flow Analysis - The city commercial bank sector saw a net inflow of 17.93 million from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 157.95 million [2] - Major banks like Shanghai Bank and Jiangsu Bank had significant net inflows from institutional investors, with Shanghai Bank receiving 71.52 million, accounting for 9.22% of its total [3] - Conversely, retail investors showed a notable outflow from several banks, including Beijing Bank, which saw a retail net outflow of 64.17 million, representing 4.92% [3]

Core Insights - The report focuses on the performance of pure fixed-income products issued by wealth management companies, highlighting the best-performing products available for sale through various distribution channels [1][4] Group 1: Product Performance - The ranking of products is based on their annualized returns over the past month, three months, and six months, with a particular emphasis on the three-month annualized yield to reflect their performance amid recent market fluctuations [1] - A total of 28 distribution institutions are involved, including major banks such as Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, Bank of China, Agricultural Bank of China, and others [1] Group 2: Product Availability - The list of products is categorized as "available for sale," but actual availability may vary due to factors such as sold-out quotas or differences in product listings shown to different customers by banks [1] - Investors are advised to refer to the actual displays on the distribution bank's app for the most accurate information regarding product availability [1] Group 3: Data Source - The data presented in the report is sourced from the Nanfang Financial Terminal and Nanfang Wealth Management, with statistics as of January 30 [3][5]