证券研究报告·公司点评报告·风电设备 明阳智能（601615） 2025 年业绩预告点评：Q4 同比转正，收购德 华芯片进军国内卫星电源 Tier1【勘误版】 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 28,124 | 27,158 | 41,215 | 38,616 | 43,200 | | 同比（%） | (8.53) | (3.43) | 51.76 | (6.31) | 11.87 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 376.72 | 346.11 | 897.66 | 2,113.61 | 3,173.78 | | 同比（%） | (89.06) | (8.12) | 159.35 | 135.46 | 50.16 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.17 | 0.15 | 0.40 | 0.93 | 1.40 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 142.69 | 155.31 | 59. ...

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·风电设备 明阳智能（601615） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 28,124 | 27,158 | 41,215 | 38,616 | 43,200 | | 同比（%） | (8.53) | (3.43) | 51.76 | (6.31) | 11.87 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 376.72 | 346.11 | 897.66 | 2,113.61 | 3,173.78 | | 同比（%） | (89.06) | (8.12) | 159.35 | 135.46 | 50.16 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.17 | 0.15 | 0.40 | 0.93 | 1.40 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 142.69 | 155.31 | 59.88 | 25.43 | 16.94 | [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 执 ...

Core Viewpoint - China is contributing significantly to global energy transition through a dual approach of export and investment, focusing on green technologies and products such as electric vehicles, photovoltaics, and lithium batteries [1][2]. Group 1: Clean Energy Export - China is leveraging its clean energy product exports and services to support the energy transition in importing countries, particularly in developing nations, by providing affordable and sustainable solutions [2]. - The export scale of photovoltaic products is expanding, with a projected cumulative export value of $90.22 billion for inverters by 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 9.2% [3]. - By 2025, China's wind turbine exports are expected to reach $17.63 billion, showing a significant year-on-year increase of 47.7%, with Laos, South Africa, and Saudi Arabia being major export destinations [4]. Group 2: Low-Carbon Energy Investment - Chinese companies are engaging in direct investment and project financing to support the clean transformation of traditional energy sectors in Central Asia, focusing on coal and gas [7][8]. - In South America, Chinese enterprises are revitalizing the hydropower industry through direct project investments, enhancing energy conversion efficiency and equipment stability [6]. - The investment in Kazakhstan's coal-fired power plants aims to provide advanced technologies for emissions reduction, addressing the region's specific climatic challenges [8].

中国经济网北京1月29日讯 明阳智能(601615.SH)今日收报23.77元，跌幅4.46%。 东吴证券股份有限公司研究员曾朵红、郭亚男、胡隽颖今日发布研报《明阳智能(601615)：风机 历史质量事故风险释放 收购德华芯片进军国内卫星电源TIER1》称，维持明阳智能"买入"评级。 中国国际金融股份有限公司研究员车昀佶、刘佳妮今日发布研报《明阳智能(601615)：预告2025 年盈利8-10亿元 风机盈利修复》称，维持明阳智能跑赢行业评级。 (责任编辑：徐自立) ...

Core Viewpoint - Mingyang Smart Energy is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 800 to 1,000 million yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 131% to 189% [1] Financial Performance - The net profit for Q4 2025 is projected to be between 34.24 million and 234.24 million yuan, marking a turnaround from a loss of 460 million yuan in Q4 2025, with a quarter-on-quarter change of -78% to +50% [1] - The gross profit margin for wind turbines in Q4 2025 is expected to perform well, leading to an upward revision of the profit forecast for 2025 [1] Strategic Developments - The company has released historical quality accident risks related to wind turbines and is advancing into the domestic satellite power Tier 1 market through the acquisition of Dehua Chip [1] - Zhongshan Dehua Chip Technology Co., Ltd. has passed the AS9100D quality system certification and was selected as a national-level specialized and innovative "little giant" enterprise in 2023, receiving 15 million yuan in project support for key R&D plans in Guangdong Province for 2024 [1] - Following the acquisition, the company will leverage GaAs, perovskite, and HJT technologies simultaneously, and both parties will collaborate on energy management systems and other areas to enhance application validation and commercialization, thereby improving the company's overall competitiveness in the photovoltaic sector [1]

