记者丨叶麦穗 编辑丨曾芳 临近春节，A股上市银行2025年业绩快报陆续亮相。截至2月10日，共有11家A股上市银行披 露了2025年的成绩单， 涉及4家股份行、6家城商行、1家农商行，归母净利润增速全部实现 正增长，有四家银行甚至实现两位数的增长，其中青岛银行的增速最快，达到了21.66%。 | | | | | 归属母公司股东的净利润(万元) | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 序号 | 代码 = 7 | 名称 、 ▽ | 本期 | 上年同期 - | 增长率(%) ▼ | | | 1 | 002948.SZ | 青岛银行 | 518.774.10 | 426,412.00 | | 21.66 | | 2 | 601665.SH | 齐鲁银行 | 571.349.10 | 498.628.90 | | 14.58 | | 3 | 600926.SH | 杭州银行 | 1,903,000.00 | 1.698,300.00 | | 12.05 | | 4 | 600000.SH | 浦发银行 | 5,001,700.00 | 4,525,700. ...

邓美君 中泰证券银行首席: 好呀。各位投资者下午好，我是中泰银行业首席分析师邓美君。感谢参加我们银行 25 年 年报前瞻的电话会。最近银行是出了 11 家的业绩快报。整体的一个情况比我们预期的是 要好的。虽然我们一直强调银行业绩的一个稳健性，但是每次出来的一个稳健性都，其实 都会比我们的预期还要好。银行的一个韧性度跟蓄水池其实比市场想象中的还要深厚。那 我们归纳下来的话，其实也有三，有三个点的原因吧。一个是我们息差的一个环比企稳。 同比降幅收窄这个事情，就对我们整个利息收入跟营收的一个增长的贡献度是非常大的。 然后第三块的话，其实就是我们持有的老券的浮盈。还是有很大的一个兑现空间的。那我 们再看一下这三个利好的一个因子，基差平稳、手续费持续改善以及老券的一个福音。在 26 年其实还会延续，所以我们整体一个判断的话，就是 26 年的一个情况会比 25 年还要 好。这个之前有汇报过很多次。然后第二个的话就是投资观点上，我们全年还是看一个绝 对收益，银行板块就是赚一个 ROE 跟分红，13 个点左右的一个绝对收益的一个情况。这 个逻辑是，我们大概测算的三年维度，就是到 28 年，行业的一个 ROE 中枢在 8%左右 ...

格隆汇2月9日｜A股市场银行股普涨，其中，青农商行、齐鲁银行涨超2%，厦门银行、张家港行、紫 金银行、民生银行涨超1%。 ...

[Table_Page] 跟踪分析|银行 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 跨境流动性跟踪 20260208 贸易回流比率再度回正，服务逆差大幅收窄 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： [Table_PicQuote] 相对市场表现 -10% -3% 4% 10% 17% 24% 02/25 04/25 07/25 09/25 11/25 02/26 银行 沪深300 | [分析师： Table_Author]倪军 | | --- | | SAC 执证号：S0260518020004 | | 021-38003646 | | nijun@gf.com.cn | | 分析师： 林虎 | | SAC 执证号：S0260525040004 | | SFC CE No. BWK411 | | 021-38003643 | | gflinhu@gf.com.cn | | 请注意，倪军并非香港证券及期货事务监察委员会的注册 | 跟踪分析|银行 重点公司估值和财务分析表 | DocReport] [Table_ 相关研究： | | | --- | --- | | 银行行业:春节临近大行收票 | 2026-0 ...