Flash | Mingyang issued positive profit alert today indicating its net profit to up 131.1-188.9% yoy to Rmb800-1,000m in 2025E, implying net profit of Rmb34-234m in 4Q25E, from a net loss of Rmb462m in 4Q24. Its 2025E preliminary earnings are 34-47% and 26-41% below consensus (Bloomberg) and Citi estimate respectively, and is shy of the company's target of net profit to up 200% yoy in 2025E set by the employee share option scheme. We attribute Mingyang's preliminary profit miss possibly to less-than-expecte ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a maintained rating [1] Core Views - The company has released its earnings forecast for 2025, indicating a significant recovery in net profit due to the release of historical quality accident risks associated with wind turbines and the acquisition of Dehua Chip to enter the domestic satellite power market [1][4] - The company expects a substantial increase in revenue and net profit in the coming years, with a projected net profit of 897.66 million yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 159% [1][4] Financial Forecasts - Total revenue is forecasted to reach 41.215 billion yuan in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 51.76% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 897.66 million yuan in 2025, with further growth projected to 2.114 billion yuan in 2026 and 3.174 billion yuan in 2027 [1][4] - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 0.40 yuan in 2025, increasing to 0.93 yuan in 2026 and 1.40 yuan in 2027 [1][4] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to decrease from 62.68 in 2025 to 17.73 in 2027, indicating improved valuation as earnings grow [1][4] Acquisition and Technological Advancements - The acquisition of Dehua Chip will enhance the company's capabilities in high-end compound semiconductor technology and energy systems, allowing for comprehensive solutions in the photovoltaic sector [3] - The company has achieved significant advancements in photovoltaic technology, including a certified efficiency of 22.4% for its perovskite modules and over 34% for its perovskite/HJT tandem cells [3]

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·风电设备 明阳智能（601615） 2025 年业绩预告点评：风机历史质量事故风 险释放，收购德华芯片进军国内卫星电源 Tier1 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 28,124 | 27,158 | 41,215 | 38,616 | 43,200 | | 同比（%） | (8.53) | (3.43) | 51.76 | (6.31) | 11.87 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 376.72 | 346.11 | 897.66 | 2,113.61 | 3,173.78 | | 同比（%） | (89.06) | (8.12) | 159.35 | 135.46 | 50.16 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.17 | 0.15 | 0.40 | 0.93 | 1.40 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 149.36 | 162.56 | 62. ...

【中泰电新】#明阳智能：业绩符合预期，海风出海+太空光伏打开空间 未来展望：1）风机价格回暖+低价订单逐步消化，风机主业盈利持续修复；2）欧洲海风β提振，公司战略布局苏 格兰、意大利有望最先受益；3）太空光伏领域，体外公司德华芯片在砷化镓路线位于头部地位，后续收购并表预 期贡献弹性，同时HJT/钙钛矿多技术路径布局打开空间。 事件：公司发布业绩预告，25全年预计实现归母净利润8.5-10亿，同比+131%～+189%；单Q4归母利润0.3-2.4亿， 同比+107%～+151%，环比-78%～+50% 点评：25全年业绩实现同比增长，主要系风机制造板块盈利持续修复（风电场转让规模预计和24年持平） 未来展望：1）风机价格回暖+低价订单逐步消化，风机主业盈 【中泰电新】#明阳智能：业绩符合预期，海风出海+太空光伏打开空间 事件：公司发布业绩预告，25全年预计实现归母净利润8.5-10亿，同比+131%～+189%；单Q4归母利润0.3-2.4亿， 同比+107%～+151%，环比-78%～+50% 点评：25全年业绩实现同比增长，主要系风机制造板块盈利持续修复（风电场转让规模预计和24年持平） 建议重点关注 风 ...

Summary of Key Points Company Overview - The company discussed is Mingyang Smart Energy, which is involved in the wind turbine manufacturing industry and is expanding into emerging sectors such as hydrogen energy and photovoltaics [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the fiscal year 2025, Mingyang Smart Energy expects a significant increase in net profit attributable to shareholders, projected between 800 million to 1 billion CNY, representing a year-on-year growth of 131.14% to 188.92% [1]. - The company's net profit excluding non-recurring items is anticipated to be between 580 million to 780 million CNY, indicating a year-on-year increase of 230.66% to 344.68% [1]. - The growth in performance is attributed to a substantial increase in wind turbine delivery scale and sales revenue, alongside effective cost reduction and efficiency improvement measures [1]. Strategic Initiatives - Mingyang plans to acquire 100% equity of Dehua Chip through a combination of share issuance and cash payment, which is expected to enhance its capabilities in the commercial aerospace sector [1][2]. - The company is actively diversifying its business portfolio by venturing into new energy sectors, which may create synergistic growth opportunities [2]. Industry Context - The company operates in a competitive landscape where industry demand fluctuations and intensified competition pose risks [3]. Additional Insights - The improvement in gross margin for wind turbines and components is noted, indicating operational efficiency gains [1]. - The strategic acquisition and diversification efforts may position the company favorably for future growth in both traditional and emerging markets [2].