作为山东省首家城市商业银行，齐鲁银行（601665）(601665.SH)业绩实现双增的同时，盈利结构持续 优化。 日前，齐鲁银行发布业绩快报。2025年度，该行营业收入为131.35亿元，同比增长5.12%；归母净利润 为57.13亿元，同比增长14.58%；扣非净利润为56.43亿元，同比增幅更高达15.36%，盈利增长势头强 劲。 长江商报记者注意到，在行业净息差持续承压的背景下，齐鲁银行的净息差逆势上涨2BP(1BP等于0.01 个百分点)至1.53%，带动利息净收入同比大增16.48%至105.19亿元，这是该行的利息净收入首次突破百 亿大关。2024年，齐鲁银行的这一指标为90.31亿元。 业绩增长的同时，齐鲁银行的总资产站上8000亿元高位，截至2025年末，该行总资产为8043.81亿元。 该行资产质量持续改善，不良贷款率为1.05%，较上年末下降14BP；拨备覆盖率355.91%，较上年末提 高33.53个百分点。主要资产质量指标连续七年保持优化。 净息差逆势上升 作为山东省头部上市城商行，齐鲁银行2025年在盈利端实现量质齐升，营收与净利双增的同时，盈利结 构持续优化，利息净收入成为业绩增 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Insights - Bank stocks have outperformed the market, with the banking index rising by 1.70% while the CSI 300 index fell by 1.33%, indicating a shift in market sentiment towards underperforming sectors [1] - Quality city commercial banks have shown superior performance, with city commercial banks increasing by 3.27% compared to state-owned banks at 0.35% and joint-stock banks at 1.84% [1] - The banking sector is expected to enter a growth cycle in 2026, with projected revenue and net profit growth rates of 2.8% and 2.6% respectively, indicating a gradual recovery [3] - The opportunity cost of investing in bank stocks remains low, with a 10-year government bond yield at 1.80% and bank stock dividends around 4.4%, providing a 2.6 percentage point premium [3] - The report emphasizes the importance of new growth drivers, particularly recommending Nanjing Bank for its strong management and market position [3] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The banking sector ranked sixth among 31 primary industries, with a weekly increase of 1.70% [1] - The performance of various bank types showed that city commercial banks had the highest weekly increase at 3.27% [1] Individual Bank Events - Qilu Bank reported a 5.1% year-on-year increase in revenue and a 14.6% increase in net profit, aligning with market expectations [2] - Ningbo Bank's executive appointment was approved, indicating stability in management [2] Investment Outlook - The report maintains a positive outlook for bank stocks in 2026, suggesting a rebalancing of market styles and a favorable environment for bank valuations [3] - Recommendations include major state-owned banks and a focus on mid-sized banks with new growth potential, particularly Nanjing Bank, Shanghai Bank, and others [4][6]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained at "Overweight" [2] Core Insights - The report anticipates new RMB loans in January to be between 5.1 to 5.25 trillion yuan, with a corresponding loan growth rate declining to approximately 6.3% [4][6] - The expected new social financing scale for January is projected to be between 7.41 to 7.57 trillion yuan, maintaining a stock growth rate of around 8.3% [21][25] - The report highlights a strong performance in corporate activities, with expectations for increased credit supply due to a favorable lending environment and government policies [8][28] Summary by Sections 1. RMB Loans - New RMB loans are expected to be between 5.1 to 5.25 trillion yuan, with a growth rate declining to around 6.3% [4][6] - The monthly increase is projected to vary between a decrease of 300 million to an increase of 1.2 billion yuan [8] 2. Social Financing - The anticipated new social financing scale for January is between 7.41 to 7.57 trillion yuan, with a stock growth rate around 8.3% [21][25] - The report notes that the net financing scale of local government bonds and corporate credit bonds is expected to be 1.181 trillion yuan and 490.3 billion yuan respectively [25] 3. Liquidity - M1 and M2 growth rates are expected to rise due to a low base effect, with M1 projected at 4.0% and M2 at 8.7% [26] - The report indicates that the increase in government and credit bonds' net financing will impact market liquidity [26] 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a shift in bank stock investment logic from "pro-cyclical" to "weak-cyclical," emphasizing the attractiveness of high-dividend bank stocks during economic stagnation [28] - Two main investment lines are recommended: regional banks with strong certainty and large banks with high dividends [28]

1月金融合规月报。当月，金融机构罚单数量同比大增，但罚没金额同比减少。金融机构共收到1438张罚单，同比大增54.13%，合计被罚没2.93亿元，同比 减少20.16%。 1、1月不同类型金融机构处罚情况 从不同监管机构处罚来看，1月金融监管总局开1253张罚单，同比增加83.19%，合计罚没金额2.19亿元，同比增幅15.87%，相比去年同期处罚力度有所上 升。 央行处罚力度则同比有所下降，1月开113张罚单，同比减少38.59%。证监会开64张罚单，同比增18.52%。 从不同类型金融机构处罚来看，银行收到830张罚单，同比增加41.88%，合计被罚没2.14亿元，同比减少25.95%。保险行业收到532张罚单，同比增加 84.08%，合计罚没金额则略减少。 券商1月收到12张罚单，期货公司收到9张罚单。私募罚单数量不少，收到44张罚单。 二、1月大额罚单 | 被罚对象 | 河及金额 | 处理机构 | 违规事项明 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | (万元) | | 细 | | 上海日赢股权投资基金有限公 | 1400.00 | 上海证监局 | 未按合同约 | | la | | ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Qilu Bank is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - Qilu Bank reported a revenue growth of 5.12% year-on-year and a net profit attributable to shareholders growth of 14.58% for 2025, indicating accelerated revenue growth and improved net interest margin [5][6] - The bank's net interest income for 2025 reached 10.519 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.48% [5] - The asset quality indicators have shown continuous improvement for seven consecutive years, with a non-performing loan ratio of 1.05% at the end of 2025, down 4 basis points from the end of Q3 2025 [5] Summary by Sections Recent Performance - Qilu Bank's stock performance over the last 12 months shows a 7.4% increase, while the CSI 300 index increased by 23.1% [4] - The current stock price is 5.92 yuan, with a market capitalization of approximately 36.43 billion yuan [4] Financial Metrics - For 2025, the bank's total assets grew by 16.65%, loans by 13.55%, and deposits by 11.37% compared to 2024 [5] - The bank's return on equity (ROE) for 2025 is 12.17%, a slight decrease of 0.35 percentage points year-on-year [5] Earnings Forecast - Revenue growth forecasts for 2025-2027 are 5.12%, 11.26%, and 10.99% respectively, while net profit growth forecasts are 14.58%, 17.44%, and 10.74% [6] - The estimated earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.11 yuan, 1.32 yuan, and 1.47 yuan respectively [6] Valuation Metrics - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 5.32x, 4.49x, and 4.03x respectively, while the price-to-book (P/B) ratios are expected to be 0.65x, 0.59x, and 0.53x [6][7]

利润增速保持强劲，资产质量连续七年优化 齐鲁银行(601665) 齐鲁银行 2025 年业绩快报点评 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 马婷婷(分析师) | 021-23185608 | matingting@gtht.com | S0880525100001 | | 陈惠琴(分析师) | 021-38676666 | chenhuiqin@gtht.com | S0880525100003 | [Table_Industry] 商业银行/金融 | [Table_Invest] 评级： | 增持 | | --- | --- | | [Table_Target] 目标价格(元): | 7.43 | | | | 齐鲁银行业务规模保持较快增长，同时主动加强负债成本管控，净息差同比改善， 资产质量持续向好，打开信用成本下行空间，利润增速快于同业。 投资要点： | [Table_Finance] 财务摘要（百万元） | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- ...